• 제목/요약/키워드: Hourly

Search Result 1,153, Processing Time 0.034 seconds

Evaluation of Multi-classification Model Performance for Algal Bloom Prediction Using CatBoost (머신러닝 CatBoost 다중 분류 알고리즘을 이용한 조류 발생 예측 모형 성능 평가 연구)

  • Juneoh Kim;Jungsu Park
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2023
  • Monitoring and prediction of water quality are essential for effective river pollution prevention and water quality management. In this study, a multi-classification model was developed to predict chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) level in rivers. A model was developed using CatBoost, a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm. The model was developed using hourly field monitoring data collected from January 1 to December 31, 2015. For model development, chl-a was classified into class 1 (Chl-a≤10 ㎍/L), class 2 (10<Chl-a≤50 ㎍/L), and class 3 (Chl-a>50 ㎍/L), where the number of data used for the model training were 27,192, 11,031, and 511, respectively. The macro averages of precision, recall, and F1-score for the three classes were 0.58, 0.58, and 0.58, respectively, while the weighted averages were 0.89, 0.90, and 0.89, for precision, recall, and F1-score, respectively. The model showed relatively poor performance for class 3 where the number of observations was much smaller compared to the other two classes. The imbalance of data distribution among the three classes was resolved by using the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm, where the number of data used for model training was evenly distributed as 26,868 for each class. The model performance was improved with the macro averages of precision, rcall, and F1-score of the three classes as 0.58, 0.70, and 0.59, respectively, while the weighted averages were 0.88, 0.84, and 0.86 after SMOTE application.

What are the benefits and challenges of multi-purpose dam operation modeling via deep learning : A case study of Seomjin River

  • Eun Mi Lee;Jong Hun Kam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.246-246
    • /
    • 2023
  • Multi-purpose dams are operated accounting for both physical and socioeconomic factors. This study aims to evaluate the utility of a deep learning algorithm-based model for three multi-purpose dam operation (Seomjin River dam, Juam dam, and Juam Control dam) in Seomjin River. In this study, the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) algorithm is applied to predict hourly water level of the dam reservoirs over 2002-2021. The hyper-parameters are optimized by the Bayesian optimization algorithm to enhance the prediction skill of the GRU model. The GRU models are set by the following cases: single dam input - single dam output (S-S), multi-dam input - single dam output (M-S), and multi-dam input - multi-dam output (M-M). Results show that the S-S cases with the local dam information have the highest accuracy above 0.8 of NSE. Results from the M-S and M-M model cases confirm that upstream dam information can bring important information for downstream dam operation prediction. The S-S models are simulated with altered outflows (-40% to +40%) to generate the simulated water level of the dam reservoir as alternative dam operational scenarios. The alternative S-S model simulations show physically inconsistent results, indicating that our deep learning algorithm-based model is not explainable for multi-purpose dam operation patterns. To better understand this limitation, we further analyze the relationship between observed water level and outflow of each dam. Results show that complexity in outflow-water level relationship causes the limited predictability of the GRU algorithm-based model. This study highlights the importance of socioeconomic factors from hidden multi-purpose dam operation processes on not only physical processes-based modeling but also aritificial intelligence modeling.

  • PDF

Stochastic simulation of future sub-hourly rainfall using Poisson cluster rainfall model (포아송 클러스터 강우 모형을 이용한 미래 시단위 이하 강우의 추계학적 모의)

