• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제36권5호
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• pp.353-363
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• 2020

Hydrologic models can be classified into two types: those for understanding physical processes and those for predicting hydrologic quantities. This study deals with how to use the model to predict today's stream flow based on the system's knowledge of yesterday's state and the model parameters. In this regard, for the model to generate accurate predictions, the uncertainty of the parameters and appropriate estimates of the state variables are required. In this study, a relatively simple hydrologic partitioning model is proposed that can explicitly implement the hydrologic partitioning process, and the posterior distribution of the parameters of the proposed model is estimated using the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. Further, the application method of the ensemble Kalman filter is proposed for updating the normalized soil moisture, which is the state variable of the model, by linking the information on the posterior distribution of the parameters and by assimilating the observed steam flow data. The stochastically and recursively estimated stream flows using the data assimilation technique revealed better representation of the observed data than the stream flows predicted using the deterministic model. Therefore, the ensemble Kalman filter in conjunction with the Markov chain Monte Carlo approach could be a reliable and effective method for forecasting daily stream flow, and it could also be a suitable method for routinely updating and monitoring the watershed-averaged soil moisture.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.203-215
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• 2012

본 연구의 목적은 도시개발의 영향을 평가하고 물순환 개선시설의 적절한 배치를 설계하기 위한 물순환 해석 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 개념적 매개변수를 사용하는 기존의 집중형 수문모형으로는 도시개발로 인한 토지이용 변화 등의 유역 특성 변화를 적절히 모의하는데 한계가 있으며, 최근 활발히 연구되고 있는 분포형 수문모형은 입력자료 구축 및 모형 구동에 많은 시간과 노력이 필요하여 다양한 도시설계 대안을 평가하기에는 적절하지 못하다. 유역 물순환 해석 모형(Catchment hydrologic cycle Analysis Tool, 이하 CAT)은 이러한 배경을 토대로 개발된 물리적 매개변수 기반의 링크-노드 방식의 물순환 정량화 모형이다. CAT은 기존 개념적 매개변수 기반의 집중형 수문모형과 물리적 매개변수 기반의 분포형 수문모형의 장단점을 최대한 보완하여, 도시유역 개발 전 후의 장 단기적인 물순환 변화 특성을 정량적으로 평가하고 물순환 개선시설의 효과적인 설계를 지원하기 위한 물순환 해석 모형이다. 개발된 모형의 평가를 위하여 설마천 유역을 대상으로 모의를 수행하였으며 출구점인 전적비교의 6개년(2002~2007) 동안의 시간별 하천 유출량 자료를 이용하여 모형의 보정(2002~2004)과 검정(2005~2007)을 실시한 결과, 보정과 검정기간의 Nash-Sutcliffe 모형효율계수는 각각 0.75와 0.89로 나타났다.

• 한국관개배수논문집
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.28-34
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• 2010

This study re-exams hydrologic stability on spillway outlet capacity of agricultural reservoirs using hydrologic data with current rainfall condition instead of project hydrologic data applied at design on Backgok reservoir located in Chungbuk province. It is concluded that Backgok reservoir is not hydrologically stable and therefore structural measures including the extension of spillway and non structural measures should be taken. Continuous basic plan for river maintenance including additional bank reinforcement to bottom river shall be carried out. Due to high peak flood with more than 290% compared to 200 year frequency probability flood which was design standard of the past in view of the results of calculating PMF according to revised design standard for reservoirs, there could a problem for securing rationality in case of applying PMF with design flood. Therefore, hydrological stability, construction, and maintenance cost shall be synthetically studied and reasonal application shall be made if the decision is made on applying PMF with design flood.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 1993년도 수공학연구발표회논문집
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• pp.3-26
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• 1993

I have briefly described some of the important advances in hydrosystems and to remark on the important scientific research priorities in hydrological sciences. We have concentrated on data collection systems, real-time control of hydrosystems, global climate change and decision support systems and GIS. In summary, I would like to stress the following points: - the advances in data collection systems, advanced methodologies for interfacion hydrologic, hydraulic, and optimization models through optimal control approaches; and the advances in decision support systems and GIS will allow the interfacing of all these technologies into some sophisticated and much needed tools for operating hydrosystems; - the ability to better understand the hydrologic processes and their relationships to other earth processes is important to understanding and modelling of the hydrologic cycle and its interactions with the ocean-atmosphere system; - and the solution to a better understanding of hydrologic sciences needs to be an international effort such as the GEWEX program briefly discussed above. I would like to thamk each of you for listening to my lecture and to once again thank those responsible for me being here today. Thank you.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.65-71
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• 2010

The hydrologic performance characteristics of small hydro power(SHP) sites located in four major river systems have been studied. The model, which can predict flow duration characteristic of stream, was developed to analyze the variation of inflow caused from rainfall condition. And another model to predict hydrologic performance for SHP plants is established. Monthly inflow data measured at Andong dam for 32 years were analyzed. The predicted results from the developed models in this study showed that the data were in good agreement with measured results of long term inflow at Andong dam. The results from hydrologic performance analysis for SHP sites located on five major river systems based on the models developed in this study show that the specific design flowrate and specific output of SHP site have large difference between the river systems.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제54권6호
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• pp.111-119
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• 2012

