• 제목/요약/키워드: Generalized logistic model

검색결과 68건 처리시간 0.025초

L-모멘트법을 이용한 지역홍수빈도분석을 통한 금강유역 미계측 유역의 설계홍수량 산정 (Estimating design floods for ungauged basins in the geum-river basin through regional flood frequency analysis using L-moments method)

  • 이진영;박동혁;신지예;김태웅
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제49권8호
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    • pp.645-656
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 금강유역에 대한 지역홍수빈도분석을 실시하고 재현기간에 따른 홍수량을 추정하는 관계식을 제안하였다. 유역 내 유량자료의 수문학적 독립성과 동질성에 대한 검증을 위하여 Lag-1 자기상관성 분석, 동질성 검정, 이상치 검정, 불일치척도 검정을 수행하였다. 검정 결과, 금강유역의 대상 관측소들은 시간에 대하여 독립적이고 동질적 모집단에 속하며 이상치는 없었다. 일반 극치 분포(GEV), 3변수 대수정규 분포(LN-III), 피어슨-III 분포(P-III), 일반 로지스틱 분포(GLO), 일반 파레토 분포(GPA) 등 5개의 3변수 확률분포함수에 대한 L-모멘트비도와 평균가중거리(AWD), 그리고 $Z^{DIST}$ 적합도 산정 결과, GLO 분포함수가 금강유역의 최적 확률분포형으로 선정되었다. GLO 분포를 바탕으로 지역홍수빈도를 추정하는 회귀모형을 제안하였고, 강경 관측소의 관측 유량을 이용하여 회귀모형의 적용성을 검증하였다.

Development and Validation of MRI-Based Radiomics Models for Diagnosing Juvenile Myoclonic Epilepsy

  • Kyung Min Kim;Heewon Hwang;Beomseok Sohn;Kisung Park;Kyunghwa Han;Sung Soo Ahn;Wonwoo Lee;Min Kyung Chu;Kyoung Heo;Seung-Koo Lee
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제23권12호
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    • pp.1281-1289
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    • 2022
  • Objective: Radiomic modeling using multiple regions of interest in MRI of the brain to diagnose juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (JME) has not yet been investigated. This study aimed to develop and validate radiomics prediction models to distinguish patients with JME from healthy controls (HCs), and to evaluate the feasibility of a radiomics approach using MRI for diagnosing JME. Materials and Methods: A total of 97 JME patients (25.6 ± 8.5 years; female, 45.5%) and 32 HCs (28.9 ± 11.4 years; female, 50.0%) were randomly split (7:3 ratio) into a training (n = 90) and a test set (n = 39) group. Radiomic features were extracted from 22 regions of interest in the brain using the T1-weighted MRI based on clinical evidence. Predictive models were trained using seven modeling methods, including a light gradient boosting machine, support vector classifier, random forest, logistic regression, extreme gradient boosting, gradient boosting machine, and decision tree, with radiomics features in the training set. The performance of the models was validated and compared to the test set. The model with the highest area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was chosen, and important features in the model were identified. Results: The seven tested radiomics models, including light gradient boosting machine, support vector classifier, random forest, logistic regression, extreme gradient boosting, gradient boosting machine, and decision tree, showed AUROC values of 0.817, 0.807, 0.783, 0.779, 0.767, 0.762, and 0.672, respectively. The light gradient boosting machine with the highest AUROC, albeit without statistically significant differences from the other models in pairwise comparisons, had accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 scores of 0.795, 0.818, 0.931, and 0.871, respectively. Radiomic features, including the putamen and ventral diencephalon, were ranked as the most important for suggesting JME. Conclusion: Radiomic models using MRI were able to differentiate JME from HCs.

RNN(Recurrent Neural Network)을 이용한 기업부도예측모형에서 회계정보의 동적 변화 연구 (Dynamic forecasts of bankruptcy with Recurrent Neural Network model)

