• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood risk analysis

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Hydrological Studies on the design flood and risk of failure of the Hydraulic Structures( II) (수리구조물의 파괴위험도와 설계홍수량에 관한 수문학적 연구(II) - 비연초과치 계열을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박명근
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 1986
  • This studies were established to find out the characteristics of frequency distributiom for the number of occurrence and magnitude, probable flood flows according to the return periods, design floods, and design frequency factors for the studying basins in relation to the risk levels which can be correlated with design return period and the life of structure in the non-annual exceedance series. Eight watersheds along Han, Geum, Nak Dong and Seom Jin river basin were selected as studying basins. The results were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1. Poisson distribution and Exponential distribution were tested as a good fitted distributions for the number of occurrence and magnitude for exceedance event, respectively,at selected watersheds along Han, Geum, Nak Dong and Seom Jin river basin. 2.Formulas for the probable flood flows and probable flood flows according to the return periods were derivated for the exponential distribution at the selected watersheds along Han, Geum, Nak Dong, and Seom Jin river basin. 3.Analysis for the risk of failure was connected return period with design life of structure in the non-annual exceedance series. 4.Empirical formulas for the design frequency factors were derivated from under the condition of the return periods identify with the life of structure in relation to the different risk levels in the non-annual exceedance series. 5.Design freguency factors were appeared to be increased in proportion to the return periods while those are in inverse proportion to the levels of the risk of failure. Numerical values for the design frequency factors for the non-annual exceedance series ware appeared generally higher than those of annual maximum series already published by the first report. 6. Design floods according to the different risk levels could be derivated by using of formulas of the design frequency factors for all studying watersheds in the nor-annual exceedance series.

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Assessment of Human Impact on Mekong River Flood by Using Satellite Nightlight Image

  • Try, Sophal;Lee, Giha;Lee, Daeeop;Thuy, HoangThu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.187-187
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    • 2016
  • High intensity of population distribution in deltaic setting especially in Asia tends to have increased and causes coastal flood risk due to lower elevations and significant subsidence. Maximum or peak discharge of flood always causes numerous deaths and huge economic losses. New technology of spatial satellite image has been applied to analyze flood damage. In this research, the relationship of nightlight intensity associated with flood damages has been determined during 1992-2013 with spatial resolution of 30 arc sec ($0.0083^{\circ}$) which is nearly one kilometer at the equator in whole six countries along the Mekong River (i.e., China, Myanmar, Lao PDR, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam). ArcGIS Hydrological Flow Length Tool has been used to determine the distance of each pixel areas from the rivers and streams. Statistical analysis results highlight the significant correlation R = 0.47 between nightlight digital number and economic damages per unit area (US$/km2) and R = 0.62 for number of affected people for unit area ($people/km^2$). The areas near by the Mekong River and its tributaries correspond to high flood damage. This spatial analysis result is going to be prestigious key information to the regions and all related stakeholders for decisions and mitigation strategies.

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Development of integrated disaster mapping method (II) : disaster mapping with risk analysis (통합 재해지도 작성 기법 개발(II) : 리스크 분석을 적용한 재해지도 작성)

  • Park, Jun Hyung;Kim, Byunghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.1
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2022
  • In this study, a method for an integrated flood risk mapping was proposed that simultaneously considers the flood inundation map indicating the degree of risk and the disaster vulnerability index. This method creates a new disaster map that can be used in actual situations by providing various and specific information on a single map. In order to consider the human, social and economic factors in the disaster map, the study area was divided into exposure, vulnerability, responsiveness, and recovery factors. Then, 7 indicators for each factor were extracted using the GIS tool. The data extracted by each indicator was classified into grades 1 to 5, and the data was selected as a disaster vulnerability index and used for integrated risk mapping by factor. The risk map for each factor, which overlaps the flood inundatoin map and the disaster vulnerability index factor, was used to establish an evacuation plan by considering regional conditions including population, assets, and buildings. In addition, an integrated risk analysis method that considers risks while converting to a single vulnerability through standardization of the disaster vulnerability index was proposed. This is expected to contribute to the establishment of preparedness, response and recovery plans for providing detailed and diverse information that simultaneously considers the flood risk including social, humanistic, and economic factors.

