• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard increase

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외국의 코호트 연구 현황

  • Jo Seong-Il
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.30-37
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    • 2003
  • o Cohort study became the major approach to study of chronic diseases such as CVD and cancer o Cohort can be population-based or volunteer-based o Types of be population-be categorized by source population and selection mechanism o More and more cohort studies involve biological specimens, such as blood, urine, toenail, cheek cells, etc. o Multi-center and multi-national collaboration is an effective way to increase sample size. o Current statistical method typically use time-to-event analysis by Cox proportional hazard model.

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Influence of Submerged Breakwater in front of Rubble Mound Breakwater (경사식 방파제의 전면에 설치된 수중방파제의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Hyun-Seong;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.217-220
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    • 2008
  • The reflection coefficients and the run-up heights affected by submerged structures are studied by using the numerical and the laboratory experimental methods. The three-point method is chosen to calculate the reflection coefficients in both the experimental and the numerical methods. The results of numerical simulations are shown a good agreement with laboratory measurements. The reflection coefficients increase and the run-up heights decrease when the rubble mound breakwater is defended by low-crested structures.

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Shape Similarity Analysis for Verification of Hazard Map for Storm Surge : Shape Criterion (폭풍해일 침수예상도 검증을 위한 형상유사도 분석 : 형상기준)

  • Kim, Young In;Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.13-24
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    • 2019
  • The concept of shape similarity has been applied to verify the accuracy of the SIND model, the real-time prediction model for disaster risk. However, the CRITIC method, one of the most widely used in geometric methodology, is definitely limited to apply to complex shape such as hazard map for coastal disaster. Therefore, we suggested the modified CRITIC method of which we added the shape factors such as RCCI and TF to consider complicated shapes. The matching pairs were manually divided into exact-matching pairs and mis-matching pairs to evaluate the applicability of the new method for shape similarity into hazard maps for storm surges. And the shape similarity of each matching pair was calculated by changing the weights of each shape factor and criteria. Newly proposed methodology and the calculated weights were applied to the objects of the existent hazard map and the results from SIND model. About 90% of exact-matching pairs had the shape similarity of 0.5 or higher, and about 70% of mis-matching pairs were it below 0.5. As future works, if we would calibrate narrowly and adjust carefully multi-objects corresponding to one object, it would be expected that the shape similarity of the exact-matching pairs will increase overall while it of the mis-matching pairs will decrease.

Characteristics of Flames Propagating Through Combustible Particles Concentration in a Vertical Duct (수직 배관 내의 농도변화에 따른 분진폭발 특성)

  • Han, Ou-Sup;Han, In-Soo;Choi, Yi-Rac;Lee, Jung-Suk;Lee, Su-Hee
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2011
  • We investigated experimentally the properties of dust explosion through lycopodium particle clouds in a duct to provide the fundamental knowledge. Propagating dust flames in the vertical duct of 120 cm height and 12 cm square cross-section were observed by digital video camera and flame front is visualized using by PIV(Particle Image Velocimetry) system. As the result, when the same average dust concentration existed in the vertical duct, downward flame propagation was faster than the upward flame propagation, its rate increased with dust concentration in 300g/$m^3$. Post flames were caused by the ignition of unburned particles which flowed into the rear region of flame from passage between flame and duct wall, and they generated regardless of duct condition. Also, it was found that appearance frequency of post flames during dust flame propagations increased with the increase of dust concentration.

Analysis of Landslide Hazard Map during Earthquake with Various Degrees of Saturation and Cohesion Values (포화도 및 점착력 변화에 따른 지진시 산사태 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Joonyong;Han, Jin-Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.599-606
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    • 2015
  • Damage of landslide due to earthquake covers a considerable part of total damage due to earthquake. Landslide due to earthquake affects direct damage of human lives and structures, and social system can be paralyzed by losing functions of roads, basic industries, and so on. Therefore, systematic and specialized research examining the factors affecting the slope stability by earthquakes should be needed. However, method of evaluation of slope stability problems due to earthquake contains somewhat uncertainty since many soil properties are predicted or assumed. In this study, influences of change of soil properties such as degree of saturation and cohesion value are analyzed in factor of safety and displacement using seismic landslide hazard maps based on GIS. As the degree of saturation increases or cohesion decreases, it is found that seismic landslide hazard area marked with factors of safety or displacements tends to increase. Therefore, to draw more exact landslide hazard map during earthquake, it is necessary to obtain accurate soil property information preferentially from site investigation data in the field.

