• Title/Summary/Keyword: Frequentist coverage

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BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR FIELLER-CREASY PROBLEM USING UNBALANCED DATA

  • Lee, Woo-Dong;Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.489-500
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider Bayesian approach to the Fieller-Creasy problem using noninformative priors. Specifically we extend the results of Yin and Ghosh (2000) to the unbalanced case. We develop some noninformative priors such as the first and second order matching priors and reference priors. Also we prove the posterior propriety under the derived noninformative priors. We compare these priors in light of how accurately the coverage probabilities of Bayesian credible intervals match the corresponding frequentist coverage probabilities.

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of the Scale Parameters in the Inverted Exponential Distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.387-394
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the inverted exponential distributions. The first and second order matching priors, the reference prior and Jeffreys prior are developed. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, is a cumulative distribution function matching prior and is a highest posterior density matching prior. In addition, the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through a simulation study as well as provide an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.833-841
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the ratio of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions. We develop the first and second order matching priors. It turns out that the second order matching prior matches the alternative coverage probabilities, and is a highest posterior density matching prior. Also we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are the second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative priors for linear combinations of exponential means

  • Lee, Woo Dong;Kim, Dal Ho;Kang, Sang Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.565-575
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the linear combinations of means in the exponential distributions. We develop the matching priors and the reference priors. The matching priors, the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior for the linear combinations of means are developed. It turns out that the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are not a matching prior. We show that the proposed matching prior matches the target coverage probabilities much more accurately than the reference prior and Jeffreys' prior in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Noninformative Priors for the Ratio of Means of Two Poisson Distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Lee, Woo-Dong;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, Jeffrey's and reference priors are derived when the parameter of interest is the ratio of means of two in dependent Poisson distribution. To achieve the parameter orthogonality in the sense of Cox and Reid (1987), non-trivial orthogonal transformation is provided. The orthogonal transformation makes to find noninformative priors easy. Our simulation study indicates that the reference prior meet very well the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense. Using the real data, we compute Bayes estimator and MLE for the ratio of means based on the reference prior.

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EVALUATION OF FREQUENTIST AND BAYESIAN INFERENCES BY RELEVANT SIMULATION (베이지안 방법을 포함한 일반적 통계 추론에 대한 상관모의를 이용한 평가방법)

  • 김윤태
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.41-62
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    • 2000
  • 현실적으로 통계추론 방법의 적용시, 그 정당성이 보장되는 기본가정이외에도 추가적인 가정이 불가피하여, 본래의 정당성이 퇴색되는 경우가 흔히 발생한다. 따라서 이런 경우에는 통계추론의 평가가 필수적일 것이나, 많은 경우에 분석적 평가를 하기에는 너무 복잡하여, 특정상황을 상정한 모의분석 평가가 주류를 이루고 있다. 본 고에서는 보다 일반적 상황에서의 통계추론의 평가를 위해 브트스트랩방법과 같이 관찰값에 의존한 모의방법(observation-based simulation)을 이용한 평가방법을 제안한다. 우선 설득력 있는 평가요소로서 구간추정시 포함확률(coverage probability)와 같은 빈도성질(frequency property)를 선택하였다. 빈도성질은 고전적 통계추론은 물론 베이지안 통계추론을 대상으로도 의미있는 평가기준으로 판단되는 바, 이를 평가요소로서 선택하고, 이의 추정을 위한 방법과, 그 추정결과의 해석과 나아가 이를 기준으로 한 통계추론 결과의 조정 방법까지 일련의 절차에 대한 방법론을 제시하였다.

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Noninformative priors for the common shape parameter of several inverse Gaussian distributions

  • Kang, Sang Gil;Kim, Dal Ho;Lee, Woo Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.243-253
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the common shape parameter of several inverse Gaussian distributions. Specially, we want to develop noninformative priors which satisfy certain objective criterion. The probability matching priors and reference priors of the common shape parameter will be developed. It turns out that the second order matching prior does not exist. The reference priors satisfy the first order matching criterion, but Jeffrey's prior is not the first order matching prior. We showed that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through simulation study, and an example based on real data is given.

Reference priors for two parameter exponential stress-strength model

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Le, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.935-944
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we develop the noninformative priors for the reliability in a stress-strength model where a strength X and a stress Y have independent exponential distributions with different scale parameters and a common location parameter. We derive the reference priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the general prior including the reference priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed reference priors match the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.

Estimation of Geometric Mean for k Exponential Parameters Using a Probability Matching Prior

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Kim, Dae Hwang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2003
  • In this article, we consider a Bayesian estimation method for the geometric mean of $textsc{k}$ exponential parameters, Using the Tibshirani's orthogonal parameterization, we suggest an invariant prior distribution of the $textsc{k}$ parameters. It is seen that the prior, probability matching prior, is better than the uniform prior in the sense of correct frequentist coverage probability of the posterior quantile. Then a weighted Monte Carlo method is developed to approximate the posterior distribution of the mean. The method is easily implemented and provides posterior mean and HPD(Highest Posterior Density) interval for the geometric mean. A simulation study is given to illustrates the efficiency of the method.

Noninformative priors for the common location parameter in half-t distributions

  • Kang, Sang-Gil;Kim, Dal-Ho;Lee, Woo-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1327-1335
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we want to develop objective priors for the common location parameter in two half-t distributions with unequal scale parameters. The half-t distribution is a non-regular class of distribution. One can not develop the reference prior by using the algorithm of Berger of Bernardo (1989). Specially, we derive the reference priors and prove the propriety of joint posterior distribution under the developed priors. Through the simulation study, we show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.