• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hydrological Models

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Low-flow simulation and forecasting for efficient water management: case-study of the Seolmacheon Catchment, Korea

  • Birhanu, Dereje;Kim, Hyeon Jun;Jang, Cheol Hee;ParkYu, Sanghyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.243-243
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    • 2015
  • Low-flow simulation and forecasting is one of the emerging issues in hydrology due to the increasing demand of water in dry periods. Even though low-flow simulation and forecasting remains a difficult issue for hydrologists better simulation and earlier prediction of low flows are crucial for efficient water management. The UN has never stated that South Korea is in a water shortage. However, a recent study by MOLIT indicates that Korea will probably lack water by 4.3 billion m3 in 2020 due to several factors, including land cover and climate change impacts. The two main situations that generate low-flow events are an extended dry period (summer low-flow) and an extended period of low temperature (winter low-flow). This situation demands the hydrologists to concentrate more on low-flow hydrology. Korea's annual average precipitation is about 127.6 billion m3 where runoff into rivers and losses accounts 57% and 43% respectively and from 57% runoff discharge to the ocean is accounts 31% and total water use is about 26%. So, saving 6% of the runoff will solve the water shortage problem mentioned above. The main objective of this study is to present the hydrological modelling approach for low-flow simulation and forecasting using a model that have a capacity to represent the real hydrological behavior of the catchment and to address the water management of summer as well as winter low-flow. Two lumped hydrological models (GR4J and CAT) will be applied to calibrate and simulate the streamflow. The models will be applied to Seolmacheon catchment using daily streamflow data at Jeonjeokbigyo station, and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies will be calculated to check the model performance. The expected result will be summarized in a different ways so as to provide decision makers with the probabilistic forecasts and the associated risks of low flows. Finally, the results will be presented and the capacity of the models to provide useful information for efficient water management practice will be discussed.

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New Zealand Hydrology: Key Issues and Research Directions

  • Davie, T.J.A.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2007
  • New Zealand is a hydrologically diverse and active country. This paper presents an overview of the major hydrological issues and problems facing New Zealand and provides examples of some the research being undertaken to solve the problems. Fundamental to any environmental decision making is the provision of good quality hydrometric data. Reduced funding for the national hydrometric network has meant a reduction in the number of monitoring sites, the decision on how to redesign the network was made using information on geographic coverage and importance of each site. New Zealand faces a major problem in understanding the impacts of rapid land use change on water quantity and quality. On top of the land use change is overlain the issue of agricultural intensification. The transfer of knowledge about impacts of change at the small watershed scale to much larger, more complex watersheds is one that is attracting considerable research attention. There is a large amount of research currently being undertaken to understand the processes of water and nutrient movement through the vadose zone into groundwater and therefore understanding the time taken for leached nutrients to reach receiving water bodies. The largest water management issue of the past 5 years has been based around fair and equitable water allocation when there is increasing demand for irrigation water. Apart from policy research into market trading for water there has been research into water storage and transfer options and improving irrigation efficiency. The final water management issue discussed concerns the impacts of hydrological extremes (floods and droughts). This is of particular concern with predictions of climate change for New Zealand suggesting increased hydrological extremes. Research work has concentrated on producing predictive models. These have been both detailed inundation models using high quality LIDAR data and also flood models for the whole country based on a newly interpolated grid network of rainfall.

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Evaluation of Eco-Hydrological Changes in the Geum River Considering Dam Operations: I. Flow Regime Change Analysis (댐 운영을 고려한 금강의 생태.수문학적 변화 평가 : I. 유황변화 분석)

  • Ko, Ick-Hwan;Kim, Jeong-Kon;Park, Sang-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2009
  • In this study, based on the major activities which might have affected the ecological system of the Geum River, a conceptual model was proposed to guide scenario development for the eco-hydrological river evaluation. Also, an analysis method employing a set of models consisting, with other supporting programs, of KModSim for watershed network analysis and RAP for ecosystem analysis was developed for eco-hydrological river assessment. Then, hydrological analyses with various scenarios were conducted to examine the flow regime changes expected from the construction and operation of the Youngdam Multipurpose Dam (YMD) and Daecheong Multipurpose Dam (DMD) in the Geum River basin. The results indicated that the "Percentile 10" values for 10% exceeding time were decreased by 20.5% and 8.0% at Sutong downstream of YMD and Gongju downstream of DMD, respectively, while "Percentile 90" values for 90% exceeding time were increased by 56.3% and 340.8% at Sutong and Gongju, respectively, resulting in the reduction of the high flow variability typical for unregulated rivers in Korea. The results of eco-hydrological analyses will be presented in the following papers.

Future Korean Water Resources Projection Considering Uncertainty of GCMs and Hydrological Models (GCM과 수문모형의 불확실성을 고려한 기후변화에 따른 한반도 미래 수자원 전망)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Jung, Il-Won;Lee, Byung-Ju;Lee, Moon-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.389-406
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to examine the climate change impact assessment on Korean water resources considering the uncertainties of Global Climate Models (GCMs) and hydrological models. The 3 different emission scenarios (A2, A1B, B1) and 13 GCMs' results are used to consider the uncertainties of the emission scenario and GCM, while PRMS, SWAT, and SLURP models are employed to consider the effects of hydrological model structures and potential evapotranspiration (PET) computation methods. The 312 ensemble results are provided to 109 mid-size sub-basins over South Korean and Gaussian kernel density functions obtained from their ensemble results are suggested with the ensemble mean and their variabilities of the results. It shows that the summer and winter runoffs are expected to be increased and spring runoff to be decreased for the future 3 periods relative to past 30-year reference period. It also provides that annual average runoff increased over all sub-basins, but the increases in the northern basins including Han River basin are greater than those in the southern basins. Due to the reason that the increase in annual average runoff is mainly caused by the increase in summer runoff and consequently the seasonal runoff variations according to climate change would be severe, the climate change impact on Korean water resources could intensify the difficulties to water resources conservation and management. On the other hand, as regards to the uncertainties, the highest and lowest ones are in winter and summer seasons, respectively.

