• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hourly

Search Result 1,153, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Exploration and Application of Regulatory PM10 Measurement Data for Developing Long-term Prediction Models in South Korea (PM10 장기노출 예측모형 개발을 위한 국가 대기오염측정자료의 탐색과 활용)

  • Yi, Seon-Ju;Kim, Ho;Kim, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
    • /
    • v.32 no.1
    • /
    • pp.114-126
    • /
    • 2016
  • Many cohort studies have reported associations of individual-level long-term exposures to $PM_{10}$ and health outcomes. Individual exposures were often estimated by using exposure prediction models relying on $PM_{10}$ data measured at national regulatory monitoring sites. This study explored spatial and temporal characteristics of regulatory $PM_{10}$ measurement data in South Korea and suggested $PM_{10}$ concentration metrics as long-term exposures for assessing health effects in cohort studies. We obtained hourly $PM_{10}$ data from the National Institute of Environmental Research for 2001~2012 in South Korea. We investigated spatial distribution of monitoring sites using the density and proximity in each of the 16 metropolitan cities and provinces. The temporal characteristics of $PM_{10}$ measurement data were examined by annual/seasonal/diurnal patterns across urban background monitoring sites after excluding Asian dust days. For spatial characteristics of $PM_{10}$ measurement data, we computed coefficient of variation (CV) and coefficient of divergence (COD). Based on temporal and spatial investigation, we suggested preferred long-term metrics for cohort studies. In 2010, 294 urban background monitoring sites were located in South Korea with a site over an area of $415.0km^2$ and distant from another site by 31.0 km on average. Annual average $PM_{10}$ concentrations decreased by 19.8% from 2001 to 2012, and seasonal $PM_{10}$ patterns were consistent over study years with higher concentrations in spring and winter. Spatial variability was relatively small with 6~19% of CV and 21~46% of COD across 16 metropolitan cities and provinces in 2010. To maximize spatial coverage and reflect temporal and spatial distributions, our suggestion for $PM_{10}$ metrics representing long-term exposures was the average for one or multiple years after 2009. This study provides the knowledge of all available $PM_{10}$ data measured at national regulatory monitoring sites in South Korea and the insight of the plausible longterm exposure metric for cohort studies.

Proposal of a Step-by-Step Optimized Campus Power Forecast Model using CNN-LSTM Deep Learning (CNN-LSTM 딥러닝 기반 캠퍼스 전력 예측 모델 최적화 단계 제시)

  • Kim, Yein;Lee, Seeun;Kwon, Youngsung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.10
    • /
    • pp.8-15
    • /
    • 2020
  • A forecasting method using deep learning does not have consistent results due to the differences in the characteristics of the dataset, even though they have the same forecasting models and parameters. For example, the forecasting model X optimized with dataset A would not produce the optimized result with another dataset B. The forecasting model with the characteristics of the dataset needs to be optimized to increase the accuracy of the forecasting model. Therefore, this paper proposes novel optimization steps for outlier removal, dataset classification, and a CNN-LSTM-based hyperparameter tuning process to forecast the daily power usage of a university campus based on the hourly interval. The proposing model produces high forecasting accuracy with a 2% of MAPE with a single power input variable. The proposing model can be used in EMS to suggest improved strategies to users and consequently to improve the power efficiency.

Studies on a Plan for Afforestation at Tong-ri Beach Resort - Analysis of Factors Causing Disasters around Beach - (통리해수욕장(桶里海水浴場) 녹지대조성(綠地帶造成)에 관(關)한 연구(研究)(I) - 사구지주변(砂丘地周邊)의 재해요인분석(災害要因分析) -)

  • Cho, Hi Doo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.77 no.2
    • /
    • pp.178-185
    • /
    • 1988
  • This study is carried out for analyzing the factors causing several disasters occurring around beach area in order to set a plan for an afforestation which will fulfill its function as facilities for prevention of disasters and for relaxation around beach resort at Tong-ri, Pokil-my$\bar{o}$n, Wando-gun. The results are as follows : 1. The main wind direction was summer was SE. 2. The first class in the rate of frequency of the hourly average wind speed and the instantaneous wind speed in summer were 2.1-3.0m/sec (29.2%) and 1.1-2.0m/sec (30.6%) respectively. 3. The particle sizes of the dune sands was a little small (82.5% in 0.125 to 0.25mm, $D_{50}=0.178mm$). 4. The mineral composition and the chemical components were as follows : The main mineral : Quartz The accessary minerals : Calcite, Feldspars(Orthoclase), Sericite. The chemical components : $SiO_2$ ; 75.6%. $Al_2O_3$ ; 8.1%, CaO ; 7.76%, Ign. loss ; 6.8%, MgO ; 0.23%, $K_2O$ ; 0.72%, $Na_2O$ ; 0.41%, $Fe_2O_3$ ; 0.32%. 5. The threshold friction velocity equation for the diameter class of the dune sands was $y=4.191x^{0.221}$. 6. The amount of floating salt was maximum at the point of 65m away from beach line, dropped abruptly at 135m and remained almost same on its way to the inland. The equation of the amount of floating salt was $y=28.181{\times}(-0.369^x)$. 7. The amount of extracted salt(33%) in seawater in summer was the same as the one of the nearest seawater of Korea.

