• 제목/요약/키워드: Future trends

검색결과 2,915건 처리시간 0.029초

Cervical Cancer Mortality Trends in China, 1991-2013, and Predictions for the Future

  • Du, Pei-Ling;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Fang, Jia-Ying;Zeng, Yang;Xu, Zhen-Xi;Tang, Wen-Rui;Xu, Xiao-Ling;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권15호
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    • pp.6391-6396
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    • 2015
  • Background: To analyze cervical cancer mortality trends in China from 1991-2013 and forecast the mortality distribution in future five years (2014-2018), and provide clues for prevention and treatment. Materials and Methods: Mortality data for cervical cancer in China from 1991 to 2013 were used to describe the epidemiological characteristics and distribution, including the trend of the standardized mortality rate, urban-rural differences, and age variation. Trend-surface analysis was used to analyze the geographical distribution of mortality. Curve estimation, time series, gray modeling, and joinpoint regression were performed to predict and forecast mortality trends. Results: In recent years, the mortality rate of cervical cancer has increased, and there is also a steady increase in the incidence from 2003 to 2013 in China. Mortality rates in rural areas are higher than in urban areas. The mortality dramatically increases in the 40+ yr age group, reaching a peak in the >85 yr age group. In addition, geographical analysis showed that the cervical cancer mortality increased from the southwest to west-central and from the southeast to northeast of the country. Conclusions: The incidence rate and the mortality rate are increasing from 1991 to 2013, and the predictions show this will continue in the future. Thus, implementation of prevention and management programs for cervical cancer are necessary in China, especially for rural areas, young women in urban areas, and high risk regions (the west-central).

불확실성을 고려한 논벼 증발산량 기후변화 영향 평가 (Assessing the Climate Change Impacts on Paddy Rice Evapotranspiration Considering Uncertainty)

  • 최순군;정재학;조재필;허승오;최동호;김민경
    • 한국기후변화학회지
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.143-156
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    • 2018
  • Evapotranspiration is a key element in designing and operating agricultural hydraulic structures. The profound effect of climate change to local agro-hydrological systems makes it inevitable to study the potential variability in evapotranspiration rate in order to develop policies on future agricultural water management as well as to evaluate changes in agricultural environment. The APEX-Paddy model was used to simulate local evapotranspiration responses to climate change scenarios. Nine Global Climate Models(GCMs) downscaled using a non-parametric quantile mapping method and a Multi?Model Ensemble method(MME) were used for an uncertainty analysis in the climate scenarios. Results indicate that APEX-Paddy and the downscaled 9 GCMs reproduce evapotranspiration accurately for historical period(1976~2005). For future periods, simulated evapotranspiration rate under the RCP 4.5 scenario showed increasing trends by -1.31%, 2.21% and 4.32% for 2025s(2011~2040), 2055s(2041~2070) and 2085s(2071~2100), respectively, compared with historical(441.6 mm). Similar trends were found under the RCP 8.5 scenario with the rates of increase by 0.00%, 4.67%, and 7.41% for the near?term, mid?term, and long?term periods. Monthly evapotranspiration was predicted to be the highest in August, July was the month having a strong upward trend while. September and October were the months showing downward trends in evapotranspiration are mainly resulted from the shortening of the growth period of paddy rice due to temperature increase and stomatal closer as ambient $CO_2$ concentration increases in the future.

경영학 분야의 감정노동 연구동향 분석과 향후 연구방향 (An Analysis on Research Trends of Emotional Labor in Business Research and Future Research Directions)

  • 이항;김준환
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2019
  • 지금까지 국내에서 연구된 감정노동에 대한 연구의 양적 성과는 결코 적다고 볼 수는 없으나, 진행된 연구의 대부분은 단일 업종 사례에 국한된 실증분석연구로 일반화하기에는 한계가 있다. 감정노동에 대한 중요성과 관심이 더욱 증가하는 상황에서 일반화가 가능한 연구 성과를 확보하기 위해서는 양적 연구방법뿐만 아니라, 보다 통합적인 접근방법이 필요한 상황이다. 따라서 본 연구는 2008년부터 2018년까지 한국연구재단의 한국학술지인용색인(KCI)을 활용하여, 감정노동이라는 키워드로 검색된 논문 중 국내의 경영학 분야 학술지 게재논문 112편을 심층적으로 분석하여 감정노동 연구동향을 파악하는 것을 연구목적으로 설정하였다. 이를 위해서 감정노동의 개념, 감정노동 분석 대상과 분석방법 등 감정노동의 연구동향을 다각적 측면에서 고찰해보고 향후 연구 방향을 제시하였다. 본 연구결과는 감정노동에 대한 학술적 기여뿐만 아니라 감정노동의 내적기제에 대한 적용 영역의 확대나 통합의 의제로 다루는데 기여하고자 시도했다.

