• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.313-321
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• 2004

In this article we show that the tests of Robinson (1994) may have serious problems in distinguishing between fractionally integrated processes in the context of deterministic trends. The results are obtained via Monte Carlo experiments. A simple procedure, based on the t-values of the coefficients from the differenced regression, is presented to correctly specify the time series of interest and, an empirical application, using data of the US GNP is also carried out at the end of the article.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.5-18
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• 1989

Understanding the future level of car ownership is essential in order to formulate various transportation policies. Despite its importance, however, a revies of literature indicates that previous studies treated car ownership as a linear function of income, GNP, degree of urbanization and etc. more detaild and accurate models of car ownership should be possible if information on major variables determining car ownership can be gathered. In this paper, three approaches have been chosen to develop mathematical models to predict future increase in car ownership in Korea. The three methords developed are : income distribution methords ; multiple regression models ; forecasting curves.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.237-253
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• 2005

In Korea, the volume of insurance industry has been increased rapidly with helping the economic growth, the increment of GNP and derive of public welfare policy. But the other side of the volume increment, the life insurers have some problems, such as the high rate of turnover, lapses and surrenders, in processing of acquiring more insurance contracts. The object of this paper is the analysis of the causes and properties of the high rate of turnover, lapses and surrenders using statistical survival model. Also we hope that the insurers will use the results of analysis to reduce the rates.

• 산업공학
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.47-60
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• 1992

Korean government plans to expand R & D expenditures to 39.8 billion dollars (5 percent of GNP) and to secure 150,000 R & D manpower (30 per 10,000 population) until 2001. This paper deals with industrial research and development manpower and is to forecast the demand of science and technology manpower to keep pace with the economic development goals which includes advancement of science and technology. This is composed of two parts. The first part is the review of the basic concepts of this research while the second one projects and overall future demand of science and technology manpower.

• 대한설비공학회지:설비저널
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• 제33권8호
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• pp.48-55
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• 2004

노동자 농민이 주체가 되는 세상 공산주의가 몰락하고 자본주의로 급진전향하면서 한때 혼란과 IMF를 겪는 등 어려움은 있었으나 스라브 민족적 저력과 엄청난 부존자원(석유, 가스)의 뒷받침으로 러시아 경제는 2003년도 GNP 7% 성장, 2004년도 상반기 200억불의 무역흑자와, 서방선진국 회원이 되는 등, 신속히 안정과 성장의 자리 매김을 하고 있다. 현재 러시아에는 서방선진 투자가들이 러시아의 상대적 저임금과 미래성장가능성에 대비 마지막 기회의 땅으로 보고 시장 선점차원에서 많은 투자가 이루어지고 있다. (중략)

• 보건행정학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.155-182
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• 1997

Objectives : This study was designed to compare North Korea and South Korea in measures of the quality of life (physical quality of life index and human development index) and to investigate the impact of selected medical and socioeconomic factors on PQL variables. Data and Methods : The World Bank, the United Nations Development Programme, and Population Reference Bureau were the principal sources of statistical data of 121 countries. Variables included infant mortality, life expectancy at birth, literacy rate, secondary school enrollment (male and female), GNP per capita, population per doctor, daily calorie supply per capita, and a composite PQL index. The Ordinary Least Square model was employed for cross-countries analysis. Findings : Both countries under quite different political and economic systems saw big improvememts in the quality of life, reducing mortality and prolonging life expectancy during the past three decades. In recent decad, however, North Korea has experienced abrupt exacerbation in the quality of life. Significant improvements in infant mortality of the population wer attributable mainly to GNP per capita and the secondary school enrollemt of female. The principal predictors of life expectancy at birth were population per doctor, infant mortality, and literacy rate. The secondary school enrollment of female and population per doctor were significantly associated with improvements in the physical quality of life index (PQLI). Conclusion : The results of this study confirmed a point illustrated by other studies : The association between quality of life as a measure of health status and socioeconomic factors was strong and positive. The important contribution of educational attainment in general, female education level in particular to improvements in the quality of life deserves good news for building an integrated health care system in the reunified Korea, taking into account the high level of education two koreas are enjoying. Meanwhile, when a sharp drop in the quality of life has been observed in North Korea under serious economic difficulties and food shortage in recent decade, the significant contribution of economic development to improvements in the quality of life poses bad nows for reunifying Korean health care in economic terms.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제50권1호
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• pp.16-24
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• 1980

