• 제목/요약/키워드: GDP contribution

검색결과 55건 처리시간 0.026초

패널자료에 의한 외국인 근로자의 소득증대 효과분석: OECD 국가를 중심으로 (On the Effects of Foreign-born Labor on Increasing in National Income Implemented by Panel Data Analysis: Evidence from OECD Countries)

  • 이현재
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.366-375
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 34개 OECD 국가 중에서 자료의 가용성에 따라 24개국을 대상으로 모의변수를 설정한 고정효과모형에 의한 패널분석을 수행하여 외국인 근로자의 국내 소득증대 효과를 분석하였다. 즉, 패널자료를 활용한 단순 및 다중회귀분석을 통해 총고용률, 자국인 고용률 및 외국인 고용률이 소득지표인 국내총생산과 일인당 국민소득에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 분석결과에 의하면 외국인 고용률이 내국인 고용률에 비해 소득증대에 기여하는 정도가 현저하게 낮은 것으로 나타났고, 외국인 고용률이 자국인 고용률을 대체하는 것으로 분석되었다. 그리고 노동이 국가의 소득수준을 결정하는데 있어서 영향력이 크다는 것도 입증되었다. 따라서 외국인 근로자의 유입으로 인해 노동생산성이 하향 조정되거나 노동시장이 분절화 되는 것을 방지할 수 있는 정책적 대안이 필요할 것이다. 즉, 노동정책 당국은 외국인 근로자의 양적인 확대뿐만 아니라 질적인 확대를 유도할 수 있는 방향으로 노동시장을 개방해야 할 것이다.

The Impact of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) on Intra-Industry Trade: An Empirical Analysis Using a Panel Vector Autoregressive Model

  • Guofeng Zhao;Cheol-Ju Mun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.103-118
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This study aims to examine the dynamic relationship between the variables impacted by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) and the level of intra-industry trade among member states, with the ultimate objective of deducing the short- and long-term effects of RCEP on trade. Design/methodology - This study focuses on tariffs, GDP growth rates, and the proportion of regional FDI to total FDI as research variables, and employs a panel vector autoregression model and GMM-style estimator to investigate the dynamic relationship between RCEP and intra-industry trade among member countries. Findings - The study finds that the level of intra-industry trade between member states is positively impacted by both tariffs and intra-regional FDI. The impulse response graph shows that tariffs and FDI within the region can promote intra-industry trade among member countries, with a quick response. However, the contribution rates of tariffs and intra-regional FDI are not particularly high at approximately 1.5% and 1.4%, respectively. In contrast, the contribution rate of GDP growth can reach around 8.5%. This implies that the influence of economic growth rate on intra-regional trade in industries is not only long-term but also more powerful than that of tariffs and intra-regional FDI. Originality/value - The originality of this study lies in providing a new approach to investigating the potential impact of RCEP while avoiding the limitations associated with the GTAP model. Additionally, this study addresses existing gaps within the research, further contributing to the research merit of the study.

The Relationship between Foreign Capital Inflows and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Cung Huu;PHAM, Thi Truc Quynh;TRAN, Thi Hoa;NGUYEN, Thi Hoa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권11호
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    • pp.325-332
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    • 2021
  • Foreign capital inflows play an essential role in each country's socio-economic growth, particularly for undeveloped and developing countries where capital accumulation is limited in the early stages of development, and Vietnam is no exception. The purpose of this article is to examine the impact of foreign capital inflows on economic growth in Vietnam. The empirical method employed secondary time-series data set during the period 1995-2018 to determine the impact of FDI, foreign aid, foreign loans, and exports on economic growth in Vietnam by using a linear approach. For this study, data was collected from the World Bank and relevant agencies in Vietnam. The results show that FDI (net inflows), foreign aid, foreign loans, exports, and GDP (current), have a positive effect at a 1% significance level on economic growth. Rather, an increase in FDI (net inflows), foreign aid, foreign loans, exports has beneficial effects on the Vietnamese economy in the study period. Based on the findings of this study, the article proposes several important policy implications for Vietnam in maintaining a high rate of economic growth via the contribution of FDI inflows, foreign aid, foreign loans, and exports.

