• Title/Summary/Keyword: Hazard Tree

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Evaluation of GIS-based Landslide Hazard Mapping (GIS 기반 산사태 예측모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Oh, Kyoung-Doo;Hong, Il-Pyo;Jun, Byong-Ho;Ahn, Won-Sik;Lee, Mee-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.1 s.162
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2006
  • In this study, application potential of SINMAP, a GIS-based landslide hazard mapping tool, is evaluated through a case study. Through the application to the severe landslide events occurred during a heavy storm in 1991 on the Mt. Dalbong area about 78 kilometers south from Seoul, SINMAP successfully spotted most landslide sites. The effects and proper ranges of three calibration parameters of SINMAP, i.e. the soil internal friction angle, the combined cohesion of tree roots and soil, and T/R, were examined through comparison of predicted landslides with the landslide inventory data. From the findings of this study, it seems that SINMAP could be used as an effective screening tool for landslide hazard mapping especially for mountain areas with fairly steep slopes and relatively thin soil layers.

Study of Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis(PTHA) for Tsunami Hazard Assessment at Nuclear Power Plant (원자력발전소의 지진해일 위험도 평가를 위한 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 분석(PTHA))

  • Kim, Byung-Ho;Jeong, Hyun-Kee;Cho, Yong-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.215-215
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    • 2021
  • 인도네시아 수마트라 지진해일(2004년)과 동일본 대지진(2011년)으로 인해 해당지역에서 막대한 인적·물적 피해가 발생하였으며, 지진해일에 대한 사람들의 경각심은 더욱 커지게 된 계기가 되었다. 반면 우리나라는 지진이 빈번하게 발생하는 국가에 비해 상대적으로 지진해일에 대해 안전하다는 국민들의 인식이 강한 것이 사실이다. 하지만 최근 우리나라에서 크고 작은 지진이 발생(2016년 경주 지진, 2017년 포항 지진 등)함에 따라 국민들은 지진 및 지진해일 안전에 대한 경각심이 높아지고 있다. 또한 한반도 주변에서 지진은 끊임없이 발생하고 있으며, 과거 우리나라는 지진해일로 인한 인명 및 재산피해가 기록된 사례도 존재한다(Cho, 2018). 본 연구에서는 원자력 발전소에서 지진해일에 대한 위험성에 대비하기 위해 지진해일 수치모형 실험을 통해 계산된 지진해일고 결과값에 대해 적절한 확률분포 모형을 개발한 후 각 지진해일 시나리오의 연초과 확률을 분석함으로써, 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 분석(PTHA : Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis)을 실시하는 것이다. 최종적으로는 연구대상지역의 지진해일 안전성 평가에 기여할 수 있는 검증된 자료를 제공한다. PTHA 분석은 미국(Park and Cox, 2016), 인도네시아(Horspool et al., 2014), 남유럽(Lorito et al., 2014), 일본(Japan Society of Civil Engineers, 2016) 등에서 연구가 활발하게 이루어졌으며 현재도 활발한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 먼저, 역사 지진해일 및 우리나라 근해에서 발생가능한 지진원(단층매개변수) 조사, 그리고 지진해일 수치모형실험 case 선정을 위한 파향선추적모형(wave ray-tracing) 수행, 마지막으로 지진해일고의 불확실성을 고려하기 위한 로직트리(Logic-Tree)기법 적용 시 사용하게 될 지진해일 단층매개변수 선정을 위한 지진해일 수치모형 실험 등을 수행한다.