  • 권혁건;이동규;신민수
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.139-153
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    • 2017
  • 기업의 부도는 이해관계자들뿐 아니라 사회에도 경제적으로 큰 손실을 야기한다. 따라서 기업부도예측은 경영학 연구에 있어 중요한 연구주제 중 하나로 다뤄져 왔다. 기존의 연구에서는 부도 예측을 위해 다변량판별분석, 로짓분석, 신경망분석 등 다양한 방법론을 이용하여 모형의 부도 예측력을 높이고 과적합의 문제를 해결하고자 시도하였다. 하지만 기존의 연구들이 시간적 요소를 고려하지 않아 발생할 수 있는 문제점들을 갖고 있음에도 불구하고 부도 예측에 있어서 동적 모형을 이용한 연구는 활발히 진행되고 있지 않으며 따라서 동적 모형을 이용하여 부도예측모형이 더욱 개선될 여지가 있다는 점을 확인할 수 있었다. 이에 본 연구에서는 RNN(Recurrent Neural Network)을 이용하여 시계열 재무 데이터의 동적 변화를 반영한 모형을 만들었으며 기존의 부도예측모형들과의 비교분석을 통해 부도 예측력의 향상에 도움이 된다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 모형의 유용성을 검증하기 위해 KIS Value의 재무 데이터를 이용하여 실험을 수행하였고 비교모형으로는 다변량판별분석, 로짓분석, SVM, 인공신경망을 선정하였다. 실험 결과 제안된 모형이 비교 모형에 비해 우수한 예측력을 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구는 변수들의 변화를 포착하는 동적 모형을 부도예측에 새롭게 제안하여 부도예측 연구의 발전에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

의료기관 간호사 확보수준이 수술환자의 사망, 폐렴, 패혈증, 요로감염에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Hospital Nurse Staffing on in-hospital Mortality, Pneumonia, Sepsis, and Urinary Tract Infection in Surgical Patients)

  • 김윤미;조성현;전경자;신순애;김지윤
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제42권5호
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    • pp.719-729
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study was done to examine relationships between nurse staffing level and postsurgical patient outcomes using inpatient database from the National Health Insurance. Methods: Records of 111,491 patients who received one of 12 types of surgery between January and December, 2009 were identified and analyzed in this study. Nurse staffing level was measured using adjusted nurse staffing grades from 0 to 7. Patient outcomes were defined as in-hospital mortality, or pneumonia, sepsis, or urinary tract infection after surgery. Logistic regression analyses estimated by Generalized Estimation Model, were used to analyze the association between nurse staffing level and patient outcomes. Results: An inverse relationship was found between nurse staffing and patient mortality. Compared with patients who were cared for in hospitals with the highest nurse staffing (Grades 0-1), increases in the odds of dying were found in those with Grades 6-7 [OR (odds ratio)=2.99, 95% CI (confidence interval)=1.94-4.60], those with Grades 4-5 (OR=1.78, 95% CI=1.24-2.57) and those with Grades 2-3 (OR=1.57, 95% CI=1.25-1.98). Lower nurse staffing level was also associated with higher number of cases in pneumonia and sepsis. Conclusion: Policies for providing adequate nurse staffing is required to enhance quality of care and lead to better perioperative patient outcomes.

공황장애 환자에서 공존 주요 우울증과 연관된 임상요인들 (Clinical Factors Associated with Comorbid Major Depressive Disorder in Patients with Panic Disorder)

  • 장현채;임세원;신영철;신동원;오강섭
    • 대한불안의학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.17-23
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    • 2014
  • Objective : Panic disorders are frequently accompanied by major depressive disorder (MDD). There is insufficient information about which clinical factors in panic disorder are associated with comorbid MDD. The aim of this study is to identify clinical factors related with comorbid MDD in patients with panic disorder. Methods : Two experienced psychiatrists diagnosed panic disorder based on DSM-IV criteria. This diagnosis in the 275 subjects was confirmed again by Mini-International Neuropsychiatric Interview (MINI). Lifetime comorbid psychiatric diagnoses were examined by MINI. The Hamilton Depression Scale (HAMD), Hamilton Anxiety Scale (HAMA) and Panic Disorder Severity Scale (PDSS) were used to assess the severity of depressive, anxiety and panic symptoms. Results : The result of MINI showed that 95 patients (34%) with panic disorder satisfied the diagnosis of MDD. Multivariate logistic regression model showed that comorbid generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) and the symptom of "fear of losing control or going crazy" were associated with MDD in patients with panic disorder. In female patients, the "chills or hot flushes" symptom was also associated with comorbid MDD. Conclusion : These results showed that coexisting GAD and certain symptoms of panic are associated with comorbid MDD.

