• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global modeling

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An Assessment of Applicability of Heat Waves Using Extreme Forecast Index in KMA Climate Prediction System (GloSea5) (기상청 현업 기후예측시스템(GloSea5)에서의 극한예측지수를 이용한 여름철 폭염 예측 성능 평가)

  • Heo, Sol-Ip;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Ryu, Young;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Lim, Yoon-Jin;Kim, Yoonjae
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2019
  • This study is to assess the applicability of the Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) algorithm of the ECMWF seasonal forecast system to the Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5), operational seasonal forecast system of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The EFI is based on the difference between Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) curves of the model's climate data and the current ensemble forecast distribution, which is essential to diagnose the predictability in the extreme cases. To investigate its applicability, the experiment was conducted during the heat-wave cases (the year of 1994 and 2003) and compared GloSea5 hindcast data based EFI with anomaly data of ERA-Interim. The data also used to determine quantitative estimates of Probability Of Detection (POD), False Alarm Ratio (FAR), and spatial pattern correlation. The results showed that the area of ERA-Interim indicating above 4-degree temperature corresponded to the area of EFI 0.8 and above. POD showed high ratio (0.7 and 0.9, respectively), when ERA-Interim anomaly data were the highest (on Jul. 11, 1994 (> $5^{\circ}C$) and Aug. 8, 2003 (> $7^{\circ}C$), respectively). The spatial pattern showed a high correlation in the range of 0.5~0.9. However, the correlation decreased as the lead time increased. Furthermore, the case of Korea heat wave in 2018 was conducted using GloSea5 forecast data to validate EFI showed successful prediction for two to three weeks lead time. As a result, the EFI forecasts can be used to predict the probability that an extreme weather event of interest might occur. Overall, we expected these results to be available for extreme weather forecasting.

Simulation of Past 6000-Year Climate by Using the Earth System Model of Intermediate Complexity LOVECLIM (중간복잡도 지구시스템모델 LOVECLIM을 이용한 과거 6천년 기후 변화 모의)

  • Jun, Sang-Yoon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2019
  • This study introduces the overall characteristics of LOVECLIM version 1.3, the earth system model of intermediate complexity (EMIC), including the installation and operation processes by conducting two kinds of past climate simulation. First climate simulation is the equilibrium experiment during the mid-Holocene (6,000 BP), when orbital parameters were different compared to those at present. The overall accuracy of simulated global atmospheric fields by LOVECLIM is relatively lower than that in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) and Paleoclimate modelling Intercomparison Project phase 3 (PMIP3) simulations. However, surface temperature over the globe, the 800 hPa meridional wind over the mid-latitude coastal region, and the 200 hPa zonal wind from LOVECLIM show similar spatial distribution to those multi-model mean of CMIP5/PMIP3 climate models. Second one is the transient climate experiment from mid-Holocene to present. LOVECLIM well captures the major differences in surface temperature between preindustrial and mid-Holocene simulations by CMIP5/PMIP3 multi-model mean, even though it was performed with short integration time (i.e., about four days in a single CPU environment). In this way, although the earth system model of intermediate complexity has a limit due to its relatively low accuracy, it can be a very useful tool in the specific research area such as paleoclimate.

Classification of Agro-Climatic Zones of the State of Mato Grosso in Brazil (브라질 마토그로소 지역의 농업기후지대 구분)

