• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global population

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OSCILLATION AND ATTRACTIVITY OF DISCRETE NONLINEAR DELAY POPULATION MODEL

  • Saker, S.H.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.25 no.1_2
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    • pp.363-374
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider the discrete nonlinear delay model which describe the control of a single population of cells. We establish a sufficient condition for oscillation of all positive solutions about the positive equilibrium point and give a sufficient condition for the global attractivity of the equilibrium point. The oscillation condition guarantees the prevalence of the population about the positive steady sate and the global attractivity condition guarantees the nonexistence of dynamical diseases on the population.

MODELING OF HUMAN INDUCED CO2 EMISSION BY ASSIMILATING GIS AND SOC10-ECONIMICAL DATA TO SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR OECD AND NON-OECD COUNTRIES

  • Goto, Shintaro
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 1998.09a
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 1998
  • Using GIS and socio-economical data the relationship between human activities and global environmental change Is Analysed from the view point of food productivity and CO2 emission. Under the assumption that the population problem, the food problem and global warming due to energy consumption can be stabilized through managing land use, impacts of human activities such as consumption of food, energy and timber on global environment changes, and global population capacity are Analysed using developed system dynamics model in the research. In the model the world is divided into two groups: OECD countries and the others. Used global land use data set Is land cover map derived from satellite data, and potential distribution of arable land is estimated by the method of Clamor and Solomon which takes into consideration spatial distribution of climate data such as precipitation and evapotranspiration. In addition, impacts of CO2 emission from human activities on food production through global warming are included in the model as a feedback. The results of the analysis for BaU scenario and Toronto Conference scenario are similar to the results of existing models. From the result of this study, the human habitability in 2020 is 8 billion people, and CO2 emission in 2020 based on BaU Scenario and on Toronto Scenario is 1.7 and 1.2 times more than the 1986's respectively. Improving spatial resolution of the model by using global data to distribute the environmental variables and sauce-economical indices is left for further studies.

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Population Dynamics of Intermediate-Host Snails in the White Nile River, Sudan: A Year-Round Observational Descriptive Study

  • Ismail, Hassan A.H.A.;Ahmed, Abed el Aziz A. el R.M.;Lee, Young-Ha;Elhag, Mousab Siddig;Kim, Youngjin;Cha, Seungman;Jin, Yan
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2021
  • We aimed to explore the population dynamics of snail in 3 sites of the White Nile in Sudan. More specifically, we aimed to investigate the annual patterns of snail populations that act as intermediate hosts of schistosomes and monthly snail infection rates and ecological characteristics presumably related to snail populations. We collected snails for 1 year monthly at 3 different shore sites in the vicinity of El Shajara along the White Nile river in Khartoum State, Sudan. In addition, we measured air and water temperatures, water turbidities, vegetation coverages, and water depths and current speeds. Most of the collected snails were Biomphalaria pfeifferi and Bulinus truncatus. The population densities of snails and their infection rates varied across survey sites. The collected snails liberated S. mansoni and S. haematobium cercariae as well as Amphistome and Echinostome cercariae. Infected snails were found during March-June. The ecological characteristics found to be associated with the absence of snails population were: high turbidity, deep water, low vegetation coverage (near absence of vegetation), high water temperature, and high current speed. To our knowledge, this is the first longitudinal study of the snail population and ecological characteristics in the main basin of the White Nile river.

A Comparative Analysis on the Change between Spatial Structure and Social Conditions of Rural Region - Focused in Asan City - (지역공간구조와 농촌지역 인문사회적 변화의 관계 연구 - 충남 아산시를 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Young-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to show the relation of the change between spacial structure and social conditions of rural area. The spacial structure change of Asan city was analyzed using Space Syntax, and multiple regression analysis (dependent variables: connectivity, global integration, local integration / independent variables: population, household, farm population, farm population of 65years old and over, farm household, part-time farm households, cultivated land) was accomplished. As th result, that the increase of connectivity is related to the increase of population and farm population of 65years old and over and the decrease of farm population, and the increase of local integration is related to the increase of farm population of 65years old and over was showed. However, that global integration is not related to change of social conditions was proved.

DYNAMICS OF A SINGLE SPECIES POPULATION IN A POLLUTED ENVIRONMENT

  • Pal, A.K.;Samanta, G.P.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.28 no.5_6
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    • pp.1185-1202
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we have studied the dynamical behaviour such as boundedness, local and global stabilities, bifurcation of a single species population affected by environmental toxicant and population toxicant. We have also studied the effect of discrete delay of the environmental toxicant on the instantaneous growth rates of the population biomass and population toxicant due to incubation period. The length of delay preserving the stability is also estimated. Computer simulations are carried out to illustrate our analytical findings.

