• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrological model

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Reassessment on SEBAL Algorithm and MODIS Products

  • 오랑치맥 솜야;권현한;김현묵;김윤희
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.230-230
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    • 2016
  • Hydrological modeling is a very complex task dealing with multi-source of data, but it can be potentially benefited from recent improvements and developments in remote sensing. The estimation of actual land surface evapotranspiration (ET), an important variable in water management, has become possible based entirely on satellite data. This study adopted a Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL) with the use of MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) satellite products. The SEBAL model is one of the commonly used approach for the ET estimation. A primary advantage of the SEBAL model is rather its minimum requirement for ground-based weather data. The MODIS provides ET (MOD16) product that is based on the Penman-Monteith equation. This study aims to further develop the SEBAL model by employing a more rigorous parameterization scheme including the estimation of uncertainty associated with parameter and model selection in regression model. Finally, the proposed model is compared with the existing approaches and comprehensive discussion is then provided.

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수문학적 가뭄전망을 위한 GloSea5의 활용체계 구축 및 예측성 평가 (Construction & Evaluation of GloSea5-Based Hydrological Drought Outlook System)

  • 손경환;배덕효;정현숙
    • 대기
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.271-281
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    • 2015
  • The objectives of this study are to develop a hydrological drought outlook system using GloSea5 (Global Seasonal forecasting system 5) which has recently been used by KMA (Korea Meteorological Association) and to evaluate the forecasting capability. For drought analysis, the bilinear interpolation method was applied to spatially downscale the low-resolution outputs of GloSea5 and PR (Predicted Runoff) was produced for different lead times (i.e., 1-, 2-, 3-month) running LSM (Land Surface Model). The behavior of PR anomaly was similar to that of HR (Historical Runoff) and the estimated values were negative up to lead times of 1- and 2-month. For the evaluation of drought outlook, SRI (Standardized Runoff Index) was selected and PR_SRI estimated using PR. ROC score was 0.83, 0.71, 0.60 for 1-, 2- and 3-month lead times, respectively. It also showed the hit rate is high and false alarm rate is low as shorter lead time. The temporal Correlation Coefficient (CC) was 0.82, 0.60, 0.31 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was 0.52, 0.86, 1.20 for 1-, 2-, 3-month lead time, respectively. The accuracy of PR_SRI was high up to 1- and 2-month lead time on local regions except the Gyeonggi and Gangwon province. It can be concluded that GloSea5 has high applicability for hydrological drought outlook.

Hydrological Consequences of Converting Forestland to Coffee Plantations and Other Agriculture Crops on Sumber Jaya Watershed, West Lampung, Indonesia

  • Manik, Tumiar Katarina;Sidle, Roy Carl
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2018
  • Sumber Jaya (54,194 hectares) is a district in West Lampung, Indonesia, located at the upper part of Tulang Bawang watershed. This watershed is one major water resource for Lampung Province, but has become a focal point of discussion because of the widespread conversion of forestland to coffee plantations and human settlements which lead to environmental and hydrological problems. This research aimed to evaluate Sumber Jaya watershed affecting by rapid land use change using hydrological methods as a base for watershed management. Nested catchment structure consisted of eight sub-catchments was employed in this research to assess scaling issues of land use change impacts on rainfall-runoff connections. Six tipping bucket rain gages were installed on the hill slopes of each sub-catchment and Parshall flumes were installed at the outlets of each sub-catchment to monitor stream flow. First, unit hydrograph that expressed the relationship of rainfall and runoff was computed using IHACRES model. Second, unit hydrograph was also constructed from observations of input and response during several significant storms with approximately equal duration. The result showed that most of the storm flow from these catchments consisted of slow flow. A maximum of about 50% of the effective rainfall became quick flow, and only less than 10% of remaining effective rainfall which was routed as slow flow contributed to hydrograph peaks; the rest was stored. Also, comparing peak responses and recession rates on the hydrograph, storm flow discharge was generally increased slowly on the rising limb and decreased rapidly on the falling limb. These responses indicated the soils in these catchments were still able to hold and store rain water.

도시유출모형확립을 위한 ILLUDAS모형의 매개변수 민감도분석 (The Sensitivity Analysis of Parameters of ILLUDAS for Eastiblishment of Urban Runoff Model)

  • 서규우
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 1998
  • In this study, the hydrological changes due to urbanization were investigated and fundamental theory and characteristics of typical urban runoff model such as ILLUDAS was studied. Above model was applied for urbanizing Dongsucheon basin, Incheon. The main parameters (II, IA, IS) which are included in model depending on runoff results were determined, and dimensionless values such as total runoff ratio($Q_{TR}$), peak runoff ratio($Q_{PR}$), and runoff sensitivity ratio ($Q_{SR}=Q_{TR}/Q_{PR}$) were estimated in order to evaluate and compare the characteristics of model based on relative sensitivity analysis.