  • PDF

Application of GIS to the Universal Soil Loss Equation for Quantifying Rainfall Erosion in Forest Watersheds (산림유역의 토양유실량(土壤流失量) 예측을 위한 지리정보(地理情報)시스템의 범용토양유실식(汎用土壤流失式)(USLE)에의 적용)

  • Lee, Kyu Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.83 no.3
    • /
    • pp.322-330
    • /
    • 1994
  • The Universal Soil Loss Equation (USLE) has been widely used to predict long-term soil loss by incorporating several erosion factors, such as rainfall, soil, topography, and vegetation. This study is aimed to introduce the LISLE within geographic information system(GIS) environment. The Kwangneung Experimental Forest located in Kyongki Province was selected for the study area. Initially, twelve years of hourly rainfall records that were collected from 1982 to 1993 were processed to obtain the rainfall factor(R) value for the LISLE calculation. Soil survey map and topographic map of the study area were digitized and subsequent input values(K, L, S factors) were derived. The cover type and management factor (C) values were obtained from the classification of Landsat Thematic Mapper(CM) satellite imagery. All these input values were geographically registered over a common map coordinate with $25{\times}25m^2$ ground resolution. The USLE was calculated for every grid location by selecting necessary input values from the digital base maps. Once the LISLE was calculated, the resultant soil loss values(A) were represented by both numerical values and map format. Using GIS to run the LISLE, it is possible to pent out the exact locations where soil loss potential is high. In addition, this approach can be a very effective tool to monitor possible soil loss hazard under the situations of forest changes, such as conversion of forest lands to other uses, forest road construction, timber harvesting, and forest damages caused by fire, insect, and diseases.

  • PDF

Prediction of Heating Load for Optimum Heat Supply in Apartment Building (공동주택의 최적 열공급을 위한 난방부하 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Kim, Tae-Ho;Han, Kyou-Hyun;Yoon, Hong-Ik;Kang, Hyung-Chul;Kim, Kyung-Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
    • /
    • v.36 no.8
    • /
    • pp.803-809
    • /
    • 2012
  • It is necessary to predict the heating load in order to determine the optimal scheduling control of district heating systems. Heating loads are affected by many complex parameters, and therefore, it is necessary to develop an efficient, flexible, and easy to use prediction method for the heating load. In this study, simple specifications included in a building design document and the estimated temperature and humidity are used to predict the heating load on the next day. To validate the performance of the proposed method, heating load data measured from a benchmark district heating system are compared with the predicted results. The predicted outdoor temperature and humidity show a variation trend that agrees with the measured data. The predicted heating loads show good agreement with the measured hourly, daily, and monthly loads. During the heating period, the monthly load error was estimated to be 4.68%.

Chaotic Disaggregation of Daily Rainfall Time Series (카오스를 이용한 일 강우자료의 시간적 분해)

  • Kyoung, Min-Soo;Sivakumar, Bellie;Kim, Hung-Soo;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.41 no.9
    • /
    • pp.959-967
    • /
    • 2008
  • Disaggregation techniques are widely used to transform observed daily rainfall values into hourly ones, which serve as important inputs for flood forecasting purposes. However, an important limitation with most of the existing disaggregation techniques is that they treat the rainfall process as a realization of a stochastic process, thus raising questions on the lack of connection between the structure of the models on one hand and the underlying physics of the rainfall process on the other. The present study introduces a nonlinear deterministic (and specifically chaotic) framework to study the dynamic characteristics of rainfall distributions across different temporal scales (i.e. weights between scales), and thus the possibility of rainfall disaggregation. Rainfall data from the Seoul station (recorded by the Korea Meteorological Administration) are considered for the present investigation, and weights between only successively doubled resolutions (i.e., 24-hr to 12-hr, 12-hr to 6-hr, 6-hr to 3-hr) are analyzed. The correlation dimension method is employed to investigate the presence of chaotic behavior in the time series of weights, and a local approximation technique is employed for rainfall disaggregation. The results indicate the presence of chaotic behavior in the dynamics of weights between the successively doubled scales studied. The modeled (disaggregated) rainfall values are found to be in good agreement with the observed ones in their overall matching (e.g. correlation coefficient and low mean square error). While the general trend (rainfall amount and time of occurrence) is clearly captured, an underestimation of the maximum values are found.