On Sweeping Operators for Reducing Premature Convergence of Genetic Algorithms (유전 알고리즘의 조기수렴 저감을 위한 연산자 소인방법 연구)

  • Lee, Hong-Kyu
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.17 no.12
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    • pp.1210-1218
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    • 2011
  • GA (Genetic Algorithms) are efficient for searching for global optima but may have some problems such as premature convergence, convergence to local extremum and divergence. These phenomena are related to the evolutionary operators. As population diversity converges to low value, the search ability of a GA decreases and premature convergence or converging to local extremum may occur but population diversity converges to high value, then genetic algorithm may diverge. To guarantee that genetic algorithms converge to the global optima, the genetic operators should be chosen properly. In this paper, we analyze the effects of the selection operator, crossover operator, and mutation operator on convergence properties, and propose the sweeping method of mutation probability and elitist propagation rate to maintain the diversity of the GA's population for getting out of the premature convergence. Results of simulation studies verify the feasibility of using these sweeping operators to avoid premature convergence and convergence to local extrema.

AN SIRS EPIDEMIC MODEL ON A DISPERSIVE POPULATION

  • Ghosh, Asit K.;Chattopadhyay, J.;Tapaswi, P.K.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.925-940
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    • 2000
  • The spatial spread of a disease in an SIRS epidemic model with immunity imparted by subclinical infection on a population has been considered. The incidence rate of infection and the rate of immunization are both of nonlinear type. The dynamics of the infectious disease and its endemicity in local and global sense have been investigated.

High Performance of Temperature Gradient Chamber Newly Built for Studying Global Warming Effect on a Plant Population

  • Lee, Jae-Seok;Tetsuyuki Usami;Takehisa Oikawa;Lee, Ho-Joon
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.293-298
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    • 2000
  • To study the effect of global warming on the growth of plants and plant populations throughout their life cycle under a field-like condition, we constructed a Temperature Gradient Chamber (TGC) in Tsukuba, Japan. The chamber had slender shape : 30 m long. 3 m wide, and 2.5 m high. That satisfactory performance was confirmed by a test throughout all seasons in 1998: the projected global warming condition in the near future was simulated. That is, independent of a great daily or seasonal change in ambient meteorological conditions, air temperatures at the air outlet were warmed 5$^{\circ}C$ higher than those at the ambient (the annual mean was 14.3$^{\circ}C$) with precision of ${\pm}$0.2$^{\circ}C$ (the annual means were 19.2$^{\circ}C$) with a rising rate of approximately 1$^{\circ}C$ every 5 m. This chamber will enable us to study the effects of global warming on growth of plants and plant populations because their abilities to control air temperature are excellent. TGC is expected that it would be utilized for studying the effect of global warming on plant growth under natural weather conditions.

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Global Assessment of Current Water Resources using Total Runoff Integrating Pathways and Global GIS

  • Taikan Oki;Takao Saruhashi;Yasushi Agata;Shinjiro Kanae;Katumi Musiake
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2001
  • Anticipated water scarcity in the first half of this century is one of the most concerned international issues. However, even though the issue has an international impact and world wide monitoring is critical, there are limited number of global estimates at present. In this study, annual water availability was derived from annual runoff estimated by land surface models using Total Runoff Integrating Pathways (TRIP) with 0.5 degree by 0.5 degree longitude/latitude resolution globally. Global distribution of water withdrawal for each sector in the same horizontal spatial resolution was estimated based on country-base statistics of municipal water use, industrial water use, and agricultural intake, using global geographical information system with global distributions of population and irrigated crop land area. The total population under water stress estimated for 1995 corresponded very well with former estimates, however, the number is highly depend on how to assume the ratio how much water from outside of the region can be used for water resources within the region. It suggests the importance of regional studies evaluating the possibility of water intake as well as the validity of the investment for water resources withdrawal facilities.

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Review of Rice: Production, Trade, Consumption, and Future Demand in Korea and Worldwide

  • Jeong, Jong-Min;Kim, Eun Chong;Venkatanagappa, Shoba;Lee, Jeom-Sig
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.62 no.3
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2017
  • Being a staple food for more than half of the population of the world and South Korea, rice is an important crop. For the past 20 years, global paddy rice cultivation area and production have shown an annual growth of 0.46% and 1.61%, respectively. Global rice consumption for food and processing has increased by 1.37% and 3.68%, respectively. Due to the main reason for such increasing human population, it is expected that from 439 million tons in 2010, additional 116 million tons will be needed in 2035. Global rice imports and exports have doubled in the last 20 years. However, in spite of such increment, global rice exports in 2013 were 8.4% of the total production. It is thought that rice protection policies in the producing countries are the main reason for such small scale of rice trading. In the past 5 years, India recorded the largest growth rate in rice exports (51.4%), whereas China showed the largest growth rate in imports (61.0%). For global utilization of milled rice during the same period, approximately 79.4% was used as food, 7.2% as animal feeds, and 1.4% for processing. Regionally, Asia has shown a similar pattern to the global rice usage, whereas utilization for processing in America, for food in Africa, and for animal feed in Europe was relatively higher than the global rice usage. Korea's cultivation area and production since the last 5 years, are 0.5% and 0.8% of those of the world, respectively. Its annual rice export is approximately 3,000 tons, which is 0.01% of the global rice export. Korea's rice utilization is high for food and low for feed and for processing relative to global rice utilization. Therefore, a review must be conducted to increase Korea's utilization of rice for processing and for feed production.