• Title/Summary/Keyword: Global Risk

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A Basic Study on Marine Traffic Assessment in Mombasa Approach Channel-I

  • Otoi, Onyango Shem;Park, Young-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.81-84
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    • 2016
  • Mombasa is the principle port of Kenya, serving hinter countries in Eastern and central Africa. Mombasa port has undergone a massive infrastructure upgrade and dredging works with an expectation that more vessels and large post Panamax ships will be able to call at Mombasa port. Therefore, it is vital to carry out a marine traffic risk assessment so as to quantify the degree of navigation safety on Mombasa approach channel and also to evaluate navigation risk imposed on transit traffic by local ferry traffic. In this paper marine traffic risk assessment is carried out using IWRAP mk2, Environmental Stress model, and PARK model. Risk assessment results show that Likoni area has unacceptable stress/ risk ranking at 20.7% on ES model and 38.89% by PARK model. IWRAP mk2 model shows that crossing area has the highest risk of crossing collision and the area at the entrance to inner channel has a high risk of grounding. The conclusions derived from this study will provide the basis for proposing the most effective countermeasure so as to improve navigation safety in Mombasa approach channel.

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A Study on the Analysis of Risk Factors for Hydrogen Fuel Stations Based on Quantitative Risk Assessment (정량적 위험성평가 기반 수소충전소 위험요소 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Jae Yong;Lee, Jieun;Song, Hyoungwoon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.70-76
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we suggested the direction to lower the risk by analyzing the risk factors for each process for the hydrogen refueling station to be installed in Chungju. HyRAM, one of the quantitative risk assessment tools for hydrogen gas, was used to analyze the hazards. By evaluating the frequency of accidents and consequences for each process, the most dangerous processes and accident factors were presented, and the risk mitigation factors were synthesized. Hydrogen refueling stations are currently in the global infrastructure expansion period, and the lack of accident data could be an alternative to this risk assessment and is expected to be used as a reference for the future expansion of hydrogen refueling stations.

International Construction Joint Ventures with Developing Countries: Singapore's Case for Risk Assessment and Allocation

  • Hwang, Bon-Gang;Zhao, Xianbo;Chin, Eileen Wei Yan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.435-439
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    • 2015
  • It is important for Singaporean companies to manage the multifaceted risks when forming international construction joint ventures (ICJVs) with developing countries. The objectives of this study are to assess the risks associated with Singaporean ICJVs with developing countries, and investigate the risk allocation preferences in these ICJVs. To fulfill these objectives, a literature review was carried out and a questionnaire survey was performed with 38 professionals. The survey results reported "political instability" as the most critical risk, and market level risks were less critical than country and project level risks. Additionally, the results showed agreement on the risk ranking between building and infrastructure ICJVs, despite significant differences in the criticalities of five risks. Furthermore, five risks were preferably allocated to host and foreign partners, respectively, while 13 risks could be shared among partners. As few studies have explored the risk allocation preferences in ICJVs, this study expands the literature. Also, the identification of the risks allows other companies to customize their own lists of critical risks, while the preferred risk allocation provides valuable information for companies from various countries that intend to form ICJVs with developing countries. Thus, this study contributes to the global body of knowledge relating to ICJVs.

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Developing of Construction Project Risk Analysis Framework by Claim Payout and its Application

  • Kim, Ji-Myong;Park, Young Jun;Kim, Young-Jae;Yu, YeongJin
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.192-194
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    • 2015
  • The growing size and complex process in construction project recently leads to increase risk and the losses as well. Even though researchers have identified the major risk indicators, there is lack of comprehensive and quantitative research for identifying the relationship between the risk indicators and economic losses associated with construction projects. To address this shortage of research, this study defines risk indicators and create a framework to assess the influence of economic losses from the indicators. An insurance company's claim payout record was accepted as the dependent variable to reflect the real economic losses. Based on the claims, we categorized the causes and results of accidents. To establish framework, built environment vulnerability indicators and geographical vulnerability indicators were employed as the risk indicators. A Pearson correlation analysis was adopted to validate the relationship with loss ratio and risk indicators. Consequently, this framework and its results may offer significant references for under writers of insurance companies and loss prevention activities.

