• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.29 no.2
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• pp.177-191
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• 2022

This paper addresses the use of machine learning methods for causal estimation of treatment effects from observational data. Even though conducting randomized experimental trials is a gold standard to reveal potential causal relationships, observational study is another rich source for investigation of exposure effects, for example, in the research of comparative effectiveness and safety of treatments, where the causal effect can be identified if covariates contain all confounding variables. In this context, statistical regression models for the expected outcome and the probability of treatment are often imposed, which can be combined in a clever way to yield more efficient and robust causal estimators. Recently, targeted maximum likelihood estimation and causal random forest is proposed and extensively studied for the use of data-adaptive regression in estimation of causal inference parameters. Machine learning methods are a natural choice in these settings to improve the quality of the final estimate of the treatment effect. We explore how we can adapt the design and training of several machine learning algorithms for causal inference and study their finite-sample performance through simulation experiments under various scenarios. Application to the percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) data shows that these adaptations can improve simple linear regression-based methods.

• Advances in Computational Design
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.147-177
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• 2023

Elliptical concrete-filled steel tubular (CFST) column is widely used in modern structures for both aesthetical appeal and structural performance benefits. The ultimate axial load is a critical factor for designing the elliptical CFST short columns. However, there are complications of geometric and material interactions, which make a difficulty in determining a simple model for predicting the ultimate axial load of elliptical CFST short columns. This study aims to propose an efficient adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model for predicting the ultimate axial load of elliptical CFST short columns. In the proposed method, the ANFIS model is used to establish a relationship between the ultimate axial load and geometric and material properties of elliptical CFST short columns. Accordingly, a total of 188 experimental and simulation datasets of elliptical CFST short columns are used to develop the ANFIS models. The performance of the proposed ANFIS model is compared with that of existing design formulas. The results show that the proposed ANFIS model is more accurate than existing empirical and theoretical formulas. Finally, an explicit formula and a Graphical User Interface (GUI) tool are developed to apply the proposed ANFIS model for practical use.

• Iberoamérica
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.407-439
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• 2010

Growth of researches addressing cross-culture in international business is exponential. This article reviews the extant researches around the national culture and describes the various conceptualization of culture through discussion of some of popular models of national culture. This article presented some of the most important issues in international business surrounding globalization, especially convergence and divergence of cultures and cultural changes. Global rapid changes in international business environment request the reconsideration of the assumption of cultural stability and the simple view of culture, which tends to examine the static influence of a few cultural factors in isolation form other cultural factors and contextual elements. This paper identifies a valid cultural grouping and proposes the following typology of the possible methodologies in international business; Ethnological description, Use of proxies, Direct values inference, and Indirect values inference. Rather than selecting a single methodology, it appears to be more appropriate to use multi-method in the cross-cultural international business research. It has been shown that cultural change is intertwined with socioeconomic-institutional variables, and that these variables may also add to determine culture contemporarily. This paper also explained the dynamics of culture as multi-level, multi-layer constructs. According to this model, we may understand how the dynamic nature of culture conveys the top-down-bottom-up processes where one cultural level affects changes in other level of culture.

• International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.212-220
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• 2024

A recently the advancement of society, AI technology has made significant strides, especially in the fields of computer vision and voice recognition. This study introduces a system that leverages these technologies to recognize users through a camera and relay commands within a vehicle based on voice commands. The system uses the YOLO (You Only Look Once) machine learning algorithm, widely used for object and entity recognition, to identify specific users. For voice command recognition, a machine learning model based on spectrogram voice analysis is employed to identify specific commands. This design aims to enhance security and convenience by preventing unauthorized access to vehicles and IoT devices by anyone other than registered users. We converts camera input data into YOLO system inputs to determine if it is a person, Additionally, it collects voice data through a microphone embedded in the device or computer, converting it into time-domain spectrogram data to be used as input for the voice recognition machine learning system. The input camera image data and voice data undergo inference tasks through pre-trained models, enabling the recognition of simple commands within a limited space based on the inference results. This study demonstrates the feasibility of constructing a device management system within a confined space that enhances security and user convenience through a simple real-time system model. Finally our work aims to provide practical solutions in various application fields, such as smart homes and autonomous vehicles.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.30 no.2
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• pp.179-192
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• 2001

