• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.198-198
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• 2020

기후 내적 변동성(Climate Internal Variability, CIV)은 기후를 이해하는 데 중요한 역할을 하며 기후예측에 있어 주요 불확실성 원인들 중 하나이다. 본 연구는 다양한 이산화탄소 배출 시나리오에 대해 CIV와 기후학적 평균(Climatological Mean, CM)을 추정하는 것을 목표로 한다. 확률론적 날씨생성기(Stochastic Weather Generator)를 이용하여 국내 40개 기상 관측소에 대해, 30년에 해당하는 시단위 시계열 100개 앙상블을 생성하였다. CIV는 Detrend 방법과 Differenced 방법을 이용하여 추정되었으며, noise 계산값과 비교하였다. 그 결과, CIV 값과 noise 값들 사이의 correlation이 매우 높았으며, 제시된 방법론이 신뢰할 수 있음을 검증하였다. 국내 40개 지역에 적용하여 계산된 CIV와 CM의 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. (1) 국내의 대부분의 지역에 있어 평균적으로 CM과 CIV는 미래에 증가할 것이며, 그 증가 정도는 RCP 8.5의 경우와 먼 미래END(2071-2100년) 기간에서 더 커질 것이다; (2) CM과 CIV의 미래 변화의 특성은 강수의 특성 지수에 따라 다르다. 강수량의 양을 나타내는 3개의 지수(총 강수량, totPr, 일 최대 강수량, maxDa 및 시간당 최대 강수량, maxHr)와 강수량의 발생일수를 나타내는 지수(무강우 일수, nonPr)의 특성은 크게 다르다. (3) CIV와 CM의 변화 요인들 사이의 관계를 조사하면 maxDa와 maxHr에 대해서는 그들 사이에 높은 상관관계가 있지만 다른 지수에는 그렇지 않다. (4) 국내에서 CIV 값이 공간적으로 변동성이 큰 경우는 계절적으로 여름이며, 이는 totPr 및 maxDa에서만 유효하다. 시단위 시계열 앙상블을 생성하여 추정된 기후내적변동성 정보는 기후 변화의 영향을 평가하고 적절한 적응 및 대응 전략을 개발하는 데 도움이 될 것이다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.140-140
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• 2021

Urban flood management is a crucial and challenging task, particularly in developed cities. Therefore, accurate prediction of urban flooding under heavy precipitation is critically important to address such a challenge. In recent years, machine learning techniques have received considerable attention for their strong learning ability and suitability for modeling complex and nonlinear hydrological processes. Moreover, a survey of the published literature finds that hybrid computational intelligent methods using nature-inspired algorithms have been increasingly employed to predict or simulate the streamflow with high reliability. The present study is aimed to propose a novel approach, an ensemble tree, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model incorporating a nature-inspired algorithm to predict hourly multi-step ahead streamflow. For this reason, a hybrid intelligent model was developed, namely GA-BART, containing BART model integrating with Genetic algorithm (GA). The Jungrang urban basin located in Seoul, South Korea, was selected as a case study for the purpose. A database was established based on 39 heavy rainfall events during 2003 and 2020 that collected from the rain gauges and monitoring stations system in the basin. For the goal of this study, the different step ahead models will be developed based in the methods, including 1-hour, 2-hour, 3-hour, 4-hour, 5-hour, and 6-hour step ahead streamflow predictions. In addition, the comparison of the hybrid BART model with a baseline model such as super vector regression models is examined in this study. It is expected that the hybrid BART model has a robust performance and can be an optional choice in streamflow forecasting for urban basins.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.2B
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• pp.155-162
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• 2009