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Priority Analysis of Supply Chain Risk Management for Business Using AHP (공급사슬 리스크 관리에 관한 우선순위 분석)

  • Ji-Yeong Ko
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.17-35
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    • 2022
  • The Pandemic crisis caused by COVID-19 has raised awareness of the importance of supply chain risk management, such as the control of movement between countries and the simultaneous manufacturing paralysis in the world. Effective risk management within the supply chain of the company is a core competency in the global environment. Therefore, this study quantitatively analyzed the perspective of domestic large corporations and small and medium enterprises (SMEs) by using the hierarchical analysis method (AHP) to identify the factors that should be considered as the priority when establishing supply chain risk management plans for large and small business employees. In order to conduct the study, a survey was conducted on large corporations and small and medium enterprises in Gyeongnam and Busan, and AHP analysis was conducted using Microsoft 365 excel program. In addition, Mann-Whitney U test (independent sample-nonparametric test) was conducted using SPSS/18 version of statistical package program for comparative analysis between groups. As a result, the priority was highly evaluated in the order of financial ability, competitiveness, disaster in the overall priority evaluation. There were statistically significant differences in internal risk and strategic decision making of supply chain between groups. This suggests that fandemics such as COVID-19 can not be predicted, but strategic responses are needed to utilize opportunities expressed in the crisis through supply chain risk management and to increase the competitive advantage of domestic companies even in the crisis.

Establishing Relationships between Disasters and Global Environmental Problems for Sustainable Communities

  • Sadohara, Satoru
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2008
  • Many types of disasters are related to environmental problems. Today, frequently occurring disasters and global environmental problems have begun to threaten human life and welfare. Consequently, building sustainable communities requires assessing relationships between environmental problems and disasters using a broad, open approach and with a long-term perspective. This paper attempts to identify the need for conceptualizing disasters and environmental problems together by comparing mechanisms of both disasters and environmental problems, and attempts to integrate both of these seemingly different types of phenomena as similar types of risk threatening human existence. Based on this work, a chart is proposed for qualitatively organizing disasters, environmental problems and their mutual influences, as well as providing a framework for potential quantitative analysis. It is hoped this research serves to contribute to effective mitigation to both disasters and environmental problems in today's age of global environmental issues.

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A Risk Prediction System of Air Pollution Influencing Diseases Utilzing Keras (Keras를 이용한 대기오염이 유해질환에 미치는 위험 예측 시스템)

  • Lee, Jisu;Lee, Yu-jeong;Yoon, Soo-han;Moon, Yoo-Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2022.01a
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    • pp.11-12
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    • 2022
  • 이 연구는 대기오염과 미세먼지의 각 성분이 질환에 미치는 영향에 대한 데이터만 존재한다면 어떠한 질환이든 위험도 예측 결과를 알 수 있는 것에 의미가 있다. 또한 기존의 대기정보에 따른 정보를 예상하는데 필요한 데이터 종류와 수가 많았으며 계산의 복잡성이 높았고 정보의 제공 범위가 넓었다. 하지만 이 연구는 과거 대기 데이터와 딥러닝을 통해서 낮은 비용으로 더욱 자세하게 유해질환 위험도를 예측하는 시스템을 구축하였다. 이 연구에서 구축한 시스템은 예측 결과 88.9%의 정확도를 보였다. 이 시스템은 입력되는 데이터의 정보에 따라 세분화된 지역의 대기환경 정보 또한 파악 가능하며 그 과정이 매우 간편하고 유용하다. 이 시스템은 공기질 예측을 위해 유용하게 사용될 수 있을 것이라고 사료된다.

