• Title/Summary/Keyword: Inference models

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Human Activity Recognition in Smart Homes Based on a Difference of Convex Programming Problem

  • Ghasemi, Vahid;Pouyan, Ali A.;Sharifi, Mohsen
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.321-344
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    • 2017
  • Smart homes are the new generation of homes where pervasive computing is employed to make the lives of the residents more convenient. Human activity recognition (HAR) is a fundamental task in these environments. Since critical decisions will be made based on HAR results, accurate recognition of human activities with low uncertainty is of crucial importance. In this paper, a novel HAR method based on a difference of convex programming (DCP) problem is represented, which manages to handle uncertainty. For this purpose, given an input sensor data stream, a primary belief in each activity is calculated for the sensor events. Since the primary beliefs are calculated based on some abstractions, they naturally bear an amount of uncertainty. To mitigate the effect of the uncertainty, a DCP problem is defined and solved to yield secondary beliefs. In this procedure, the uncertainty stemming from a sensor event is alleviated by its neighboring sensor events in the input stream. The final activity inference is based on the secondary beliefs. The proposed method is evaluated using a well-known and publicly available dataset. It is compared to four HAR schemes, which are based on temporal probabilistic graphical models, and a convex optimization-based HAR procedure, as benchmarks. The proposed method outperforms the benchmarks, having an acceptable accuracy of 82.61%, and an average F-measure of 82.3%.

Strengthening Causal Inference in Studies using Non-experimental Data: An Application of Propensity Score and Instrumental Variable Methods (비실험자료를 이용한 연구에서 인과적 추론의 강화: 성향점수와 도구변수 방법의 적용)

  • Kim, Myoung-Hee;Do, Young-Kyung
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.495-504
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : This study attempts to show how studies using non-experimental data can strengthen causal inferences by applying propensity score and instrumental variable methods based on the counterfactual framework. For illustrative purposes, we examine the effect of having private health insurance on the probability of experiencing at least one hospital admission in the previous year. Methods : Using data from the 4th wave of the Korea Labor and Income Panel Study, we compared the results obtained using propensity score and instrumental variable methods with those from conventional logistic and linear regression models, respectively. Results : While conventional multiple regression analyses fail to identify the effect, the results estimated using propensity score and instrumental variable methods suggest that having private health insurance has positive and statistically significant effects on hospital admission. Conclusions : This study demonstrates that propensity score and instrumental variable methods provide potentially useful alternatives to conventional regression approaches in making causal inferences using non-experimental data.

Reliable Navigation of a Mobile Robot in Cluttered Environment by Combining Evidential Theory and Fuzzy Controller (추론 이론과 퍼지 컨트롤러 결합에 의한 이동 로봇의 자유로운 주변 환경 인식)

  • 김영철;조성배;오상록
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.136-139
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    • 2001
  • This paper develops a sensor based navigation method that utilizes fuzzy logic and the Dempster-Shafer evidence theory for mobile robot in uncertain environment. The proposed navigator consists of two behaviors: obstacle avoidance and goal seeking. To navigate reliably in the environment, we make a map building process before the robot finds a goal position and create a robust fuzzy controller. In this paper, the map is constructed on a two-dimensional occupancy grid. The sensor readings are fused into the map using D-S inference rule. Whenever the robot moves, it catches new information about the environment and replaces the old map with new one. With that process the robot can go wandering and finding the goal position. The usefulness of the proposed method is verified by a series of simulations. This paper deals with the fuzzy modeling for the complex and uncertain nonlinear systems, in which conventional and mathematical models may fail to give satisfactory results. Finally, we provide numerical examples to evaluate the feasibility and generality of the proposed method in this paper.

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Bayesian Model for Probabilistic Unsupervised Learning (확률적 자율 학습을 위한 베이지안 모델)

  • 최준혁;김중배;김대수;임기욱
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.849-854
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    • 2001
  • GTM(Generative Topographic Mapping) model is a probabilistic version of the SOM(Self Organizing Maps) which was proposed by T. Kohonen. The GTM is modelled by latent or hidden variables of probability distribution of data. It is a unique characteristic not implemented in SOM model, and, therefore, it is possible with GTM to analyze data accurately, thereby overcoming the limits of SOM. In the present investigation we proposed a BGTM(Bayesian GTM) combined with Bayesian learning and GTM model that has a small mis-classification ratio. By combining fast calculation ability and probabilistic distribution of data of GTM with correct reasoning based on Bayesian model, the BGTM model provided improved results, compared with existing models.

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Generalized methods of moments in marginal models for longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates

  • Cho, Gyo-Young;Dashnyam, Oyunchimeg
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.877-883
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    • 2013
  • The quadratic inference functions (QIF) method proposed by Qu et al. (2000) and the generalized method of moments (GMM) for marginal regression analysis of longitudinal data with time-dependent covariates proposed by Lai and Small (2007) both are the methods based on generalized method of moment (GMM) introduced by Hansen (1982) and both use generalized estimating equations (GEE). Lai and Small (2007) divided time-dependent covariates into three types such as: Type I, Type II and Type III. In this paper, we compared these methods in the case of Type II and Type III in which full covariates conditional mean assumption (FCCM) is violated and interested in whether they can improve the results of GEE with independence working correlation. We show that in the marginal regression model with Type II time-dependent covariates, GMM Type II of Lai and Small (2007) provides more ecient result than QIF and for the Type III time-dependent covariates, QIF with independence working correlation and GMM Type III methods provide the same results. Our simulation study showed the same results.