Comparison of Liquefaction Probability Map Regarding with Geotechnical Information and Spatial Interpolation Target (공간보간 대상 및 지반정보에 따른 액상화 확률지도 비교)

  • Song, Seongwan;Hwang, Bumsik;Cho, Wanjei
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2021
  • The interest of expecting the liquefaction damage is increasing due to the liquefaction in Pohang in 2017. Liquefaction is defined as a phenomenon that the ground can not support the superstructure due to loss of the strength of the ground. As an alternative against this, many studies are being conducted to increase the precision and to compose a liquefaction hazard map for the purpose of identifying the scale of liquefaction damage using the liquefaction potential index (LPI). In this research, in order to analyze the degree of precision with regard to spatial interpolation objects such as LPI value and geotechnical information for LPI determination, liquefaction hazard map were made for the target area. Furthermore, based on the trend of precision, probability value was analyzed using probability maps prepared through qualitative characteristics. Based on the analysis results, the precision of the liquefaction hazard map setting the spatial interpolation object as geotechnical information is higher than that as LPI value. Furthermore, the precision of the liquefaction hazard map does not affect the distribution of the probability value.

Hydrological drought risk assessment for climate change adaptation in South Korea (기후변화 적응을 위한 우리나라 수문학적 가뭄 위험도 평가)

  • Seo, Jungho;Chi, Haewon;Kim, Heey Jin;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.421-435
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    • 2022
  • As natural disasters have been increasing due to climate change, sustainable solutions are in need to alleviate the degree of drought hazard, assess and project the drought influence based on future climate change scenarios. In assessing drought risk, socio-economic factors of the region must be considered along with meteorological factors. This study categorized drought hazard, exposure, and vulnerability as three major components of drought risk according to the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change (IPCC) risk assessment framework, and selected indices for each component to quantify the drought risk in South Korea according to the mid-size basins. Combinations of climate scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathway; RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5) and socio-economic scenarios (Shared Socio-economic Pathways; SSP 1, SSP2 and SSP3) for the near future (2030-2050) ant the far future (2080-2099) were utilized in drought risk analysis, and results were compared with the historical data (1986-2005). In general, the drought risks for all scenarios shows large increases as time proceeds to the far furture. In addition, we analyzed the rank of drought hazard, exposure, vulnerability for drought risk, and each of their contribution. The results showed that the drought hazard is the most contributing component to the increase of drought risk in future and each basin shows varying contributing components. Finally, we suggested countermeasures for each basin according to future climate change scenarios, and thus this study provides made the basis for establishing drought management measures.

A Study on application of F-N curve to OCA (장외영향평가 F-N curve 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Hyeok;Yoo, Byung Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2018
  • The distrust about chemical plant safety have been increased by occurring the major industrial accidents. Chemical plants have become more and more enlarged and sophisticated to increase production amount and decrease cost. So hazard of industrial accidents also have been increased. In this situation, quantitative risk assessment is activated by introducing OCA(Off-site Consequence Analysis). So it is possible to analyze the objective hazard of chemical plant. Currently OCA focus on the end point of hazardous area by fire/explosion/dispersion. But in this case, it is possible to analyze the industrial accident effect to near the chemical plant but hard to consider the actual hazard by frequency and population density. This study analyzes the validity about application of F-N curve to OCA by compare end point with F-N curve about accident.

Study on the Safe use of the Chemical Extinguishing Agent (화학물질 소화약제 안전한 사용에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Jung-Rae
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.118-129
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the recent serious disaster cases of chemical extinguishing agent poisoning and suffocation investigated by KOSHA and proposed the safe use of chemical substances, including the chemical extinguishing agent. An analysis of the statistical figures an increase in the number and variations of chemical poisoning and suffocation cases in industry between 2011~2016 increased. Unlike other physical accidents, chemical accidents are very high in severity and it is difficult to identify the chemical hazard and risk. To prevent chemical disasters, it is essential to develop and use an easy chemical risk assessment tool. For the safe use of chemical substances, in which it is difficult to carry out hazard identification and risk assessments, this thesis presents the useful chemical recognition and risk assessment tools, CHEM-i and CHARM developed by KOSHA.

Performance assessment of multi-hazard resistance of Smart Outrigger Damper System (스마트 아웃리거 댐퍼시스템의 멀티해저드 저항성능평가)

  • Kim, Hyun-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2018
  • An outrigger system is used widely to increase the lateral stiffness of high-rise buildings, resulting in reduced dynamic responses to seismic or wind loads. Because the dynamic characteristics of earthquake or wind loads are quite different, a smart vibration control system associated with an outrigger system can be used effectively for both seismic and wind excitation. In this study, an adaptive smart structural control system based on an outrigger damper system was investigated for the response reduction of multi-hazards, including seismic and wind loads. A MR damper was employed to develop the smart outrigger damper system. Three cities in the U.S., L.A., Charleston, and Anchorage, were used to generate multi-hazard earthquake and wind loads. Parametric studies on the MR damper capacity were performed to investigate the optimal design of the smart outrigger damper system. A smart control algorithm was developed using a fuzzy controller optimized by a genetic algorithm. The analytical results showed that an adaptive smart structural control system based on an outrigger damper system can provide good control performance for multi-hazards of earthquake and wind loads.