• Title/Summary/Keyword: Future of Rural

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격자단위 국가 표준 시나리오를 적용한 농촌용수구역단위 자료변환 방법 비교 연구 (Study on the Methodology for Generating Future Precipitation Data by the Rural Water District Using Grid-Based National Standard Scenario)

  • 김시호;황세운
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권3호
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    • pp.69-82
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    • 2023
  • Representative meteorological data of the rural water district, which is the spatial unit of the study, was produced using the grid-based national standard RCP scenario rainfall data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration. The retrospective reproducibility of the climate model scenario data was analyzed, and the change in climate characteristics in the water district unit for the future period was presented. Finally the data characteristics and differences of each meteorological element according to various spatial resolution conversion and post-processing methods were examined. As a main result, overall, the distribution of average precipitation and R95p of the grid data, has reasonable reproducibility compared to the ASOS observation, but the maximum daily rainfall tends to be distributed low nationwide. The number of rainfall days tends to be higher than the station-based observation, and this is because the grid data is generally calculated using the area average concept of representative rainfall data for each grid. In addition, in the case of coastal regions, there is a problem that administrative districts of islands and rural water districts do not match. and In the case of water districts that include mountainous areas, such as Jeju, there was a large difference in the results depending on whether or not high rainfall in the mountainous areas was reflected. The results of this study are expected to be used as foundation for selecting data processing methods when constructing future meteorological data for rural water districts for future agricutural water management plans and climate change vulnerability assessments.

미래 기후변화에 따른 제주도의 사면과 해발고도별 가뭄 예측 (Prediction of Regional Drought considering Aspect and Elevation in Jeju Island under Future Climate Change)

  • 박종철;최광준;송성호
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.649-660
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    • 2014
  • Spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation and temperature occur with regard to aspect and elevation of Mt. Halla in Jeju Island. Therefore, there is a need to predict regional drought associate with them to mitigate of impacts of drought. In this study, regional drought is predicted based on Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) and standardized precipitation index (SPI) using future (2015~2044) climate change scenario RCP (representative concentration pathways) 4.5 classified as 24 regions according to aspect and elevation. The results show that number and duration of drought will be decrease in Jeju Island. However, severity of severe drought will be increase in western and northern aspect with under 200 meters above mean sea level. These findings provide primary information for developing the proactive strategies to mitigate impacts of drought by future climate change in Jeju Island.

농촌 주택정원 실태 분석 연구 (Analysis on the Current Situation of the Rural House Garden)

  • 최진아;조세환;박미정
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2015
  • The purposes of carrying out this research were the efficient formation and management of the house gardens of the farming villages in the future by stereotyping the house gardens of the farming villages and the garden spaces and the facilities through the analysis of the present situation of the farm villages and the suggestion of the basic materials for the improvement of the farming village environments. As a result, there were the limitations that this research had been limited to the garden spaces of the farm village houses, without considering all the environments of the farm villages. It was thought that, if, based on these results, the researches for drawing the item of the concrete creation of the gardens and the management are proceeded with through the in-depth analysis in the vein of the relationship between the farm village homestead gardens and the villages in the future, this will prove helpful in practically formulating and putting into practice the policies for supplying the farm village gardens for the farm villages.

농업·농촌자원 보전을 위한 국가중요농업유산 도입과 향후 과제 (Adoption and Future Tasks of Nationally Important Agricultural Heritage System for Agricultural and Rural Resources Conservation)

  • 박종준;김상범;이응철
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.161-175
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    • 2013
  • The paradigm of agricultural and rural policies has shifted from food production and profitability to the competitiveness of rural areas through the discovery, grants and use of the agricultural and rural resources' potential value. This study aims to discover the value of the agriculture and rural resources and intend to offer the method for discovering resources and its value as the agricultural heritage. To this end, the functions and values of the agricultural and rural resource, the criteria and procedure of Globally and Nationally Important Agricultural Heritage System which is leading institutions were investigated. The policy implications were proposed in the process and series of steps of discovery and evaluation of the pluralistic value of the agriculture and rural resources and agricultural heritage designation and management.

농촌노인을 위한 노-노 돌봄 교육프로그램의 평가 (Evaluation of the Elderly Care Program for Seniors in Rural Areas)

