• 제목/요약/키워드: In-flight Prediction

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데이터 마이닝 기법을 활용한 군용 항공기 비행 예측모형 및 비행규칙 도출 연구 (A Study on the Development of Flight Prediction Model and Rules for Military Aircraft Using Data Mining Techniques)

  • 유경열;문영주;정대율
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.177-195
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    • 2022
  • Purpose This paper aims to prepare a full operational readiness by establishing an optimal flight plan considering the weather conditions in order to effectively perform the mission and operation of military aircraft. This paper suggests a flight prediction model and rules by analyzing the correlation between flight implementation and cancellation according to weather conditions by using big data collected from historical flight information of military aircraft supplied by Korean manufacturers and meteorological information from the Korea Meteorological Administration. In addition, by deriving flight rules according to weather information, it was possible to discover an efficient flight schedule establishment method in consideration of weather information. Design/methodology/approach This study is an analytic study using data mining techniques based on flight historical data of 44,558 flights of military aircraft accumulated by the Republic of Korea Air Force for a total of 36 months from January 2013 to December 2015 and meteorological information provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. Four steps were taken to develop optimal flight prediction models and to derive rules for flight implementation and cancellation. First, a total of 10 independent variables and one dependent variable were used to develop the optimal model for flight implementation according to weather condition. Second, optimal flight prediction models were derived using algorithms such as logistics regression, Adaboost, KNN, Random forest and LightGBM, which are data mining techniques. Third, we collected the opinions of military aircraft pilots who have more than 25 years experience and evaluated importance level about independent variables using Python heatmap to develop flight implementation and cancellation rules according to weather conditions. Finally, the decision tree model was constructed, and the flight rules were derived to see how the weather conditions at each airport affect the implementation and cancellation of the flight. Findings Based on historical flight information of military aircraft and weather information of flight zone. We developed flight prediction model using data mining techniques. As a result of optimal flight prediction model development for each airbase, it was confirmed that the LightGBM algorithm had the best prediction rate in terms of recall rate. Each flight rules were checked according to the weather condition, and it was confirmed that precipitation, humidity, and the total cloud had a significant effect on flight cancellation. Whereas, the effect of visibility was found to be relatively insignificant. When a flight schedule was established, the rules will provide some insight to decide flight training more systematically and effectively.

비행제어를 위한 비행 중 고체로켓 추력 예측 방법 (In-Flight Prediction of Solid Rocket Motor Performance for Flight Control)

  • 이용인;조성진;최동균
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.816-821
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, an in-flight prediction method of thrust profiles for solid rocket motors is proposed. Actually, it is very difficult to have detailed information about the performance of the rocket motors beforehand because it is quite sensitive to combustion environments. To overcome this problem, we have developed an algorithm for generating in-flight prediction of rocket motor performance in realistic environments via a reference burnback profile and accelerations measured at a short time-interval just after launch. The performance is evaluated through a lot of flight test results.

비행시험과 전산해석을 통한 소형무인기 항력 예측 (In-Flight and Numerical Drag Prediction of a Small Electric Aerial Vehicle)

  • 진원진;이융교
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents the procedure of drag prediction for EAV-1, based on a numerical analysis correlated to an in-flight test. EAV-1, developed by Korea Aerospace Research Institute, is a small-sized UAV to test a hydrogen-fuel cell power system. The long-endurance test flight of 4.5 hours provides numerous in-flight data. The thrust and drag of EAV-1 during the flight test are estimated based on the wind-tunnel test results for EAV-1's propeller performance. In addition, the CFD analysis using a commercial Navier-Stokes code is carried out for the full-scale EAV-1. The computational result suggests that the initial CFD analysis substantially under-predicts the in-flight drag in that the discrepancy is up to 27.6%. Therefore, additional investigation for more accurate drag prediction is performed; the effect of propeller slipstream is included in the CFD analysis through "fan disk" modelling. Also, the additional drag from airplane trim and load factor that actually exists during the flight test in a circular path is considered. These supplemental analyses for drag prediction turn out to be effective since the drag discrepancy reduces to 2.3%.

