• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Linear Regression

Search Result 119, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

LEAST ABSOLUTE DEVIATION ESTIMATOR IN FUZZY REGRESSION

  • KIM KYUNG JOONG;KIM DONG HO;CHOI SEUNG HOE
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.18 no.1_2
    • /
    • pp.649-656
    • /
    • 2005
  • In this paper we consider a fuzzy least absolute deviation method in order to construct fuzzy linear regression model with fuzzy input and fuzzy output. We also consider two numerical examples to evaluate an effectiveness of the fuzzy least absolute deviation method and the fuzzy least squares method.

Multiple linear regression and fuzzy linear regression based assessment of postseismic structural damage indices

  • Fani I. Gkountakou;Anaxagoras Elenas;Basil K. Papadopoulos
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.24 no.6
    • /
    • pp.429-437
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper studied the prediction of structural damage indices to buildings after earthquake occurrence using Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Fuzzy Linear Regression (FLR) methods. Particularly, the structural damage degree, represented by the Maximum Inter Story Drift Ratio (MISDR), is an essential factor that ensures the safety of the building. Thus, the seismic response of a steel building was evaluated, utilizing 65 seismic accelerograms as input signals. Among the several response quantities, the focus is on the MISDR, which expresses the postseismic damage status. Using MLR and FLR methods and comparing the outputs with the corresponding evaluated by nonlinear dynamic analyses, it was concluded that the FLR method had the most accurate prediction results in contrast to the MLR method. A blind prediction applying a set of another 10 artificial accelerograms also examined the model's effectiveness. The results revealed that the use of the FLR method had the smallest average percentage error level for every set of applied accelerograms, and thus it is a suitable modeling tool in earthquake engineering.

An Algorithm of Short-Term Load Forecasting (단기수요예측 알고리즘)

  • Song Kyung-Bin;Ha Seong-Kwan
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.53 no.10
    • /
    • pp.529-535
    • /
    • 2004
  • Load forecasting is essential in the electricity market for the participants to manage the market efficiently and stably. A wide variety of techniques/algorithms for load forecasting has been reported in many literatures. These techniques are as follows: multiple linear regression, stochastic time series, general exponential smoothing, state space and Kalman filter, knowledge-based expert system approach (fuzzy method and artificial neural network). These techniques have improved the accuracy of the load forecasting. In recent 10 years, many researchers have focused on artificial neural network and fuzzy method for the load forecasting. In this paper, we propose an algorithm of a hybrid load forecasting method using fuzzy linear regression and general exponential smoothing and considering the sensitivities of the temperature. In order to consider the lower load of weekends and Monday than weekdays, fuzzy linear regression method is proposed. The temperature sensitivity is used to improve the accuracy of the load forecasting through the relation of the daily load and temperature. And the normal load of weekdays is easily forecasted by general exponential smoothing method. Test results show that the proposed algorithm improves the accuracy of the load forecasting in 1996.

Thermal Error Modeling of a Horizontal Machining Center Using the Fuzzy Logic Strategy (퍼지논리를 이용한 수평 머시닝 센터의 열변형 오차 모델링)

  • 이재하;양승한
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 1999.05a
    • /
    • pp.75-80
    • /
    • 1999
  • As current manufacturing processes require high spindle speed and precise machining, increasing accuracy by reducing volumetric errors of the machine itself, particularly thermal errors, is very important. Thermal errors can be estimated by many empirical models, for example, an FEM model, a neural network model, a linear regression model, an engineering judgment model etc. This paper discusses to make a modeling of thermal errors efficiently through backward elimination and fuzzy logic strategy. The model of a thermal error using fuzzy logic strategy overcome limitation of accuracy in the linear regression model or the engineering judgment model. And this model is compared with the engineering judgment model. It is not necessary complex process such like multi-regression analysis of the engineering judgment model. A fuzzy model does not need to know the characteristics of the plant, and the parameters of the model can be mathematically calculated. Like a regression model, this model can be applied to any machine, but it delivers greater accuracy and robustness.

  • PDF

ON THEIL'S METHOD IN FUZZY LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS

  • Choi, Seung Hoe;Jung, Hye-Young;Lee, Woo-Joo;Yoon, Jin Hee
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.31 no.1
    • /
    • pp.185-198
    • /
    • 2016
  • Regression analysis is an analyzing method of regression model to explain the statistical relationship between explanatory variable and response variables. This paper propose a fuzzy regression analysis applying Theils method which is not sensitive to outliers. This method use medians of rate of increment based on randomly chosen pairs of each components of ${\alpha}$-level sets of fuzzy data in order to estimate the coefficients of fuzzy regression model. An example and two simulation results are given to show fuzzy Theils estimator is more robust than the fuzzy least squares estimator.

FUZZY POLYNOMIAL REGRESSION ANALYSIS USING SHAPE PRESERVING IOERATION

  • Hong, Dug-Hun;Do, Hae-Young
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.869-880
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this paper, we describe a method for fuzzy polynomial regression analysis for fuzzy input-output data using shape preserving operations based on Tanaka’s approach. Shape preserving operations simplifies the computation of fuzzy arithmetic operations. We derive the solution using general linear program.

Fuzzy Linear Regression Using Distribution Free Method (분포무관추정량을 이용한 퍼지회귀모형)

  • Yoon, Jin-Hee;Choi, Seung-Hoe
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.16 no.5
    • /
    • pp.781-790
    • /
    • 2009
  • This paper deals with a rank transformation method and a Theil's method based on an ${\alpha}$-level set of a fuzzy number to construct a fuzzy linear regression model. The rank transformation method is a simple procedure where the data are merely replaced with their corresponding ranks, and the Theil's method uses the median of all estimates of the parameter calculated from selected pairs of observations. We also consider two numerical examples to evaluate effectiveness of the fuzzy regression model using the proposed method and of another fuzzy regression model using the least square method.

An evaluation of CTDs risk factors of upper extremity using fuzzy linear regression (퍼지선형회귀를 이용한 상지부위의 CTDs 위험요인 평가)

  • 이동춘;부진후
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.23 no.55
    • /
    • pp.33-42
    • /
    • 2000
  • It is difficult to estimate the effective factors upon Cumulative Trauma Disorders in real workplace because those are developed by combination of various risk factors for time. The purpose of this paper was to evaluate relative level of CTDs risk factors such as task-related factors, anthropometric factors, joint deviation factors and personal factors using fuzzy linear regression models. And the models are built corresponding to each category with the survey data from telephone operators. The coefficient of fuzzy models are described as the relative level of variable to present risk factors upon CTDs.

  • PDF

The 24 Hourly Load Forecasting of the Election Day Using the Load Variation Rate (부하변동율을 이용한 선거일의 24시간 수요예측)

  • Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
    • /
    • v.59 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1041-1045
    • /
    • 2010
  • Short-term electric load forecasting of power systems is essential for the power system stability and the efficient power system operation. An accurate load forecasting scheme improves the power system security and saves some economic losses in power system operations. Due to scarcity of the historical same type of holiday load data, most big electric load forecasting errors occur on load forecasting for the holidays. The fuzzy linear regression model has showed good accuracy for the load forecasting of the holidays. However, it is not good enough to forecast the load of the election day. The concept of the load variation rate for the load forecasting of the election day is introduced. The proposed algorithm shows its good accuracy in that the average percentage error for the short-term 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is 2.27%. The accuracy of the proposed 24 hourly loads forecasting of the election days is compared with the fuzzy linear regression method. The proposed method gives much better forecasting accuracy with overall average error of 2.27%, which improved about average error of 2% as compared to the fuzzy linear regression method.