• 제목/요약/키워드: Hierarchical Bayes

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A Comparative Study on Bayes Estimators for the Multivariate Normal Mcan

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, In suk;Kim, Hyun-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.501-510
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we consider a comparable study on three Bayes procedures for the multivariate normal mean estimation problem. In specific we consider hierarchical Bayes empirical Bayes and robust Bayes estimators for the normal means. Then three procedures are compared in terms of the four comparison criteria(i.e. Average Relative Bias (ARB) Average Squared Relative Bias (ASRB) Average Absolute Bias(AAB) Average Squared Deviation (ASD) using the real data set.

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A pooled Bayes test of independence using restricted pooling model for contingency tables from small areas

  • Jo, Aejeong;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.547-559
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    • 2022
  • For a chi-squared test, which is a statistical method used to test the independence of a contingency table of two factors, the expected frequency of each cell must be greater than 5. The percentage of cells with an expected frequency below 5 must be less than 20% of all cells. However, there are many cases in which the regional expected frequency is below 5 in general small area studies. Even in large-scale surveys, it is difficult to forecast the expected frequency to be greater than 5 when there is small area estimation with subgroup analysis. Another statistical method to test independence is to use the Bayes factor, but since there is a high ratio of data dependency due to the nature of the Bayesian approach, the low expected frequency tends to decrease the precision of the test results. To overcome these limitations, we will borrow information from areas with similar characteristics and pool the data statistically to propose a pooled Bayes test of independence in target areas. Jo et al. (2021) suggested hierarchical Bayesian pooling models for small area estimation of categorical data, and we will introduce the pooled Bayes factors calculated by expanding their restricted pooling model. We applied the pooled Bayes factors using bone mineral density and body mass index data from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted in the United States and compared them with chi-squared tests often used in tests of independence.

Bayes Factor for Change-point with Conjugate Prior

  • Chung, Youn-Shik;Dey, Dipak-K.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.577-588
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    • 1996
  • The Bayes factor provides a possible hierarchical Bayesian approach for studying the change point problems. A hypothesis for testing change versus no change is considered using predictive distributions. When the underlying distribution is in one-parameter exponential family with conjugate priors, Bayes factors are investigated to the hypothesis above. Finally one example is provided .

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Empirical Bayes Estimate for Mixed Model with Time Effect

  • Kim, Yong-Chul
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.515-520
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    • 2002
  • In general, we use the hierarchical Poisson-gamma model for the Poisson data in generalized linear model. Time effect will be emphasized for the analysis of the observed data to be collected annually for the time period. An extended model with time effect for estimating the effect is proposed. In particularly, we discuss the Quasi likelihood function which is used to numerical approximation for the likelihood function of the parameter.

Robust Bayesian Models for Meta-Analysis

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Park, Gea-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.313-318
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    • 2000
  • This article addresses aspects of combining information, with special attention to meta-analysis. In specific, we consider hierarchical Bayesian models for meta-analysis under priors which are scale mixtures of normal, and thus have tail heavier than that of the normal. Numerical methods of finding Bayes estimators under these heavy tailed prior are given, and are illustrated with an actual example.

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Admissible Hierarchical Bayes Estimators of a Multivariate Normal Mean Shrinking towards a Regression Surface

  • Cho, Byung-Yup;Choi, Kuey-Chung;Chang, In-Hong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.205-216
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    • 1996
  • Consider the problem of estimating a multivariate normal mean with an unknown covarience matrix under a weighted sum of squared error losses. We first provide hierarchical Bayes estimators which shrink the usual (maximum liklihood, uniformly minimum variance unbiased) estimator towards a regression surface and then prove the admissibility of these estimators using Blyth's (1951) method.

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Bayes tests of independence for contingency tables from small areas

  • Jo, Aejung;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2017
  • In this paper we study pooling effects in Bayesian testing procedures of independence for contingency tables from small areas. In small area estimation setup, we typically use a hierarchical Bayesian model for borrowing strength across small areas. This techniques of borrowing strength in small area estimation is used to construct a Bayes test of independence for contingency tables from small areas. In specific, we consider the methods of direct or indirect pooling in multinomial models through Dirichlet priors. We use the Bayes factor (or equivalently the ratio of the marginal likelihoods) to construct the Bayes test, and the marginal density is obtained by integrating the joint density function over all parameters. The Bayes test is computed by performing a Monte Carlo integration based on the method proposed by Nandram and Kim (2002).

Bayes Estimation for the Reliability and Hazard Rate the Burr Type X Failure Model

  • Jang Sik Cho;Hee Jae Kim;Sang Gil Kang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.723-731
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we consider a hierarchical Bayes estimation of the parameter, the reliability and hazard rate function based on samples from a Burr type X failure model. Bayes calculations can be implemented by means of the Gibbs sampler and a numerical study us provided.

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On Frequentist Properties of Some Hierachical Bayes Predictors for Small Domain Data in Repeated Surveys

  • Narinder K. Nangia;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.245-259
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    • 1997
  • The paper shows that certain hierachical Bayes (HB) predictors for small domain data in repeated surveys "universally" or "stochastically" dominate all linear unbiased predictors. Also, the HB predictors are "best" within the class of all equivariant predictors under a certain group of transformations.tain group of transformations.

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Hierarchical Bayes Analysis of Smoking and Lung Cancer Data

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Park, Hyun-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.115-128
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    • 2002
  • Hierarchical models are widely used for inference on correlated parameters as a compromise between underfitting and overfilling problems. In this paper, we take a Bayesian approach to analyzing hierarchical models and suggest a Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to get around computational difficulties in Bayesian analysis of the hierarchical models. We apply the method to a real data on smoking and lung cancer which are collected from cities in China.