본(本) 연구(硏究)는 우리나라 지류(紙類)의 수급구조(需給構造)와 수급추세(需給趨勢)를 구명(究明)하는데 목적(目的)이 있으며, 분석방법(分析方法)으로는 구성비율(構成比率) 분석(分析), 횡단분석(橫断分析) 및 시계열분석법(時系列分析法)을 적용(適用)하였다. 그 결과(結果)를 요약(要約)하면 다음과 같다. 1. 지류(紙類)의 소비량(消費量)은 판지(板紙)가 가장 많고 수출량(輸出量)은 인쇄용지(印刷用紙)가 가장 높은 비중(比重)을 차지하고 있다. 2. 1979년(年)의 1인당(人当) 지류소비량(紙類消費量)은 45kg으로서 이는 국민소득수준(国民所得水準)에 비(比)하여 아주 높다. 3. 1인당(人当) 지류소비량(紙類消費量)의 소득(所得) 및 가격탄력치(価格弹力値)는 각각(各各) 1.67, -0.73 이었으며, GNP가 증가(増加)됨에 따라서 산업(産業) 용지(用紙)의 수요(需要)는 더욱 급속(急速)하게 늘어나는 경향(傾向)이다.

• 환경위생공학
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.49-64
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• 1993

The present waste problems require a change of thinking with regard to conventional economics. It has been generally believed that competitive markets maximize social welfare. But, the other hand, a few economists argue that "the competitive markets cannot always be relied on to provide all goods in the efficient amount." One of the best examples of the latter contention is the environmental problem. What is the basic thinking of the conventional economics that causes this problems \ulcorner What is the present problem that requires the change of conventional economic thinking \ulcorner The environmental problem result from the conventional economic thinking such as pursuing the limitless of the Gross National Product(GNP), believing the increasing returns in economics of scale and the efficiency of competitive market. This economic principles, howe- ver, does not apply currently to public goods, especially environmental amenity and natural resource because the price of markets does not reflect the natural goods of services. We call this eternality. Externalizes are no considered by either buyers or sellers of goods of which production or use results in an eternality. This leads to market failure are causes an waste problem in the economic activities. Today, it is almost impossible to say in a word what the solution for waste problems is because they are by-products complicated and entangled human activities. In this paper, I have introduced the causes of environmental problems only from the economic point of view. I have also described the needs of conversion of conventional economic thinking. Firstly, sustainable development, maintaining the natural resources, should be the basis of the economic growth rather that pursuing the limitless growth of GNP. Secondly, an appropriate scale of human's production activity should be taken into account to reduce the impact to the natural environment. Thirdly, internalization of eternality is asked to correct the market failure. This requires the public policy such as imposing a talsubsidy, assigning a property right or implement a more detailed environmental quality standard through, because use of the natural resources can be. allocated optimally by the intervention of government or social associations.

• 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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• 제20권5호
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• pp.432-438
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• 2009

In this paper, we synthesized LSG powder by Modified-GNP method. Lanthanum, strontium and gallium (LSG) were selected in the preparation of an oxygen-electrode (anode) for High Temperature Steam Electrolysis system (HTSE). The used amount and concentration of nitric acid were varied to find out an appropriate composition for oxygen-electrode (anode). In order to optimize the molar ratio of La and Sr, ratio of La to Sr was varied that 2:8, 5:5 and 8:2. The combined LSGs were calcined for 2 hours at $700^{\circ}C$ and were sintered in a furnace for 4 hours at $1200^{\circ}C$. The phase and crystallinity of LSG powder were determined by XRD. The surface morphology was observed through SEM photograph, and the specific surface area was investigated with BET. The thermochemical property was determined by TG/DTA. The synthesized preparation was obtained of $La_{0.8}Sr_{0.2}GaO_{3}$ formula for 3M nitric acid, which was the best perovskite phase.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제21권1호
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• pp.129-156
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• 2012

본 연구는 다목적댐 운영을 통한 안정적인 수자원 공급이 국가경제에 기여하는 경제적 파급효과를 분석한다. 분석을 위해 17개 주요 다목적댐이 고려되며, 다목적댐에서 공급되는 수자원을 여름과 겨울로 구분하여 별도의 생산요소로 포함하는 연산가능 일반균형모형(computable general equilibrium model: CGE)을 2007년을 기준연도로 하여 구축한다. 분석 내용은 다목적댐 용수 공급의 양적 측면과 안정적 용수 공급 측면을 구분하여, 전자에 대해서는 수자원 수요 충족에 따른 경제적 파급효과를 분석하고, 후자에 대해서는 수자원 공급의 불확실성 감소에 따른 리스크 프리미엄을 추정한다. 분석 결과, 다목적댐이 운영되지 않을 경우에 수자원을 집약적으로 투입하는 농림수산 및 수도 산업의 생산과 농림수산 산출물이 중간재로 많이 사용되는 음식료 산업의 생산이 크게 감소하는 것으로 나타났으며, 철강과 전기전자 등의 산업들은 대체로 생산이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. GNP는 벤치마크 해 대비 0.22~0.68% 감소하는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 리스크 프리미엄은 상대적 위험회피 척도 값을 0.5~3.0의 범위에서 고려할 때 약 40억 원~240억 원의 범위를 갖는 것으로 나타났다.