• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hierarchical distribution

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Bayesian Analysis for Heat Effects on Mortality

  • Jo, Young-In;Lim, Youn-Hee;Kim, Ho;Lee, Jae-Yong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.705-720
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we introduce a hierarchical Bayesian model to simultaneously estimate the thresholds of each 6 cities. It was noted in the literature there was a dramatic increases in the number of deaths if the mean temperature passes a certain value (that we call a threshold). We estimate the difference of mortality before and after the threshold. For the hierarchical Bayesian analysis, some proper prior distribution of parameters and hyper-parameters are assumed. By combining the Gibbs and Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, we constructed a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm and the posterior inference was based on the posterior sample. The analysis shows that the estimates of the threshold are located at $25^{\circ}C{\sim}29^{\circ}C$ and the mortality around the threshold changes from -1% to 2~13%.

An efficient high-order warping theory for laminated plates

  • Deng, Zhongmin;Huang, Chuanyue
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.599-611
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    • 2006
  • The theory with hierarchical warping functions had been used to analyze composite thin-walled structure, laminated beam and had good results. In the present paper, a series of hierarchical warping functions are developed to analyze the cylindrical bending problems of composite lamina. These warping functions which refine through-the-thickness variation of displacements were composed of basic and corrective functions by taking into account of anisotropic, material discontinues, and transverse shear and normal strain. Then the hierarchical finite element method was used to form a numerical algorithm. The distribution of the displacements, in-plane stresses, transverse shear stresses and transverse normal stress for composite laminate were analyzed with the present model. The results show that the present model has precise mechanical response compared with the first deformation transverse theory and the corrective order affects the accuracy of result.

Genetic Distances of Scallop (Chlamys farreri) Populations investigated by PCR Procedure

  • Yoon, Jong-Man
    • Development and Reproduction
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.435-440
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    • 2017
  • The author performed PCR-based genetic platform to measure the hierarchical dendrogram of Euclidean genetic distances of Korean scallop populations (KSP), particularly for Chlamys farreri, which was further compared with those of the Chinese scallop populations (CSP), by employing the with specifically designed oligonucleotide primer sets. The scallop is economically and ecologically very important bivalves in South Korea. Relatively, individuals of KSP population were fairly distantly related to that of CSP population, as shown in the hierarchical dendrogram of Euclidean genetic distances. Comparatively, individuals of KSP population were fairly distantly related to that of CSP population. Thus analysis of genetic difference between scallop populations could provide important statistics for fishery and aquaculture. Overall the results showed specific and/or conserved genetic loci between scallop populations. Information on the genetic distance of the bivalve would be helpful to understand scallop expansion or conservation in the coastal regions of South Korea. Specific markers developed by the author will be useful for the analysis of scallop population genetics and distribution in coastal region.

HMA(Hierarchical Multi Agent) for Operation of Distribution Power System (HMA(Hierarchical Multi Agent)방법을 이용한 배전계통 운영 시스템)

  • Kim, D.H.;Kwak, J.W.;Lee, S.S.;Lee, S.K.;Yoon, Y.T.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.07a
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    • pp.503-504
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    • 2007
  • 배전 계통은 기본적으로 방사상 구조를 가지고 있지만 향후 분산 전원의 출현 등으로 계통 운영의 복잡성이 증대될 것이다. 따라서 계통의 재구성이나 복구와 관련된 운영 전반에 관한 판단의 정확성과 신속성을 요구하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 HMA(Hierarchical Multi Agent) 방법을 이용하여 배전 계통의 운영에 활용해 보았다. HMA 방법은 서로 다른 행동 특성을 가진 Agent들이 자신의 역할을 수행하면서 전체적인 최적해를 찾을 수 있고 적은 정보를 이용하기 때문에 사고에 대처하는 속도가 빨라질 것으로 예상된다. 본 논문에서는 배전 계통에 맞는 HMA 모델과 각 Agent들의 행동 원칙을 제안하고 활용 방안을 제시하였다.

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The Study of Criteria Weight for Taiwan National Quality Award by Fuzzy Hierarchical Analysis

  • Li, Shao-Chang;Fu, Hsin-Pin
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.83-96
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, fuzzy hierarchical analysis (FHA) is used to explore the process by which the criteria weights of the Taiwan National Quality Award (TNQA) are assigned by TNQA committee members. Each member is allowed to employ fuzzy scales in place of exact scales. Each pairwise comparison of criteria is made through a questionnaire from each TNQA committee member. The membership function of trapezoidal fuzzy numbers is introduced to specify TNQA committee members' intentions. After FHA, the reasonable range of each criterion weight of TNQA is determined. The current criteria weights of TNQA are properly verified.