  • 채혜선;윤순덕;강주희
    • 한국지역사회생활과학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.223-234
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    • 2008
  • This study aimed to develop the elderly care program for seniors in rural areas and to evaluate its efficacy through pre- and post-tests. For them, this study carried out a total of 8 sessions that includes 4 aims, such as understanding rural elderly, volunteer activities, psychological help, and aids to daily living, on 36 persons over the age of 60 years in rural areas. The data was analyzed by paired t-test to 36 elderly. The results of the study are as follows. First, looking at changes in knowledge about aging, objective evaluation of knowledge showed significant differences (t=-2.22, p<.05), but evaluation of elderly's perception-change didn't show significant differences between before and after. Second, volunteer attitude didn't show significant differences between before and after, but after the training, 75% of them answered 'yes' to question that asked whether they'd like to participate in elderly's volunteer caring activity for other elderly within the town in the future, which gave us certain expectation that the attitude towards volunteer activities might change positively in the future. Third, objective evaluation of knowledge for psychological help didn't show significant differences between before and after. But elderly's subjective perception showed significant differences (t=-2.82, p<.01). Fourth, evaluating changes in knowledge for elderly's aiding daily life, both the objective evaluation and subjective evaluation didn't show significant differences between before and after. Fifth, satisfaction of the program showed high scores over 4 points: contents, education methods, education place, education time. The most helpful topics for them were counseling (27.8%) and dementia (27.8%), followed by elderly and aging (16.7%), elderly's residential environment (13.9%), elderly's dietary life (9.3%) and volunteer activities (5.6%).

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농촌 과소화 실태와 전망 (A Study on the Actual State and Prospect for a Diminishing in Population of Rural Community)

  • 이병기
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.773-797
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    • 2010
  • Recent years, being advanced the phenomena of fewness and aging rapidly in rural areas, rural community has been collapsed fastly. This study is aimed for two intentions: the one is identification of the actual conditions of rural diminishing in population, and the other is having a view of real picture of it in future. The major result of this study is summarized as follows. First, as a result of the rural area's shrinking for a long time advanced, the rural community has grown to under the minimum autogenesis level. Futher more this study have a look out in ten years later that rural community will diminish in population to 42% size compared with now, and the number of elder than 80 years old occupy a half of total population in a standard case. Such a consequence of this study implies no doubt that the rural development policy must lay a stress to cope with a serious situation of rural scantiness. And policy conversion calls for having a new understanding of this situation first.

비정상성을 고려한 원평천 유역의 미래 설계홍수량 산정 (Estimation of Future Design Flood Under Non-Stationarity for Wonpyeongcheon Watershed)

  • 류정훈;강문성;박지훈;전상민;송정헌;김계웅;이경도
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권5호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2015
  • Along with climate change, it is reported that the scale and frequency of extreme climate events show unstable tendency of increase. Thus, to comprehend the change characteristics of precipitation data, it is needed to consider non-stationary. The main objectives of this study were to estimate future design floods for Wonpyeongcheon watershed based on RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) scenario. Wonpyeongcheon located in the Keum River watershed was selected as the study area. Historical precipitation data of the past 35 years (1976~2010) were collected from the Jeonju meteorological station. Future precipitation data based on RCP4.5 were also obtained for the period of 2011~2100. Systematic bias between observed and simulated data were corrected using the quantile mapping (QM) method. The parameters for the bias-correction were estimated by non-parametric method. A non-stationary frequency analysis was conducted with moving average method which derives change characteristics of generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution parameters. Design floods for different durations and frequencies were estimated using rational formula. As the result, the GEV parameters (location and scale) showed an upward tendency indicating the increase of quantity and fluctuation of an extreme precipitation in the future. The probable rainfall and design flood based on non-stationarity showed higher values than those of stationarity assumption by 1.2%~54.9% and 3.6%~54.9%, respectively, thus empathizing the necessity of non-stationary frequency analysis. The study findings are expected to be used as a basis to analyze the impacts of climate change and to reconsider the future design criteria of Wonpyeongcheon watershed.

농촌경관계획수립 기준 정립 연구 (A Study for Rural Landscape Planning Criteria)

  • 주신하;임승빈
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to propose the rural landscape planning criteria for Korean rural area. For this, the meaning of rural landscape is defined, and the legislative framework and several legal processes are surveyed, including the deliberation system for natural landscape impacts and the Landscape Law recently legislated. Through literature studies and analysis, the rural landscape planning criteria are proposed, which have step-by-step processes; goals and objectives, analysis and estimation for present conditions, basic planning concept, landscape planning for different visual landscape types, landscape designing for visual elements, and practical action plans. Each processes are designed considering the existing legislative framework, so it can be well-matched to current systems. But, because there are few rural landscape plans so far, comparing to the urban landscape plans, the validity of this criteria should be verified in the future studies.

농촌주거환경개선사업에 따른 농촌주거환경실태와 주민만족도 (Study on Rural Living Environment and Satisfaction by Improving Rural Hosing Renewal Project)

  • 김상범;조순재;강방훈;김혜민
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.9-16
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    • 2003
  • The aim of this study is to analyze the improvement of housing renewal project and suggest the conditions of rural housing environment filled with the resident's desire, requirements concerning about characteristics of a rural environment and temporal and social requirements. The project for improvement of rural housing environment has been executed in a few ways: reform of the rural housing environment and the development of territories for settlement of a desolate region. To analyze and assess the accomplishments, we considered codes and process related to the project for improvement of rural housing environment and analyzed present conditions and problems through many reference books and administrative data. According to these results, devices in future business for improvement of rural housing environment are as follows; It should required a rational allocation of working space, living space, cultural activity space suitable for rural area characteristics and changed into uniformed system in various projects governed by different institutions.