  • Jeongha Park;Dongkyun Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.284-284
    • /
    • 2023
  • 도시 침수의 발생과 규모는 도시 유역이 가지는 짧은 도달 시간으로 인하여 주로 시단위 이하의 짧은 지속시간의 강우의 극한 및 변동성에 따라 결정된다. 미래 기간에 대하여 도시 수문 시스템의 적정성을 평가하기 위해서는 기후변화에 따른 시단위 이하 강우의 특성을 살펴보아야한다. 그러나 기후변화 영향 평가 도구로 활용되는 기후 모형들은 대부분 일단위의 결과물을 제공하여 시단위 이하의 미세 규모 강우의 특성을 나타낼 수 없다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 기후 모형 모의 결과와 포아송 클러스터 강우 모형을 이용하여 미래 시단위 이하 강우 시계열을 모의하는 방법을 제안한다. 첫째로, 포아송 클러스터 기반 강우 생성 알고리즘과 폭풍우 재배열 알고리즘을 결합한 최신 모형을 선정하였다. 해당 모형은 광범위한 시간 규모에서 관측된 강우량의 주요 통계와 극값을 재현할 수 있는 모형이다. 그 다음 강우 모형에 적합시킬 관측 강우량 통계(평균, 분산, 공분산, 왜도, 우기 비율)를 계산하였다. 둘째, 강우 통계 간의 선형 관계를 도출하였다. 여기서는 클러스터에 있는 모든 관측소의 통계를 사용하여 회귀의 신뢰도를 높였다. 셋째, 강우 평균 조정을 위한 Change Factor는 제어(2000~2019년) 및 미래(2041~2070년) 기간의 기후 모형 자료를 사용하여 계산하였다. 넷째, 조정된 15분 강우 평균은 관측 평균에 Change Factor을 곱하여 계산하고 조정된 강우 평균과 통계 간의 관계를 사용하여 미래 강우 통계 세트를 추정하였다. 여러 통계 세트를 생성한 후 마지막으로 미래 통계에 강우 모형을 적합시켜 최종적으로 미래 시단위 이하 강우 시계열을 모의하였다. 이 방법은 CMIP6에 참여하는 기후 모델의 기후 예측 데이터를 사용하여 용산(415) 및 동래(940) AWS 관측소에 적용되었다. 두 관측소의 미래 강우 모의 결과, 시단위 이하 시간 규모에서 극값이 증가하는 추세를 보였다.

  • PDF

Estimation of future probabilistic precipitation in urban watersheds and river flooding simulation considering IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) (IPCC 6차 평가 보고서(AR6)를 고려한 도시 유역 확률 강우량 산정과 하천 침수 모의)

  • Jun Seo Yoon;Im Gook Jung;Da Hong Kim;Jae Pil Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2023.05a
    • /
    • pp.88-88
    • /
    • 2023
  • 지난 100년 동안 전 지구의 기상 이변이 꾸준히 증가하고 있다. 기후 변화는 도시 홍수 피해에 큰 영향을 끼치는데 급속한 도시화와 이상 기후로 인한 돌발 강우 패턴의 증가는 도시 침수의 취약성을 가중시킨다. 또한 급격한 도시 발전으로 인한 도심지의 불투수율 또한 꾸준히 증가하였다. 특히 2022년 8월 8일에 강남역과 도림천 일대에 내린 기록적인 강우는 기후 변화를 실감하게 하는 사회적 이슈가 되었으며 도심지 미래 수방 대책 변화를 상기시키는 계기가 되었다. 이로 인한 재해 피해에 최소화하기 위해 미래 기후 변화를 고려한 도심지의 새로운 방재 목표강우량 설정이 필요하다. 하지만 전 지구 모형(GCM)의 기후 변화 시나리오는 일 단위(Daily) 상세화 자료를 보편적으로 사용하고 있다. 하지만 이는 단기 강우 자료를 필요로 하는 도시 홍수 모의에서 제대로 활용할 수 없는 한계를 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 2019년에 발간된 IPCC 6차 평가 보고서(AR6)가 제안하는 SSP(Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, 공통사회경제경로) 시나리오를 기반하여 상세화된 일 단위(Daily) 강우 데이터를 비모수적 통계 기법을 사용하여 시간 단위(Hourly)로 상세화하였다. 또한 지속 시간별 연 최대치 강우를 추출하여 빈도 해석을 통해 도시 유역의 미래 확률 강우량을 제시하였으며, 서울시 상습적인 침수 취약 지역인 도림천 유역에 강우-유출 모형(XP-SWMM)을 사용하여 미래전망 기후 자료인 SSP2-4.5와 SSP5-8.5에 따른 미래 확률 강우 침수 모의를 실시하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 최신 기후 변화 시나리오를 고려한 서울시 방재 성능 목표 강우량 산정에 활용 가능할 것으로 사료되며 미래 강우량 침수 모의를 통해 침수 취약 구역인 도림천 일대 홍수피해의 근거 자료가 되는 것에 의의를 둔다. 또한 치수 분야에서 기후 변화를 고려하기 위해서는 기후 변화 시나리오에 따른 시간 단위 자료의 상세화가 필요함을 시사한다.