Rainfall Quantile Estimation Using Scaling Property in Korea (스케일 성질을 이용한 확률강우량의 추정)

  • Jung, Young-Hun;Kim, Soo-Young;Kim, Tae-Soon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.41 no.9
    • /
    • pp.873-884
    • /
    • 2008
  • In this study, rainfall quantile was estimated using scale invariance property of rainfall data with different durations and the applicability of such property was evaluated for the rainfall data of South Korea. For this purpose, maximum annual rainfall at 22 recording sites of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) having relatively long records were used to compare rainfall quantiles between at-site frequency analysis and scale invariance property. As the results, the absolute relative errors of rainfall quantiles between two methods show at most 10 % for hourly rainfall data. The estimated quantiles by scale invariance property can be generally applied in the 8 of 14 return periods used in this study. As an example of down-scaling method, rainfall quantiles of $10{\sim}50$ minutes duration were estimated by scale invariance property based on index duration of 1 hour. These results show less than 10 % of absolute relative errors except 10 minutes duration. It is found that scale invariance property can be applied to estimate rainfall quantile for unmeasured rainfall durations.

The Evaluation of TOPLATS Land Surface Model Application for Forecasting Flash Flood in mountainous areas (산지돌발홍수 예측을 위한 TOPLATS 지표해석모델 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Byong Jua;Choi, Su Mina;Yoon, Seong Sima;Choi, Young Jean
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-28
    • /
    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is the generation of the gridded flash flood index using the gridded hydrologic components of TOPLATS land surface model and statistic flash flood index model. The accuracy of this method is also examined in this study. The study area is the national capital region of Korea, and 38 flash flood damages had occurred from 2009 to 2012. The spatio-temporal resolutions of land surface model are 1 h and 1 km, respectively. The gridded meteorological data are generated using the inverse distance weight method with automatic weather stations (AWSs) of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The hydrological components (e.g., surface runoff, soil water contents, and water table depth) of cells corresponding to the positions of 38 flood damages reasonably respond to the cell based hourly rainfalls. Under the total rainfall condition, the gridded flash flood index shows 71% to 87% from 4 h to 6 h in the lead time based on the rescue request time and 42% to 52% of accuracy at 0 h which means that the time period of the lead time is in a limited rescue request time. From these results, it is known that the gridded flash flood index using the cell based hydrological components from land surface model and the statistic flash flood index model have a capability to predict flash flood in the mountainous area.

The estimating method of construction workable-quantity per unit time - Focused on Pump-Dredge - (건설기계 시간당작업량(Q) 산정 개선방안 -펌프준설선 작업효율(E)을 중심으로-)

  • Ahn, Bang-Ryul;Tae, Yong-Ho;Suh, Sang-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.125-133
    • /
    • 2010
  • Although work-efficiency of construction machinery is a critical factor for estimating its workable-quantity perunit time, the efficiency figure table presented in the Poom-Sam that is used for Construction Cost Estimation of public sectors in Korea is very subjective for practical usage. In order to suggest objective work-efficiency table for a Pump-Dredger, domestic and overseas documentary records were investigated and on-going construction sites were also visited. Moreover, actual work quantities collected from the site visits were compared with the ones calculated based on the Standard Measurement Methods used in Japan. The research found that the table can be revised by means of detailing down by several factors, namely project type, depth of soil, undersea-site shape, and condition on the sea for better estimation of its workable-quantity. The research will be the foundation for applying the rapid development of Construction Equipment and technology to the appropriate cost estimations and the ground work of related studies.

Effect of the Forest Road on Suspended Sediment Yield in the Small Forest Watershed (산지(山地) 소유역(小流域)에 개설(開設)된 임도(林道)가 부유사(浮遊砂) 유출(流出)에 미치는 영향(影響))

  • Oh, Jae-Man;Inoue, Shoji;Ezaki, Tsugio;Chun, Kun-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.88 no.4
    • /
    • pp.477-484
    • /
    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to investigate the effect of forest road on the suspended sediment yield into a stream in the small forest watershed. The samples of suspended sediment yield were collected at surveying points A and B in mountains watersheds unaffected by forest road, and at surveying point C affected by forest road. When hourly change of suspended sediment concentration was investigated, it showed the highest increase along the forest road, and the peak of suspended sediment concentration due to the watershed characteristics of each surveying point occurred before or at the same time with, the peak of discharge. This may be due to the time lag in which stagnated unstable suspended sediment moved strongly upon rainfall. Although suspended sediment load varied depending upon rainfall factors and surveying period, suspended sediment load per unit watershed flowed out 4.1 times more at the point C than at the point A and B. The suspended sediment load on 18~19 September, 1998, strongly affected by rainfall factors, was 4.179g/sec/㏊ at the point C, and 0.343g/sec/㏊ and 0.147g/sec/㏊ at the point A and B, respectively. This load was 12 times higher at the point C than at the point A and 28 times higher than at the point B.

  • PDF