• 한국화재소방학회논문지
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.69-78
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• 2010

본 연구에서는 FDS 프로그램을 사용하여 아파트 화재 사고에 대한 전산모사를 통하여 화재위험성을 평가하였다. 화재 전산모사 결과, 스프링클러 미 작동 시 최대 열방출율은 7,700kW로써 스프링클러 작동시 최대 열방출율 497kW의 약 16배이며, 화재실의 문 강제 개방 시 역화현상의 발생으로 화재위험은 매우 높게 나타났다. 화재실 온도의 위험도래시간과 감지기 작동 시간에 의한 재실자 피난 여유시간은 최소 32.5초와 최대 53.5초이다. 스프링클러 작동 시에는 냉각에 의한 화재제어로 아파트 실내의 화재위험은 낮아짐을 알 수 있었다. 본 아파트 화재사고의 전산모사 결과를 통하여 소화설비 및 비상방송설비의 정상작동이 화재안전에 얼마나 중요한 역할을 하는지, 그리고 작동 불능 시 얼마나 큰 피해 손실을 초래하는지에 대하여 알 수 있었다.

• 노동경제논집
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.1-26
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• 2010

기존의 직업탐색이론을 한 단계 진전시킬 수 있는 '엄친아효과' 개념을 도입하고 그것이 청년층 미취업탈출확률에 미치는 효과를 부모님의 학력, 임시 일용직 비율, 대 중소기업 임금격차 비율 등의 대리변수들로 측정하고자 하였다. 추정 결과, 최근으로 올수록 소위 '엄친아효과'는 점차 강화되고 있다는 사실이 확인된다. 정책 함의로는 청년층의 구직기간 축소와 실업탈출 확률의 제고라는 측면에서 노동시장에서 임금이나 일자리 질의 격차가 계속 확대되는 것은 결코 바람직하지 못하며, 또한 청년층 실업문제가 단순히 노동시장 정보의 정확한 제공만으로는 쉽게 해결되기 어렵다는 점 등을 도출해 낼 수 있다.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국통계학회 2005년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.73-78
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• 2005

This paper considers a preventive maintenance policy following the expiration of renewing warranty, Most preventive maintenance models assume that each PM costs a fixed predetermined amount regardless of the effectiveness of each PM. However, it seems more reasonable to assume that the PM cost depends on the degree of effectiveness of the PM activity. In this paper we consider a periodic preventive maintenance policy following the expiration of renewing warranty when the PM cost is an increasing function of the PM effect. The optimal number and period for the periodic PM policy with effect dependent cost that minimize the expected cost rate per unit time over an infinite time span are obtained.

• Journal of Korean Medical Science
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• 제33권43호
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• pp.277.1-277.10
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• 2018

Background: To examine survival rates and renal function after partial nephrectomy (PN) and radical nephrectomy (RN) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods: We studied 4,332 patients who underwent PN or RN for pathological T1a-T2N0M0 renal cell carcinoma from 1988 to 2014. Patients were divided into two subgroups of CKD stage I-II and stage III. Kidney function, and survival outcomes were compared between groups. Results: We included 1,756 patients with CKD I-II and 276 patients with CKD III in the final pair-matched analysis. Kidney function was significantly better preserved in the PN than in the RN group among all patients. However, the beneficial effect of PN on kidney function gradually disappeared over time in CKD III patients. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates after PN and RN differed in patients with CKD I-II disease (99.4% vs. 96.5%, respectively, P = 0.015). The 5-year OS rates after surgery were not affected by mode of nephrectomy in CKD III patients (97.8% vs. 93.5%, P = 0.103). The 5-year cancer-specific survival rates did not differ between treatment groups in all CKD stage. Cox hazard analysis showed that the operative method was a significant factor for OS in CKD I-II patients (hazard ratio [HR], 0.320; confidence interval [CI], 0.122-0.840; P = 0.021). However, PN was not beneficial in terms of OS in CKD III patients (HR, 0.395; CI, 0.086-1.172; P = 0.117). Conclusion: PN is associated with a higher OS rate and better kidney function in patients with preoperative CKD stage I and II, but not in those with CKD stage III.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.1-19
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• 2016

