• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inflation Rate

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THE EFFECT OF INFLATION RISK AND SUBSISTENCE CONSTRAINTS ON PORTFOLIO CHOICE

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2013
  • The optimal portfolio selection problem under inflation risk and subsistence constraints is considered. There are index bonds to invest in financial market and it helps to hedge the inflation risk. By applying the martingale method, the optimal consumption rate and the optimal portfolios are obtained explicitly. Furthermore, the quantitative effect of inflation risk and subsistence constraints on the optimal polices are also described.

An Empirical Study on the Effect of Inflation Targeting on PPP: Evidence From 19 OECD countries (물가안정목표제가 구매력평가에 미친 영향: 19개의 OECD 국가들을 대상으로)

  • Eun-Son Lim
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.75-93
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    • 2022
  • Purchasing Power Parity (hereafter, PPP) means the purchasing power of two currencies is the same when one is converted into the other one. According to previous studies on PPP, as the volatility of the real exchange rate is smaller, PPP may be more likely to hold. Since New Zealand adopted the inflation targeting policy in December 1989, many countries started to adopt it as their monetary policy frame. Previous studies on inflation targeting found that inflation targeting policy has positive effects on not only achieving price stability but also reducing the volatility of nominal/ real exchange rates. Therefore, in this study, I explored whether inflation targeting policy has positive effects on purchasing power parity subject to 19 OECD countries, applying an Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model during the sample periods, from 1974:Q1 to 2019:Q4. Based on the ESTAR estimate results, I found limited favorable evidence of PPP for only two countries- England and Switzerland- among 9 inflation targeters, compared to non-inflation targeters, and also I found that favorable evidence of PPP only for these two countries among 9 inflation targeters during post-inflation targeting, but not during pre-inflation targeting. These findings imply that the positive effects of inflation targeting on PPP may be questionable unlike Ding and Kim (2012) and Kim (2014)'s study.

A Study on Iventory Model with Partial Backorders considering both Continuous Inflation Rate and Continuous Discount Rate (인플레이션율과 손해할인율을 고려한 부분재재고모형에 관한 연구)

  • ;;Choi, Gyu-Tag;Lee, Kang Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 1992
  • This paper dvelops an inventory model with partial backorders considering both inflation rate and discount rate under the situation of deterministic demand and lead time and then make an economic analysis. Especially, the inventory model with partial backorders provided here is the inventory model minimizing annual total cash outflows, which is extended by the addition of inflation rate and discount rate into "Inventory Model with Partial Bakorders" of Park [6]. An iterative solution procedure is developed to find an optimal inventory policy. To provide guidelines for economic analysis of inventory model with partial backorders, sensitivity analysis for selected values of parameters is performed.performed.

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A Study on the North Korean Price : Focusing on currency reform (북한의 물가에 관한 연구: 화폐개혁을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Cheon Koo
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.141-158
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to firstly estimate the inflation rate of North Korea using relative purchasing power parity. Most of the existing studies use North Korean rice prices as proxy to explain changes in North Korean prices. In this study, North Korea's price was estimated by applying purchasing power parity, which was used to estimate the price of socialist countries in the past, to North Korea. Second, it analyzes the impact of North Korea's price inflation after the institutional change of currency reform. We looked at the movements of North Korean prices after the institutional change of currency reform and compared it with the post-monetary reform of other socialist countries. We examine the impact of currency reform on North Korea, focusing on the price. As a result, after the currency reform in 2009, North Korea experienced hyperinflation. The North Korean inflation rate in the model was 3,010.0% in 2010, 195.0% in 2011, 68.0% in 2012 and 48.3% in 2013. After the currency reform of North Korea, the inflation rate is much higher than the socialist countries such as China and Vietnam who had experienced currency reform before. North Korea's monetary reforms are considered to have failed because of the side effects of hyperinflation.

The Effect of Tire Inflation Pressure on Soil Compaction and Tractive Performance of Tractor (타이어공기압에 따른 트랙터의 견인성능과 토양다짐)

  • 박원엽;이규승
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.491-500
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    • 2002
  • This study was carried out to investigate experimentally the effect of the tire inflation pressure of a tractor on soil compaction and tractive performance. Two kinds of field experiments were conducted using an agricultural tractor. One experiment is concerned with the tractive performance of the tractor at the three levels of tire inflation pressure; 50kpa, 100kpa and 200kpa, and the other one is about the soil compaction at the four levels of tire inflation pressure; 50kpa, 100kpa, 150kpa and 200kpa, at three different numbers of passes; 1, 3 and 5 passes. From the results of the field experiment, it was found that decreasing the tire inflation pressure decreased the motion resistance of tractor and increased the tractive force and tractive efficiency. The tractive and working performance of the tractor could be improved by the reduction of tire inflation pressure. Increasing the inflation pressure and the number of passes increased the soil compaction. Rate of compaction increased rapidly at the first pass and declined at subsequent passes. To reduce the effect of soil compaction for the whole field, it is recommended that tractor should follow the rut of the first pass from the subsequent passes, and decrease the inflation pressure of the driving tires up to allowable minimum level.