Choline Acetyltransferase 유전자 다형성이 경도인지손상 발현에 미치는 영향 (The Impact of Choline Acetyltransferase Polymorphism on the Expression of Mild Cognitive Impairment)

  • 이정재;박준혁;이석범;허윤석;김태희;윤종철;주진형;이동영;박경운;김기웅
    • 생물정신의학
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.218-225
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : The potential association between choline acetyltransferase(CHAT) polymorphism and the risk of mild cognitive impairment(MCI) has not been investigated in Korea. We examined the main effect of CHAT polymorphism and its interaction with apolipoprotein E(APOE) polymorphism in the development of MCI in elderly Korean sample. Methods : We analyzed CHAT 2384G > A polymorphism and APOE polymorphism among 149 MCI subjects with MCI and 298 normal controls. We tested the association between MCI and CHAT A allele status using a logistic regression model. In addition, we employed generalized multifactor dimensionality reduction(GMDR) to investigate the interaction between CHAT and APOE with regard to the risk of MCI. Results : The CHAT A allele was associated with AD risk(OR = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.02-2.48, p = 0.042). No significant gene-gene interaction between CHAT and APOE was found in GMDR method(testing balanced accuracy = 0.540, p = 0.055). Conclusion : The CHAT A allele was associated with MCI risk in the Korean elderly. Its interaction with the APOE ${\varepsilon}4$ allele was not significant with regard to the development of MCI.

Treatment Costs and Factors Associated with Glycemic Control among Patients with Diabetes in the United Arab Emirates

  • Lee, Seung-Mi;Song, Inmyung;Suh, David;Chang, Chongwon;Suh, Dong-Churl
    • Journal of Obesity & Metabolic Syndrome
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.238-247
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    • 2018
  • Background: We aimed to estimate the proportion of patients with diabetes who achieved target glycemic control, to estimate diabetes-related costs attributable to poor control, and to identify factors associated with them in the United Arab Emirates. Methods: This retrospective cohort study used administrative claims data handled by Abu Dhabi Health Authority (January 2010 to June 2012) to determine glycemic control and diabetes-related treatment costs. A total of 4,058 patients were matched using propensity scores to eliminate selection bias between patients with glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) <7% and HbA1c ${\geq}7%$. Diabetes-related costs attributable to poor control were estimated using a recycled prediction method. Factors associated with glycemic control were investigated using logistic regression and factors associated with these costs were identified using a generalized linear model. Results: During the 1-year follow-up period, 46.6% of the patients achieved HbA1c <7%. Older age, female sex, better insurance coverage, non-use of insulin in the index diagnosis month, and non-use of antidiabetic medications during the follow-up period were significantly associated with improved glycemic control. The mean diabetes-related annual costs were $2,282 and $2,667 for patients with and without glycemic control, respectively, and the cost attributable to poor glycemic control was $172 (95% confidence interval [CI], $164-180). The diabetes-related costs were lower with mean HbA1c levels <7% (cost ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.88-0.99). The costs were significantly higher in patients aged ${\geq}65$ years than those aged ${\leq}44$ years (cost ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.25-1.70). Conclusion: More than 50% of patients with diabetes had poorly controlled HbA1c. Poor glycemic control may increase diabetes-related costs.

The relationship between shift work pattern and thyroid stimulating hormone in female workers

  • Hun Jeong;Chang Ho Chae;Jun Ho Lee;Hyo Won Chong
    • Annals of Occupational and Environmental Medicine
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    • 제35권
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    • pp.14.1-14.10
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    • 2023
  • Background: Shift work is known to cause changes in the circadian rhythm of the human body and adversely affect not only physical health but also mental health. Some studies have demonstrated the correlation between shift work and thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), a hormone that changes according to the diurnal rhythm, but few studies have reported the different TSH levels according to the shift work type. This study aimed to investigate changes in TSH according to the shift work type. Methods: This study included 1,318 female workers who had a medical checkup at a university hospital in Changwon from 2015 to 2019. Shift work types were classified as non-shift work, regular 2 shifts, and irregular three shifts, and a TSH ≥ 4.2 mIU/L was defined as abnormal. A general linear model (GLM) was used to compare the TSH levels and the risk of subclinical hypothyroidism in each year, and a binary logistic analysis was performed using a generalized estimation equation (GEE) to compare the risk of subclinical hypothyroidism over the 5-year period. Results: Of the 1,318 participants included in this study, 363, 711, and 244 were non-shift, two-shift, and irregular three-shift workers, respectively. In the GEE analysis, after adjusting for age, body mass index, smoking, and alcohol consumption, the odds ratios (ORs) were 1.81 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.15-2.86; p = 0.011) in 2 shifts and 2.02 (95% CI: 1.23-3.32; p = 0.006) in irregular three shifts, compared to non-shift. Conclusions: Our results showed that shift work had a higher risk of subclinical hypothyroidism than non-shift work and that there was a significant difference in the risk of subclinical hypothyroidism according to the shift work type. These findings suggest that the shift work type can be considered in future thyroid function tests and evaluations.

