• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrological models

Search Result 279, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Development and validation of BROOK90-K for estimating irrigation return flows (관개 회귀수 추정을 위한 BROOK90-K의 개발과 검증)

  • Park, Jongchul;Kim, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-101
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to develop a hydrological model of catchment water balance which is able to estimate irrigation return flows, so BROOK90-K (Kongju National University) was developed as a result of the study. BROOK90-K consists of three main modules. The first module was designed to simulate water balance for reservoir and its catchment. The second and third module was designed to simulate hydrological processes in rice paddy fields located on lower watershed and lower watershed excluding rice paddy fields. The models consider behavior of floodgate manager for estimating the storage of reservoir, and modules for water balance in lower watershed reflects agricultural factors, such as irrigation period and, complex sources of water supply, as well as irrigation methods. In this study, the models were applied on Guryangcheon stream watershed. R2, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NS), NS-log1p, and root mean square error between simulated and observed discharge were 0.79, 0.79, 0.69, and 4.27 mm/d respectively in the model calibration period (2001~2003). Furthermore, the model efficiencies were 0.91, 0.91, 0.73, and 2.38 mm/d respectively over the model validation period (2004~2006). In the future, the developed BROOK90-K is expected to be utilized for various modeling studies, such as the prediction of water demand, water quality environment analysis, and the development of algorithms for effective management of reservoir.

Assessment of MODIS Leaf Area Index (LAI) Influence on the Penman-Monteith Evapotranspiration Estimation of SLURP Model (MODIS 위성영상으로부터 추출된 엽면적지수(LAI)가 SLURP 모형의 Penman-Monteith 증발산량 추정에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Ha, Rim;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Hong, Woo-Yong;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.1087-1091
    • /
    • 2008
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is an important factor while simulating daily streamflow in hydrological models. The LAI (Leaf Area Index) value reflecting the conditions of vegetation generally affects considerably in the estimation of ET, for example, when using FAO Penman Monteith equation. Recently in evaluating the vegetation condition as a fixed quantity, the remotely sensed LAIs from MODIS satellite data are avaliable, and the time series values of spatial LAI coupled with land use classes are utilized for ET evaluation. The 4 years (2001-2004) MODIS LAI data were prepared for the evaluation of continuous hydrological model, SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based Runoff Processes). The model was applied for simulating the dam inflow of Chungjudam watershed ($6661.58\;km^2$) located in the upstream of Han river basin of South Korea. From the model results, the FAO Penman Monteith ET was affected by the MODIS LAIs. Especially for the ET of deciduous forest, the Total ET was 33.9 % lager than coniferous forest for the 3.8 % lager of LAI. The watershed average LAI caused a 7.0 % decrease in average soil moisture of the watershed and 14.3 % decrease of ground water recharge.

  • PDF

GIS AND WEB-BASED DSS FOR PRELIMINARY TMDL DEVELOPMENT

  • Choi, Jin-Yong;Bernard A. Engel;Yoon, Kwang-Sik
    • Water Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.4 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-30
    • /
    • 2003
  • TMDL development and implementation have great potential fur use in efforts to improve water quality management, but the TMDL approach still has several difficulties to overcome in terms of cost, time requirements, and suitable methodologies. A well-defined prioritization approach for identifying watersheds of concern among several tar-get locations that would benefit from TMDL development and implementation, based on a simple screening approach, could be a major step in solving some of these difficulties. Therefore, a web-based decision support system (DSS) was developed to help identify areas within watersheds that might be priority areas for TMDL development. The DSS includes a graphical user interface based on the HTML protocol, hydrological models, databases, and geographic information system (GIS) capabilities. The DSS has a hydrological model that can estimate non-point source pollution loading based on over 30 years of daily direct runoff using the curve number method and pollutant event mean concentration data. The DSS provides comprehensive output analysis tools using charts and tables, and also provides probability analysis and best management practice cost estimation. In conclusion, the DSS is a simple, affordable tool for the preliminary study of TMDL development via the Internet, and the DSS web site can also be used as an information web server for education related to TMDL.