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A Study on FTA of Off-Site Packaged Hydrogen Station (Off-Site 패키지형 수소충전소의 FTA 분석)

  • SEO, DOO HYOUN;KIM, TAE HUN;RHIE, KWANG WON;CHOI, YOUNG EUN
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2020
  • For the fault tree analysis (FTA) analysis of the packaged hydrogen filling station, the composition of the charging station was analyzed and the fault tree (FT) diagram was prepared. FT diagrams were created by dividing the causes of events into external factors and internal factors with the hydrogen event as the top event. The external factors include the effects of major disasters caused by natural disasters and external factors as OR gates. Internal factors are divided into tube tailer, compressor & storage tank, and dispenser, which are composed of mistakes in operation process and causes of accidents caused by parts leakage. In this study, the purpose was to improve the hydrogen station. The subjects of this study were domestic packaged hydrogen stations and FTA study was conducted based on the previous studies, failure mode & effect analysis (FMEA) and hazard & operability study (HAZOP). Top event as a hydrogen leaking event and constructed the flow of events based on the previous study. Refer to "Off shore and onshore reliability data 6th edition", "European Industry Reliability Data Bank", technique for human error rate prediction (THERP) for reliability data. We hope that this study will help to improve the safety and activation of the hydrogen station.

The Quantitative Risk Analysis in Rail Transport of Propylene (프로필렌의 철도 수송에 따른 정량적 위험성 평가)

  • Lee, Jae-Hean;Song, Dong-Woo;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.38-44
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    • 2010
  • This treatise analyzed the risk of propylene transported by railroad through quantitative analysis. As a result of survey on propylene transportation route, Iksan station, Suncheon station and Jeonju station were selected as object regions those were expected to have high accident risks. This treatise deduced the scenario of accident and the occurrence rate in accordance with the type of accident possibly to be happening during propylene transportation through ETA( Event Tree Analysis), and expressed the level of personal, social risks after calculating the level of demage influencing over surroundings based on the evaluation for the expected accident damage through PHAST 6.53.

Quantitative Safety Assessment for Hydrogen Station (수소 충전소에 대한 정량적 안전성 평가)

  • Seong, D.H.;Rhie, K.W.;Kim, T.H.;Oh, D.S.;Oh, Y.D.;Seo, D.H.;Kim, Y.G.;Kim, E.J.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2012
  • This study is about the quantitative safety assessment of hydrogen station in Korea operating with on-site type. This was written by background information that before qualitative safety assessment to write. For the qualitative safety assessment method, the study used FMEA(failure mode & effect analysis) and HAZOP(hazard & operability), and adopted the FTA(fault tree analysis) as the quantitative safety assessment method. To write the FTA, we wrote FT by Top event that hydrogen leakage can be called most serious accident of hydrogen station. Each base event collect reliability data by reliability data handbook, THERP-HRA and estimation of the engineering. Assessment looked at the high frequency and the possible risk through Gate, Importance, m.cutsets analysis.

A Risk Assessment Approach to Safety Management of Electric Railway Facilities (전기철도 전철전력설비의 위험도 평가 기반 안전관리에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Yoon-Suk;Choi, Kyu-Hyoung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.960-967
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    • 2009
  • Power supply system of electric railway has a diversity of safety problems since it should supply high electric power to the trains moving high speed with a lot of passengers on board. This paper provides a risk assessment approach to safety management of the electric railway facilities. Construction of database from field accident information, risk assessment and management of the risk are carried out systematically to ensure the safety. The risk assessment includes hazard identification, cause analysis by FTA(Fault Tree Analysis), consequence analysis by EVA(Event Tree Analysis), and loss analysis. In terms of the severity and the probability of the accidents deduced by these analyses, the risk of the accidents is assessed by using a risk matrix designed for electric railway facilities. Based on the risk assessment, possible risk mitigation options are identified and evaluated by analyzing their impact on the risk reduction and their cost benefit ratio. The long-term safety of the electric railway facilities can be ensured by renewal of the risk assessment and the risk mitigation option analysis with continuous accident database update. The proposed approach is applied to the electric railway facilities of Korean railway based on the accident data from 2002 to 2008.