Emotional Intelligence Research Trends and Future Research Directions in Korean Journals

  • LEE, Seoyeon;MOON, Jaeseung
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.31-46
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of the study is to analyze the characteristics of emotional intelligence and the variables related to emotional intelligence in a comprehensive manner. In addition, the study intends to present research trends and future research directions of emotional intelligence in a Korean context by analyzing the effects of emotional intelligence and its mechanisms. Research Design, Data, and Methodology: 77 KCI listed studies were selected for the analysis, and the research perspective of emotional intelligence, measurement instruments, empirical research and research methods were analyzed. In addition, research directions were suggested based on the analysis results. Results: The results of the analysis were as follows: First, previous researchers used the ability model of emotional intelligence the most. Second, Previous studies tended to focus on behavioral factors as dependent variables affected by emotional intelligence, in addition to attitudes, affection. Third, there were few studies on the antecedents of emotional intelligence, however, most studies dealt with the consequences of emotional intelligence. Fourth, few studies dealt with moderators between emotional intelligence and dependent variables. Fifth, on the research type, most studies were quantitative studies, however, a few of them were qualitative studies (Literature review, in-depth interview). Sixth, with regard to the analysis level, almost all studies were conducted on the individual level of emotional intelligence, and most studies featured a cross-sectional research design (longitudinal research design was rare). Conclusion: First, from the perspective of emotional intelligence, additional research should be focused on not only the ability model of emotional intelligence but also on the trait model or the mixed model in the future. Second, since emotional intelligence is a multidimensional construct, it is necessary to study the profile of emotional intelligence by employing people-centered as well as variable-centered methods. Third, with regard to empirical studies, additional research is needed with respect to not only the emotional intelligence of the subordinate, but also the emotional intelligence of the supervisor (leader) and the emotional intelligence of the group. Fourth, it is necessary to actively utilize not only cross-sectional design but also longitudinal design, and qualitative research and meta-analysis methods should also be adopted.

특허지표를 활용한 지역주력산업 유망기술 분석에 관한 연구 - 창원시를 중심으로 - (The Analysis of Promising Technology of Regional Main Industry Using Patent Indicators - Focusing on Changwon-si -)

  • 박장훈;옥영석
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제23권11호
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    • pp.1414-1419
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    • 2019
  • 4차 산업시대의 기술 급변에 따른 공백기술을 도출하고 유망기술을 발굴하기 위한 지역산업의 움직임을 특허지표를 활용하여 분석하였다. 현재 창원시는 미래 지역주력산업으로 수소 전기차 기술을 중점 육성하여 미래 지역 유망기술로 발굴하고자 많은 기술 정보를 수집하고 있다. 기술 정보 수집은 분류방법, 기술 동향, 유사기술 등으로 인해 시간과 비용 측면에서 많은 문제를 가지고 있다. 따라서 기술 정보의 체계적인 분류와 기술 동향을 쉽게 도출할 방법이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 특허지표를 통해 출원 성장률 측정 방법과 특허 출원 빈도 산정 과정을 통해 지역의 미래 주력산업에 대한 공백기술과 유망기술 동향을 분석하였다. 창원시의 미래 지역주력 산업인 수소 전기차의 기술 분류별, 국가별, 주요기업별 특허 동향을 조사하여, 특허 출원의 추세성과 기술의 혁신성 및 집중도인 기술성과 활동성을 분석하였다. 중복기술을 제거하고 기술 연관성을 고려하여 634건에 대해 특허 정보를 기반으로 기술 동향 분석한 결과 향후 지역산업을 위해 특허 출원을 확보하여 지역산업과 기업 경쟁력 제고가 필요한 시점으로 분석되었다.

국내 폭염 연구 동향 분석 (Analysis of Domestic Heatwave Research Trends)

  • 백준범;권용석
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.755-768
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    • 2021
  • 연구목적: 다양한 주제와 목적으로 연구가 진행되는 폭염 연구의 특성상 연구의 질적 향상과 고도화를 제고하기 위해서는 연구의 동향 및 발전 방향을 전망하는 것이 중요하다. 따라서, 폭염 연구의 현황과 앞으로 수행될 연구의 방향성을 제시할 수 있는 기초자료를 제공하고자 폭염 관련 연구의 동향과 추세를 살펴보고자 하였다. 연구방법: 2011년부터 2020년까지 한국연구재단에 등록된 학술지에 게재된 폭염 연구들을 대상으로 연구가 진행된 시기, 연구의 목적, 연구에 활용된 연구대상, 연구의 방법으로 분류하여 분석하였다. 연구결과: 주요 연구의 결과는 살펴보면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 폭염에 대한 관심이 증가할수록 폭염 연구의 수도 증가하고 있다. 둘째, 폭염 연구의 목적은 편중되었으며, 다양한 관점으로 연구되어야 할 필요가 있다. 셋째, 다양한 연구대상을 활용하였으나 균등한 연구가 이루어지지 못하였다. 넷째, 연구목적의 영향을 받아 연구방법의 편중이 함께 나타났다. 결론: 폭염에 의한 피해는 지속적이고 광범위하게 나타나고 있다. 이러한 폭염을 재난으로서 관리하고, 예방 및 대응하기 위해서는 다양한 분야에서 균등한 연구가 이루어져야 한다.

