• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrological Models

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Flood Characteristics at Nakdong Estuary with 1 Dimensional Unsteady Model (1차원 부정류 모형을 활용한 낙동강 하류의 홍수 특성)

  • Lee, Sang-jin;Shin, Hyun-Ho;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Hwang, Man-Ha
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.149-155
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    • 2010
  • Rainfalls would increase the discharges or stages of tributary channels in natural watersheds, which in turn augment the magnitude of main stream stages. Rising of water surface elevation in main streams can affect and damage the human activities because of the possibilities of the breakdown or overflow of the embankment. Therefore it is necessary to establish the structural or non-structural alternatives for the sake of prevention or treatment of those disasters. Many mathematical models to analyze the flood flows in natural watercourses have been proposed as the non-structural alternatives so far. In this study one of the such models, FLDWAV developed by NWS(National weather Service), is applied to the downstream reach of Nakdong river. Model calibration is performed on various Manning's roughness coefficients at the gauging stations. The simulation results are compared well with hydrological estimations of flood discharges considering the effects of multipurpose dams upstream of control points.

Convolution Interpretation of Nonparametric Kernel Density Estimate and Rainfall-Runoff Modeling (비매개변수 핵밀도함수와 강우-유출모델의 합성곱(Convolution)을 이용한 수학적 해석)

  • Lee, Taesam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.15-19
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    • 2015
  • In rainfall-runoff models employed in hydrological applications, runoff amount is estimated through temporal delay of effective precipitation based on a linear system. Its amount is resulted from the linearized ratio by analyzing the convolution multiplier. Furthermore, in case of kernel density estimate (KDE) used in probabilistic analysis, the definition of the kernel comes from the convolution multiplier. Individual data values are smoothed through the kernel to derive KDE. In the current study, the roles of the convolution multiplier for KDE and rainfall-runoff models were revisited and their similarity and dissimilarity were investigated to discover the mathematical applicability of the convolution multiplier.

Regionalization of Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Model to Simulate Runoff Induced by Typhoons (태풍 발생 시 유출량 산정을 위한 개념적 강우-유출 모형의 지역화 연구)

  • Chang, Hyung Joon;Lee, Ho Jin;Lee, Hyo Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2019
  • There is an increasing demand for catchment runoff estimation to cope with the natural disasters such as typhoon, extreme rainfall. However, the ungauged catchments are common case in practices. This study suggested a rationalization of conceptual rainfall-runoff model for typhoon flood events in Geum river region. And the developed models were validated based on the observed hydrological data. Therefore, developed regionalization models could estimate catchment runoff for Typhoon flood events. It will be used as basic data for the river management for extreme flood conditions.

Applicability Analysis of Chemical Fate Model Considering Climate Change Impact in Municipal and Industrial Areas in Korea (기후변화를 고려한 화학물질거동모형의 도시·산단지역 적용성 연구)

  • Ryu, Sun-Nyeo;Lee, Woo-Kyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2015
  • As the temperature has changed by climate change, changes in its own characteristic values of the chemical substance or the movement and distribution of chemicals take place in accordance with the changes of hydrological and meteorological phenomena. Depending on the impact of climate change on the chemical behavior, it is necessary to understand and predict quantitative changes in the dynamics of the environment of pollutants due to climate change in order to predict in advance the occurrence of environmental disasters, and minimize the impact on the life and the environment after the incident. In this study, we have analysed and compared chemical fate models validated by previous studies in terms of model configuration, application size and input/output factors. The potential models applicable to municipal and industrial areas were selected on the basis of characteristic of each model, availability of input parameters and consideration for climate change, identified the problems, and then presented an approach to improve applicability.