Univariate frequency analyses are widely used in practical hydrologic design. However, a storm event is usually characterized by amount, intensity, and duration of the storm. To fully understand these characteristics and to use them appropriately in hydrologic design, a multivariate statistical approach is necessary. This study applied a Gumbel mixed model to a bivariate storm frequency analysis using hourly rainfall data collected for 46 years at the Seoul rainfall gauge station in Korea. This study estimated bivariate return periods of a storm such as joint return periods and conditional return periods based on the estimation of joint cumulative distribution functions of storm characteristics. These information on statistical behaviors of a storm can be of great usefulness in the analysis and assessment of the risk associated with hydrologic design problems.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.1D
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• pp.11-16
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• 2009

The estimation of total travel time on highway link for a day or year is the most important process for the feasibility analysis of highway or railway. Most of current guidelines for feasibility studies have been based on the time-traffic volume relationship from the BPR, and the traffic volumes have been determined by the application of the design hour factor to the annual average daily traffic volume. Both of the BPR function and the application of the design hour volume may result in the over-estimation of travel time due to the fact that the traffic volume on the large portion of highway links in Korea are close to the capacities. This study proposed a new way which is based on the distribution of hourly volumes for a year. It could be closer to the real situation, and provide more reasonable estimation. This methodology was validated for the national highways, but may be applicable for any type of highway with the AADT.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.2B
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• pp.131-139
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• 2009

Recently frequent occurrences of heavy rainfall and increases of rainfall intensity resulted in severe flood damage in Korea. In order to mitigate the vulnerability of flood, it is necessary to estimate proper design rainfalls considering the increasing trend of extreme rainfalls for hydrologic planning and design. This study focused the estimation of design rainfalls in a design target year. Tests of trend indicated that there are 7 sites showing increasing trends among 56 sites which have hourly data more than 30 years in Korea. This study analyzed the relationship between mean of annual maximum rainfalls and parameters of the Gumbel distribution. Based on the relationship, this study estimated the probability density function and design rainfalls in a design target year, and then constructed the rainfall-frequency curve. The proposed method estimated the design rainfalls 6-20% higher than those from the stationary rainfall frequency analysis.

• Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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• v.42 no.2
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• pp.93-103
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• 2023

Persistence and degradation patterns of acequinocyl and its metabolite, hydroxyl-acequinocyl (acequinocyl-OH) and fenpyroximate in butterburs (Petasites japonicus Max.) were investigated after pesticide application. Butterburs, one of the minor crops in South Korea, was planted in two plots (plot A for double and plot B for single application) in a greenhouse. Butterburs samples were also planted in a separate plot without pesticide treatment, as the control. A commercial pesticide containing acequinocyl and fenpyroximate was applied to the foliage of butterburs at hourly intervals after dilution. Recoveries of acequinocyl and acequinocyl-OH were 78.6-84.7% and 83.7-95.5%, respectively; the relative standard deviation of the two compounds were less than 5%. The method limit of quantification was 0.01 mg/kg. The total (Ʃ) acequinocyl residues in butterburs reduced by 96.0% at 14 days and 75.9% at 7 days, in plot A and B, respectively, after final pesticide applications. The biological half-life (DT₅₀) of Ʃ acequinocyl and fenpyroximate, calculated using the dissipation rate, was 3.0 days and 4.0 days, respectively. These data were used to set up maximum residue and safe standard levels when the pesticides are applied to control pests during butterbur cultivation. Risk assessment results showed that the maximum % acceptable daily intake was 7.74% for Ʃ acequinocyl and 0.16% for Ʃ fenpyroximate. The theoretical maximum daily intake of Ʃ acequinocyl and fenpyroximate was 26.3% and 35.8%, respectively. In conclusion, the concentrations of Ʃ acequinocyl and fenpyroximate in butterburs pose no significant health risks to Koreans.

