• 제목/요약/키워드: Government budget

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Modelling of Public Financial Security and Budget Policy Effects

  • Zaichko, Iryna;Vysotska, Maryna;Miakyshevska, Olena;Kosmidailo, Inna;Osadchuk, Nataliia
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권9호
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2021
  • This article substantiates the scientific provisions for modelling the level of Ukraine's public financial security taking into account the impact of budget policy, in the process of which identified indicators of budget policy that significantly affect the public financial security and the factors of budget policy based on regression analysis do not interact closely with each other. A seven-factor regression equation is constructed, which is statistically significant, reliable, economically logical, and devoid of autocorrelation. The objective function of maximizing the level of public financial security is constructed and strategic guidelines of budget policy in the context of Ukraine's public financial security are developed, in particular: optimization of the structure of budget revenues through the expansion of the resource base; reduction of the budget deficit while ensuring faster growth rates of state and local budget revenues compared to their expenditures; optimization of debt serviced from the budget through raising funds from the sale of domestic government bonds, mainly on a long-term basis; minimization of budgetary risks and existing threats to the public financial security by ensuring long-term stability of budgets etc.

Relationship between the Changes in Policy Tools of the Central Government and the Local Fiscal Structure: Focused on the Changes in the Transaction Taxes

  • Lee, Miae;Seo, Inseok
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.93-113
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to determine the changes in the local fiscal structure brought about by the change in the transaction tax, including the acquisition tax, by the central government. The review of the analysis results proved the following. First, the government's transaction tax exemption policy effectively influenced the expansion of the local fiscal budget. Transaction tax exemptions such as acquisition tax exemptions would not contribute to the expansion of the local fiscal budget in the short run, but may do so in the long run. Second, the review of the effect of the transaction tax exemption policy by the central government on the local fiscal structure confirmed that its impact on the local fiscal structure may vary depending on the timing of such tax exemption. Third, the overall local fiscal structure as a result of the transaction tax exemption by the central government was confirmed to have been influenced more by the fiscal capability of the local government than by the income level of the local residents. In conclusion, the stimulation of real estate transactions using tax tools may positively influence the overall fiscal structure of local governments, but it would also put pressure on the fiscal management of local governments because it is largely influenced by the fiscal capability of the local governments.

Estimating software development cost using machine-learning approach (학습이론을 이용한 소프트웨어 개발비 예측 모형)

  • Park, Chan-Kyoo
    • 한국IT서비스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국IT서비스학회 2005년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.345-355
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    • 2005
  • As the portion of information systems(IS) budget to the total government budget becomes greater, the cost estimation of IS development and maintenance projects is recognized as one of the most important problems to be resolved for quantitative and efficient management of IS budget. The primary concern in the cost estimation of IS projects is to estimate software development cost. In this paper, we propose a new method to estimate software cost using support vector regression(SVR), which has attracted considerable attention because of its good performance and theoretical clearness. The paper is the first study which apply SVR to software cost estimation.

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Nitrogen budget management for preventing eutrophication in watershed (수계 내 부영양화 방지를 위한 질소 수지 관리)

  • Yun, Dong-Min;Min, Jee-Eun;Park, Jae-Woo
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.819-822
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    • 2008
  • Nitrogen budgets in Korea in 2005 were estimated using a mass balance approach. Major nitrogen fluxes were divided into three section: cites, agricultural area, and forest. It contains nitrogen input 21 precent more than the previous research in 2002. Especially the change of government plans affect nitrogen budget.

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Determinants of Real Interest Rates: The Case of Jordan Long-Fei

  • Ajlouni, Moh'd Mahmoud
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2018
  • The study is aimed at investigating the main factors that affect the interest rate yields, in the long-term. In addition, the study surveys the theories and literature relating to the determinants of interest rate. The importance of which is essential not only for governments, but also for banks and corporate financial risk management decisions, including risk exposures in banks and capital markets. Interest rate influences corporate profit as well as growth. For this purpose, the study examines the impact of budget deficit, risk-free rate, capital inflows, money supply and business cycles on real interest rate in Jordan. These factors are based upon well-established theories and straightforward practical view as interest rate determinants. Using data for (1990-2015), the study employed Johansen's co-integrating test, which takes into consideration the long-term unsynchronized relationships. The data is tested for normality, symmetric correlations, covariance diagonal and unit root. The results show that the government budget deficit, short-term risk-free interest rate, capital inflows, money supply and business cycle are long-term determinants of the real interest rate in Jordan. The coefficients of government budget deficit, short-term risk-free rate, money supply and business cycle all are inversely affecting the real interest rate, while capital inflows has a positive impact on the real interest rate.

A Study on Estimation of R&D Research Funds by Linear Regression and Decision Tree Analysis (회귀분석 및 의사결정나무 분석을 통한 R&D 연구비 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-Guen;Cheon, Youngdon;Kim, Sungkyu;Lee, Yoon Been;Hwang, Ji Ho;Kim, Yong Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2012
  • Currently, R&D investment of government is increased dramatically. However, the budget of the government is different depending on the size of ministry and priorities, and then it is difficult to obtain consensus on the budget. They did not establish decision support systems to evaluate and execute R&D budget. In this paper, we analyze factors affecting research funds by linear regression and decision tree analysis in order to increase investment efficiency in national research project. Moreover, we suggested strategies that budget is estimated reasonably.