The Medicare Service Facility Location Problem (의료서비스시설 입지문제)

  • 이금숙
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.1 no.2
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    • pp.71-84
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    • 1998
  • Health has been seen as a resource necessary for both maintaining oneself and for living in a society pursuing high quality of life. Therefore, the medicare provision takes place of one of the most significant indexes for evaluating the regional welfare level. The purpose of this study is to investigate the locational characteristics of medicare service facilities. For the purpose, the distribution patterns of the medicare resources are analyzed both at the regional and local scales. The medicare resources are concentrated at the Metropolitan Seoul area in the regional scale, and they are also concentrated at the economic core areas in the local scale. Especially, higher level medicare resources, such as the general hospitals and medical specialists, show more concentration at the economic core areas than lower level services. This means that access to opportunities to receive higher level medicare is poorer in a more socially disadvantaged area. Since medicare service facilities are invested and operated by both private and public sectors, whose locational mechanisms are deferent, we analyzed the distribution patterns. Most medicare facilities are invested and managed by private sector in Korea, which is operated by market mechanism. This is related with the fact that the medicare facilities are concentrated at the economic core areas. The proportion of private sector is higher in the Metropolitan Seoul area, and thus this region shows stronger spatial disparity of medicare provision. In general, the medicare service facilities are located in the hierarchical structure, and thus the services levels and facility scales are differentiated by the hierarchy. We examined the hierarchical structure in the medicare service facilities in Korea. The referral medicare system has been applied with the assumption of the three level hierarchical structures in Korea. However, we could not find any distinct hierarchical structure in the scales of the medical service facilities.

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Prediction of extreme rainfall with a generalized extreme value distribution (일반화 극단 분포를 이용한 강우량 예측)

  • Sung, Yong Kyu;Sohn, Joong K.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.857-865
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    • 2013
  • Extreme rainfall causes heavy losses in human life and properties. Hence many works have been done to predict extreme rainfall by using extreme value distributions. In this study, we use a generalized extreme value distribution to derive the posterior predictive density with hierarchical Bayesian approach based on the data of Seoul area from 1973 to 2010. It becomes clear that the probability of the extreme rainfall is increasing for last 20 years in Seoul area and the model proposed works relatively well for both point prediction and predictive interval approach.

Spatial distribution and uncertainty of daily rainfall for return level using hierarchical Bayesian modeling combined with climate and geographical information (기후정보와 지리정보를 결합한 계층적 베이지안 모델링을 이용한 재현기간별 일 강우량의 공간 분포 및 불확실성)

  • Lee, Jeonghoon;Lee, Okjeong;Seo, Jiyu;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.747-757
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    • 2021
  • Quantification of extreme rainfall is very important in establishing a flood protection plan, and a general measure of extreme rainfall is expressed as an T-year return level. In this study, a method was proposed for quantifying spatial distribution and uncertainty of daily rainfall depths with various return periods using a hierarchical Bayesian model combined with climate and geographical information, and was applied to the Seoul-Incheon-Gyeonggi region. The annual maximum daily rainfall depth of six automated synoptic observing system weather stations of the Korea Meteorological Administration in the study area was fitted to the generalized extreme value distribution. The applicability and reliability of the proposed method were investigated by comparing daily rainfall quantiles for various return levels derived from the at-site frequency analysis and the regional frequency analysis based on the index flood method. The uncertainty of the regional frequency analysis based on the index flood method was found to be the greatest at all stations and all return levels, and it was confirmed that the reliability of the regional frequency analysis based on the hierarchical Bayesian model was the highest. The proposed method can be used to generate the rainfall quantile maps for various return levels in the Seoul-Incheon-Gyeonggi region and other regions with similar spatial sizes.

Modeling of in Silico Microbe System based on the Combination of a Hierarchical Regulatory Network with Metabolic Network (계층적 유전자 조절 네트워크와 대사 네트워크를 통합한 가상 미생물 시스템의 모델링)

  • Lee, Sung-Gun;Han, Sang-Il;Kim, Kyung-Hoon;Kim, Young-Han;Hwang, Kyu-Suk
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.843-850
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    • 2005
  • FBA(flux balance analysis) with Boolean rules for representing regulatory events has correctly predicted cellular behaviors, such as optimal flux distribution, maximal growth rate, metabolic by-product, and substrate concentration changes, with various environmental conditions. However, until now, since FBA has not taken into account a hierarchical regulatory network, it has limited the representation of the whole transcriptional regulation mechanism and interactions between specific regulatory proteins and genes. In this paper, in order to solve these problems, we describe the construction of hierarchical regulatory network with defined symbols and the introduction of a weight for representing interactions between symbols. Finally, the whole cellular behaviors with time were simulated through the linkage of a hierarchical regulatory network module and dynamic simulation module including FBA. The central metabolic network of E. coli was chosen as the basic model to identify our suggested modeling method.

Semiparametric Bayesian Hierarchical Selection Models with Skewed Elliptical Distribution (왜도 타원형 분포를 이용한 준모수적 계층적 선택 모형)

  • 정윤식;장정훈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.101-115
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    • 2003
  • Lately there has been much theoretical and applied interest in linear models with non-normal heavy tailed error distributions. Starting Zellner(1976)'s study, many authors have explored the consequences of non-normality and heavy-tailed error distributions. We consider hierarchical models including selection models under a skewed heavy-tailed e..o. distribution proposed originally by Chen, Dey and Shao(1999) and Branco and Dey(2001) with Dirichlet process prior(Ferguson, 1973) in order to use a meta-analysis. A general calss of skewed elliptical distribution is reviewed and developed. Also, we consider the detail computational scheme under skew normal and skew t distribution using MCMC method. Finally, we introduce one example from Johnson(1993)'s real data and apply our proposed methodology.