• Title/Summary/Keyword: Heavy snow

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Estimation of Snow Damages using Multiple Regression Model - The Case of Gangwon Province - (대설피해액 추정을 위한 다중회귀 모형의 적용성 평가 - 강원도 지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kwon, Soon Ho;Chung, Gunhui
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2017
  • Due to the climate change, damages of human life and property caused by natural disaster have recently been increasing consistently. In South Korea, total damage by natural disasters over 20 years from 1994 to 2013 is about 1.0 million dollars. The 13% of total damage caused by heavy snow. This is smaller amount than the damage by heavy rainfall or typhoon, but still could cause severe damage in the society. In this study, the snow damage in Gangwon region was estimated using climate variables (daily maximum snow depth, relative humidity, minimum temperature) and scoio-economic variables (Farm population density, GRDP). Multiple regression analysis with enter method was applied to estimate snow damage. As the results, adjusted R-square is above 0.7 in some sub-regions and shows the good applicability although the extreme values are not predicted well. The developed model might be applied for the prompt disaster response.

Development of a Stochastic Snow Depth Prediction Model Using a Bayesian Deep Learning Method (베이지안 딥러닝 기법을 이용한 확률적 적설심 예측 모델 개발)

  • Jeong, Youngjoon;Lee, Sang-ik;Lee, Jonghyuk;Seo, Byunghun;Kim, Dongsu;Seo, Yejin;Choi, Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.6
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2022
  • Heavy snow damage can be prevented in advance with an appropriate security system. To develop the security system, we developed a model that predicts snow depth after a few hours when the snow depth is observed, and utilized it to calculate a failure probability with various types of greenhouses and observed snow depth data. We compared the Markov chain model and Bayesian long short-term memory models with varying input data. Markov chain model showed the worst performance, and the models that used only past snow depth data outperformed the models that used other weather data with snow depth (temperature, humidity, wind speed). Also, the models that utilized 1-hour past data outperformed the models that utilized 3-hour data and 6-hour data. Finally, the Bayesian LSTM model that uses 1-hour snow depth data was selected to predict snow depth. We compared the selected model and the shifting method, which uses present data as future data without prediction, and the model outperformed the shifting method when predicting data after 11-24 hours.

Spatio-temporal Analysis of Snowfall for 5 Heavy Snowfall Areas in South Korea (우리나라 5대 대설지역의 적설량 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Saet Byul;Shin, Hyung Jin;Ha, Rim;Kim, Seong Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.2B
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    • pp.103-111
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    • 2012
  • This study is to analyze the spatio-temporal trend of snowfall using 30 years (1980-2010) data for 5 selected heavy snowfall areas (Ulleungdo (a), Northeastern Region (b), Western Taebaek Range Inland Region (c), Northwestern Sobaek Range Inland Region (d) and Southern Coastal Region (e)). The snow depth and snowfall frequency during 30 years showed some decreasing trend in parts of c and d. From the spatial comparison for 2 periods between 1980-2000 (A) and 1990-2010 (B), we could identified that the frequency of advisory for heavy snowfall from A to B decreased in c and d showing clear bounds for some areas in period B. For the average snow depth from A to B, the area d decreased while the area b increased with enlarging the areal range.

An Analysis of Decision-Making in Extreme Weather using an ABM Approach Application of Mode Choice in Heavy Rain & Heavy Snow (극한기후 시 의사결정 변화를 고려한 ABM 연구 - 폭우.폭설 시 교통수단 선택을 사례로 -)

  • Na, Yu-Gyung;Lee, Seung-Ho;Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.304-313
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    • 2012
  • Uncertainty increases as a result of environment change and change of individual decision-making in extreme weather. This study consider individual decision-making which has been not covered until now. The purpose of this study is making Agent-Based Model to predict it more accurate that how much change travel demand in heavy rain and heavy snow. Through this model, it can be utilized to forecast travel demand, changes in travel behavior and traffic patterns. It will be also possible to predict discomfort index and risk of accidents.

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A Study on the Structural Safety Analysis for Vinyl House at Snow Load (비닐하우스의 적설하중 구조안전성 검토에 관한 연구)

  • Paik, Shinwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.34-39
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    • 2019
  • Vinyl house consists of main rafter, lateral member, clamps and polyethylene film. Many vinyl houses are used in the countryside to grow vegetables. These vinyl houses have occasionally been collapsed due to heavy snowfall in winter. Many farmers get a lot of economical damages, if vinyl houses are collapsed. So it is most important to built a safe vinyl house that can withstand heavy snowfall. In this study, a structural analysis was performed on three types of vinyl houses(07-single-01, 10-single-04, 12-single-01). In addition, the structural analysis of the three types of vinyl houses provided axial forces, flexural moment, and combined stress. For these three types of vinyl houses, structural safety was reviewed by obtaining the combined stress ratio by the strength design method. This structural review showed that the specifications for the vinyl house proposed in the design are not safe. Especially, the result of increasing the design snow load by 15 percent and 30 percent showed that the vinyl house structure constructed as a standard for vinyl house was a more dangerous structure. Therefore, it is necessary to revise regulations such as increasing the thickness of rafters or widening the gap in order to make vinyl houses structurally safe for heavy snowfall in the future, and to devise diverse methods to make vinyl houses that are structurally safe.