Future hydrological changes in Jeju Island based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios (CMIP6 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 제주도 지역의 미래 수문변화 전망)

  • Kim, Chul-Gyum;Cho, Jaepil;Lee, Jeong Eun;Chang, Sunwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.737-749
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    • 2023
  • In this study, we analyzed the hydrological impacts of future climate change on Jeju Island using SSP-based climate change scenarios from 18 climate models and watershed modeling (SWAT-K). Despite discrepancies among climate models, we generally observed an increase in evapotranspiration due to rising future temperatures. Furthermore, a significant increase in runoff and recharge was noted due to increased precipitation. These increasing trends were particularly pronounced in the SSP5-8.5 scenario, and differences among GCM models became more significant in the late 21 century. When compared to the historical period (1981-2010), the projected changes for the far-future period (2071-2100) in the SSP5-8.5 scenario showed a 21.4% increase in precipitation, a 19.2% increase in evapotranspiration, a 40.9% increase in runoff, and a 16.6% increase in recharge on an annual average basis. On a monthly basis in the SSP5-8.5 scenario, precipitation was expected to increase by 24.5% in September, evapotranspiration by 34.1% in April, runoff by 58.1% in October, and recharge by 33.8% in September. To further assess projections based on extreme climate scenarios, we selected two models, CanESM5 and ACCESS-ESM1-5, which represented the maximum and minimum future precipitation forecasts, and compared the hydrological changes in the future scenarios. The results indicated that runoff and recharge rates were relatively higher in the CanESM5 model with the highest precipitation forecast, while evapotranspiration rates were higher in the ACCESS-ESM1-5 model with the lowest precipitation forecast. Based on the climate change scenarios used in this study, the overall available water resources on Jeju Island are more likely to increase. However, since results vary by season and region depending on the climate model and scenario, it is considered necessary to conduct a comprehensive analysis and develop response measures using various scenarios.

Improvements to the Terrestrial Hydrologic Scheme in a Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere Transfer Model (토양-식생-대기 이송모형내의 육지수문모의 개선)

  • Choi, Hyun-Il;Jee, Hong-Kee;Kim, Eung-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.529-534
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    • 2009
  • Climate models, both global and regional, have increased in sophistication and are being run at increasingly higher resolutions. The Land Surface Models (LSMs) coupled to these climate models have evolved from simple bucket models to sophisticated Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere Transfer (SVAT) schemes needed to support complex linkages and processes. However, some underpinnings of terrestrial hydrologic parameterizations so crucial in the predictions of surface water and energy fluxes cause model errors that often manifest as non-linear drifts in the dynamic response of land surface processes. This requires the improved parameterizations of key processes for the terrestrial hydrologic scheme to improve the model predictability in surface water and energy fluxes. The Common Land Model (CLM), one of state-of-the-art LSMs, is the land component of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM). However, CLM also has energy and water biases resulting from deficiencies in some parameterizations related to hydrological processes. This research presents the implementation of a selected set of parameterizations and their effects on the runoff prediction. The modifications consist of new parameterizations for soil hydraulic conductivity, water table depth, frozen soil, soil water availability, and topographically controlled baseflow. The results from a set of offline simulations are compared with observed data to assess the performance of the new model. It is expected that the advanced terrestrial hydrologic scheme coupled to the current CLM can improve model predictability for better prediction of runoff that has a large impact on the surface water and energy balance crucial to climate variability and change studies.

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Estimation of Stream Discharge using Antecedent Precipitation Index Models in a Small Mountainous Forested Catchment: Upper Reach of Yongsucheon Stream, Gyeryongsan Mountain (산악 산림 소유역에서 선행강우지수를 이용한 하천유량 추정: 계룡산 용수천 상류)

  • Jung, Youn-Young;Koh, Dong-Chan;Han, Hye-Sung;Kwon, Hong-Il;Lim, Eun-Kyung
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 2016
  • Variability in precipitation due to climate change causes difficulties in securing stable surface water resource, which requires understanding of relation between precipitation and stream discharge. This study simulated stream discharge in a small mountainous forested catchment using antecedent precipitation index (API) models which represent variability of saturation conditions of soil layers depending on rainfall events. During 13 months from May 2015 to May 2016, stream discharge and rainfall were measured at the outlet and in the central part of the watershed, respectively. Several API models with average recession coefficients were applied to predict stream discharge using measured rainfall, which resulted in the best reflection time for API model was 1 day in terms of predictability of stream discharge. This indicates that soil water in riparian zones has fast response to rainfall events and its storage is relatively small. The model can be improved by employing seasonal recession coefficients which can consider seasonal fluctuation of hydrological parameters. These results showed API models can be useful to evaluate variability of streamflow in ungauged small forested watersheds in that stream discharge can be simulated using only rainfall data.