Fiscal Causal Hypotheses and Panel Cointegration Analysis for Sustainable Economic Growth in ASEAN

  • MARIMUTHU, Maran;KHAN, Hanana;BANGASH, Romana
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to examine the causal links between the fiscal components, i.e., government expenditures (GE) and government revenues (GR), and their impact on the economic growth of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region. This analysis considered secondary panel data from 1990 to 2019 at an annual frequency. The data is obtained from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and World Bank Database. A panel cointegration and panel DH causality (Dumitrescu and Hurlin) approach was employed on financial data at an annual frequency from 1990 to 2019. The findings from panel unit root and panel cointegration tests demonstrate that, at first, all the variables are stationary and cointegrated. The panel ARDL disclosed that GE has a long-run connection with GDP, is significantly and positively associated with economic growth in the long run, whereas GR is significant in the short run. The contribution of GE is high in sustaining economic growth as compared to GR. Also, cointegration regression disclosed that GE is more sensitive toward GDP, while GR is less elastic. Lastly, the findings reveal that bidirectional causality exists between GE and GR variables. These results have policy implications for sustainable economic growth in the ASEAN region.

Rederivation of Gertler's model and analysis of the Korean economy

  • Lee, Hangsuck;Son, Jihoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.649-673
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    • 2020
  • This paper makes a theoretical contribution by providing clear and detailed derivation of economic agents' decision problems including elastic labor supply in Gertler's overlapping generation (OLG) model. We apply the model to the Korean economy by calibration based on Korean economic data. It also analyzes the impact of current social issues such as aging and extension of retirement age, on the Korean economy in a long-run equilibrium. Subsequently, we also discuss the implications of the analysis. Aging has prolonged the period of retirement; therefore, population structure changes by the increase in the proportion of retirees, the total consumption-to-GDP ratio decreases, and capital stock increases due to reduced propensity to consume out of wealth in preparation for an individual's retirement life. The implementation of retirement age extension increases the proportion of retirees relatively less and alleviates fluctuations in labor supply and the share of financial assets for both economic agents. However, the decrements in consumption-to-GDP ratio is larger than before, and this leads to a larger rise in the capital stock compared to when there is only an aging effect.

한국과 OECD 국가의 에너지기술 R&D 투자규모 비교 (An Energy Technology R&D Investment Analysis of OECD Countries and Korea)

  • 민윤지
    • 통상정보연구
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.363-384
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 우리나라와 OECD국가들의 에너지기술 연구개발비 규모를 다양한 측면에서 비교하고 그 시사점을 제안한다. 에너지부문의 기술개발투자에 관한 국가 비교 시, 다양한 비교 기준이 갖는 의미를 논의하고, OECD Statistics의 국가별 에너지기술 연구개발비 예산을 활용하여 새롭게 에너지 기술에 관한 국가별 관심도를 측정할 수 있는 지표를 제안한다. 비교결과 우리나라의 에너지기술개발을 위한 연구투자에 대해 2010년을 기준으로 OECD 국가 중 5위의 수준으로 비교적 높은 연구투자를 하고 있다. 또한 국가규모 대비 에너지기술개발을 위한 연구투자수준도 OECD 국가 중 6위로 비교적 높은 수준의 에너지기술개발에 대한 관심을 갖는 듯하였다. 그러나 국가의 경제력 등을 통제한 후, 순수하게 에너지기술개발의지를 살펴보았더니 OECD국가 중 20위로 평균에도 못 미치고 있는 수준이었다. 에너지기술개발에 대한 투자가 다른 국가들에 비해 상대적으로 높은 수준이지만, 그것이 곧 에너지기술개발의 필요성 및 관심도를 기본으로 출발했다고 보기 어렵기 때문에 에너지산업의 빠른 성장으로 이어질지는 장담할 수 없다. 한 국가의 에너지경제의 근본적인 경쟁력확보 및 성장은 순수한 필요성에 대한 인지가 선행되어야 가능할 수 있는 일이다.

