• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.49-68
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• 2002

The intent of this study is to develop system dynamics model for assessment of organizational and human factors in nuclear power plant which can contribute to secure the nuclear safety. Previous studies are classified into two major approaches. One is engineering approach such as ergonomics and probability safety assessment(PSA). The other is social science approach such like sociology, organization theory and psychology. Both have contributed to find organization and human factors and to present guideline to lessen human error in NPP. But, since these methodologies assume that relationship among factors is independent they don't explain the interactions among factors or variables in NPP. To overcome these limits, we have developed system dynamics model which can show cause and effect among factors and quantify organizational and human factors. The model we developed is composed of 16 functions of job process in nuclear power, and shows interactions among various factors which affects employees' productivity and job quality. Handling variables such like degree of leadership, adjustment of number of employee, and workload in each department, users can simulate various situations in nuclear power plant in the organization side. Through simulation, user can get insight to improve safety in plants and to find managerial tools in the organization and human side. Analyzing pattern of variables, users can get knowledge of their organization structure, and understand stands of other departments or employees. Ultimately they can build learning organization to secure optimal safety in nuclear power plant.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.25-32
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• 2022

This study analyzes the impact of occupational accidents on economic growth and labor productivty losses in Korea between January 2008 and July 2018, using the Vector Error-Correction Model (VECM). According to the analysis, the occurrence of occupational accidents was revealed to reduce the number of employed workers and also hinder economic growth. This can be reinterpreted as the reduction of occupational accidents does not cause labor losses in the industry, rather may induce economic growth. Also, the findings discovered that an increase in the number of workers may lead to increase in the probability of occupational accidents in the short term. This suggests that greater number of work-related accidents may occur during the early stages- due to new employees' lack of knowledge related to safety at workplace.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.93-99
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• 2023

This study aimed to determine relationships among risk factors influencing container port operation using Bayesian network. Risk factors identified from prior studies were classified into five groups: human error, machinery error, environmental risk, security risk, and natural disasters. P anel experts discussed identified risk factors to fulfil conditional probability tables of the interdependence model. The interdependence model was also validated by sensitivity analysis and provided an interrelation of factors influencing the direction of each other. Results of the interdependence model were partially in line with results from prior studies while practices in the global port industry confirmed interrelationships of risk factors. In addition, the relationship between top-ranked risk factors can provide a schematic drawing of the model. Accordingly, results of this study can expand the prior research in the Korean port industry, which may help port authorities improve risk management and reduce losses from the risk.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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• 제39권5호
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• pp.203-206
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• 2013

Statistics is the science of data. As the foundation of scientific knowledge, data refers to evidentiary facts from the nature of reality by human action, observation, or experiment. Clinicians should be aware of the conditions of good data to support the validity of clinical modalities in reading scientific articles, one of the resources to revise or update their clinical knowledge and skills. The cause-effect link between clinical modality and outcome is ascertained as pattern statistic. The uniformity of nature guarantees the recurrence of data as the basic scientific evidence. Variation statistics are examined for patterns of recurrence. This provides information on the probability of recurrence of the cause-effect phenomenon. Multiple causal factors of natural phenomenon need a counterproof of absence in terms of the control group. A pattern of relation between a causal factor and an effect becomes recognizable, and thus, should be estimated as relation statistic. The type and meaning of each relation statistic should be well-understood. A study regarding a sample from the population of wide variations require clinicians to be aware of error statistics due to random chance. Incomplete human sense, coarse measurement instrument, and preconceived idea as a hypothesis that tends to bias the research, which gives rise to the necessity of keen critical independent mind with regard to the reported data.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.10-19
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• 1996

In order to build a model to predict accidents in a complicated man-machine sytem, human errors and mechanical reliability can be viewed as the most important factors. Such factors are explicitly included in a generic model. Another point to keep in mind is that the model should be constructed so that the data in a type of accident can be utilized to predict other types of accidents. Based on such a generic prediction model, we analyze the effects of system reliability. When we improve the system reliability, in other words, when there are changes in model parameters, the predicted time to next accidents should be modified influencing the effects of system reliability improvements. We apply Bayesian approach and finds the formula to explain how a change on the machine reliability or human error probability influences the time to next accident.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.31-42
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• 2024