• Korean Journal of Plant Resources
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.282-289
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• 2023

Glycyrrhiza korshinskyi Grig. (Gk), which is a new variety of Glycyrrhiza, was developed by the National Institute of Horticultural and Herbal Science in Korea Rural Development Administration. It is improved the limitations of traditional Glycrrhiza species such as G. uralensis Fisch., G. glabra L., and G. inflata Batal. and has been reported various pharmacological effects. The aim of this study is to investigate the protective effect of Gk on the acute pancreatitis, because which has not been revealed yet. AP was induced via intraperitoneal injection of cerulein (50 ㎍/kg) hourly for 7 times in C57BL/6 mice. Gk water extract (20 or 50 mg/kg) or saline was administrated via oral gavage 1 h before the first injection of cerulein. The mice were sacrificed at 5 h after the final injection of cerulein. The inflammatory cell infiltration in pancreatic tissue was decreased by the administration of Gk water extract compared to the AP group. Also, serum amylase and lipase levels were decreased by the administration of Gk water extract compared to the AP group. These results suggest that Gk have protective effect on the acute pancreatitis.

• Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.134-139
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• 2024

In the steam reforming of methane reactions, the effect of adding noble metals Ru and Pd to a Ni-based catalyst as promoters was analyzed in terms of catalytic activity and hydrogen production. The synthesized catalysts were coated on the surface of a honeycomb-structured metal monolith to perform steam methane reforming reactions. The catalysts were characterized by XRD, TPR, and SEM, and after the reforming reaction, the gas composition was analyzed by GC to measure methane conversion, hydrogen yield, and CO selectivity. The addition of 0.5 wt% Ru improved the reduction properties of the Ni catalyst and exhibited enhanced catalytic activity with a methane conversion of 99.91%. In addition, reaction characteristics were analyzed according to various process conditions. Methane conversion of over 90% and hydrogen yield of more than 3.3 were achieved at a reaction temperature of 800 ℃, a gas hourly space velocity (GHSV) of less than 10000 h^-1, and a ratio of H₂O to CH₄ (S/C) higher than 3.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.40 no.3
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• pp.269-274
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• 2024

High-quality precipitation data are crucial for various industries, including disaster prevention. In South Korea, long-term high-quality data are collected through numerous ground observation stations. However, data between these stations are reprocessed into a grid format using interpolation methods, which may not perfectly match actual precipitation. A prime example of real-time observational grid data globally is the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM IMERG) from National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), while in South Korea, ground radar data are more commonly used. GPM and ground radar data exhibit distinct differences due to their respective processing methods. This study aims to analyze the characteristics of GPM and Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator(CAPPI),representative real-time grid data, by comparing them with ground-observed precipitation data. The study period spans from 2021 to 2022, focusing on hourly data from Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) sites in South Korea. The GPM data tend to underestimate precipitation compared to ASOS data, while CAPPI shows errors in estimating low precipitation amounts. Through this comparative analysis, the study anticipates identifying key considerations for utilizing these data in various applied fields, such as recalculating design rainfall, thereby aiding researchers in improving prediction accuracy by using appropriate data.

• Atmosphere
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.97-106
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• 2024

The seasonal forecast skill of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Northern Hemisphere from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Global Seasonal Forecast System version 6 (GloSea6) hindcast has been verified for the period 1993 to 2016. The operational climate prediction system at KMA was upgraded from GloSea5 to GloSea6 in 2022, therefore further validation was warranted for the seasonal predictability and variability of this new system for TC forecasts. In this study, we examine the frequency, track density, duration, and strength of TCs in the North Indian Ocean, the western North Pacific, the eastern North Pacific, and the North Atlantic against the best track data. This methodology follows a previous study covering the period 1996 to 2009 published in 2020. GloSea6 indicates a higher frequency of TC generation compared to observations in the western North Pacific and the eastern North Pacific, suggesting the possibility of more TC generation than GloSea5. Additionally, GloSea6 exhibits better interannual variability of TC frequency, which shows relatively good correlation with observations in the North Atlantic and the western North Pacific. Regarding TC intensity, GloSea6 still underestimates the minimum surface pressures and maximum wind speeds from TCs, as is common among most climate models due to lower horizontal resolutions. However, GloSea6 is likely capable of simulating slightly stronger TCs than GloSea5, partly attributed to more frequent 6-hourly outputs compared to the previous daily outputs.