• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inflow estimation

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Assessment of Probability Flood according to the Flow Regulation by Multi-purpose Dams in Han-River Basin (한강유역의 다목적댐 운영에 따른 빈도홍수량의 평가)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the variation of probability flood according to the flow regulation by multi-purpose dams (Soyang and Chungju) in the Han-river basin, Korea. SWAT-K (Soil and Water Assessment Tool-Korea) was used in order to generate regulated and unregulated daily streamflows upstream of Paldang dam. Simulated flow regulated by the Soyang and Chungju dams was calibrated by comparison with the observed inflow data at Paldang reservoir. Generally the ratio of flood flows to daily streamflows is known to decrease with drainage area in a watershed. Regulated and unregulated flood flows were obtained from the relationship between flood flows and daily streamflows. Extreme Type-I distribution was applied for flood frequency analysis and L-moment method was used for parameter estimation. This is a novel approach capable of understanding the variation in flood frequency with dam operation for the relatively large watershed scale, and this will helps improve the applicability of daily stream flow data for use in flood control as well as in water utilization.

Parameter Regionalization of a Tank Model for Simulating Runoffs from Ungauged Watersheds (미계측 유역 유출 모의를 위한 Tank 모형의 매개변수 지역화)

  • Kang, Min Goo;Lee, Joo Heon;Park, Ki Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.519-530
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    • 2013
  • To provide a reliable tool for runoff simulations of ungauged watersheds upstream of reservoirs, a daily runoff simulation model, Tank model, is restructured, the parameter regionalization of the model is conducted, and the model's applicability is evaluated. Taking into account the characteristics of runoffs from the watersheds, a three-tank model is employed. The percolation process of the model's third tank is eliminated, considering the water budgets of the watersheds, and its evapotranspiration component is improved, reflecting the conditions of meteorological observation in South Korea. The sensitivity analysis of the model shows that the model's behaviors, varying with a sensitive parameter, ${\alpha}$, are reasonable. The regional parameter estimation equations are determined, using the characteristics and land uses of the watersheds as variables. The model is applied for the runoff simulations of three watersheds and the water stage simulation of one reservoir, and the simulation results are then compared with the observed values, which prove to be in close agreement with the observations. In addition, the results from simulating inflows of twenty-four reservoirs using the model show that the averages of evapotranspiration rate and runoff rate are 42.8% and 56.6%, respectively, which are resonable. Consequently, it is concluded that the model is practically applicable to simulating runoffs from watersheds upstream of reservoirs, and simulated inflow data are useful for watershed management and reservoir planning, design, and operation.

Estimation of Permeability and Initial Pressure in Reservoir by DFIT Data Analysis (DFIT 자료 해석을 통한 저류층의 투과도 및 초기압력 추정)

  • Kim, Tae Hong;Lee, Sung Jun;Lee, Kun Sang
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.169-179
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    • 2013
  • Well testing in unconventional reservoirs, such as tight or shale gas formations, presents considerable challenges. It is difficult to estimate the reservoir properties in ultra-low permeability formation because of poor inflow prior to stimulation and excessive test duration. Moreover, radial flow may not develop in hydraulically fractured horizontal wells. For these reasons, the cost of test is high and the accuracy is relatively low. Accordingly, industry is turning to an alternate testing method, diagnostic fracture injection test (DFIT), which is conducted prior to the main hydraulic fracture treatments. Nowadays, DFIT are regarded as the most practical way to obtain good estimates of reservoir properties in unconventional reservoirs. Various methods may be used for interpreting DFIT data. This paper gives an explanation of those methods in detail and examines three actual field data. These show how various analysis methods can be applied to consistently interpret fracture closure pressure and time, as well as before and after closure flow regimes and reservoir properties from field data.

Estimation of Head Loss Coefficients at Surcharged Square Manhole Using Numerical Model (수치모형을 이용한 과부하 사각형 맨홀에서의 손실계수 산정)

  • Kim, Jung-Soo;Lim, Ga-Hui;Rim, Chang-Soo;Yoon, Sei-Eui
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2011
  • Energy loss at manholes, often exceeding friction loss of pipes under surcharged flow, is considered as one of the major causes of inundation in urban area. Therefore, it is important to analyze the head losses at manholes, especially in case of surcharged flow. The stream characteristics were analyzed and head loss coefficients were estimated by using the computational fluid dynamics(CFD) model, FLUENT 6.3, at surcharged square manhole in this study. The CFD model was carefully assessed by comparing simulated results with the experimental ones. The study results indicate that there was good agreement between simulation model and experiment. The CFD model was proved to be capable of estimating the head loss coefficients at surcharged manholes. The head loss coefficients with variation of the ratio of manhole width(B) to inflow pipe diameter(d) and variation of the drop height at surcharged square manhole with a straight-path through were calculated using FLUENT 6.3. As the ratio of B/d increases, head loss coefficient increases. The depth and head loss coefficient at manhole were gradually increased when the drop height was more than 5cm. Therefore, the CFD model(Fluent 6.3) might be used as a tool to simulate the water depth, energy losses, and velocity distribution at surcharged square manhole.

