• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inference models

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Identification of Fuzzy Inference System Based on Information Granulation

  • Huang, Wei;Ding, Lixin;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Jeong, Chang-Won;Joo, Su-Chong
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.575-594
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we propose a space search algorithm (SSA) and then introduce a hybrid optimization of fuzzy inference systems based on SSA and information granulation (IG). In comparison with "conventional" evolutionary algorithms (such as PSO), SSA leads no.t only to better search performance to find global optimization but is also more computationally effective when dealing with the optimization of the fuzzy models. In the hybrid optimization of fuzzy inference system, SSA is exploited to carry out the parametric optimization of the fuzzy model as well as to realize its structural optimization. IG realized with the aid of C-Means clustering helps determine the initial values of the apex parameters of the membership function of fuzzy model. The overall hybrid identification of fuzzy inference systems comes in the form of two optimization mechanisms: structure identification (such as the number of input variables to be used, a specific subset of input variables, the number of membership functions, and polyno.mial type) and parameter identification (viz. the apexes of membership function). The structure identification is developed by SSA and C-Means while the parameter estimation is realized via SSA and a standard least square method. The evaluation of the performance of the proposed model was carried out by using four representative numerical examples such as No.n-linear function, gas furnace, NO.x emission process data, and Mackey-Glass time series. A comparative study of SSA and PSO demonstrates that SSA leads to improved performance both in terms of the quality of the model and the computing time required. The proposed model is also contrasted with the quality of some "conventional" fuzzy models already encountered in the literature.

End-to-end non-autoregressive fast text-to-speech (End-to-end 비자기회귀식 가속 음성합성기)

  • Kim, Wiback;Nam, Hosung
    • Phonetics and Speech Sciences
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2021
  • Autoregressive Text-to-Speech (TTS) models suffer from inference instability and slow inference speed. Inference instability occurs when a poorly predicted sample at time step t affects all the subsequent predictions. Slow inference speed arises from a model structure that forces the predicted samples from time steps 1 to t-1 to predict the sample at time step t. In this study, an end-to-end non-autoregressive fast text-to-speech model is suggested as a solution to these problems. The results of this study show that this model's Mean Opinion Score (MOS) is close to that of Tacotron 2 - WaveNet, while this model's inference speed and stability are higher than those of Tacotron 2 - WaveNet. Further, this study aims to offer insight into the improvement of non-autoregressive models.

Bayesian Analysis of Randomized Response Models : A Gibbs Sampling Approach

  • Oh, Man-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.463-482
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    • 1994
  • In Bayesian analysis of randomized response models, the likelihood function does not combine tractably with typical priors for the parameters of interest, causing computational difficulties in posterior analysis of the parameters of interest. In this article, the difficulties are solved by introducing appropriate latent variables to the model and using the Gibbs sampling algorithm.

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Generalized Weighted Linear Models Based on Distribution Functions

  • Yeo, In-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, a new form of generalized linear models is proposed. The proposed models consist of a distribution function of the mean response and a weighted linear combination of distribution functions of covariates. This form addresses a structural problem of the link function in the generalized linear models. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are used to estimate the parameters within a Bayesian framework.

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Neuro-fuzzy based prediction of the durability of self-consolidating concrete to various sodium sulfate exposure regimes

  • Bassuoni, M.T.;Nehdi, M.L.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.573-597
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    • 2008
  • Among artificial intelligence-based computational techniques, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS) are particularly suitable for modelling complex systems with known input-output data sets. Such systems can be efficient in modelling non-linear, complex and ambiguous behaviour of cement-based materials undergoing single, dual or multiple damage factors of different forms (chemical, physical and structural). Due to the well-known complexity of sulfate attack on cement-based materials, the current work investigates the use of ANFIS to model the behaviour of a wide range of self-consolidating concrete (SCC) mixture designs under various high-concentration sodium sulfate exposure regimes including full immersion, wetting-drying, partial immersion, freezing-thawing, and cyclic cold-hot conditions with or without sustained flexural loading. Three ANFIS models have been developed to predict the expansion, reduction in elastic dynamic modulus, and starting time of failure of the tested SCC specimens under the various high-concentration sodium sulfate exposure regimes. A fuzzy inference system was also developed to predict the level of aggression of environmental conditions associated with very severe sodium sulfate attack based on temperature, relative humidity and degree of wetting-drying. The results show that predictions of the ANFIS and fuzzy inference systems were rational and accurate, with errors not exceeding 5%. Sensitivity analyses showed that the trends of results given by the models had good agreement with actual experimental results and with thermal, mineralogical and micro-analytical studies.