항적자료를 이용한 공항소음 피해 예측 (Prediction of Airport noise Based on Flight path data)

  • 민지훈;김정태;손정곤
    • 소음진동
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    • 제10권5호
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    • pp.792-799
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    • 2000
  • Aircraft noise in the vicinity of Kimpo international airport has damaged to large number of people who live in communities. This paper investigates noise exposed area due to aircraft flight based on prediction modeling program INM and flight path data. Especially effect on route for aircraft has been considered. Ti also examines noise impact for various flight modes, such as a thrust cutback climb method.

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하이브리드 방법을 이용한 비행 중 비행체 음향하중 예측에 관한 연구 (A study on the acoustic loads prediction of flight vehicle using computational fluid dynamics-empirical hybrid method)

  • 박서룡;김만식;김홍일;이수갑
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.163-173
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문에서는 비행 중 비행체 표면에 작용하는 음향하중 예측을 수행하였다. 비행 중 음향하중은 비행체 표면의 압력 변동에 의해 발생한다. 기존의 비행 중 음향하중 예측방법은 반경험적 방법으로 이론과 실험 결과를 기반으로 도출한 경험식을 활용한다. 하지만 경험식의 입력 값으로 사용되는 비행체 주변 유동특성 및 경계층 파라미터를 매번 실험을 통해 얻는 것에는 한계가 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 전산유체해석(Computational Fluid Dynamics, CFD) 결과를 반경험적 방법과 혼합하는 하이브리드 방법을 이용하여 비행 중 비행체에 작용하는 음향하중을 예측하였다. Cone-cylinder-flare 형상 비행체에 대해 아음속, 천음속, 초음속, 최대동압도달(Maximum dynamic pressure, Max-q) 시점의 비행 환경에 대한 음향하중 예측을 수행하였다. 하이브리드 방법 적용 시 전산유체해석결과를 기반으로 한 경계층 끝단 영역 판단 방법에 대해 비교하였고 여러 연구자에 의해 제시된 경험식에 따른 음향하중 예측결과를 비교하였다.

시계열 생성적 적대 신경망을 이용한 비행체 궤적 합성 데이터 생성 및 비행체 궤적 예측에서의 활용에 관한 연구 (A Study on Synthetic Flight Vehicle Trajectory Data Generation Using Time-series Generative Adversarial Network and Its Application to Trajectory Prediction of Flight Vehicles)

  • 박인희;이창진;정찬호
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.766-769
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    • 2021
  • 딥러닝을 포함한 머신러닝 기법을 기반으로 비행체의 궤적 설계, 제어, 최적화, 예측 등의 작업을 수행하기 위해서는 일정한 양 이상의 비행체 궤적 데이터를 필요로 한다. 그러나 다양한 이유(예를 들어 비행체 궤적 데이터셋 구축에 필요한 비용, 시간, 인력 등)로 일정한 양 이상의 비행체 궤적 데이터를 확보하기 어려운 경우가 존재한다. 이러한 경우 합성 데이터 생성이 머신러닝을 가능하게 하는 방법 중 하나가 될 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 이와 같은 가능성을 탐구하기 위하여 시계열 생성적 적대 신경망을 이용하여 비행체 궤적 합성 데이터를 생성하고 평가하였다. 또한 비행체의 상태를 인식하기 위한 비행체 궤적 예측 작업에서 합성 데이터의 활용 가능성을 탐구하기 위하여 다양한 ablation study(비교 실험)를 수행하였다. 본 논문에서 제시된 생성 평가 및 비교 실험 결과는 비행체 궤적 합성 데이터 생성 및 비행체 궤적 관련 작업에서 합성 데이터의 활용 가능성에 대한 연구를 수행하고자 하는 연구자들에게 실질적인 도움이 될 것으로 예상한다.