When a statistical model has a hierarchical structure such as multilayer perceptrons in neural networks or Gaussian mixture density representation, the model includes distribution with unidentifiable parameters when the structure becomes redundant. Since the exact structure is unknown, we need to carry out statistical estimation or learning of parameters in such a model. From the geometrical point of view, distributions specified by unidentifiable parameters become a singular point in the parameter space. The problem has been remarked in many statistical models, and strange behaviors of the likelihood ratio statistics, when the null hypothesis is at a singular point, have been analyzed so far. The present paper studies asymptotic behaviors of the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayesian predictive estimator, by using a simple cone model, and show that they are completely different from regular statistical models where the Cramer-Rao paradigm holds. At singularities, the Fisher information metric degenerates, implying that the cramer-Rao paradigm does no more hold, and that he classical model selection theory such as AIC and MDL cannot be applied. This paper is a first step to establish a new theory for analyzing the accuracy of estimation or learning at around singularities.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.959-973
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• 2014

Asset pricing models that account for asymmetric volatility in asset prices have been recently proposed. This article presents an efficient Bayesian method to analyze asset-pricing models. The method is developed by devising a partially collapsed Gibbs sampler that capitalizes on the functional incompatibility of conditional distributions without complicating the updates of model components. The proposed method is illustrated using simulated data and applied to daily S&P 500 data observed from September 1980 to August 2014.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.738-748
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• 2005

Considering pollution source is transferred by discharge, it is very important to analyze the correlation between discharge and water quality. And temperature also influent to the water quality. In this paper, it is used water quality data that was measured DO (Dissolved Oxygen), TOC (Total Organic Carbon), TN (Total Nitrogen), TP (Total Phosphorus) at Dalchun real time monitoring stations in Namhan river. These characteristics were analyzed with the water quality of rainy and nonrainy periods. Input data of the water quality forecasting models that they were constructed by neural network and neuro-fuzzy was chosen as the reasonable data, and water quality forecasting models were applied. LMNN (Levenberg-Marquardt Neural Network), MDNN (MoDular Neural Network), and ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) models have achieved the highest overall accuracy of TOC data. LMNN and MDNN model which are applied for DO, TN, TP forecasting shows better results than ANFIS. MDNN model shows the lowest estimation error when using daily time, which is qualitative data trained with quantitative data. If some data has periodical properties, it seems effective using qualitative data to forecast.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.25 no.5
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• pp.471-488
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• 2018

In this paper, we propose extending proportional hazards frailty models to allow a discrete distribution for the frailty variable. Having zero frailty can be interpreted as being immune or cured. Thus, we develop a new survival model induced by discrete frailty with zero-inflated power series distribution, which can account for overdispersion. This proposal also allows for a realistic description of non-risk individuals, since individuals cured due to intrinsic factors (immunes) are modeled by a deterministic fraction of zero-risk while those cured due to an intervention are modeled by a random fraction. We put the proposed model in a Bayesian framework and use a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for the computation of posterior distribution. A simulation study is conducted to assess the proposed model and the computation algorithm. We also discuss model selection based on pseudo-Bayes factors as well as developing case influence diagnostics for the joint posterior distribution through ${\psi}-divergence$ measures. The motivating cutaneous melanoma data is analyzed for illustration purposes.

• Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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• 2009.03a
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• pp.456-463
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• 2009

The preconsolidation pressure has been commonly determined by oedometer test. However, it can also be determined by in-situ test, such as piezocone test with theoretical and(or) empirical correlations. Recently, Neural Network(NN) theory was applied and some models were proposed to estimate the preconsolidation pressure or OCR. However, since the optimization process of synaptic weights of NN model is dependent on the initial synaptic weights, NN models which are trained with different initial weights can't avoid the variability on prediction result for new database even though they have same structure and use same transfer function. In this study, Committee Neural Network(CNN) model is proposed to improve the initial weight dependency of multi-layered neural network model on the prediction of preconsolidation pressure of soft clay from piezocone test result. It was found that even though the NN model has the optimized structure for given training data set, it still has the initial weight dependency, while the proposed CNN model can improve the initial weight dependency of the NN model and provide a consistent and precise inference result than existing NN models.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.399-414
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• 2015

Nowadays, fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) composites are widely used for rehabilitation, repair and strengthening of reinforced concrete (RC) structures. Also, recent advances in concrete technology have led to the production of high strength concrete, HSC. Such concrete due to its very high compression strength is less ductile; so in seismic areas, ductility is an important factor in design of HSC members (especially FRP strengthened members) under flexure. In this study, the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and multiple regression analysis are used to predict the curvature ductility factor of FRP strengthened reinforced HSC (RHSC) beams. Also, the effects of concrete strength, steel reinforcement ratio and externally reinforcement (FRP) stiffness on the complete moment-curvature behavior and the curvature ductility factor of the FRP strengthened RHSC beams are evaluated using the analytical approach. Results indicate that the predictions of ANFIS and multiple regression models for the curvature ductility factor are accurate to within -0.22% and 1.87% error for practical applications respectively. Finally, the effects of height to wide ratio (h/b) of the cross section on the proposed models are investigated.