Research Trends Analysis on ESG Using Unsupervised Learning

  • Woo-Ryeong YANG;Hoe-Chang YANG
    • 융합경영연구
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.47-66
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify research trends related to ESG by domestic and overseas researchers so far, and to present research directions and clues for the possibility of applying ESG to Korean companies in the future and ESG practice through comparison of derived topics. Research design, data and methodology: In this study, as of October 20, 2022, after searching for the keyword 'ESG' in 'scienceON', 341 domestic papers with English abstracts and 1,173 overseas papers were extracted. For analysis, word frequency analysis, word co-occurrence frequency analysis, BERTopic, LDA, and OLS regression analysis were performed to confirm trends for each topic using Python 3.7. Results: As a result of word frequency analysis, It was found that words such as management, company, performance, and value were commonly used in both domestic and overseas papers. In domestic papers, words such as activity and responsibility, and in overseas papers, words such as sustainability, impact, and development were included in the top 20 words. As a result of analyzing the co-occurrence frequency of words, it was confirmed that domestic papers were related mainly to words such as company, management, and activity, and overseas papers were related to words such as investment, sustainability, and performance. As a result of topic modeling, 3 topics such as named ESG from the corporate perspective were derived for domestic papers, and a total of 7 topics such as named sustainable investment for overseas papers were derived. As a result of the annual trend analysis, each topic did not show a relatively increasing or decreasing tendency, confirming that all topics were neutral. Conclusions: The results of this study confirmed that although it is desirable that domestic papers have recently started research on consumers, the subject diversity is lower than that of overseas papers. Therefore, it is suggested that future research needs to approach various topics such as forecasting future risks related to ESG and corporate evaluation methods.

Current status and future trends for pork production in the United States of America and Canada

  • M. Todd See
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제37권4_spc호
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    • pp.775-785
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    • 2024
  • Pork production is a significant agricultural enterprise in the United States and Canada. The United States is the third-largest global producer of pork and Canada ranks seventh in pork production. The North American Free Trade Agreement and its successor, the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, have facilitated trade and integration between the two countries. The majority of production systems are modern and intensive, characterized by large vertically integrated farms using advanced technologies. Both nations benefit from their status as major producers of feed grains, with the United States leading in corn and soybeans, while Canada excels in canola and barley production. The regulatory frameworks for food safety, animal welfare, and environmental stewardship differ slightly, with the FDA and USDA overseeing these aspects in the United States, and Health Canada and the Canada Food Inspection Agency in Canada. The United States and Canada also have well-established distribution networks for pork products, relying on both domestic and international markets. Export markets play a crucial role, with the United States being a major importer of Canadian pigs, and both countries exploring opportunities in Asia. Despite a rise in global demand, domestic pork consumption trends differ, with per capita consumption remaining stable in the USA and declining in Canada. Changing consumer preferences, including a demand for ethically raised and locally sourced pork, may influence production practices. Future trends in pig production include a focus on consumer concerns, sustainability, disease prevention, reduction of antimicrobial use, and advancements in technology. The industry is adapting to challenges such as disease outbreaks and changing regulations, with a strong emphasis on animal welfare. Labor and workforce considerations, along with advancements in technology and automation, are expected to shape the efficiency of pork production in the future.

한국의 미래 에너지사회 전망에 관한 연구 : 계층분석법과 인과지도의 보완적 분석을 중심으로 (A Research on the Prospect for the Future Energy Society in Korea: Focused on the Complementary Analysis of AHP and Causal Loop Diagram)

  • 황병용;최한림;안남성
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.61-86
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    • 2010
  • This research analyzed on the future energy society of Korea in 2030 using system thinking approach. Key uncertainty factors determining the future energy society were analyzed in a multi disciplinary view point such as politics, economy, society, ecology and technology. Three causal loop diagrams for the future energy system in Korea and related policy leverages were shown as well. 'Global economic trends', 'change of industrial structure' and 'energy price' were identified as key uncertainty factors determining the Korean energy future. Three causal loop diagrams named as 'rate of energy self-sufficiency and alternative energy production', 'economic activity and energy demand' and 'Excavation of new growth engines' were developed. We integrated those causal loop diagrams into one to understand the entire energy system of the future, proposed three strategic scenarios(optimistic, pessimistic and most likely) and discussed implications and limits of this research.

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우주용 광섬유자이로 개발동향 (Recent Development Trends of Fiber Optic Gyroscope in Space Application)

  • 정동원;김정용;오준석;노웅래
    • 항공우주산업기술동향
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 우주환경에 사용되는 광섬유자이로(FOG)의 최근 개발동향에 대해 기술하고자 한다. 광섬유자이로는 샤냑효과를 이용하여 각속도를 측정하는 장치로 링레이저자이로(RLG)에 비해 짧은 개발역사를 가지고 있지만, 관련 소자 및 신호처리 방법의 발전으로 인해 고성능의 우주용 관성항법장치로 링레이저자이로를 대체하기에 충분한 것으로 알려져 왔다. 본 논문에서는 광섬유자이로의 개발동향을 현재까지 개발된 광섬유자이로 제품을 바탕으로 각각의 성능과 특징에 대해 알아보고, 앞으로 고성능 우주용 관성항법장치로서의 광섬유자이로의 발전 방향에 대해 살펴보기로 한다.

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