비행하중하에서 2124-T851 알루미늄합금의 피로균열진전 예측 (Prediction of Crack Growth in 2124-7851 Al-Alloy Under Flight-Simulation Loading)

  • 심동석;황돈영;김정규
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제26권8호
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    • pp.1487-1494
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    • 2002
  • In this study, to propose the prediction method of the crack growth under flight-simulation loading, crack growth tests are conducted on 2124-7851 aluminum alloy specimens. The prediction of crack growth under flight-simulation loading is performed by the stochastic crack growth model which was developed in previous study. First of all, to reduce the complex load history into a number of constant amplitude events, rainflow counting is applied to the flight-simulation loading wave. The crack growth, then, is predicted by the stochastic crack growth model that can describe the load interaction effect as well as the variability in crack growth process. The material constants required in this model are obtained from crack growth tests under constant amplitude loading and single tensile overload. The curves predicted by the proposed model well describe the crack growth behavior under flight-simulation loading and agree with experimental data. In addition, this model well predicts the variability of fatigue lives.

초음속 유도탄 공력가열 예측 (PREDICTION OF AERODYNAMIC HEATING ON A SUPERSONIC MISSILE)

  • 선철;안창수
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2007년도 춘계 학술대회논문집
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    • pp.134-137
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    • 2007
  • Aero-Heating phenomenon is one of the severe problems occurring in high speed missile flight. in the high speed flight, not only stagnation point but also aft body parts encounter high temperature related structural problems. But the phenomenon is not easy to predict accurately because unsteady calculation according to a flight trajectory is needed, and takes much time. In this Paper, a fast and precise scheme is introduced, which calculates heat flow and temperature by simple pressure field prediction on a missile.

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탄도미사일의 비행궤적 예측 방법 연구 - 탄종별 비행경로각과 사거리를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Flight Trajectory Prediction Method of Ballistic Missiles - BM type by Adjusting the Angle of a Flight Path and a Range -)

  • 유병천;김주현;권용수;최봉완
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2020
  • The characteristics of ballistic missiles are changing rapidly but studies have mostly focused on fragmentary flight trajectory analysis estimating the changing characteristics of some types, while there is a lack of research on comprehensive and efficient ballistic search, detection and prediction for missiles including the new types that have been gaining attention lately. This paper analyzes the flight trajectory characteristics of ballistic missiles at various ranges considering flight path angle adjustment, specific impulse and drag force with altitude based on the optimized equations of motion reflecting the parameters of North Korea's general and new types of ballistic missiles. The flight trajectory characteristics of representative ranges for each ballistic missile were analyzed by adjusting the flight path angle in the minimum energy method, lofted method, and depressed method. In addition, High value target can attacked by ballistic missiles considering flight path angle adjustment at various points. It's expected to be used to Threat Evaluation and Weapon Allocation, and deployment of defense systems by interpreting the analysis of the latest Iskander-class ballistic missiles and the new multiple rocket launcher.

정지궤도 기반 발사체 비행 궤적 추정시스템의 시뮬레이터 개발 (Simulator Development for GEO (Geostationary Orbit)-Based Launch Vehicle Flight Trajectory Prediction System)

  • 명환춘
    • 우주기술과 응용
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 2022
  • 최근의 우주개발기술 선진국들은 우주의 평화적 이용이라는 보편적 가치를 넘어서 자국의 이익을 극대화하기 위한 발판으로 우주의 전략적 활용에 더욱 더 집중하고 있으며, 조기경보 위성과 같이 지상에서 발사된 화염 정보를 이용하여 우주로 발사된 발사체의 실시간 감시와 궤적 추적 기능 등을 담당하는 위성들을 지속적으로 개발해 오고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 조기경보 위성에서 발사체의 궤적을 실시간으로 추정할 수 있는 알고리즘을 진화연산이라는 인공지능 기법을 적용하여 제안하고, 이러한 비행 궤적 추정 알고리즘을 비행 궤적 추정 시스템의 시뮬레이터를 통하여 임의의 발사체 비행 궤적에 적용함으로써 제안된 방법의 성능과 특징을 입체적으로 확인하고자 한다.