A Study on the Government's R&D Budgeting Evaluation System in Korea (과학기술혁신체제 하에서의 국가연구개발 평가 시스템 개선에 관한 연구 : 연구개발 예산평가 시스템을 중심으로)

  • Bark, Pyeng-Mu;Lee, Ki-Jong
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.819-839
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    • 2009
  • Proposed increases to the government's R&D budget should be discussed based on merits of meeting efficiency and effectiveness criteria. The evaluation of the national R&D budget and related programs are performed in two areas: a system of R&D budget coordination and allocation, and a system of R&D program performance. This paper mainly focuses on the operational areas of R&D budget evaluation system with a focus on their impact to efficiency and effectiveness. The core view point for a R&D budget evaluation system involves two directions: Firstly, to detail the relationships between the later stage (ex. post) activities such as, program survey, analysis, and program performance evaluation, with the budget evaluation. Secondly, to critically oversee all R&D coordination procedures with a different perspective. Budgeting is generally known as a serial process of policy making, planning and executing. It is highly desirable for the budget to be allocated to, and spent by, specific programs as planned, and that each plan be aligned with a specific policy. As such, a strong relevance between the program structure and budget code system is integral to successful execution. It should be performed using a decision making system which closely examines the link between policy and budget. It is also recommended that systematic relationships be maintained among budget coordination and allocation, performance evaluations of policy and program levels, and program survey and analysis system, and that their operational schedule should be reviewed comprehensively as a one integrated system. The National Science and Technology Council is expected to play a major and practical role as the center of policy planning and should be supported by the objective and unbiased system which covers overall process from policy making to program evaluation. Finally, increased utilization of contents, timely program survey and analysis, and accurate of activity scheduling of budget coordination and allocation, and diligent program performance evaluation all contribute towards a more efficient and effective overall evaluation system.

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The Success Factors of the Performance-based Budgeting Introduction on Local Government (지방자치단체의 성과주의 예산제도(PB2) 도입 성공요인 고찰)

  • Jung, Soon-Yeo;Leem, Tae-Jong
    • Korean Business Review
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.231-259
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    • 2006
  • Performance-based budgeting(hereafter PB2) is supposed to improve efficiency and effectiveness of public organizations. Governmental PB2 is based on output flow rather than input flow. Since 1990s, many OECD nations including New Zealand and the United States have been changing their budget system to PB2. The Korean Government has been using input-based budgeting focusing on the size of expenditures. In 1999, The Ministry of Planning and Budget(hereafter MPB) conducted pilot projects for divisions or agencies of governmental departments for the purpose of improving efficiency in expenditure, rationalizing budget allotments, and inducing budget savings. However, performance budgeting may also have problems in terms of measurement and application. Due to the fact that public goals are abstract and may vary, it is difficult to induce performance indicators from public goals. There also seem not to be any performance indicators which correspond with the conditions of desirable indicators, such as validity, reliability, clarity, practicality, controllability and so on. In terms of applying an original budgeting plan, the difficulty of linking performance and budgeting, the appearance of unintended negative effect and externalities, and the repulsion of subordinated agencies are expected. Now days, local government is going to introduce PB2. Same problem may happen in the local government. And Therefore, the objectives of this paper are to introduce PB2 onlocal government and review a alternative strategy with the purpose of smoothly settling performance budgeting on local government. That is the linkage of Balanced Scorecard(BSC) and PB2.

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지방정부 노인복지서비스의 수요·공급간 격차분석

  • Kim, Su-Yeong;Mun, Gyeong-Ju;Ju, Su-Hyeon;Kim, Do-Yeop
    • Journal of Local Government Studies
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.87-112
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    • 2014
  • The entry of aging society and the coming of (super) aged society need overall the elderly welfare policy and budget for quantitative expansion and qualitative increase to the elderly welfare services. However, financial limit to the elderly welfare and increase to elderly welfare services in local government rely on central government or private sector. This study is discussed the gap between demands and supplies of the elderly welfare services in Busan Metropolitan City and policy implications suggested by these results. The major findings of the study are summarized as follows. First, the rate of the poor elderly under minimum living standard and the elderly housing facilities in demand of the elderly welfare services is reduced, but other measuring indicators are generally increased. Second, a per 10,000 elderly welfare service officials and a per 10,000 elderly medical welfare facilities in supply of the elderly welfare services are generally increased, but other measuring indicators are reduced. The policy implications of the study is to reduce the poor elderly under minimum living standard, to expend the elderly welfare budget, and adequately to supply a variety of the elderly welfare facilities for reduce demand of the elderly welfare services.

The Role of State Budget Expenditure on Economic Growth: Empirical Study in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Hieu Huu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2019
  • Many authors have examined the impact of public spending on economic growth. This study uses ordinary least-squares technique to test the effect of state budget expenditure with two major components: development investment expenditure and recurrent expenditure on Vietnamese economy for the period 2000-2017. The empirical results show that the state budget expenditure of Vietnam has positive effect on the economy, however each main component has different impacts. Recurrent expenditure has significant positive impact on Vietnamese economy while there has no evidence to affirm the relationship between the development investment expenditure and the economic growth. Vietnamese government should restructure the state budget to enhance the positive effect on the economy. In the short run, Vietnam should not increase development investment expenditure due to low efficency in public investment. In the long run, it is necessary to economize recurrent expenditure to reserve a reasonable proportion of state budget for development investment expenditure to build infrastructure for developing the economy. The state budget expenditure should be restructured towards prioritizing recurrent expenditure on human and social relief, reducing public administration expenditure, allocating investment capital from the state budget for key and pervasive projects, avoiding spreading out investments as well as crowding out private investments.