• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.339-350
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• 2021

In medical research, the risk factors associated with human diseases need to be identified to predict the incidence rate and determine the treatment plan. Logistic regression analysis is primarily used in order to select risk factors. However, individuals who are unfamiliar with statistics outcomes have trouble using these methods. In this study, we develop a nomogram that graphically represents the numerical association between the disease and risk factors in order to identify the risk factors for delirium and to interpret and use the results more effectively. By using the logistic regression model, we identify risk factors related to delirium, construct a nomogram and predict incidence rates. Additionally, we verify the developed nomogram using a receiver operation characteristics (ROC) curve and calibration plot. Nursing home, stroke/epilepsy, metabolic abnormality, hemodynamic instability, and analgesics were selected as risk factors. The validation results of the nomogram, built with the factors of training set and the test set of the AUC showed a statistically significant determination of 0.893 and 0.717, respectively. As a result of drawing the calibration plot, the coefficient of determination was 0.820. By using the nomogram developed in this paper, health professionals can easily predict the incidence rate of delirium for individual patients. Based on this information, the nomogram could be used as a useful tool to establish an individual's treatment plan.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• v.31 no.4 s.63
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• pp.592-603
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• 1998

This study was conducted to estimate incidence rate of female breast cancer in a defined area of Chungchongbuk-do in Korea. The presumptive breast cancer cases were selected from two different sources, i.e., medical utilization database of the National Health Insurance Corporation and the database from the National Cancer Registry. Medical students visited each hospital where the presumptive cases had been treated as a breast cancer patient, and made a dictation of medical record of each patient based on the claims stored in the Insurance Corporation from January to December 1995. The diagnoses in the claims included one of the following diagnostic codes; ICD-9 174-175(malignant neoplasms of the breast), 233(carcinoma in situ of the breast and genito-urinary system)or ICD-10 C50(malignant neoplasms of the breast), D05(carcinoma in situ of the breast and genito-urinary system). Each case has been confirmed as having a breast cancer by a breast surgeon through a medical record review. Age-standardized incidence rate of female breast cancer to the Korean population was estimated to be 10.5(95%confidence interval : 8.1-12.9)per 100,000 persons in 1995. Age-standardized rate to the world population was 9.8 per 100,000 persons, and the truncated rate for ages 35-64 was 27.2 per 100,000 persons. Validity of these estimates is discussing in comparison with previous methods of incidence estimation in Korea.

• Journal of Animal Reproduction and Biotechnology
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.273-278
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• 2020

The milk fever and mastitis that occur during the colostrum period in dairy cattle cause great damage in the dairy industry by causing a rapid decline in the cattle's health and decreasing milk production. In order to prevent this, gradual milking (GM), calcium injection with gradual milking (CG), and calcium injection with complete milking (CC) methods are used. However, differences in effectiveness between these methods have not been established. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine the effects of each preventive method on milk fever and mastitis. The results of this study showed that while there was a significant negative correlation of GM with milk fever and mastitis (r = -0.657, p < 0.05), there was no correlation of CG and CC with milk fever and mastitis. The incidence of milk fever was significantly lower in CG and CC than in GM (p < 0.05) but no differences in the incidence of mastitis were observed between the three groups. No significant differences in the rate of recovery from milk fever and mastitis were observed between the three groups. The recurrence rate of milk fever was significantly higher in CG and CC than in GM (p < 0.05), though no differences in the recurrence rate of mastitis were observed. This study showed an inverse relationship between the incidence rates of milk fever and mastitis when calcium injection was not used during the colostrum period. When calcium injections were used, the incidence of milk fever was reduced without affecting the incidence of mastitis regardless of the milking method, but the recurrence rate of milk fever was increased. The results of this study would be useful for controlling blood calcium concentrations and establishing efficient milking strategy in order to effectively prevent milk fever and mastitis in dairy cattle during the colostrum period.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.17 no.10
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• pp.4587-4590
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• 2016