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Derivation of Design Flood Using Multisite Rainfall Simulation Technique and Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model

  • Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 2009
  • Hydrologic pattern under climate change has been paid attention to as one of the most important issues in hydrologic science group. Rainfall and runoff is a key element in the Earth's hydrological cycle, and associated with many different aspects such as water supply, flood prevention and river restoration. In this regard, a main objective of this study is to evaluate design flood using simulation techniques which can consider a full spectrum of uncertainty. Here we utilize a weather state based stochastic multivariate model as conditional probability model for simulating the rainfall field. A major premise of this study is that large scale climatic patterns are a major driver of such persistent year to year changes in rainfall probabilities. Uncertainty analysis in estimating design flood is inevitably needed to examine reliability for the estimated results. With regard to this point, this study applies a Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme to the NWS-PC rainfall-runoff model that has been widely used, and a case study is performed in Soyang Dam watershed in Korea. A comprehensive discussion on design flood under climate change is provided.

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Determination of Equivalent Roughness for Estimating Flow Resistance in Stabled Gravel-Bed River: II. Review of Model Applicability

  • Park, Sang-Woo;Lee, Sin-Jae;Jang, Suk-Hwan
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제17권11호
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    • pp.1211-1220
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we estimated, the equivalent roughness using an estimation model, which considered grain distribution on the bed and the protrusion height of the grains. We also reviewed the appropriateness of the estimated equivalent roughness at the Goksung and Gurey station in the Seomjin River. To review the appropriateness of this model, we presented the water level-discharge relation curve applying the equivalent roughness to the flow model and compared and reviewed it to observed data. Also, we compared and reviewed the observed data by estimating the Manning coefficient n, the Chezy coefficient C, and the Darcy-Weisbach friction coefficient f by the equivalent roughness. The calculation results of the RMSE showed within 5% error range in comparison with observed value. Therefore the estimated equivalent roughness values by the model could be proved appropriate.

SSARR모형에 의한 유역유출 해석 (Watershed Runoff Analysis by SSARR Model)

  • 안상진;이용수
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 1989
  • 본 연구는 SSARR 모형의 이론과 구조를 설명하고 보청천 유역의 자료를 사용, 모형의 매개변수를 추정하여 소유역에의 적용가능성을 파악하고자 하였다. 모형에 사용된 자료기간은 1982∼1988년까지이며 사용된 자료는 금강수계의 하나인 보청천 유역이다. 모형의 매개변수의 산정과 사용된 매개변수의 특성을 파악하고자 민감도 분석을 실시 하였다.

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산지유역의 초과우량 추정 모형 (Rainfall Excess Model for Forest Watersheds)

  • 남선우;최은호
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 1990
  • 식생계로 피복되고 투수성 토양을 갖는 산지유역에서의 점유출량 결정을 위해 초과우량 추정모형을 유도하였다. 산림에 의한 canopy차단 및 풀, 낙엽, 농작물 등에 의한 지표피복차단저축을 고려하고, 유역 포화시의 증발산량을 계산하여 관측강우로부터 지표 흙에 도달되는 순강우량을 결정하였다. 부정강우사상에 적용할 수 있도록 수정된 Green-Ampt모형으로부터 침투율을 결정하여 초과우량을 산정하였고, IHP 대표시험유역 가운데 장평유역의 실제호우사상에 적용하여 손실율, 유출율 및 유출발생시간 등을 결정, 적용성 여부를 검토하였다.

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비동질성 Markov 모형에 의한 시간강수량 모의발생을 이용한 IDF 곡선의 유도 (Derivation of IDF Curve by the Simulation of Hourly Precipitation using Nonhomogeneous Markov Chain Model)

  • 문영일;최병규;오태석
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.501-504
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    • 2008
  • A non-homogeneous markov model which is able to simulate hourly rainfall series is developed for estimating reliable hydrological variables. The proposed approach is applied to simulate hourly rainfall series in Korea. The simulated rainfall is used to estimate the design rainfall and compared to observations in terms of reproducing underlying distributions of the data to assure model's validation. The model shows that the simulated rainfall series reproduce a similar statistical attribute with observations, and expecially maximum value is gradually increased as number of simulation increase.

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A Study on the Development of Regional Master Recession Curve Model

  • Lee, Jae-Hyoung;Oh, Nam-Sun;Lee, Hee-Ju
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.61-71
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    • 2001
  • A regional master recession curve model to predict groundwater discharges in a given basin was presented. Considering a stream-aquifer system, both theoretical and experimental baseflow equations were compared and a practical groundwater discharge equation was derived, The groundwater discharge equation was expanded and transformed to the discharge equation at the basin exit. For practical use, the equation was expressed as a function of watershed area, the mean slope of basin and the recession constant. To verify the model, the model was applied to Ssang-chi basin where long-term and temporal hydrological data at the upper basin were collected. Our results show that a master recession curve of unmeasured area can be predicted.

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