Development of Calculating Model for Hydrological eographic Parameters Using ArcGIS ModelBuilder (ArcGIS ModelBuilder를 이용한 수문학적 지형인자 산정 모형 개발)

  • Moon, Changgeon;Lee, Jungsik;Shin, Shachul
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2013
  • The objective of this study is to develop a new GIS Model for calculating the hydrological geographic parameters efficiently using ArcGIS ModelBuilder. To evaluate the applicability of the new GIS Model, hydrological geographic parameters calculated by WMS and HEC-GeoHMS were compared with 5 geographic parameters from the new GIS Model. 18 reservoirs in Chungdo-gun were selected for this study. Hydrological geographic parameters used in this study are watershed area, stream length, watershed slope, stream slope and curve number. As the results of this study, the average relative error of 5 geographic parameters from all watersheds is shown more than 10.00%. In the results by the new GIS Model, hydrological geographic parameters are better efficiently and accurately to evaluate than those existing models.

Rivers in Global Water Cycles

  • Oki, Taikan;Musiake, Katumi
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.S1
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2000
  • The role of river in the global water cycles and the modelling the horizontal water transport by rivers in the global scale are discussed. Due to the consolidation of the various hydrological information of the planet, now it is possible to monitor and simulate the quantity of the water carried by rivers. Land surface models that were developed originally for giving the boundary condition of the atmospheric and/or climatic models can be fairly used for river runoff simulations at least monthly scale, and it is promissing the approach will be a powerful tool to investigate the future water resources management.

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Bivariate regional frequency analysis of extreme rainfalls in Korea (이변량 지역빈도해석을 이용한 우리나라 극한 강우 분석)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Jeong, Changsam;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.9
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    • pp.747-759
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    • 2018
  • Multivariate regional frequency analysis has advantages of regional and multivariate framework as adopting a large number of regional dataset and modeling phenomena that cannot be considered in the univariate frequency analysis. To the best of our knowledge, the multivariate regional frequency analysis has not been employed for hydrological variables in South Korea. Applicability of the multivariate regional frequency analysis should be investigated for the hydrological variable in South Korea in order to improve our capacity to model the hydrological variables. The current study focused on estimating parameters of regional copula and regional marginal models, selecting the most appropriate distribution models, and estimating regional multivariate growth curve in the multivariate regional frequency analysis. Annual maximum rainfall and duration data observed at 71 stations were used for the analysis. The results of the current study indicate that Frank and Gumbel copula models were selected as the most appropriate regional copula models for the employed regions. Several distributions, e.g. Gumbel and log-normal, were the representative regional marginal models. Based on relative root mean square error of the quantile growth curves, the multivariate regional frequency analysis provided more stable and accurate quantiles than the multivariate at-site frequency analysis, especially for long return periods. Application of regional frequency analysis in bivariate rainfall-duration analysis can provide more stable quantile estimation for hydraulic infrastructure design criteria and accurate modelling of rainfall-duration relationship.

Water and mass balance analysis for hydrological model development in paddy fields

  • Tasuku, KATO;Satoko, OMINO;Ryota, TSUCHIYA;Satomi, TABATA
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.238-238
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    • 2015
  • There are demands for water environmental analysis of discharge processes in paddy fields, however, it is not fully understood in nutrients discharge process for watershed modeling. As hydrological processes both surface and ground water and agricultural water managements are so complex in paddy fields, the development of lowland paddy fields watershed model is more difficult than upland watershed model. In this research, the improvement of SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model for a paddy watershed was conducted. First, modification of surface inundated process was developed in improved pot hole option. Those modification was evaluated by monitoring data. Second, the monitoring data in river and drainage channel in lowland paddy fields from 2012 to 2014 were analyzed to understand discharge characteristics. As a case study, Imbanuma basin, Japan, was chosen as typical land and water use in Asian countries. In this basin, lowland paddy fields are irrigated from river water using small pumps that were located in distribution within the watershed. Daily hydrological fluctuation was too complex to estimate. Then, to understand surface and ground water discharge characteristics in irrigation (Apr-Aug) and non-irrigation (Sep-Mar) period, the water and material balance analysis was conducted. The analysis was composed two parts, watershed and river channel blocks. As results of model simulation, output was satisfactory in NSE, but uncertainty was large. It would be coming from discharge process in return water. The river water and ground water in paddy fields were exchanged each other in 5.7% and 10.8% to river discharge in irrigation and non-irrigation periods, respectively. Through this exchange, nutrient loads were exchanged between river and paddy fields components. It suggested that discharge from paddy fields was not only responded to rainfall but dynamically related with river water table. In general, hydrological models is assumed that a discharge process is one way from watershed to river. However, in lowland paddy fields, discharge process is dynamically changed. This function of paddy fields showed that flood was mitigated and temporally held as storage in ground water. Then, it showed that water quality was changed in mitigated function in the water exchange process in lowland paddy fields. In future, it was expected that hydrological models for lowland paddy fields would be developed with this mitigation function.

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