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Development of a Risk Management Procedure Model for the Construction Project Using Construction Risk Management System (CRMS를 활용한 건설공사의 리스크관리 절차모형 개발)

  • Kim, Chang Hak;Kang, Leen Seok;Park, Hong Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.4D
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    • pp.423-432
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    • 2010
  • This study suggested CRMS (construction risk management system) which is a new risk analysis model after analyzing existing risk management process for to guarantee a successful performance at the construction planning and work phase. CRMS is risk management procedures in order that the contractor identify, analyze and administrate the risk during performing construction project. This model may give much help to quantify and be ready the right managing methods about identified risk by the contractor. Especially, the most important and difficult things of all risk management may be to identify risk in the project. This study make more focusing on the developing a procedure that can identify risk more easily in the construction project. The risk is divided into global risk and local risk of a project. Also, this study suggests methods which are using the RBS (risk breakdown structure) related with WBS. This result will be useful as basic materials for developing computerizing system for risk management.

Application of a Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression Analysis to Explore Spatial Varying Relationship Between Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Incidence and Associated Determinants (공간가중 포아송 회귀모형을 이용한 고병원성 조류인플루엔자 발생에 영향을 미치는 결정인자의 공간이질성 분석)

  • Choi, Sung-Hyun;Pak, Son-Il
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2019
  • In South Korea, six large outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) have occurred since the first confirmation in 2003 from chickens. For the past 15 years, HPAI outbreaks have become an annual phenomenon throughout the country and has extended to wider regions, across rural and urban environments. An understanding of the spatial epidemiology of HPAI occurrence is essential in assessing and managing the risk of the infection; however, local spatial variations of relationship between HPAI incidences in Korea and related risk factors have rarely been derived. This study examined whether spatial heterogeneity exists in this relationship, using a geographically weighted Poisson regression (GWPR) model. The outcome variable was the number of HPAI-positive farms at 252 Si-Gun-Gu (administrative boundaries in Korea) level notified to government authority during the period from January 2014 to April 2016. This response variable was regressed to a set of sociodemographic and topographic predictors, including the number of wild birds infected with HPAI virus, the number of wintering birds and their species migrated into Korea, the movement frequency of vehicles carrying animals, the volume of manure treated per day, the number of livestock farms, and mean elevation. Both global and local modeling techniques were employed to fit the model. From 2014 to 2016, a total of 403 HPAI-positive farms were reported with high incidence especially in western coastal regions, ranging from 0 to 74. The results of this study show that local model (adjusted R-square = 0.801, AIC = 954.5) has great advantages over corresponding global model (adjusted R-square = 0.408, AIC = 2323.1) in terms of model fitting and performance. The relationship between HPAI incidence in Korea and seven predictors under consideration were significantly spatially non-stationary, contrary to assumptions in the global model. The comparison between global Poisson and GWPR results indicated that a place-specific spatial analysis not only fit the data better, but also provided insights into understanding the non-stationarity of the associations between the HPAI and associated determinants. We demonstrated that an empirically derived GWPR model has the potential to serve as a useful tool for assessing spatially varying characteristics of HPAI incidences for a given local area and predicting the risk area of HPAI occurrence. Considering the prominent burden of HPAI this study provides more insights into spatial targeting of enhanced surveillance and control strategies in high-risk regions against HPAI outbreaks.

HCNG 보급을 위한 안전기술 및 기준 연구

  • Bang, Hyo Joong
    • Journal of the Korean Professional Engineers Association
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.20-27
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    • 2012
  • World has become interested in the development of new dean energy because of oil prices rise and global warming due to carbon dioxide emissions. This study evaluated the safety of the refueling infrastructure for hydrogen, CNG and HCNG(hydrogen blended natural gas) which recently take center stage as a clean fuel. The risk of fuel was evaluated by 3D computational fluid dynamics program for gas dispersion and explosion. Hydrogen is higher than the CNG explosion overpressure and shows rapid spread. On the other hand, CNG and 30% HCNG showed quite similar characteristics. HCNG slightly rises in risk than the CNG, but HCNG is safe compared to hydrogen.

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