  • PDF

Machine Learning of GCM Atmospheric Variables for Spatial Downscaling of Precipitation Data

  • Sunmin Kim;Masaharu Shibata;YasutoTachikawa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.26-26
    • /
    • 2023
  • General circulation models (GCMs) are widely used in hydrological prediction, however their coarse grids make them unsuitable for regional analysis, therefore a downscaling method is required to utilize them in hydrological assessment. As one of the downscaling methods, convolutional neural network (CNN)-based downscaling has been proposed in recent years. The aim of this study is to generate the process of dynamic downscaling using CNNs by applying GCM output as input and RCM output as label data output. Prediction accuracy is compared between different input datasets, and model structures. Several input datasets with key atmospheric variables such as precipitation, temperature, and humidity were tested with two different formats; one is two-dimensional data and the other one is three-dimensional data. And in the model structure, the hyperparameters were tested to check the effect on model accuracy. The results of the experiments on the input dataset showed that the accuracy was higher for the input dataset without precipitation than with precipitation. The results of the experiments on the model structure showed that substantially increasing the number of convolutions resulted in higher accuracy, however increasing the size of the receptive field did not necessarily lead to higher accuracy. Though further investigation is required for the application, this paper can contribute to the development of efficient downscaling method with CNNs.

  • PDF

A Study of the Runoff Simulation and the Urbanization Effect on Small Watersheds (소규모 단지의 유출모의와 도시화 효과에 관한 연구)

  • 이병호
    • Water for future
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-70
    • /
    • 1991
  • To simulate the mechanism of runoffs on seall watersheds, the ILLUDAS and the ILSD models are used in this study'. The transferability of these models to Korean watersheds and significant factors that could affect their applicability were examined through the analyzation of the hydrographs generated from runoff simulations. The runoff hydrographs from the watersheds with different urbanization rates are also simulated to investigate the degree of variation of the peak discharges the runoff rates, the runoff volumes and other hydrological factors related with urban runoff.

  • PDF

Spring Flow Prediction affected by Hydro-power Station Discharge using the Dynamic Neuro-Fuzzy Local Modeling System

  • Hong, Timothy Yoon-Seok;White, Paul Albert.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2007.05a
    • /
    • pp.58-66
    • /
    • 2007
  • This paper introduces the new generic dynamic neuro-fuzzy local modeling system (DNFLMS) that is based on a dynamic Takagi-Sugeno (TS) type fuzzy inference system for complex dynamic hydrological modeling tasks. The proposed DNFLMS applies a local generalization principle and an one-pass training procedure by using the evolving clustering method to create and update fuzzy local models dynamically and the extended Kalman filtering learning algorithm to optimize the parameters of the consequence part of fuzzy local models. The proposed DNFLMS is applied to develop the inference model to forecast the flow of Waikoropupu Springs, located in the Takaka Valley, South Island, New Zealand, and the influence of the operation of the 32 Megawatts Cobb hydropower station on springs flow. It is demonstrated that the proposed DNFLMS is superior in terms of model accuracy, model complexity, and computational efficiency when compared with a multi-layer perceptron trained with the back propagation learning algorithm and well-known adaptive neural-fuzzy inference system, both of which adopt global generalization.

  • PDF

Applications of Harmony Search in parameter estimation of probability distribution models for non-homogeneous hydro-meteorological extreme events

  • Lee, Tae-Sam;Yoon, Suk-Min;Gang, Myung-Kook;Shin, Ju-Young;Jung, Chang-Sam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.258-258
    • /
    • 2012
  • In frequency analyses of hydrological data, it is necessary for the interested variables to be homogenous and independent. However, recent evidences have shown that the occurrence of extreme hydro-meteorological events is influenced by large-scale climate variability, and the assumption of homogeneity does not generally hold anymore. Therefore, in order to associate the non-homogenous characteristics of hydro-meteorological variables, we propose the parameter estimation method of probability models using meta-heuristic algorithms, specifically harmony search. All the weather stations in South Korea were employed to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approaches. The results showed that the proposed parameter estimation method using harmony search is a comparativealternative for the probability distribution of the non-homogenous hydro-meteorological variables data.