The Exponentiated Quasi Lindley (EQL) distribution which is an extension of the quasi Lindley Distribution is introduced and its properties are explored. This new distribution represents a more flexible model for the lifetime data. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution including the shapes of the density and hazard rate functions, the moments and moment generating function, the distribution of the order statistics are given. The maximum likelihood estimation technique is used to estimate the model parameters and finally an application of the model with a real data set is presented for the illustration of the usefulness of the proposed distribution.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권2호
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• pp.308-313
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• 2009

This paper presents a reliability analysis of S-bonds for AF track circuits, which detect train movement and transmit a speed control signal to the train. Field survey shows that S-bonds are exposed to very large vibrations transferred from rail, and suffer from frequent failures when they were installed on ballasted track. We collected the time-to-failure data of S-bonds from the maintenance field of Seoul metro line 2, and made a parametric approach to estimate the statistical distribution that fits the time-to-failure data. The analysis shows that S-bonds have time-to-failure characteristics described by Weibull distribution. The estimated shape parameter of Weibull distribution is 1.1, which means the distribution has constant failure rate characteristics like exponential distribution. The reliability function, hazard function, percentiles and mean lifetime are derived for maintenance support.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.117-124
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• 1991

In this paper, it is assumed that a system is composed of an essential unit and a nonessential unit. During the running of the system, an essential unit is replaced at periodic replacement time T or at nth failure of essential unit whichever occurs first. Nonessential unit is replaced at its failure and at the replacement of essential unit. This paper derive optimal replacement period which minmises the total expected cost for replacement. The unimodality of totoal maintenance cost function is proved under the assumption that hazard rate of each component is continuous and monotone increasing failure rate(IFR). Based on this condition, it is shown that the optimal replacement period is finite and unique.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.107-117
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• 2002

본 논문에서는 혼합보증기간이 있는 수리 가능한 시스템에 대하여 보증기간이 종료된 이후의 교체정책을 고려한다. 이러한 교체정책은 보증기간이 재생되는 재생혼합보증과 재생되지 않는 비재생혼합보증에 대하여 고려되며, 최적의 교체정책을 설정하기 위 해서 단위 시간당 기대비용을 사용한다. 재생혼합보증과 비재생혼합보증이 있는 시스템에 대하여 소비자 관점에서의 단위 시간당 기대비용을 구하고, 이를 최소화하는 최적의 보전기간을 결정한다 그리고, 시스템의 고장시간이 와이블분포일 때 수치적 예를 통해서 제안된 최적의 교체정책을 설명한다.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제19권4호
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• pp.53-62
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• 2017

It has come to attention that a risk-assessing organization, that will benchmark a company's safety department, is imperative, following an increase in large-scale SOC-business project, construction of higher-raised buildings, development of underground space; all that have increase accident rates. Having faced problems that arise in firms that demand diversity, complexity and instantaneity, the purpose of the thesis is to arrive at efficient and practical problem-solving means. In order to solve the problems that would surface theoretically during an actual risk assessment, the state of the operation systems of the top five national construction firms having a hazard rate of 0.25 times less than the average rate have been analyzed, while a hierarchal recognition research of the employees who not only function at the operating level but are the practice subjects of a firm, has also been conducted, bringing the main text.

• Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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• 제85권4호
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• pp.332-340
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• 2022

Background: Cardiac dysfunction patients have long been considered at high risk of reintubation. However, it is based on past studies in which only conventional oxygen therapy was applied after extubation. We investigated association between cardiac dysfunction and reintubation rate in situation where high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) was widely used during post-extubation period. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of patients treated with HFNC after planned extubation in medical intensive care unit of single tertiary center. Patients were divided into normal function group (ejection fraction [EF] ≥45%) and cardiac dysfunction group (EF <45%). The primary outcome was reintubation rate within 72 hours following extubation. Results: Of 270 patients, 35 (13%) had cardiac dysfunction. Baseline characteristics were similar in both groups. There were no differences in the changes in vital signs between the two groups during the first 12 hours after extubation except diastolic blood pressure. The reintubation rates were 20% and 17% for cardiac dysfunction group and normal function group, respectively (p=0.637). In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, cardiac dysfunction was not associated with an increased risk of reintubation within 72 hours following extubation (hazard ratio, 1.56; p=0.292). Conclusion: Cardiac dysfunction was not associated with increased reintubation rate within 72 hours when HFNC is immediately applied after planned extubation.