Rainfall-Runoff Analysis by Calculation of the Time Distribution Models for Storms (降雨의 時間 分布模型 算定에 의한 降雨-流出 解析)

  • 민경형;이영대
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.189-201
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    • 1996
  • The main objective of this study is to determine the time distribution models of rainfall in Korea for estimating design floods and to suggest new runoff model(Geomorphologic Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph; GIUH) in order to be easily use the rainfall-runoff model put rainfall models practice to be suitable for the regional characteristics of hydrologic situation by practicing engineers. As a result, the reappearance of triangular hyetograph and GIUH runoff model showed promising. The historical data from about 13,000 event-rainfalls and 73 rainfall-runoff measuring data during 12 years in International Hydrological Program (IHP) basins have been used to determine the statistical factors of the time distribution for rainfalls by the Yen-Chow, Huff, Pilgrim-Cordery and Mononobe models. The Rational, Kajiyama, Nakayasu and Clark model and GIUH model that this study runoff model were used for the purpose of application limit for basin area against design concept by the estimation of flood runoff and the derivation of empirical equations to estimate the parameters for ungaged basins.

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Climate changes impact on water resourcesinYellowRiverBasin,China

  • Zhu, Yongnan;Lin, Zhaohui;Wang, Jianhua;Zhao, Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.203-203
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    • 2016
  • The linkage between climate change and water security, i.e., the response of water resource to the future climate change, have been of great concern to both scientific community and policy makers. In this study, the impact of future climate on water resources in Yellow River Basin in North of China has been investigated using the Coupled Land surface and Hydrology Model System (CLHMS) and IPCC AR5 projected future climate change in the basin. Firstly, the performances of 14 IPCC AR5 models in reproducing the observed precipitation and temperature in China, especially in North of China, have been evaluated, and it's suggested most climate models do show systematic bias compared with the observation, however, CNRM-CM5、HadCM5 and IPSL-CM5 model are generally the best models among those 14 models. Taking the daily projection results from the CNRM-CM5, along with the bias-correction technique, the response of water resources in Yellow river basin to the future climate change in different emission scenarios have been investigated. All the simulation results indicate a reduction in water resources. The current situation of water shortage since 1980s will keep continue, the water resources reduction varies between 28 and 23% for RCP 2.6 and 4.5 scenarios. RCP 8.5 scenario simulation shows a decrease of water resources in the early and mid 21th century, but after 2080, with the increase of rainfall, the extreme flood events tends to increase.

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The Analysis of Basin Parameters Using Digital Map (수치지도를 이용한 유역특성분석)

  • Kang, In-Joon;Choi, Hyun;Lee, Byung-Gul
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 2001
  • One of the basic tasks in hydrological analysis is to delineate drainage basins and channel networks. Characteristics of channel networks and drainage basin parameters have been used widely in hydrologic calculation and modeling. DEMs(Digital Elevation Models) are generally used to automatically map the channel networks and to delineate drainage basins. This paper presents an effort to analyze basin characteristics using various DEMs. The quantitative analysis of channel networks begins with Horton's method of classifying stream according to Horton orders in hydro-geomorphy. HGSIS(Hydro-Geo-Spatial Information System) is possible to extract parameters. Usually, hydrologists. surveyors and GSIS researchers have some difficulties in accessing satellite images and in extracting DEMs from them. Therefore, the extracted DEMs from contours of digital map is widely used to have the basic works of hydrological analysis. This study presents proper DEMs to calculate Horton's orders, width function, drainage area, main channel length, total channel length, basin elevation and basin slope at digital map of 1:25,000 scale.

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