Planning Guidance for Snow Control Material Storage Facilities Based on Case Studies (사례조사를 통한 제설전진기지 시설기준에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Geun-Young;Kim, Hee-Jea;Park, U-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.381-388
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    • 2016
  • The snow control storage facilities have the physical requirements that are an anti-icing and deicing operations. They are efficiently and quickly performed, and composed of a vehicle depot for the snow removal equipment and truck, anti-icing and deicing chemical storages, and the control utilities. This study is to investigate the planning guidance of foreign countries, and the actual conditions of the snow control chemical storage facilities for expressway, the national highway and the local road, and is to suggest the planning guidelines. As some of the authorities have no fixed structures for the snow control storage, this study analyze the 5 cases constructed lately. From the result of the case studies, the operations performed in the snow control storage facilities and drawback of the facilities are analyzed with respect to layout, size, plan, and structure, and the improvement planning guidance is also suggested.

Characteristics of Sea Surface Temperature Variation during the High Impact Weather over the Korean Peninsula (한반도에서 위험기상 발생 시 나타나는 해수면온도 변동의 특성)

  • Jung, Eunsil
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.240-258
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    • 2019
  • Typhoons, torrential rainfall, and heavy snowfall cause catastrophic losses each year in the Republic of Korea. Therefore, if we can know the possibility of this phenomenon in advance through regular observations, it will be greatly beneficial to Korean society. Korea is surrounded by sea on its three sides, and the sea surface temperature (SST) directly or indirectly affects the development of typhoons, heavy rainfall, and heavy snowfall. Therefore, the characteristics of SST variability related to the high impact weather are investigated in this paper. The heavy rainfall in Korea was distributed around Seoul, Gyeonggi, and west and southern coast. The heavy snowfall occurred mainly in the eastern coastal (hereafter Youngdong Heavy Snow) and the southwestern region (hereafter Honam-type heavy snow). The SST variability was slightly different depending on the type and major occurrence regions of the high impact weather. When the torrential rain occurred, the SST variability was significantly increased in the regions extending to Jindo-Jeju island-Ieodo-Shanghai in China. When the heavy snow occurred, the SST variability has reduced in the southern sea of Jeju island, regardless of the type of heavy snowfall, whereas the SST variability has increased in the East Sea near $130^{\circ}E$ and $39^{\circ}N$. Areas with high SST variability are anticipated to be used as a basis for studying the atmospheric-oceanic interaction mechanism as well as for determining the background atmospheric aerosol observation area.

Comparison of Maximum Section Forces of Greenhouse Structures with respect to Roof Types (원예시설의 지붕형식에 따른 단면력의 비교분석)

  • 이석건;이현우;손정억;이종원
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 1994
  • Section forces of greenhouse structures were studied to suggest basic information for the structural design of greenhouses with respect to roof types and support conditions. Structural analyses were performed for pitched and arched roof, and fixed and hinged support under snow loads and wind loads. Followings are the results obtained and are expected to be useful in determining the span length and roof type in greenhouse design. 1. Special considerations might he required for roof design at the heavy snow region, and for the support design at the strong wind region, respectively. 2. Single-span structure was found to be stronger than multi-span structure under the snow load, but the former was found to be weaker than the latter under the wind load. 3. Arched roof structure was expected to be safer than pitched roof structure if the dimensions and loads were equal. 4. Greenhouse orientation and roof slope should be considered in optimum structural design of grrenhouses, because these two factors are closely related with the influence of wind load and snow load.

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The Meteorological Disaster Analysis for the Natural Disaster Mitigation in the Korean Peninsula (자연재해 저감을 위한 한반도 피해 현황 분석)

  • Park, Jong-Kil;Choi, Hyo-Jin;Jung, Woo-Sik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.02a
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    • pp.319-322
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    • 2007
  • This study aims to find the characteristics of damage and states of natural disasters at the Korean Peninsula from 1985 to 2004. Using the data of Statistical yearbook of calamities issued by the National Emergency Management Agency and Annual Climatological Report issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. we have analyzed the cause, elements, and vulnerable regions for natural disasters. Major causes of natural disaster at Korean Peninsula are four, such as a heavy rain, heavy rain typhoon, typhoon, storm snow, and storm. The frequency of natural disaster is the highest from June to September. The period from December to March also shows high frequency. The total amount of damage is high during the summer season(Jul.-Sept). The period from January to March shows relatively high amount of damage due to storm and storm snow The areas of Gangwon-do, Gyeongsangnam-do and Gyeongsangbuk-do are classified the vulnerable region for the natural disasters. By establishing mitigation plans which fit the type and characteristics of disaster for each region, damage from disaster can be reduced with efficient prevention activities.

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Model Development by Structural Analysis of Vinyl House at Heavy Snow (폭설시 비닐하우스의 구조해석에 의한 모델 개발)

  • Cho, Jae-Ung;Lee, Eun-Jong;Nam, Jung-Song
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.8
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    • pp.2727-2733
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    • 2010
  • Existing and developed models of vinyl house are simulated by 3 dimensional and analysis program. When heavy snow lays 250 mm deep, this paper aims to investigate how its load affects the vinyl house and what deformation happens with structural analysis. Its maximum deformation is decreased to more than 50 % by developing this model in comparison with the existing model. Its developed model is more safe than existing model and its manufacturing expense can be reduced.