Applicability of 8 day interval flow data for the calibration of hydrologic model was evaluated using Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran (HSPF) at Kyungan watershed. The 8 day interval flow monitored by Ministry of Environment located at upstream was calibrated and periodically validated during 2004-2008. And continuous daily flow monitored by Ministry of Construction & Transportation (MOCT) and located at the mouth was compared with daily simulated data during 2004-2007 as spatial validation. Automatic calibration tool which is Model-Independent Parameter Estimation & Uncertainty Analysis (PEST) was applied for HSPF calibration procedure. The model efficiencies for calibration and periodic validation were 0.63 and 0.88, and model performances were fair and very good, respectively, based on criteria of calibration tolerances. Continuous daily stream flow at the mouth of Kyungan watershed were good agreement with observed continuous daily stream flow with showing 0.63 NS value. The PEST program is very useful tool for HSPF hydrologic calibration using non-continuous daily stream flow as well as continuous daily stream flow. The 8 day interval flow data monitored by MOE could be used to calibrate hydrologic model if the continuous daily stream flow is unavailable.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제17권12호
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• pp.1363-1372
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• 2008

In this study, long term semi distributed hydrologic model SWAT-K(Korea) is applied to the Seolma-Cheon watershed to analyze the hydrological components. Seolma-Cheon watershed has been operated as the test watershed of Korea Institute of Construction Technology for 13 years. Therefore it has an enough hydrologic data to analyze the hydrologic characteristics of small watershed. Especially, for the proper runoff analysis of steep watershed, calibration is performed reflecting the regression equation of slope and slope length. The simulated discharge shows good agreement with the observed one and the simulated evapotranspiration and groundwater discharge also show satisfactory results. Finally we presents the ratio of major hydrologic components for 3 years with those obsrved ones. This study is the basic research for future analyses such as relationship between hydrologic components and vegetation, watershed sediment nonpoint sources discharge etc.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제36권6호
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• pp.568-580
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• 2020

Calibrating a conceptual hydrologic model necessitates selection of a calibration period that produces the most reliable prediction. This often must be chosen randomly, however, since there is no objective guidance. Observation plays the most important role in the calibration or uncertainty evaluation of hydrologic models, in which the key factors are the length of the data and the hydro-climate conditions in which they were collected. In this study, we investigated the effect of the calibration period selected on the predictive performance and uncertainty of a model. After classifying the inflows of the Hapcheon Dam from 1991 to 2019 into four hydro-climate conditions (dry, wet, normal, and mixed), a conceptual hydrologic partitioning model was calibrated using data from the same hydro-climate condition. Then, predictive performance and post-parameter statistics were analyzed during the verification period under various hydro-climate conditions. The results of the study were as follows: 1) Hydro-climate conditions during the calibration period have a significant effect on model performance and uncertainty, 2) calibration of a hydrologic model using data in dry hydro-climate conditions is most advantageous in securing model performance for arbitrary hydro-climate conditions, and 3) the dry calibration can lead to more reliable model results.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제36권3호
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• pp.229-244
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• 2020

Hydrologic models, as a useful tool for understanding the hydrologic phenomena in the watershed, have become more complex with the increase of computer performance. The hydrologic model, with complex configurations and powerful performance, facilitates a broader understanding of the effects of climate and soil in hydrologic partitioning. However, the more complex the model is, the more effort and time is required to drive the model, and the more parameters it uses, the less accessible to the user and less applicable to the ungauged watershed. Rather, a parsimonious hydrologic model may be effective in hydrologic modeling of the ungauged watershed. Thus, a semi-distributed hydrologic partitioning model was developed with minimal composition and number of parameters to improve applicability. In this study, the validity and performance of the proposed model were confirmed by applying it to the Namgang Dam, Andong Dam, Hapcheon Dam, and Milyang Dam watersheds among the Nakdong River watersheds. From the results of the application, it was confirmed that despite the simple model structure, the hydrologic partitioning process of the watershed can be modeled relatively well through three vertical layers comprising the surface layer, the soil layer, and the aquifer. Additionally, discussions were conducted on antecedent soil moisture conditions widely applied to stormwater estimation using the soil moisture data simulated by the proposed model.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국농공학회 2002년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
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• pp.281-284
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• 2002

Geographic Information System (GIS) has advantage of analyzing spatial distributed data and handling spatial data for hydrologic analysis. Hydrologic Engineering Center's Hydrologic Modeling System(HEC-HMS) with HEC-GeoHMS was used to analyze flood runoff at agricultural small watershed. HEC-GeoHMS, which is an ArcView GIS extension designed to process geospatial data for HEC-HMS, is a useful tool for storing, managing, analyzing, and displaying spatially distributed data. Hydroligical component including peak discharge, time to peak, direct runoff, baseflow for Balhan study watershed, which is located in Whasung city, Kyunggi province, having an area of $29.79km^2$, were calculated using the HEC-HMS model with HEC-GeoHMS.