An Investigation of the Comparative Rate of Return

  • Park, Young-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.12-23
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    • 1986
  • The minimum attractive rate of return (MARR) has been used for many years as a decision criterion in engineering economic analysis. Typically, inflation has been either ignored in such studies or considered by adjusting each of the individual cash flows associated with a project for inflation, frequently a lengthy process. This research investigates a new decision criterion for economic analysis, the comparative rate of return (CRR). The CRR is defined to be the minimum rate of return earned on uninflated cash flows of proposed expenditures is simplified, since the analysis can be performed on the uninflated cash flows. The research presents a derivation of the CRR and investigates its relationships to the MARR, inflation rate project cash flows and project life.

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Korean Households' Inflation Expectations and Information Rigidity (우리나라 일반인 인플레이션 기대 형성 행태 분석)

  • Lee, Hangyu;Choi, Jinho
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.37 no.sup
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    • pp.33-63
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    • 2015
  • This paper attempts to investigate the Korean households' inflation expectations with particular attention to information rigidity. For this purpose, we derive an empirical model from a sticky information model $\acute{a}$ la Mankiw and Reis (2002) and estimate it. In addition, it is also examined whether the expectation formation is state-dependent on macroeconomic conditions. The main findings of this paper are as follows. First, it turns out that the information rigidity in Korean households' inflation expectations is very high. In a month, most of the households simply keep their inflation expectations the same as before instead of updating them based on newly arrived information. Furthermore, when updating their expectations, the households tend to rely on the backward-looking information such as actual inflation rates in the past rather than on the forward-looking forecasts by experts. Second, it is found that the expectation formation is varying as inflation rate changes. Specifically, when the inflation is high, the sensitivity of the households' inflation expectations to actual inflation increases and the gap between inflation expectations and actual inflation shrinks. It implies that Korean households update their expectations more frequently when the inflation matters than not.

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The Effect of Quantitative Easing on Inflation in Korea

  • Nam, Min-Ho
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.507-529
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    • 2018
  • This paper evaluates the whole impact of quantitative easing on inflation in Korea implemented by the central banks in four major advanced economies, the U.S., Euro Area, U.K. and Japan. According to the analysis employing a VAR-X model with the security holdings of those central banks an exogenous variable, quantitative easing is estimated to exert downward pressures on inflation in Korea. Considering the impulse responses of Korean macroeconomic variables to a quantitative easing shock, the spillover effect is transmitted through exchange rate channel while trade channel turns out to be ineffective. In an additional analysis assessing the impact of each quantitative easing program of the central banks, only those of the Fed and European Central Bank are estimated to be significant. The empirical results prove to be robust even if using long-term interest rates as an alternative indicator of quantitative easing.

Does the Gap between Domestic and International Gold Price Affect Money Demand?: Evidence from Vietnam

  • TUNG, Le Thanh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to investigate the impact of the gap between domestic and international gold price on money demand in Vietnam, an emerging economy in the Asian region. We use a quarterly database collected from the first quarter of 2004 to the fourth quarter of 2016. The time-series database includes 52 observations. The money demand is represented by M2; Domestic income is the Gross domestic product at the constant prices of 1994; Inflation rate is calculated by the Customer Price Index from the General Statistics Office of Vietnam. The result confirms the existence of a long-term cointegration relationship between the money demand and the gap between domestic and international gold price as well as some variables including domestic income, inflation, and real exchange rate. The regression results also show that the gap between domestic and international gold price has a positive impact on money demand in the Vietnamese economy. Besides, the domestic income and international gold price have positive impacts on money demand while the inflation and real exchange rate are negatively related in the long run. This proves that the gap between the domestic and international gold price really has a positive impact on money demand in Vietnam during the study period.

Analysis of the Phillips Curve: An Assessment of Turkey

  • NAR, Mehmet
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzes the validity of the Phillips curve with regards to Turkey. The existence and direction of the causality relationship (reason-outcome relationship) between unemployment and inflation is investigated using inflation and unemployment data for the period 1980-2019. Unit root tests were utilized to evaluate the stationarity of the series. In line with the Zivot-Andrews unit root test, which was developed in response to the criticism of the failure of studies that presented macro-variables like inflation to consider traditional unit root tests, in this research, the Engle-Granger cointegration test was implemented to check whether the series could perform a joint action, and, finally, the Granger causality relationship was explored. According to the results of the analysis, over the relevant period there was a single directional causality relationship from inflation toward unemployment in Turkey. The importance of this relationship at the 10% significance level indicates the existence of many different factors that affect inflation and unemployment. Given the existence of a cointegration and causality relationship between inflation and unemployment, it can be said that, in Turkey, the Phillips curve is valid for the period 1980-2019 and that an increase of 1% in inflation will reduce the unemployment rate by 0.028%.