조건부가치추정법을 이용한 VMS교통정보의 기본가치 추정연구 (Underlying Values of Real-time Traffic Information on Variable Message Sign Using Contingent Valuation Method(CVM))

  • 이경아;김준기;오성호;이영인
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2011
  • VMS를 통한 실시간 교통정보 제공에 따른 편익에는 경로 우회에 따른 통행시간 절감과 이에 따른 운행비용 및 환경오염 절감 등의 파급효과 뿐 아니라, 전방교통상황 인지에 따른 심리적 안정 등의 정성적 편익도 함께 존재하며, 도로환경을 첨단화하는 ITS사업의 특성상 정성적 편익의 비중은 상대적으로 높다. 이러한 ITS사업의 특성을 기존의 투자평가지침에 반영하기 위해서는 도로이용자가 인식하는 VMS 교통정보의 기본가치와 같은 정성적 편익에 대한 많은 연구와 이를 인정하는 사회적 공감대가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 이중양분 선택형 설문형태의 조건부가치추정법(Contingent valuation Method)을 통해 VMS 교통정보에 대한 도로 이용자의 지불의사액(Willingness-to-pay)을 파악하고, 생존함수를 활용하여 WTP 함수를 추정하는 방법론을 정립하고, 국도에 설치된 도로전광표지판(VMS)을 통해 제공되는 실시간 교통정보에 내재된 기본가치를 추정하여 제시하였다. 또한 교통정보의 기본가치를 ITS사업의 편익으로 고려해야 하는 정책적 필요성과 활용방안에 대해 검토하였다.

Does Home Oxygen Therapy Slow Down the Progression of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Diseases?

  • Han, Kyu-Tae;Kim, Sun Jung;Park, Eun-Cheol;Yoo, Ki-Bong;Kwon, Jeoung A;Kim, Tae Hyun
    • Journal of Hospice and Palliative Care
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.128-135
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    • 2015
  • 목적: 2006년부터 가정산소치료 서비스에 대해 보장을 시작함에 따라, 기준에 부합하는 사람들은 가정산소 서비스이용에 대해 20%의 본인부담만을 지출하게 되었다. 이 같은 제도의 도입은 환자의 가정산소치료 서비스에 대한 부담을 경감시키게 됨에 따라 주요 이용자인 만성 폐쇄성 폐질환 환자들에게 긍정적인 효과를 미쳤을 것으로 예상된다. 하지만, 제도 도입 후 가정산소치료 서비스 제도의 효과에 대한 연구가 많지 않았고, 실증적 근거자료 또한 부족한 실정이다. 따라서, 본 연구는 제도 도입 후, 가정산소치료 서비스가 만성 폐쇄성 폐질환 환자들의 상태에 긍정적 영향을 미쳤는지를 알아보고자 한다. 방법: 만성폐쇄성 폐질환으로 2007년부터 2012년까지 병원을 방문한 사람(N=10,798)의 청구데이터를 분석에 이용하였으며, 가정산소치료 서비스 제도 적용의 기준인 호흡기장애등급에 따라 분포의 차이를 설명하기 위해 ${\chi}^2$ test을 하였다. 또한, 가정산소치료 서비스 이용에 대한 요인을 알아보고자 Multiple Logistic Regression Analysis을 하였으며, 가정산소치료 서비스 이용이 호흡기장애등급의 변화에 어떠한 영향을 주었는지 알아보고자 Generalized Linear Mixed Model 분석을 하였다. 결과: 분석대상 중 호흡기장애등급 1등급에 속하는 대상은 2,490명이었으며, 2/3등급에 속하는 대상은 8,308명이었다. 가정산소치료 서비스 이용에 대해서는 호흡기 장애등급 3등급이 1 또는 2등급에 비해 적게 이용하였다(OR: 0.33, 95% CI: 0.30~0.37). 또한, 가정산소치료를 이용함에 따라 환자의 상태의 변화에 대해 분석한 결과, 가정산소치료 이용자는 미이용자에 비해 상태의 완화 또는 유지에 대해 높은 값을 보였다(OR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.23~1.61). 결론: 가정산소치료 서비스 이용은 만성 폐쇄성 폐질환 환자의 상태 악화방지에 대해서 긍정적인 영향을 준다.