• Journal for History of Mathematics
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.1-18
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• 2022

This paper presents a statistical machine learning method that generates the implied volatility surface under the rareness of the market data. We apply the practitioner's Black-Scholes model and Gaussian process regression method to construct a Bayesian inference system with observed volatilities as a prior information and estimate the posterior distribution of the unobserved volatilities. The variance instead of the volatility is the target of the estimation, and the radial basis function is applied to the mean and kernel function of the Gaussian process regression. We present two types of Gaussian process regression methods and empirically analyze them.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.10 no.7
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• pp.167-172
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• 2012

In vocabulary recognition using HMM(Hidden Markov Model) by model for the observation of a discrete probability distribution indicates the advantages of low computational complexity, but relatively low recognition rate has the disadvantage that require sophisticated smoothing process. Gaussian mixtures in order to improve them with a continuous probability density CHMM (Continuous Hidden Markov Model) model is proposed for the optimization of the library system. In this paper is system configuration thread control in recognition Gaussian mixtures model provides a model to optimize of the CHMM vocabulary recognition. The result of applying the proposed system, the recognition rate of 98.1% in vocabulary recognition, respectively.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.421-435
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• 2022

To investigate the non-Gaussian properties of fluctuating wind pressures and the error margin of extreme wind loads on a long-span curved roof with matching and mismatching ratios of turbulence integral scales to depth (L_u^x/D), a series of synchronized pressure tests on the rigid model of the complex curved roof were conducted. The regions of Gaussian distribution and non-Gaussian distribution were identified by two criteria, which were based on the cumulative probabilities of higher-order statistical moments (skewness and kurtosis coefficients, S_k and K_u) and spatial correlation of fluctuating wind pressures, respectively. Then the characteristics of fluctuating wind-loads in the non-Gaussian region were analyzed in detail in order to understand the effects of turbulence integral-scale. Results showed that the fluctuating pressures with obvious negative-skewness appear in the area near the leading edge, which is categorized as the non-Gaussian region by both two identification criteria. Comparing with those in the wind field with matching L_u^x/D, the range of non-Gaussian region almost unchanged with a smaller L_u^x/D, while the non-Gaussian features become more evident, leading to higher values of S_k, Ku and peak factor. On contrary, the values of fluctuating pressures become lower in the wind field with a smaller L_u^x/D, eventually resulting in underestimation of extreme wind loads. Hence, the matching relationship of turbulence integral scale to depth should be carefully considered as estimating the extreme wind loads of long-span roof by wind tunnel tests.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.531-542
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• 2015

In this survey, we use the normal linear model to demonstrate the use of the linear Bayes method. The superiorities of linear Bayes estimator (LBE) over the classical UMVUE and MLE are established in terms of the mean squared error matrix (MSEM) criterion. Compared with the usual Bayes estimator (obtained by the MCMC method) the proposed LBE is simple and easy to use with numerical results presented to illustrate its performance. We also examine the applications of linear Bayes method to some other distributions including two-parameter exponential family, uniform distribution and inverse Gaussian distribution, and finally make some remarks.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.10a
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• pp.85-93
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• 2005

Tweedie (1957a) proposed a method for the analysis of residuals from an inverse Gaussian population paralleling the analysis of variance in normal theory. He called it the analysis of reciprocals. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian model selection procedure based on the fractional Bayes factor for the analysis of reciprocals. Using the proposed model procedures, we compare with the classical tests.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.1167-1176
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• 2005

Tweedie (1957a) proposed a method for the analysis of residuals from an inverse Gaussian population paralleling the analysis of variance in normal theory. He called it the analysis of reciprocals. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian model selection procedure based on the fractional Bayes factor for the analysis of reciprocals. Using the proposed model selection procedures, we compare with the classical tests.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.267-276
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• 2012

Bagai et al. (1989) proposed a distribution-free test for stochastic ordering in the competing risk model, and recently Murakami (2009) utilized a standard saddlepoint approximation to provide tail probabilities for the Bagai statistic under finite sample sizes. In the present paper, we consider the Gaussian-polynomial approximation proposed in Ha and Provost (2007) and compare it to the saddlepoint approximation in terms of approximating the percentiles of the Bagai statistic. We make numerical comparisons of these approximations for moderate sample sizes as was done in Murakami (2009). From the numerical results, it was observed that the Gaussianpolynomial approximation provides comparable or greater accuracy in the tail probabilities than the saddlepoint approximation. Unlike saddlepoint approximation, the Gaussian-polynomial approximation provides a simple explicit representation of the approximated density function. We also discuss the details of computations.

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• v.11 no.6
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• pp.557-560
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• 1990

The transition from one stable steady state branch to another stable steady state branch in a simple metabolic system with positive feedback is discussed with the aid of the bimodal Gaussian probability distribution method. Fluctuations lead to transitions from one stable steady state branch to the other, so that the bimodal Gaussian evolves to a new distribution. We also obtain the fractional occupancies in the two stable steady states in terms of a parameter characterizing conditions of the system.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.275-300
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• 2016

Synchronous multi-pressure measurements were carried out with relatively long time duration for a double-layer reticulated shell roof model in the atmospheric boundary layer wind tunnel. Since the long roof is open at two ends for the storage of coal piles, three different testing cases were considered as the empty roof without coal piles (Case A), half coal piles inside (Case B) and full coal piles inside (Case C). Based on the wind tunnel test results, non-Gaussian time-dependent statistics of net wind pressure on the shell roof were quantified in terms of skewness and kurtosis. It was found that the direct statistical estimation of high-order moments and peak factors is quite sensitive to the duration of wind pressure time-history data. The maximum value of COVs (Coefficients of variations) of high-order moments is up to 1.05 for several measured pressure processes. The Mixture distribution models are proposed for better modeling the distribution of a parent pressure process. With the aid of mixture parent distribution models, the existing translated-peak-process (TPP) method has been revised and improved in the estimation of non-Gaussian peak factors. Finally, non-Gaussian peak factors of wind pressure, particularly for those observed hardening pressure process, were calculated by employing various state-of-the-art methods and compared to the direct statistical analysis of the measured long-duration wind pressure data. The estimated non-Gaussian peak factors for a hardening pressure process at the leading edge of the roof were varying from 3.6229, 3.3693 to 3.3416 corresponding to three different cases of A, B and C.

• JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.40-50
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• 2011

A two-dimensional (2D) analytical model for the potential distribution and threshold voltage of short-channel ion-implanted GaAs MESFETs operating in the sub-threshold regime has been presented. A double-integrable Gaussian-like function has been assumed as the doping distribution profile in the vertical direction of the channel. The Schottky gate has been assumed to be semi-transparent through which optical radiation is coupled into the device. The 2D potential distribution in the channel of the short-channel device has been obtained by solving the 2D Poisson's equation by using suitable boundary conditions. The effects of excess carrier generation due to the incident optical radiation in channel region have been included in the Poisson's equation to study the optical effects on the device. The potential function has been utilized to model the threshold voltage of the device under dark and illuminated conditions. The proposed model has been verified by comparing the theoretically predicted results with simulated data obtained by using the commercially available $ATLAS^{TM}$ 2D device simulator.