Background: In many countries gastric cancer has the highest incidence among the gastrointestinal cancers and is the second most common cancer in Iran. The aim of this study was to identify and map high risk gastric cancer regions at the county-level in Iran. Methods: In this study we analyzed gastric cancer data for Iran in the years 2003-2010. Area-to-area Poisson kriging and Besag, York and Mollie (BYM) spatial models were applied to smoothing the standardized incidence ratios of gastric cancer for the 373 counties surveyed in this study. The two methods were compared in term of accuracy and precision in identifying high risk regions. Result: The highest smoothed standardized incidence rate (SIR) according to area-to-area Poisson kriging was in Meshkinshahr county in Ardabil province in north-western Iran (2.4,SD=0.05), while the highest smoothed standardized incidence rate (SIR) according to the BYM model was in Ardabil, the capital of that province (2.9,SD=0.09). Conclusion: Both methods of mapping, ATA Poisson kriging and BYM, showed the gastric cancer incidence rate to be highest in north and north-west Iran. However, area-to-area Poisson kriging was more precise than the BYM model and required less smoothing. According to the results obtained, preventive measures and treatment programs should be focused on particular counties of Iran.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.2695-2698
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• 2012

Introduction: Design and implementation of screening programs in each country must be based on epidemiological data. Despite the relatively high incidence of CRC, there is no nationwide comprehensive program for screening in Iran. This study was designed to investigate national CRC data and help to determine guidelines for screening. Methods: Incidence data used in this study were obtained from Iranian annual of National Cancer Registration report. Age standardized rates (ASR)were calculated using world standard population and were categorized by age, sex, anatomic subsite and morphology of tumor. Data were analyzed using SPSS.V.13 and Open Source Epidemiologic Statistics for Public Health software (OpenEpi v.2.3.1). Results: A quarter of cases were less than 50 years of age. The majority of tumors were detected in the colon. The overall ASR in the four years period was 38.0 per 100000 and was higher for men compared women (P<0.05). Incidence rate of colorectal cancer increased with age. Conclusion: Results of present study indicated that incidence of colorectal cancer is relatively high in Iran. Incidence of CRC in people under 50 years and in rectum were reported higher than other countries that related etiologic factors should be investigate in further studies. According to the increasing of ASR after age 50 years, it seems that onset of screening at age 50 would be appropriate.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.16 no.7
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• pp.2653-2657
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• 2015

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is the second most common neoplasm of head and neck in Tunisia. The distribution is bimodal with a first period occurrence between 15 and 20 years old and a second peak at around 50 years of age. Undifferentiated carcinoma of nasopharynx type III (UCNT) is the predominant histological type (93.4%). Data of cancer registry of North Tunisia confirmed that it is an intermediate risk area for NPC with overall ASRs of 3.6 and 1.6/100,000 respectively in males and females. This study aimed to present the evolution of incidence rate of nasopharyngeal carcinoma over a period of 12 years (1994-2006). Data of cancer registry of North Tunisia (NTCR), covering half of the Tunisian population, were used to determine evolution of NPC incidence, calculated by 5 year periods. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used as an estimate of the trend. To best summarize the behavior or the data trend across years, we used a join-point regression program. Between 1994 and 2006, we observed negative annual average change of standardized incidence in men and women (-3.3%and -2.7%) also for the standardized incidences which showed a rather important decline (26.4% in males and 22.3% in females). The truncated age standardized incidence rate of NPC in adults aged of 30 years old and more (N= 1209) decreased by -0.4% per year from 1994 to 2006 over time in north Tunisia dropping from 6.09 to 4.14 person-years. However, the rate was relatively stable during this period among youths aged 0-29 years (N= 233) in both sexes. NPC demonstrated a favorable evolution from 1994-2006 probably due to a improvement in socioeconomic conditions.

• Archives of Craniofacial Surgery
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.62-66
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• 2008