A study on estimation of optimal reserves for multi-purpose reservoirs considering climate change (기후변화를 고려한 다목적댐의 적정 예비율 산정 연구)

  • Chae, Heechan;Ji, Jungwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.spc
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    • pp.1127-1134
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    • 2018
  • According to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), climate change increases the frequency of abnormal weather phenomenon. As the frequency of abnormal weather phenomenon increases, frequency of disasters related to water resources such as floods and droughts also increases. Drought is the main factor that directly affects water supply. Recently, the intensity of drought and the frequency of drought occurrence have increased in Korea. So, there is a need for water resource securing technology for stable water supply. Korean Water Plan mentioned that water reserves concept is necessary for stable water supply. Most multi-purpose reservoirs in Korea have emergency storage in addition to conservation storage used for water supply. However, there is no clear use standard for emergency storage. This study investigated the use of reservoir reserves for stable water supply. In order to consider the climate change impact, the AR5-based hydrological scenario was used as inflow data for the reservoir simulation model. Reservoir simulations were carried out in accordance with the utilization conditions of emergency storage and water supply adjustment standard. The optimal reserves for each multi-purpose reservoirs was estimated using simulation results.

Drought evaluation using unstructured data: a case study for Boryeong area (비정형 데이터를 활용한 가뭄평가 - 보령지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Jung, Jinhong;Park, Dong-Hyeok;Ahn, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1203-1210
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    • 2020
  • Drought is caused by a combination of various hydrological or meteorological factor, so it is difficult to accurately assess drought event, but various drought indices have been developed to interpret them quantitatively. However, the drought indexes currently being used are calculated from the lack of a single variable, which is a problem that does not accurately determine the drought event caused by complex causes. Shortage of a single variable may not be a drought, but it is judged to be a drought. On the other hand, research on developing indices using unstructured data, which is widely used in big data analysis, is being carried out in other fields and proven to be superior. Therefore, in this study, we intend to calculate the drought index by combining unstructured data (news data) with weather and hydrologic information (rainfall and dam inflow) that are being used for the existing drought index, and to evaluate the utilization of drought interpretation through verification of the calculated drought index. The Clayton Copula function was used to calculate the joint drought index, and the parameter estimation was used by the calibration method. The analysis showed that the drought index, which combines unstructured data, properly expresses the drought period compared to the existing drought index (SPI, SDI). In addition, ROC scores were calculated higher than existing drought indices, making them more useful in drought interpretation. The joint drought index calculated in this study is considered highly useful in that it complements the analytical limits of the existing single variable drought index and provides excellent utilization of the drought index using unstructured data.

Estimation of the CY Area Required for Each Container Handling System in Mokpo New Port (목표 신항만의 터미널 운영시스템에 따른 CY 소요면적 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Keum, J.S.
    • Journal of Korean Port Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 1998
  • The CY can be said to function in various respect as a buffer zone between the maritime and overland inflow-outflow of container. The amount of storage area needed requires a very critical appraisal at pre-operational stage. A container terminal should be designed to handle and store containers in the most efficient and economic way possible. In order to achieve this aim it is necessary to figure out or forecast numbers and types of containers to be handled, CY area required, and internal handling systems to be adopted. This paper aims to calculate the CY area required for each container handling system in Mokpo New Port. The CY area required are directly dependent on the equipment being used and the storage demand. And also the CY area required depends on the dwell time. Furthermore, containers need to be segregated by destination, weight, class, FCL(full container load), LCL(less than container load), direction of travel, and sometimes by type and often by shipping line or service. Thus the full use of a storage area is not always possible as major unbalances and fluctuations in these flow occuring all the time. The calculating CY area must therefore be taken into account in terms of these operational factors. For solving such problem, all these factors have been applied to estimation of CY area in Mokpo New Port. The CY area required in Mokpo New Port was summarized in the conclusion section.