A Study on Partial Discharge Pattern Recognition Using Neuro-Fuzzy Techniques (Neuro-Fuzzy 기법을 이용한 부분방전 패턴인식에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Keon-Jun;Kim, Gil-Sung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Choi, Won;Kim, Jeong-Tae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.12
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    • pp.2313-2321
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    • 2008
  • In order to develop reliable on-site partial discharge(PD) pattern recognition algorithm, the fuzzy neural network based on fuzzy set(FNN) and the polynomial network pattern classifier based on fuzzy Inference(PNC) were investigated and designed. Using PD data measured from laboratory defect models, these algorithms were learned and tested. Considering on-site situation where it is not easy to obtain voltage phases in PRPDA(Phase Resolved Partial Discharge Analysis), the measured PD data were artificially changed with shifted voltage phases for the test of the proposed algorithms. As input vectors of the algorithms, PRPD data themselves were adopted instead of using statistical parameters such as skewness and kurtotis, to improve uncertainty of statistical parameters, even though the number of input vectors were considerably increased. Also, results of the proposed neuro-fuzzy algorithms were compared with that of conventional BP-NN(Back Propagation Neural Networks) algorithm using the same data. The FNN and PNC algorithms proposed in this study were appeared to have better performance than BP-NN algorithm.

Datamining: Roadmap to Extract Inference Rules and Design Data Models from Process Data of Industrial Applications

  • Bae Hyeon;Kim Youn-Tae;Kim Sung-Shin;Vachtsevanos George J.
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.200-205
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    • 2005
  • The objectives of this study were to introduce the easiest and most proper applications of datamining in industrial processes. Applying datamining in manufacturing is very different from applying it in marketing. Misapplication of datamining in manufacturing system results in significant problems. Therefore, it is very important to determine the best procedure and technique in advance. In previous studies, related literature has been introduced, but there has not been much description of datamining applications. Research has not often referred to descriptions of particular examples dealing with application problems in manufacturing. In this study, a datamining roadmap was proposed to support datamining applications for industrial processes. The roadmap was classified into three stages, and each stage was categorized into reasonable classes according to the datamining purposed. Each category includes representative techniques for datamining that have been broadly applied over decades. Those techniques differ according to developers and application purposes; however, in this paper, exemplary methods are described. Based on the datamining roadmap, nonexperts can determine procedures and techniques for datamining in their applications.

Evaluating the efficiency of treatment comparison in crossover design by allocating subjects based on ranked auxiliary variable

  • Huang, Yisong;Samawi, Hani M.;Vogel, Robert;Yin, Jingjing;Gato, Worlanyo Eric;Linder, Daniel F.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.543-553
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    • 2016
  • The validity of statistical inference depends on proper randomization methods. However, even with proper randomization, we can have imbalanced with respect to important characteristics. In this paper, we introduce a method based on ranked auxiliary variables for treatment allocation in crossover designs using Latin squares models. We evaluate the improvement of the efficiency in treatment comparisons using the proposed method. Our simulation study reveals that our proposed method provides a more powerful test compared to simple randomization with the same sample size. The proposed method is illustrated by conducting an experiment to compare two different concentrations of titanium dioxide nanofiber (TDNF) on rats for the purpose of comparing weight gain.

Sparse Web Data Analysis Using MCMC Missing Value Imputation and PCA Plot-based SOM (MCMC 결측치 대체와 주성분 산점도 기반의 SOM을 이용한 희소한 웹 데이터 분석)

  • Jun, Sung-Hae;Oh, Kyung-Whan
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.10D no.2
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    • pp.277-282
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    • 2003
  • The knowledge discovery from web has been studied in many researches. There are some difficulties using web log for training data on efficient information predictive models. In this paper, we studied on the method to eliminate sparseness from web log data and to perform web user clustering. Using missing value imputation by Bayesian inference of MCMC, the sparseness of web data is removed. And web user clustering is performed using self organizing maps based on 3-D plot by principal component. Finally, using KDD Cup data, our experimental results were shown the problem solving process and the performance evaluation.

Design of Ontology-based Intelligent Agents (온톨로지에 기반한 지능형 에이전트의 설계)

  • Lee, In-K.;Kwon, Soon-H.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.347-353
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    • 2008
  • The realization of intelligence by using ontology is getting attention recently. However, it is necessary to design ontology models suitable to their purpose in order to use efficiently the intelligence realized by ontology. In this paper, we define a cognition cycle for intelligent agents representing a process that the intelligent agents recognize an event and react to it. Moreover, we design an ontology-based intelligent agent, and propose an ontology model that is possible to change the agent's states, to express its emotions, and to expand its intelligence through ontological inference. Finally, we develop an intelligent agent named Helen, confirm the change of her inner states according to the environment and situation, and show the easiness of the extension of her intelligence.