Different industries mostly rely on quality certification for promoting their products or brands. Although getting quality certification, specifically by human experts is a tough job to do. But the field of machine learning play a vital role in every aspect of life, if we talk about quality certification, machine learning is having a lot of applications concerning, assigning and assessing quality certifications to different products on a macro level. Like other brands, wine is also having different brands. In order to ensure the quality of wine, machine learning plays an important role. In this research, we use two datasets that are publicly available on the "UC Irvine machine learning repository", for predicting the wine quality. Datasets that we have opted for our experimental research study were comprised of white wine and red wine datasets, there are 1599 records for red wine and 4898 records for white wine datasets. The research study was twofold. First, we have used a technique called backward elimination in order to find out the dependency of the dependent variable on the independent variable and predict the dependent variable, the technique is useful for predicting which independent variable has maximum probability for improving the wine quality. Second, we used a robust machine learning algorithm known as "XGBoost" for efficient prediction of wine quality. We evaluate our model on the basis of error measures, root mean square error, mean absolute error, R2 error and mean square error. We have compared the results generated by "XGBoost" with the other state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, experimental results have showed, "XGBoost" outperform as compared to other state of the art machine learning techniques.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회발표논문집
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• pp.19-40
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• 2002

경제 활동의 근간이 되는 에너지 공급원으로서의 원자력 발전소는 그 경제적 성과의 중요성뿐만 아니라 안전성을 확보하는 것도 매우 중요하다. <그림 1>에서 볼 수 있듯이 원전의 안전성은 하드웨어(hardware) 개선을 포함한 공학적 성능과 조직 및 인적 관리 요소에 대한 부분이 상호 작용하는 시스템 구조를 갖음에도 불구하고, 원전의 경제성과 안전성을 확보하기 위한 조직 및 인적 관리분야에 대한 연구는 기술분야에 비해 상대적으로 소홀히 취급된 경향이 있다.(중략)

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권1호
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• pp.110-116
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• 2022

Human failure event (HFE) dependency analysis is a part of human reliability analysis (HRA). For efficient HFE dependency analysis, a maximum number of minimal cut sets (MCSs) that have HFE combinations are generated from the fault trees for the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of nuclear power plants (NPPs). After collecting potential HFE combinations, dependency levels of subsequent HFEs on the preceding HFEs in each MCS are analyzed and assigned as conditional probabilities. Then, HFE recovery is performed to reflect these conditional probabilities in MCSs by modifying MCSs. Inappropriate HFE dependency analysis and HFE recovery might lead to an inaccurate core damage frequency (CDF). Using the above process, HFE recovery is performed on MCSs that are generated with a non-zero truncation limit, where many MCSs that have HFE combinations are truncated. As a result, the resultant CDF might be underestimated. In this paper, a new method is suggested to incorporate HFE recovery into the MCS generation stage. Compared to the current approach with a separate HFE recovery after MCS generation, this new method can (1) reduce the total time and burden for MCS generation and HFE recovery, (2) prevent the truncation of MCSs that have dependent HFEs, and (3) avoid CDF underestimation. This new method is a simple but very effective means of performing MCS generation and HFE recovery simultaneously and improving CDF accuracy. The effectiveness and strength of the new method are clearly demonstrated and discussed with fault trees and HFE combinations that have joint probabilities.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제27권5호
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• pp.229-234
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• 2012

Operator's action time is evaluated from MAAP4 analysis used in conventional probabilistic safety assessment(PSA) of a nuclear power plant. MAAP4 code which was developed for severe accident analysis is too conservative to perform a realistic PSA. A best-estimate code such as RELAP5/MOD3, MARS has been used to reduce the conservatism of thermal hydraulic analysis. In this study, operator's action time of core cooling recovery operation is evaluated by using the MARS code, which its Fussell-Vessely(F-V) value was evaluated as highly important in a small break loss of coolant(SBLOCA) event and loss of component cooling water(LOCCW) event in previous PSA. The main conclusions were elicited : (1) MARS analysis provides larger time window for operator's action time than MAAP4 analysis and gives the more realistic time window in PSA (2) Sufficient operator's action time can reduce human error probability and core damage frequency in PSA.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권4호
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• pp.1271-1287
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• 2022

When abnormal operating conditions occur in nuclear power plants, operators must identify the occurrence cause and implement the necessary mitigation measures. Accordingly, the operator must rapidly and accurately analyze the symptom requirements of more than 200 abnormal scenarios from the trends of many variables to perform diagnostic tasks and implement mitigation actions rapidly. However, the probability of human error increases owing to the characteristics of the diagnostic tasks performed by the operator. Researches regarding diagnostic tasks based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) have been conducted recently to reduce the likelihood of human errors; however, reliability issues due to the black box characteristics of AI have been pointed out. Hence, the application of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), which can provide AI diagnostic evidence for operators, is considered. In conclusion, the XAI to solve the reliability problem of AI is included in the AI-based diagnostic algorithm. A reliable intelligent diagnostic assistant based on a merged diagnostic algorithm, in the form of an operator support system, is developed, and includes an interface to efficiently inform operators.