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Spatial Characteristics of Pollutant Concentrations in the Streams of Shihwa Lake (시화호 유입하천의 수질오염물질 농도에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Jeong-Ik;Han, Ihn-Sup;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Ra, Kong-Tae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.289-299
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    • 2011
  • We studied the characteristics of pollutant concentrations in 9 streams that flow into Shihwa Lake in order to provide the scientific data for effective implementation of total pollution loads management system (TPLMS) of the Lake. Suspended solid (SS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), dissolved nutrients ($NO_2$, $NO_3$, $NH_4$, $PO_4$ and $SiO_2$), total phosphorus (TP) and total nitrogen (TN) in stream water from industrial complexes, urban and agricultural regions were determined. Pollutant concentrations in December were higher than that in other sampling periods. COD concentration from industrial complex region with average of 12.6 mg/L was 2 times higher those from urban region (6.6 mg/L) and agricultural region (5.9 mg/L). TP concentration from industrial region also showed higher concentration than other regions. TN concentration in stream water was 5.89 mg/L for industrial region, 3.02 mg/L for urban region and 5.27 mg/L for agricultural region, respectively, suggesting inflow of TN due to fertilizer usage in agricultural field. Relative percentage of nitrogen compounds in TN follows the sequence: $NH_4$ (35.1%) > $NO_2$ (20.0%) > DON (22.8%) > PON (8.9%) > $NO_2$ (3.2%). Concentrations of dissolved nutrients, TP and TN in stream water were 3.2~37.2 times higher than that in Shihwa Lake seawater, therefore large amount of pollutants may be directly entered into Shihwa Lake without any treatment. For Gunja stream of industrial region, pollutants at midstream showed relatively higher concentration compared to upstream and downstream. It is necessary to manage the illegal discharging of sewage and waste water. Our results provide valuable informations on the estimation and reduction of total pollutant loads in the process of establishing adequately strategic and implemental plan of Shihwa Lake TPLMS.

Analysis and Prediction of Sewage Components of Urban Wastewater Treatment Plant Using Neural Network (대도시 하수종말처리장 유입 하수의 성상 평가와 인공신경망을 이용한 구성성분 농도 예측)

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Seok;Lee, Sang-Hyung;Shin, Hang-Sik;Song, Eui-Yeol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.308-315
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    • 2006
  • Since sewage characteristics are the most important factors that can affect the biological reactions in wastewater treatment plants, a detailed understanding on the characteristics and on-line measurement techniques of the influent sewage would play an important role in determining the appropriate control strategies. In this study, samples were taken at two hour intervals during 51 days from $1^{st}$ October to $21^{st}$ November 2005 from the influent gate of sewage treatment plant. Then the characteristics of sewage were investigated. It was found that the daily values of flow rate and concentrations of sewage components showed a defined profile. The highest and lowest peak values were observed during $11:00{\sim}13:00$ hours and $05:00{\sim}07:00$ hours, respectively. Also, it was shown that the concentrations of sewage components were strongly correlated with the absorbance measured at 300 nm of UV. Therefore, the objective of the paper is to develop on-line estimation technique of the concentration of each component in the sewage using accumulated profiles of sewage, absorbance, and flow rate which can be measured in real time. As a first step, regression analysis was performed using the absorbance and component concentration data. Then a neural network trained with the input of influent flow rate, absorbance, and inflow duration was used. Both methods showed remarkable accuracy in predicting the resulting concentrations of the individual components of the sewage. In case of using the neural network, the predicted value md of the measurement were 19.3 and 14.4 for TSS, 26.7 and 25.1 for TCOD, 5.4 and 4.1 for TN, and for TP, 0.45 to 0.39, respectively.

The Spillover Effect of FDI on GDP -Analysis on Myanmar using GARCH and VAR- (외국인 직접투자의 국민소득에 대한 전이효과 -GARCH와 VAR를 이용한 분석-)

  • Yoon, Hyung-Mo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.41-63
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    • 2017
  • FDI can either be absorbed in the production cycle with domestic investment and create an inducement effect or it can remain as an exogenous factor and increase the volatility of GDP. The purpose of this paper is to research these different impacts that FDI could have. For that, the endogenous growth theory was employed. The statistic method used are the panel model for sectoral analysis, and GARCH model and VAR for time series analysis. Myanmar was selected as this paper's research subject because it is one of countries which had a colossal amount of FDI inflow recently. The panel analysis did not confirm the causality between sectoral FDI and sectoral GDP. The reason for this could be in the lack of data, since sectoral data exists yearly only during 2006-2016. Therefore this study conducted the times series analysis. According to the results, during 2006 until 2010, it showed signs of GARCH but the effect of FDI on GDP was nonexistent, which means FDI was not integrated into the domestic production cycle but stayed in residual terms. During 2011 to 2016, FDI seemed to affect the growth of Myanmar's GDP. The estimation confirmed the existence of GARCH and the Granzer causality test confirmed that FDI influenced the GARCH, which signified FDI increased the volatility of GDP. The VAR analysis showed responses of GDP to FDI was small(about 0.0007). This research assumes that FDI can be divided in two parts: one part which can be assimilated in the domestic production cycle and the other where it stays outside of the production cycle. The former creates production inducement effect and the latter only increases the volatility of GDP. According to this study, the latter outweighs the former impact in Myanmar.