  • Jung, Myung-Pyo;Park, Hye-Jin;Hur, Jina;Shim, Kyo-Moon;Kim, Yongseok;Kang, Kee-Kyung;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.34-37
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    • 2019
  • BACKGROUND: A region can be divided into agroclimatic zones based on homogeneity in weather variables that have greatest influence on crop growth and yield. The agro-climatic zone has been used to identify yield variability and limiting factors for crop growth. This study was conducted to classify agro-climatic zones in the state of Mato Grosso in Brazil for predicting crop productivity and assessing crop suitability etc. METHODS AND RESULTS: For agro-climatic zonation, monthly mean temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation data from Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) of National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA, USA) between 1980 and 2010 were collected. Altitude and vegetation fraction of Brazil from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) were also used to classify them. The criteria of agro-climatic classification were temperature in the hottest month ($30^{\circ}C$), annual precipitation (600 mm and 1000 mm), and altitude (200 m and 500 m). The state of Mato Gross in Brazil was divided into 9 agro-climatic zones according to these criteria by using matrix classification method. CONCLUSION: The results could be useful as information for estimating agro-meteorological characteristics and predicting crop development and crop yield in the state of Mato Grosso in Brazil.

Methods of Regulating Migration Processes in EU Countries

  • Hamova, Oksana;Dergach, Anna;Pikulyk, Oksana;Zolotykh, Irina;Diachenko, Kateryna
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.257-265
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    • 2021
  • Modern methods of regulating migration processes in EU states include a wide variety of adapted, transformed under the sway of globalization tools in order to influence the movement of human capital within the European space. The main purpose of the regulatory policy on migration flows is the redistribution of professionally competent professionals between different spheres of life. Herewith, the determining factor in the effectiveness of such distribution is a rational combination of stimulating and disincentive levers of influence on the movement of citizens of different EU countries and taking into account the motives of such mobility. Modernization of migration management approaches can be a major economic, social, political and cultural progress of European countries. The purpose of the research is to conduct a detailed analysis of existing practices of migration flow management, in particular their stimulation or containment, and to outline key migration trends formed under the influence of multicomponent approaches to migration regulation, transformation of regulatory legislation and changing priorities of modern society. The research methods: statistical-analytical method; ARIS method; method of tabular, graphical and analytical modeling; comparative analysis; systematization, generalization. Results. Current pan-European methods of regulating migration processes are insufficiently adapted to the multinational socialeconomic space; consequently, there are some disparities in the distribution of migrants between EU countries, although the overall dynamics of migration is positive. Fluctuations in the population of European countries during 2000-2019 and trends in the transformation of social-economic space confirm the insufficient level of influence of current methods of regulating migration flows. Along with this, the presence of a characteristic asymmetry in the distribution of migrants requires a greater focus on the modernization of regulatory instruments, in particular, the regulatory mechanism for managing migration processes. As a result of the conducted study, further prospects for the implementation of alternative methods of regulating migration processes in EU states have been outlined; the current and projected limits for increasing the level of observance of migrants' rights at the European level have been clarified through the adoption of appropriate regulatory acts; effective solutions for intensifying the influx of high-quality labor resources from different countries to EU have been identified. The research results can be used to study methods of regulating migration processes in the countries in the global dimension.

Review on the Recent Membrane Technologies for Pressure Retarded Osmosis (압력지연삼투를 위한 최근 분리막 기술에 관한 총설)

  • Jeon, Sungsu;Patel, Rajkumar;Kim, Jong Hak
    • Membrane Journal
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2021
  • Solutions to water pollution, global warming, and climate change have been currently discussed. Pressure retarded osmosis (PRO) using a difference in salt concentration between two fluids is proposed to meet the demand for clean water and produce eco-friendly energy. Although PRO has been researched continuously, it has not been commercialized yet due to limitations such as lack of technology and the high price of membranes. Meanwhile, the membrane is one of the most significant parts of the PRO engine and salinity gradient power (SGP) technology. Research continues to technologically develop graphene oxide membranes and nanocomposite membranes used in salinity gradient power generation. Studies on efficient membranes, solvents, and solutes are active to enable high energy efficiency of the osmotic heat engine even at low temperatures of waste. Studies have been conducted on reducing internal concentration polarization and increasing power density by using membranes with balanced permeability and selectivity. In this review, dealing with these studies, we discuss the types of PRO membranes, theoretical modeling of technologies through efficient membranes, and other technologies to develop the process efficiency.