  • PDF

Development of a hybrid regionalization model for estimation of hydrological model parameters for ungauged watersheds (미계측유역의 수문모형 매개변수 추정을 위한 하이브리드 지역화모형의 개발)

  • Kim, Youngil;Seo, Seung Beom;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.8
    • /
    • pp.677-686
    • /
    • 2018
  • There remain numerous ungauged watersheds in Korea owing to limited spatial and temporal streamflow data with which to estimate hydrological model parameters. To deal with this problem, various regionalization approaches have been proposed over the last several decades. However, the results of the regionalization models differ according to climatic conditions and regional physical characteristics, and the results of the regionalization models in previous studies are generally inconclusive. Thus, to improve the performance of the regionalization methods, this study attaches hydrological model parameters obtained using a spatial proximity model to the explanatory variables of a regional regression model and defines it as a hybrid regionalization model (hybrid model). The performance results of the hybrid model are compared with those of existing methods for 37 test watersheds in South Korea. The GR4J model parameters in the gauged watersheds are estimated using a shuffled complex evolution algorithm. The variation inflation factor is used to consider the multicollinearity of watershed characteristics, and then stepwise regression is performed to select the optimum explanatory variables for the regression model. Analysis of the results reveals that the highest modeling accuracy is achieved using the hybrid model on RMSE overall the test watersheds. Consequently, it can be concluded that the hybrid model can be used as an alternative approach for modeling ungauged watersheds.

Complementary Relationship Based Evaportranspiration Estimation Model Suitable for the Hancheon and Kangjeongcheon Watersheds in Jeju Island (제주 한천 및 강정천 유역에 적합한 보완관계법 기반 증발산량 산정 모형)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Nah, Hanna;Lee, Jeongwoo;Lee, Jeong Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1155-1163
    • /
    • 2014
  • The complementary relationship-based evapotranspiration models, namely, AA model of Brutsaert and Stricker (1979) and the CRAE model of Morton (1983) was applied to two permanent stream watersheds Jeju island for the first time, and their major optimal parameters were suggested in this study. The representative watersheds for model calibration and validation were selected as the Hancheon watershed located in the northern part of the Jeju island and and the Kangjeongcheon watershed in southern Jeju island, respectively. The estimated actual evapotranspiration for the Hancheon watershed was compared with the result by the hydrological model, and the major parameters of the AA and CRAE models were calibrated until their results match the hydrological simulations. Through the iterative estimations, the optimal parameters were determined as ${\alpha}=1.00$, $M=30.0Wm^{-2}$ of the AA model, and $b_1=33.0Wm^{-2}$, $b_2=1.02$ of the CRAE model. The calibrated AA and CRAE models were applied to the Kangjeongcheon watershed for model validation, and it was found out that both models can accurately produce the actual evaporation on annual and semiannual bases.

Quantitative uncertainty analysis for the climate change impact assessment using the uncertainty delta method (기후변화 영향평가에서의 Uncertainty Delta Method를 활용한 정량적 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.1079-1089
    • /
    • 2018
  • The majority of existing studies for quantifying uncertainties in climate change impact assessments suggest only the uncertainties of each stage, and not the total uncertainty and its propagation in the whole procedure. Therefore, this study has proposed a new method, the Uncertainty Delta Method (UDM), which can quantify uncertainties using the variances of projections (as the UDM is derived from the first-order Taylor series expansion), to allow for a comprehensive quantification of uncertainty at each stage and also to provide the levels of uncertainty propagation, as follows: total uncertainty, the level of uncertainty increase at each stage, and the percentage of uncertainty at each stage. For quantifying uncertainties at each stage as well as the total uncertainty, all the stages - two emission scenarios (ES), three Global Climate Models (GCMs), two downscaling techniques, and two hydrological models - of the climate change assessment for water resources are conducted. The total uncertainty took 5.45, and the ESs had the largest uncertainty (4.45). Additionally, uncertainties are propagated stage by stage because of their gradual increase: 5.45 in total uncertainty consisted of 4.45 in emission scenarios, 0.45 in climate models, 0.27 in downscaling techniques, and 0.28 in hydrological models. These results indicate the projection of future water resources can be very different depending on which emission scenarios are selected. Moreover, using Fractional Uncertainty Method (FUM) by Hawkins and Sutton (2009), the major uncertainty contributor (emission scenario: FUM uncertainty 0.52) matched with the results of UDM. Therefore, the UDM proposed by this study can support comprehension and appropriate analysis of the uncertainty surrounding the climate change impact assessment, and make possible a better understanding of the water resources projection for future climate change.