Measurement and Modeling of Job Stress of Electric Overhead Traveling Crane Operators

  • Krishna, Obilisetty B.;Maiti, Jhareswar;Ray, Pradip K.;Samanta, Biswajit;Mandal, Saptarshi;Sarkar, Sobhan
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.279-288
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    • 2015
  • Background: In this study, the measurement of job stress of electric overhead traveling crane operators and quantification of the effects of operator and workplace characteristics on job stress were assessed. Methods: Job stress was measured on five subscales: employee empowerment, role overload, role ambiguity, rule violation, and job hazard. The characteristics of the operators that were studied were age, experience, body weight, and body height. The workplace characteristics considered were hours of exposure, cabin type, cabin feature, and crane height. The proposed methodology included administration of a questionnaire survey to 76 electric overhead traveling crane operators followed by analysis using analysis of variance and a classification and regression tree. Results: The key findings were: (1) the five subscales can be used to measure job stress; (2) employee empowerment was the most significant factor followed by the role overload; (3) workplace characteristics contributed more towards job stress than operator's characteristics; and (4) of the workplace characteristics, crane height was the major contributor. Conclusion: The issues related to crane height and cabin feature can be fixed by providing engineering or foolproof solutions than relying on interventions related to the demographic factors.

Study on the determinants of employment duration in the youth-intern project (중소기업 청년인턴 취업자의 재직기간 분석)

  • Park, Sungik;Ryu, Jangsoo;Kim, Jonghan;Cho, Jangsik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.285-294
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    • 2016
  • In general, employment duration is influenced by the individual characteristics (level-1) as well as type of the occupational characteristics (level-2). That is, the data has hierarchical structure in the sense that individual employment duration is influenced by the individual-level variables (level-1) and the job-level (level-2) variables. In this paper, we study the determinants of the employment duration of youth-intern in the SMEs (small and medium enterprises) using Cox's mixed effect model. Major results at level-1 variables are as followings. First, the hazard rate of treatment group is lower than that of control group. Second, the hazard rate of woman is lower than that of man. Also, the hazard rate is lower, for the older and the workers working in the bigger company. Investigation of level-2 variables has shown that random effect for job-level is statistically significant.

Feasibility Study on the Risk Quantification Methodology of Railway Level Crossings (철도건널목 위험도 정량평가 방법론 적용성 연구)

  • Kang, Hyun-Gook;Kim, Man-Cheol;Park, Joo-Nam;Wang, Jong-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.605-613
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    • 2007
  • In order to overcome the difficulties of quantitative risk analysis such as complexity of model, we propose a systematic methodology for risk quantification of railway system which consists of 6 steps: The identification of risk factors, the determination of major scenarios for each risk factor by using event tree, the development of supplementary fault trees for evaluating branch probabilities, the evaluation of event probabilities, the quantification of risk, and the analysis in consideration of accident situation. In this study, in order to address the feasibility of the propose methodology, this framework is applied to the prototype risk model of nation-wide railway level crossings. And the quantification result based on the data of 2005 in Korea will also be presented.

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광양제철소 산소공장 위험특성 도출 및 중요도에 근거한 향상 안 제시

  • Choe, Jong-Seung;Kim, Yeong-Su;Kim, Yeon-Jong;Park, Jin-Seop
    • 시스템엔지니어링워크숍
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    • s.1
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    • pp.65-68
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    • 2003
  • The air separation plants in the POSCO's Gwangyang Steel Works require high standard on quality as well as reliability as they have to continuously supply essential utility gases as oxygen, nitrogen and argon. And the plants are in the category of high pressure gas systems by the regulatory guidelines, which signifies that they have to maintain utmost level of safety. As an effort to systematically understand and calculate the risk potentials in the air separation plants, risk assessments have been performed on a phased approach: qualitative and followed by quantitative POSCO has chosen to use hazard and operability study and fault tree analysis to satisfy the requirement. As a result, the risk assessment team has identified number of safety and operability related findings. With importance of each and ever findings calculated, a priority list for what/when to do for them could have been presented on a balance fashion.

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