Analytical Research on Knowledge Production, Knowledge Structure, and Networking in Affective Computing (Affective Computing 분야의 지식생산, 지식구조와 네트워킹에 관한 분석 연구)

  • Oh, Jee-Sun;Back, Dan-Bee;Lee, Duk-Hee
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2020
  • Social problems, such as economic instability, aging population, heightened competition, and changes in personal values, might become more serious in the near future. Affective computing has received much attention in the scholarly community as a possible solution to potential social problems. Accordingly, we examined domestic and global knowledge structure, major keywords, current research status, international research collaboration, and network for each major keyword, focusing on keywords related to affective computing. We searched for articles on a specialized academic database (Scopus) using major keywords and carried out bibliometric and network analyses. We found that China and the United States (U.S.) have been active in producing knowledge on affective computing, whereas South Korea lags well behind at around 10%. Major keywords surrounding affective computing include computing, processing, affective analysis, research, user modeling categorizing recognitions, and psychological analysis. In terms of international research collaboration structure, China and the U.S. form the largest cluster, whereas other countries like the United Kingdom, Germany, Switzerland, Spain, and Canada have been strong collaborators as well. Contrastingly, South Korea's research has not been diverse and has not been very successful in producing research outcomes. For the advancement of affective computing research in South Korea, the present study suggests strengthening international collaboration with major countries, including the U.S. and China and diversifying its research partners.

The Effects of Perceived Quality and Relationship Quality on Store Performance(Revisit Intention) in the Context of Coffee Specialty Shops

  • LEE, Sang Suk;LEE, Jee Eun
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.21-34
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study examines the structural relationship between perceived quality, relationship quality, and revisit intention in the context of coffee shop. In this model, perceived quality consists of product, service, and experience quality, and relationship quality consists of satisfaction, trust, and commitment, and performance consists of revisit intention. More specially, this study identifies whether perceived quality plays a mediating role in the relationship between perceived quality and relationship quality and the direct/indirect effects of perceive quality on intention to revisit. Research design, data and methodology: The survey was conducted from September 1 to 30, 2019. The data were collected from 320 respondents and analyzed using structural equation modeling (SEM) with AMOS program. Results: The findings are as follows. First, quality perception of coffee specialty stores had a statistically positive effect on relationship quality, indicating supports H1. Therefore, customers can know that they are aware of the quality of coffee specialty stores, including quality of service and experience as well as products, and that they form relationship quality with coffee specialty stores. Second, relationship quality between coffee shops and customers had a significant positive effect on performance. Thus, H2 was supported. The results show that if the coffee shop does not consider relationship quality as important, customer loyalty decreases, the number of customers decreases, and the number of customers who switch to another coffee shop increases, which can lead to a threat to the coffee shop. Third, in the case of hypothesis H3, it was found that there was a partial mediating effect of satisfaction and trust between quality perception and reuse intention of coffee specialty stores, so hypothesis H3 was partially supported. As commitment appears to have no mediating effect, it can be said that customers who use coffee shops are not only difficult to maintain as regular customers of a particular coffee shop, but also have ample room to move to other coffee shops. Conclusions: Although many scholars point out the importance of service quality, few studies were conducted in the context of the Korean food service industry (including coffee shops). From this perspective, this study tested several hypotheses that the quality (product, service, experience) perceived by customers can have a positive effect on relationship quality and performance (re-visit intention), either directly or indirectly. The findings of this study demonstrate that if the manager of a coffee shop understands the characteristics of quality perceived by customers and the role of relationship quality, the effect of quality perceptions on customers can be maximized in order to maintain the relationship with customers.