  • PDF

Modeling Solar Irradiance in Tajikistan with XGBoost Algorithm (XGBoost를 이용한 타지키스탄 일사량 예측 모델)

  • Jeongdu Noh;Taeyoo Na;Seong-Seung Kang
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.403-411
    • /
    • 2023
  • The possibility of utilizing radiant solar energy as a renewable energy resource in Tajikistan was investigated by assessing solar irradiance using XGBoost algorithm. Through training, validation, and testing, the seasonality of solar irradiance was clear in both actual and predicted values. Calculation of hourly values of solar irradiance on 1 July 2016, 2017, 2018, and 2019 indicated maximum actual and predicted values of 1,005 and 1,009 W/m2, 939 and 997 W/m2, 1,022 and 1,012 W/m2, 1,055 and 1,019 W/m2, respectively, with actual and predicted values being within 0.4~5.8%. XGBoost is thus a useful tool in predicting solar irradiance in Tajikistan and evaluating the possibility of utilizing radiant solar energy.

Relationship between Low-level Clouds and Large-scale Environmental Conditions around the Globe

  • Sungsu Park;Chanwoo Song;Daeok Youn
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.43 no.6
    • /
    • pp.712-736
    • /
    • 2022
  • To understand the characteristics of low-level clouds (CLs), environmental variables are composited on each CL using individual surface observations and six-hourly upper-air meteorologies around the globe. Individual CLs has its own distinct environmental conditions. Over the eastern subtropical and western North Pacific Ocean in JJA, stratocumulus (CL5) has a colder sea surface temperature (SST), stronger and lower inversion, and more low-level cloud amount (LCA) than the climatology whereas cumulus (CL12) has the opposite characteristics. Over the eastern subtropical Pacific, CL5 and CL12 are influenced by cold and warm advection within the PBL, respectively but have similar cold advection over the western North Pacific. This indicates that the fundamental physical process distinguishing CL5 and CL12 is not the horizontal temperature advection but the interaction with the underlying sea surface, i.e., the deepening-decoupling of PBL and the positive feedback between shortwave radiation and SST. Over the western North Pacific during JJA, sky-obscuring fog (CL11), no low-level cloud (CL0), and fair weather stratus (CL6) are associated with anomalous warm advection, surface-based inversion, mean upward flow, and moist mid-troposphere with the strongest anomalies for CL11 followed by CL0. Over the western North Pacific during DJF, bad weather stratus (CL7) occurs in the warm front of the extratropical cyclone with anomalous upward flow while cumulonimbus (CL39) occurs on the rear side of the cold front with anomalous downward flow. Over the tropical oceans, CL7 has strong positive (negative) anomalies of temperature in the upper troposphere (PBL), relative humidity, and surface wind speed in association with the mesoscale convective system while CL12 has the opposite anomalies and CL39 is in between.

Development of Cloud based Data Collection and Analysis for Manufacturing (클라우드 기반의 생산설비 데이터 수집 및 분석 시스템 개발)

  • Young-Dong Lee
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.216-221
    • /
    • 2022
  • The 4th industrial revolution is accelerating the transition to digital innovation in various aspects of our daily lives, and efforts for manufacturing innovation are continuing in the manufacturing industry, such as smart factories. The 4th industrial revolution technology in manufacturing can be used based on AI, big data, IoT, cloud, and robots. Through this, it is required to develop a technology to establish a production facility data collection and analysis system that has evolved from the existing automation and to find the cause of defects and minimize the defect rate. In this paper, we implemented a system that collects power, environment, and status data from production facility sites through IoT devices, quantifies them in real-time in a cloud computing environment, and displays them in the form of MQTT-based real-time infographics using widgets. The real-time sensor data transmitted from the IoT device is stored to the cloud server through a Rest API method. In addition, the administrator could remotely monitor the data on the dashboard and analyze it hourly and daily.