Purpose: Although nasal fractures are often discussed as minor injuries but the incidence of post-traumatic nasal deformity remains high. For decrease the incidence of post-traumatic nasal deformity which require the guideline to optimize the management of acute nasal bone fracture. The aim of this study is analysis of post-traumatic nasal deformity according to Stranc classification. Method: We reviewed 310 patients with nasal bone fracture treated at our hospital from January of 2005 to December of 2006. Result: Post-traumatic complication were divided septal deviation, nasal bone deformity, temporary hyposmia and synechia. Nasal bone deformity include nasal bone deviation, hump, flat nose and minimal nasal bone irregularity. The incidence of total complication rate was 36.4%. The most common complication was nasal deformity(22.9%) followed by septal deviation(19.7%). The most common complication was septal deviation(20%) in frontal impact. The most common complication was nasal deformity(19.5%) in lateral impact. In frontal impact, the incidence of complication rate was plane II(68.8%) followed by plane I(29.9%) and plane III(16.7%). In lateral impact, the incidence of complication rate was plane II (78.8%) followed by plane III(61.5%) and plane I(42.7%). Conclusion: This result can be used to improve longterm results and to reduce the incidence of post-traumatic nasal deformity by predict complication of nasal bone fracture according to Stranc classification.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• v.17 no.7
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• pp.3455-3458
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• 2016

Osteosarcoma is a common primary malignant bone tumor in children and adolescents. Recent worldwide average incidences of osteosarcoma in people aged 0 to 24 years were 4.3 and 3.4 per million, respectively, with a ratio of 1.4:1. However, data on the incidence of osteosarcoma in Thailand are limited. This study analyzed the incidence of osteosarcoma in the upper northern region of Thailand, with a population of 5.85 million people (8.9% of the total Thai population), using data for the years 1998 to 2012, obtained from the Chiang Mai Cancer Registry (CMCR) at Chiang Mai University Hospital and the Lampang Cancer Registry (LCR) at the Lampang Cancer Hospital, a total of 144 cases. The overall annual incidence of osteosarcoma was 1.67 per million with a male:female ratio of 1.36:1. Incidences by age group (male and female) at 0 to 24, 25 to 59 and over 60 years were 3.5 (3.9 and 3.0), 0.8 (0.9 and 0.6), and 0.7 (0.8 and 0.5), respectively. The peak incidence occurred at 15 to 19 years for males and at 10 to 14 years for females. The median survival time was 18 months with a 5-year survival rate of 43%. Neither the age group nor the 5-year interval period of treatment was significantly correlated with survival during the 15-year period studied.

• Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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• v.39 no.1
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• pp.36-42
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• 2018

The risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is known higher in cancer patients and lower incidence in the east country. This study was conducted in order to check the incidence rate of VTE in the Korean high risk patients who are treated in the intensive care unit (ICU), and to verify the correlation of the incidence of VTE and prophylaxis methods. This study was conducted as a retrospective study for 492 cancer patients from April 2011 to December 2014. According to the medical records of subjects, their prophylaxis methods and the incidence of VTE were surveyed and then correlation of them was investigated with statistical methods. 385 patients met the inclusion criteria. VTE occrred in 17 of them (4.4%). The prophylaxis methods are consisted of medical method (136 subjects), mechnical method(33 subjects), and medical & mechnkcal method (124 subjects). VTE occurred in 14 patients (4.8%) from 293 patients (76%) who were given at least one prophylaxis method. From all of 93 patients without prophylaxis, three patients experienced VTE (3.3%). The target patients were high risk in VTE, but the incidence rate of VTE was lower than reported in previous studies. The reason of this is considered that more active prophylaxis intervention was applied to the subjects because of their high risk status. As a result, it is considered that in the high risk patients, it would be effective to apply active and complex prophylaxis intervention for the prevention of VTE.

• Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.1-4
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• 1998

The ecology of rhizome rot incidence rates between Seosan, Chungnam and Bongdong, Chonbuk province were surveyed in this experiment. The rhizome rot incidence rate of Seosan was lower than that of Bongdong. The average ginger product of former province was 1,140kg, whereas it's 818kg per 10a. in latter province. Treatment after disease incidence frequently used fungicide at Seosan. There were different soil physiological property between fields. Although Eunhari and Yulsori were belong to Bongdong province, incidence rate was low at Eunhari, contained 23% clay and high incidence rate at Yulsori, approximately contained 60% silt. Many soil chemical properties of cultivated area were belong to optimum concentration range, but phosphate(P) was higher than optimum concentration, 450-550ppm. The number of soil fungi in the middle of cultivated season tended to show the highest. Both bacteria and actinomyces` number was similar to the result of fungi. The bacteria/fungi ratio was greatly different between surveyed fields.