• Title/Summary/Keyword: Frequency Flood Discharge

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Flood Frequency Analysis using SIR Algorithm (SIR 알고리즘을 이용한 홍수량 빈도해석에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Kiho;Kyoung, Minsoo;Kim, Duckgil;Kawk, Jaewon;Kim, Hungsoo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.125-132
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    • 2008
  • Generally, stationary is considered as a basic assumption in frequency analysis. However, rainfall and flood discharge are changing due to the climate change and climate variability. Therefore, there is a new opinion that changing pattern of rainfall and flood discharge must be considered in frequency analysis. This study suggests the flood frequency analysis methodology using SIR algorithm which was developed from bootstrap could be used for considering climate change. Than is, SIR algorithm is selected for resampling method considering changing pattern of flood discharge and it has been used for resampling method with likelihood function. Resampled flood discharge data considering the increase of flood discharge pattern are used for parametric flood frequency analysis and this results are compared with frequency analysis results by Bootstrap and original observations. As the results, SIR algorithm shows the greatest flood discharge than other methods in all frequencies and this may reflect the increasing pattern of flood discharge due to the climate change and climate variability.

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Comparative Study of Flow Profiles & Discharge due to Rainfall Frequency Analysis (강우빈도 해석을 통한 하천 수리$\cdot$수문량 비교 연구)

  • Seo Kyu Woo;Lee In Rock;Won Chang Hee;Shim Bong Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.1533-1537
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    • 2005
  • The recent rainfall has happened to exceed the design rainfall after 1990 often, due to the characteristic of the rain to be changed. So, it is failing the ability safety of flood defense equipments to exist. This study analyzed the rainfall of Busan in 2003 since 1961 through the FARD2002(Frequency Analysis of Rainfall Duration). The result is equal to the thing which the design rainfall increased a little since 1991. The change of design rainfall created the result to be a flood discharge increase. This study investigated about the impact to influence on the river bank according to the change of flood discharge, the rainfall pattern change as well. This study used the program of HEC-RAS with HEC-HMS and calculated flood discharge with flood level of river. The result is equal to the thing which the computation became a flood level which exceed 50year(River design criteria-Korea water resources association 2002) criteria with 30year(River establishment criteria-Ministry of construction & transportation 1993), because of an area of impermeability increased of model basin.

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Estimation of Design Flood Considering Time Distribution of Rainfall (강우 시간분포를 고려한 설계홍수량산정)

  • Park, Jae-Hyun;Ahn, Sang-Jin;Hahm, Chang-Hahk;Choi, Min-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1191-1195
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    • 2006
  • Now days, heavy storm occur to be continue. It is hard to use before frequency based on flood discharge for decision that design water pocket structure. We need to estimation of frequency based on flood discharge on the important basin likely city or basin that damage caused by flood recurrence. In this paper flood discharge calculated by Clark watershed method and SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method about upside during each minute of among time distribution method of rainfall, Huff method choosing Bocheong Stream basin that is representative basin of International Hydrologic Project (IHP) about time distribution of rainfall that exert big effect at flood discharge estimate to research target basin because of and the result is as following. Relation between probability flood discharge that is calculated through frequency analysis about flood discharge data and rainfall - runoff that is calculated through outward flow model was assumed about $48.1{\sim}95.9%$ in the case of $55.8{\sim}104.0%$, SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method in case of Clark watershed method, and Clark watershed method has big value overly in case of than SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method in case of basin that see, but branch of except appeared little more similarly with frequency flood discharge that calculate using survey data. In the case of Critical duration, could know that change is big area of basin is decrescent. When decide time distribution type of rainfall, apply upside during most Huff 1-ST because heavy rain phenomenon of upsides appears by the most things during result 1-ST about observation recording of target area about Huff method to be method to use most in business, but maximum value of peak flood discharge appeared on Huff 3-RD too in the case of upside, SCS synthetic unit hydrograph method during Huff 3-RD incidental of this research and case of Clark watershed method. That is, in the case of Huff method, latitude is decide that it is decision method of reasonable design floods that calculate applying during all $1-ST{\sim}4-TH$.

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Assessment of Flood Frequency of Bankfull Discharge in Korea Rivers (국내 하천 강턱유량시의 홍수빈도 추정)

  • Son, Min-Woo;Lee, Du-Han;Kim, Chang-Wan;Kim, Myoung-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1571-1575
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    • 2006
  • Channel form discharge which determines shape and character of a channel is named as dominant discharge. Assuming that fixed discharge flows in the fluvial plain for a long time, it is channel form discharge of a certain channel if it changes the fluvial plain into shape of the channel. Channel form discharge can be demonstrated by concept of bankfull or effective discharge. 1.01, 1.58, 2, 2.33 and 5 year flood discharge were used in order to determine channel form discharge. Each frequency discharge was determined by 80 year flood discharge by a research result conducted by Kim and Won. 1.01 year frequency discharge was selected as the most similar discharge to bankfull discharge. 1.58 year frequency discharge habitually used in Korea exceeded bankfull discharge.

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Assessment of Flood Frequency of Bankfull Discharge in Korea Rivers (국내 하천 강턱유량시의 홍수빈도 추정)

  • Son, Min-Woo;Lee, Du-Han;Kim, Chang-Wan;Kim, Myoung-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.1107-1111
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    • 2006
  • Channel form discharge which determines shape and character of a channel is named as dominant discharge. Assuming that fixed discharge flows in the fluvial plain for a long time, it is channel form discharge of a certain channel if it changes the fluvial plain into shape of the channel. Channel form discharge can be demonstrated by concept of bankfull or effective discharge. 1.01, 1.58, 2, 2.33 and 5 year flood discharge were used in order to determine channel form discharge. Each frequency discharge was determined by 80 year flood discharge by a research result conducted by Kim and Won. 1.01 year frequency discharge was selected as the most similar discharge to bankfull discharge. 1.58 year frequency discharge habitually used in Korea exceeded bankfull discharge.