DNA coding-Based Fuzzy System Modeling for Chaotic Systems (DNA 코딩 기반 카오스 시스템의 퍼지 모델링)

  • Kim, Jang-Hyun;Joo, Young-Hoon;Park, Jin-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.11c
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    • pp.524-526
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    • 1999
  • In the construction of successful fuzzy models and/or controllers for nonlinear systems, the identification of a good fuzzy inference system is an important yet difficult problem, which is traditionally accomplished by a time-consuming trial-and-error process. In this paper, we propose a systematic identification procedure for complex multi-input single-output nonlinear systems with DNA coding method. A DNA coding method is optimization algorithm based on biological DNA as conventional genetic algorithms(GAs) are. The strings in the DNA coding method are variable-length strings, while standard GAs work with a fixed-length coding scheme. the DNA coding method is well suited to learning because it allows a flexible representation of a fuzzy inference system. We also propose a new coding method fur applying the DNA coding method to the identification of fuzzy models. This coding scheme can effectively represent the zero-order Takagi-Sugeno(TS) fuzzy model. To acquire optimal TS fuzzy model with higher accuracy and economical size, we use the DNA coding method to optimize the parameters and the number of fuzzy inference system. In order to demonstrate the superiority and efficiency of the proposed scheme, we finally show its application to a Duffing-forced oscillation system.

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Mathematical Review on the Local Linearizing Method of Drift Coefficient (추세계수 국소선형근사법의 특성과 해석)

  • Yoon, Min;Choi, Young-Soo;Lee, Yoon-Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.801-811
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    • 2008
  • Modeling financial phenomena with diffusion processes is a commonly used methodology in the area of modern finance. Recently, various types of diffusion models have been suggested to explain the specific financial processes, and their related inference methodology have been also developed. In particular, likelihood methods for the efficient and accurate inference have been explored in various ways. In this paper, we review the mathematical properties of an approximated likelihood method, which is obtained by linearizing the drift coefficient of a diffusion process.

Inference Models for Tidal Flat Elevation and Sediment Grain Size: A Preliminary Approach on Tidal Flat Macrobenthic Community

  • Yoo, Jae-Won;Hwang, In-Seo;Hong, Jae-Sang
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.69-79
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    • 2007
  • A vertical transect with 4 km length was established for the macrofaunal survey on the Chokchon macrotidal flat in Kyeonggi Bay, Incheon, Korea, 1994. Tidal elevation (m) and sediment mean grain size $(\phi)$ were inversely predicted by the transfer functions from the faunal assemblages. Three methods: weighted average using optimum value (WA), tolerance weighted version of the weighted average (WAT) and maximum likelihood calibration (MLC) were employed. Estimates of tidal elevation and mean grain size obtained by using the three different methods showed positively corresponding trends with the observations. The estimates of MLC were found to have the minimum value of sum of squares due to errors (SSE). When applied to the previous data $(1990\sim1992)$, each of three inference models exhibited high predictive power. This result implied there are visible relationships between species composition and faunas' critical environmental factors. Although a potential significance of the two major abiotic factors was re-affirmed, a weak tendency of biological interaction was detected from faunal distribution patterns across the flat. In comparison to the spatial and temporal patterns of the estimates, it was suggested that sediment characteristics were the primary factors regulating the distribution of macrofaunal assemblages, rather than tidal elevation, and the species composition may be sensitively determined by minute changes in substratum properties on a tidal flat.

Fuzzy Rule-Based Method for Air Threat Evaluation (적기의 위협 평가 자동화를 위한 퍼지 규칙 방법론)

  • Choi, Byeong Ju;Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Jin Soo;Kim, Chang Ouk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2016
  • Threat evaluation is a process to estimate the threat score which enemy aerial threat poses to defended assets. The objective of threat evaluation is concerned with making an engagement priority list for optimal weapon allocation. Traditionally, the threat evaluation of massive air threats has been carried out by air defence experts, but the human decision making is less effective in real aerial attack situations with massive enemy fighters. Therefore, automation to enhance the speed and efficiency of the human operation is required. The automatic threat evaluation by air defense experts who will perform multi-variable judgment needs formal models to accurately quantify their linguistic evaluation of threat level. In this paper we propose a threat evaluation model by using a fuzzy rule-based inference method. Fuzzy inference is an appropriate method for quantifying threat level and integrating various threat attribute information. The performance of the model has been tested with a simulation that reflected real air threat situation and it has been verified that the proposed model was better than two conventional threat evaluation models.

A Study on Fog Forecasting Method through Data Mining Techniques in Jeju (데이터마이닝 기법들을 통한 제주 안개 예측 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Mi;Bae, Joo-Hyun;Park, Da-Bin
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.603-613
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    • 2016
  • Fog may have a significant impact on road conditions. In an attempt to improve fog predictability in Jeju, we conducted machine learning with various data mining techniques such as tree models, conditional inference tree, random forest, multinomial logistic regression, neural network and support vector machine. To validate machine learning models, the results from the simulation was compared with the fog data observed over Jeju(184 ASOS site) and Gosan(185 ASOS site). Predictive rates proposed by six data mining methods are all above 92% at two regions. Additionally, we validated the performance of machine learning models with WRF (weather research and forecasting) model meteorological outputs. We found that it is still not good enough for operational fog forecast. According to the model assesment by metrics from confusion matrix, it can be seen that the fog prediction using neural network is the most effective method.