Aqueous Boron Adsorption on Carbonized Nanofibers Prepared from Electrospun Polyacrylonitrile(PAN) Mats (전기방사 후 탄소화된 폴리아크릴로니트릴(PAN) 나노섬유의 수용액 중 붕소 흡착)

  • Hong, So Hee;Han, Sun-Gie;Kim, Su Young;Won, Yong Sun
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.210-217
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    • 2022
  • Boron(B) is a rare resource used for various purposes such as glass, semiconductor materials, gunpowder, rocket fuel, etc. However, Korea depends entirely on imports for boron. Considering the global boron reserves and its current production rate, boron will be depleted on earth in 50 years. Thus, a process including proper adsorbent materials recovering boron from seawater is demanded. This research proposed carbonized nanofibers prepared from electrospun PAN(polyacrylonitrile) mats as promising materials to adsorb boron in aqueous solution. First, the mechanism of boron adsorption on carbonized nanofibers was investigated by DFT(density functional method)-based molecular modeling and the calculated energetics demonstrated that the boron chemisorption on the nitrogen-doped graphene surface by a two-step dehydration is possible with viable activation energies. Then, the electrospun PAN mats were stabilized in air and then carbonized in an argon atmosphere before being immersed in the boric acid aqueous solution. Analytically, SEM(scanning electron microscopy) and Raman measurements were employed to confirm whether the electrospinning and carbonization of PAN mats proceeded successfully. Then, XPS(X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy) peak analysis showed whether the intended nitrogen-doped carbon nanofiber surface was formed and boron was properly adsorbed on nanofibers. Those results demonstrated that the carbonized nanofibers prepared from electrospun PAN mats could be feasible adsorbents for boron recovery in seawater.

Development of Three-dimensional Inversion Algorithm of Complex Resistivity Method (복소 전기비저항 3차원 역산 알고리듬 개발)

  • Son, Jeong-Sul;Shin, Seungwook;Park, Sam-Gyu
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.180-193
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    • 2021
  • The complex resistivity method is an exploration technique that can obtain various characteristic information of underground media by measuring resistivity and phase in the frequency domain, and its utilization has recently increased. In this paper, a three-dimensional inversion algorithm for the CR data was developed to increase the utilization of this method. The Poisson equation, which can be applied when the electromagnetic coupling effect is ignored, was applied to the modeling, and the inversion algorithm was developed by modifying the existing algorithm by adopting comlex variables. In order to increase the stability of the inversion, a technique was introduced to automatically adjust the Lagrangian multiplier according to the ratio of the error vector and the model update vector. Furthermore, to compensate for the loss of data due to noisy phase data, a two-step inversion method that conducts inversion iterations using only resistivity data in the beginning and both of resistivity and phase data in the second half was developed. As a result of the experiment for the synthetic data, stable inversion results were obtained, and the validity to real data was also confirmed by applying the developed 3D inversion algorithm to the analysis of field data acquired near a hydrothermal mine.

Application of Depth Resolution and Sensitivity Distribution of Electrical Resistivity Tomography to Modeling Weathered Zones and Land Creeping (전기비저항 깊이분해능 및 감도분포: 풍화층 및 땅밀림 모델에 대한 적용)

  • Kim, Jeong-In;Kim, Ji-Soo;Ahn, Young-Don;Kim, Won-Ki
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.157-171
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    • 2022
  • Electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) is a traditional and representative geophysical method for determining the resistivity distributions of surrounding soil and rock volumes. Depth resolution profiles and sensitivity distribution sections of the resistivities with respect to various electrode configurations are calculated and investigated using numerical model data. Shallow vertical resolution decreases in the order of Wenner, Schlumberger, and dipole-dipole arrays. A high investigable depth in homogeneous medium is calculated to be 0.11-0.19 times the active electrode spacing, but is counterbalanced by a low vertical resolution. For the application of ERT depth resolution profiles and sensitivity distributions, we provide subsurface structure models for two types of land-creping failure (planar and curved), subvertical fracture, and weathered layer over felsic and mafic igneous rocks. The dipole-dipole configuration appears to be most effective for mapping land-creeping failure planes (especially for curved planes), whereas the Wenner array gives the best resolution of soil horizons and shallow structures in the weathered zone.