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Inference of natural flood frequency for the region affected by dams in Nam Han River (남한강 유역 댐 영향 지역의 기본홍수량 추론)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun;Lee, Jeongwoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.599-606
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study is to estimate the unregulated flood frequency from Chungju dam to Yangpyung gauging station for the region affected by dams based on the peak discharges simulated by storage function routing model. From the flood frequency analyses, the quantiles for the unregulated flood frequency at 6 sites have similar pattern to each other, and their averaged quantile almost matched to the result from the regional flood frequency analysis. The quantile and annual mean discharge for the unregulated flood frequency for the downstream of Chungju dam show the similar behaviour to those for the upstream area. While the quantile and the annual mean discharge for the regulated flood frequency are significantly different from those for the unregulated flood frequency. In particular, the qunatile shows severe difference as the return period increases, and the annual mean discharge has a tendency to approach to the natural flood as the distance from dam increases.

Evaluation of flood frequency analysis technique using measured actual discharge data (실측유량 자료를 활용한 홍수량 빈도해석 기법 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Song, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Jin-Guk;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.333-343
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    • 2022
  • For water resource management, the design flood is calculated using the flood frequency analysis technique and the rainfall runoff model. The method by design flood frequency analysis calculates the stochastic design flood by directly analyzing the actual discharge data and is theoretically evaluated as the most accurate method. Actual discharge data frequency analysis of the measured flow was limited due to data limitations in the existing flood flow analysis. In this study, design flood frequency analysis was performed using the measured flow data stably secured through the water level-discharge relationship curve formula. For the frequency analysis of design flood, the parameters were calculated by applying the bayesian inference, and the uncertainty of flood volume by frequency was quantified. It was confirmed that the result of calculating the design flood was close to that calculated by the rainfall-runoff model by applying long-term rainfall data. It is judged that hydrological analysis can be done from various perspectives by using long-term actual flow data through hydrological survey.

Evaluation of Flood Severity Using Bivariate Gumbel Mixed Model (이변량 Gumbel 혼합모형을 이용한 홍수심도 평가)

  • Lee, Jeong-Ho;Chung, Gun-Hui;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.9
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    • pp.725-736
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    • 2009
  • A flood event can be defined by three characteristics; peak discharge, total flood volume, and flood duration, which are correlated each other. However, a conventional flood frequency analysis for the hydrological plan, design, and operation has focused on evaluating only the amount of peak discharge. The interpretation of this univariate flood frequency analysis has a limitation in describing the complex probability behavior of flood events. This study proposed a bivariate flood frequency analysis using a Gumbel mixed model for the flood evaluation. A time series of annual flood events was extracted from observations of inflow to the Soyang River Dam and the Daechung Dam, respectively. The joint probability distribution and return period were derived from the relationship between the amount of peak discharge and the total volume of flood runoff. The applicability of the Gumbel mixed model was tested by comparing the return periods acquired from the proposed bivariate analysis and the conventional univariate analysis.

Point Frequency Analysis for Determining the Design Flood at Indogyo Site (한강 인도교 지점의 계획홍수량 산정을 위한 지점빈도해석)

  • Yun, Yong-Nam;Won, Seok-Yeon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.469-481
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    • 1998
  • A point frequency analysis is carried out for the Indogyo site at the Han river using 68 annual maximun flood data for the period of 1918-1992. Computed frequency discharges using the three parameter log-normal, type-I extreme value, type-III extreme value, and Pearson type-III computed as 35,500 m3/sec and 39,000 m3/sec, respectively, 33,500 m3/sec and 37,500 m3/sec of corresponding return periods are computed when the flood control effect of the dams are taken into account. The resulting flood discharge of 37,500 m3/sec is similar to the current design flood of 37,000 m3/sec in downstream reach of Han river, so, it could be desirable to keep the the current design flood, considering the increasing tendency of the flood due to the climate change. Keywords : frequency analysis, flood discharge, Han river.

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Effect of Observed Discharge Data on Regional Flood Frequency Analysis in the Han River Basin (한강유역 관측유출자료가 지역홍수빈도분석 결과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeong Eun;Lee, Jeongwoo;Jung, Yong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.511-522
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    • 2015
  • This study assessed the impact of uncertainties in flood data on the results of flood frequency analysis for Han river basin. To meet this aim, this study quantified assessment focused on the index flood and quantile by regional flood frequency analysis using the flood data from 17 water level gauges in Han river basin. We analysed the results categorized by three cases according to the characteristics of the measured data. Firstly, we analyzed the regional flood frequency for the water level gauge in the Pyungchang river basin to investigate the impact of water level data. The results has the error of 0.240 with respect to the mean flood. Secondly, we examined the impact of uncertainty in measurement data generated by the application of rating on the results of regional flood frequency analysis. We have compared the results by applying the rating estimated for each year to the one by the recently estimated rating. The results showed that the mean error has 0.246 in terms of the mean flood. Finally, we have inferred the regional flood frequency analysis results with the regulated flow in the downstream area of dams. The regulated specific discharge in the downstream area of dams controlled by dam operation showed a large difference to the estimated specific discharge in the downstream area of dams by extension of the natural specific discharge in the upstream area using the regionalization method.