Effects of Mg Addition to Cu/Al2O3 Catalyst for Low-Temperature Water Gas Shift (LT-WGS) Reaction

  • Zakia Akter Sonia;Ji Hye Park;Wathone Oo;Kwang Bok Yi
    • Clean Technology
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.39-45
    • /
    • 2023
  • To investigate the effects of Mg addition at different aging times and temperatures, Cu/MgO/Al2O3 catalysts were synthesized for the low-temperature water gas shift (LT-WGS) reaction. The co-precipitation method was employed to prepare the catalysts with a fixed Cu amount of 30 mol% and varied amounts of Mg/Al. Synthesized catalysts were characterized using XRD, BET, and H2-TPR analysis. Among the prepared catalysts, the highest CO conversion was achieved by the Cu/MgO/Al2O3 catalyst (30/40/30 mol%) with a 60 ℃ aging temperature and a 24 h aging time under a CO2-rich feed gas. Due to it having the lowest reduction temperature and a good dispersion of CuO, the catalyst exhibited around 65% CO conversion with a gas hourly space velocity (GHSV) of 14,089 h-1 at 300 ℃. However, it has been noted that aging temperatures greater or less than 60 ℃ and aging times longer than 24 h had an adverse impact, resulting in a lower surface area and a higher reduction temperature bulk-CuO phase, leading to lower catalytic activity. The main findings of this study confirmed that one of the main factors determining catalytic activity is the ease of reducibility in the absence of bulk-like CuO species. Finally, the long-term test revealed that the catalytic activity and stability remained constant under a high concentration of CO2 in the feed gas for 19 h with an average CO conversion of 61.83%.

The Comparison of Moisturizing Effect of Cold Water Gargling, Wet Gauze Application and Humidification in Reducing Thirst and Mouth Dryness after Nasal Surgery (냉수 가글링이 비강 수술 후 환자의 갈증 및 구강 상태에 미치는 효과)

  • Hur, Young Sook;Shin, Kyoung A;Lee, Whun Jin;Lee, Jung Ok;Im, Hye Jin;Kim, Yun Mi
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-53
    • /
    • 2009
  • Purpose: This study aimed to compare the moisturizing effect of cold water gargling, wet gauze application and humidification in reducing thirst and mouth dryness after nasal surgery. Method: Patients were randomly assigned into three groups of 19 subjects each. In the two intervention groups, each group was received hourly cold water gargling or wet gauze application for 4 hours postoperatively. In the control group, the subjects were received only humidification continuously on a bedside. We compared the thirst and oral condition at 0, 2, 4hours. after operation. Thirst was measured using VAS questionnaire, and oral condition(mouth dryness) by Oral Assessment Guide. Results: There was a significant difference among three groups in the level of thirst and mouth dryness. In the cold water gargling group, there was a significant decrease in thirst at 2, 4hours. In the wet gauze group, there was a significant decrease in thirst at 4hours. In the intervention group, there was a significant decrease in mouth dryness at 2, 4hours. In the control group, there was a significant decrease in mouth dryness at 4hours. Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest that the cold water gargling would be an effective nursing intervention to reduce thirst and mouth dryness postoperatively.

Behavioral responses to cow and calf separation: separation at 1 and 100 days after birth

  • Sarah E. Mac;Sabrina Lomax;Cameron E. F. Clark
    • Animal Bioscience
    • /
    • v.36 no.5
    • /
    • pp.810-817
    • /
    • 2023
  • Objective: The aim was to compare the behavioral response to full separation of cows and calves maintained together for 100 days or 24 h. Methods: Twelve Holstein-Friesian cow-calf pairs were enrolled into either treatment or industry groups (n = 6 cow-calf pairs/group). The treatment cows and calves were maintained on pasture together for 106±8.6 d and temporarily separated twice a day for milking. The Industry cows and their calves, were separated within 24 h postpartum. Triaxial accelerometer neck-mounted sensors were fitted to cows 3 weeks before separation to measure hourly rumination and activity. Before separation, cow and calf behavior was observed by scan sampling for 15 min. During the separation process, frequency of vocalizations and turn arounds were recorded. At separation, cows were moved to an observation pen where behavior was recorded for 3 d. A CCTV camera was used to record video footage of cows within the observation pens and behavior was documented from the videos in 15 min intervals across the 3 d. Results: Before separation, industry calves were more likely to be near their mother than Treatment calves. During the separation process, vocalization and turn around behavior was similar between groups. After full separation, treatment cows vocalized three times more than industry cows. However, the frequency of time spent close to barrier, standing, lying, walking, and eating were similar between industry and treatment cows. Treatment cows had greater rumination duration, and were more active, than industry cows. Conclusion: These findings suggest a similar behavioral response to full calf separation and greater occurrence of vocalizations, from cows maintained in a long-term, pasture-based, cow-calf rearing system when ompared to cows separated within 24 h. However, further work is required to assess the impact of full separation on calf behavior.