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Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in SAARC Countries

  • Erum, Naila;Hussain, Shahzad;Yousaf, Abida
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2016
  • Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plays a vital role in economic growth of the countries. The present study analyses the impact of the FDI on economic growth of South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation countries by using the pooled data for the period 1990-2014. Neo-classical production function has been used for analysis and getting stock-to-flow estimation, Taylor series approximation has applied. Fixed Effects Model has been used to investigate the impact of FDI, domestic capital, labour and government expenditures on economic growth. It is the evident from the results that both domestic investment and FDI have been a positive effect on economic growth. The study finds that the contribution of domestic private investment is more trustworthy than the contribution of FDI. Consequently, FDI loses its attraction as an engine of growth if the adverse balance of payment consequence of the resulting profit repatriating is also taken into account. The labour has positive and significant association with GDP. The effect of government expenditure is negligible on economic growth. The findings suggest that growth strategy cannot yield the long term benefits if it neglects investments on human capital.

건강보험의 지속을 위한 개혁과제 (Health Care Reform for Sustainability of Health Insurance)

  • 이규식
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.1-26
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    • 2010
  • We achieved both industrialization and democratization during the shortest period in the world. We also achieved good performance in national health insurance: universal coverage, solidarity in financing, equitable access of health care. However, national health insurance system has faced the problem of sustainability: various expenditure and financing problems. The problem of sustainablity has two facets of economic sustainability and fiscal sustainability. Economic sustainability refers to growth in health spending as a proportion of gross domestic product(GDP). Rapid increasing rate of health spending exceeds the growth rate of domestic product. Growth in health spending is more likely to threaten other areas of economic activity. Concern on fiscal sustainability relates to revenue and expenditure on health care. Health care financing face demographic and technical obstacles. Democratic obstacle is aging problem. Technical obstacle is collection of contribution. Expenditure of health care has various problems in benefit structure and efficiency of health care system. In this article, I suggest several policy reforms to enhance sustainability: generating additional revenue from value added tax, changing method of levying contribution, increasing efficiency of health care system by introducing the competition principle. restructuring of benefit scheme of health insurance. contracting with health care institutions to provide health care services.

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시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 우리나라 소기업의 정보화 파급효과 추정 및 지원 정책 방향 수립 (Estimating the Macroeconomic IT Investment Effect of Korean Small Firms with System Dynamics Simulation)

  • 이윤석;김진한;김성홍
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.19-43
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    • 2004
  • This study was motivated by a practical need for estimating the macroeconomic effect of government IT Promotion investment, specifically for micro and small firms. Small firms have been in a disadvantageous position to adopt and utilize new IT compared with medium or large-sized firms. Small firms don't have enough resource to acquire IT in general, therefore private IT companies don't have much incentive to develop IT services and products for small firms. Lack of feasible IT solutions for small firms again restricted active IT adoption of small firms. Government recognized the vicious cycle, therefore decided to promote private IT companies to develop IT services and products for small firms's. Our main concern was to identify a relevant government supporting Policy, especially in the amount and the period. To do this, we first constructed a system dynamics simulation model to Investigate important factors and causal relationships among them. Simulation results showed 2.19% of GDP contribution and 0.16% of employment contribution in max from small firms' IT adoption. Also we could find that investing proper amount for a short period would be for better than maintaining Investing small amount for a long period.

Relationships between Inbound Tourism, Financial Development, and Economic Growth: An Empirical Study of Fujian Province, China

  • An Lin, LIU;Yong Cen, LIU
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.213-222
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    • 2023
  • This paper mainly studies the relationship between financial development, inbound tourism development, and economic growth rate in Fujian Province, China. This study uses the data of real GDP, foreign exchange income from international tourism, and financial interrelations ratio from 1994 to 2019. In the analysis process, the Johansen cointegration test is first used to analyze whether the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Then the vector error correction model is established to test the restrictive relationship among the three. Next, the Granger causality test assesses whether the three have a causal relationship. Finally, the contribution rate of the three is analyzed by variance decomposition. The above methods show the following conclusions: first, the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Secondly, in the short term, local economic growth is constrained by inbound tourism and financial development. Thirdly, there is a causal relationship between economic growth and inbound tourism in Fujian, while there is a unidirectional causal relationship between financial development and economic growth, financial development, and inbound tourism. Fourthly, the contribution rate of inbound tourism to economic growth fluctuations in Fujian is higher than that of financial development.