Development of Loss Model Based on Quantitative Risk Analysis of Infrastructure Construction Project: Focusing on Bridge Construction Project (인프라건설 프로젝트 리스크 분석에 따른 손실 정량화 모델 개발 연구: 교량프로젝트를 중심으로)

  • Oh, Gyu-Ho;Ahn, Sungjin
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2022.04a
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    • pp.208-209
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to analyze the risk factors caused by object damage and third-party damage loss in actual bridge construction based on past insurance premium payment data from major domestic insurers for bridge construction projects, and develop a quantitative loss prediction model. For the development of quantitative bridge construction loss model, the dependent variable was selected as the loss ratio, and the independent variable adopted 1) Technical factors: superstructure type, foundation type, construction method, and bridge length 2) Natural hazards: flood anf Typhoon, 3) Project information: total construction duration, total cost and ranking. Among the selected independent variables, superstructure type, construction method, and project period were shown to affect the ratio of bridge construction losses, while superstructure, foundation, flood and ranking were shown to affect the ratio of the third-party losses.

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Analysis of Economic Effectiveness for Flood Control of Dam (댐의 홍수조절에 의한 경제적 효과분석)

  • Choi, Seung-An;Yi, Choong-Sung;Shim, Myung-Pil;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2007
  • The studies on efficiency of flood control reservoir has been introduced into four categories including direct flood control contribution by reservoir, flow-duration change and environmental-ecological change in downstream of dam and flood damage estimation of flood plain. In spite of all the previous approaches, the quantification of the effect of reservoir on the flood control in planning stage is quite complex due to lack of a standard for quantifying feasibility of project. In this study, we develop a methodology that can clearly and accurately quantify the flood damage reduction together with the existing flood level reduction at downstream. The proposed approach uses three appraisal standards of flood control: 'potential safety', 'relative risk' and 'absolute risk' according to the risk by stage. The developed methodology was applied to the Namhan river basin with the storm event of July, 2006. The result shows the damage reduction of 4,189 billion won was estimated. The economic benefits for the flood control effect by dam will greatly contribute to the public understanding of the importance and the effect of the flood control by dam.

An Assessment of Flooding Risk Using Flash Flood Index in North Korea - Focus on Imjin Basin - (돌발홍수 지수를 이용한 북한 홍수 위험도 평가 - 임진강 유역을 중심으로 -)

  • Kwak, Chang Jae;Choi, Woo Jung;Cho, Jae Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.1037-1049
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    • 2015
  • The most of natural disasters that occur in North Korea are flood, typhoon and damage from heavy rain. The damage caused by those disasters since the mid-1990s is aggravating North Korea's economic difficulties every year. By recognizing the seriousness of the damages from the floods, the North Korean government has carried out the river maintenance, farmland restoration, land readjustment and afforestation projects since the last-1990s, but it has failed preventing the damages. In order to estimate the degree of flood risk regarding damage from chronic floods that occur inveterately in North Korea, this research conducted an additional simulation for rainfall-runoff analysis to reflect the characteristics of the ungauged area that make foreign countries hard to obtain the hydrological data and do not open the topographical data to public. In addition, this research estimates the degree of flood risk by selecting the factors of the hazard, exposure and vulnerability by following the standards of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Application of New Version of Flood Frequency Analysis (Bulletin 17C) (미국의 새로운 홍수빈도해석 가이드라인(Bulletin 17C)의 적용)

  • Lee, Taesam;England, John F.;Son, Chanyoung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.247-253
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    • 2017
  • Accurate flood frequency and magnitude estimation has a critical role in flood risk management and damage reduction. In United States, Log Pearson Type-III (LP-III) distribution with method of moments for parameter estimation has been uniformly and consistently employed in estimating design floods. After the first version of flood frequency guidelines (Bulletin 15) was published in 1967, the revised version Bulletin 17B has been employed since 1982 up to now. A new version of flood frequency guidelines, Bulletin 17C, is prepared and about to come out soon. In the current study, we analyzed the new features of the upcoming Bulletin 17C and presented case studies applying its new features. From the presented results, we see what critical components in the new design flood frequency guideline we could learn.

Automated Terrain Data Generation for Urban Flood Risk Mapping Using c-GAN and BBDM

  • Jonghyuk Lee;Sangik Lee;Byung-hun Seo;Dongsu Kim;Yejin Seo;Dongwoo Kim;Yerim Cho;Won Choi
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2024.07a
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    • pp.1294-1294
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    • 2024
  • Flood risk maps are used in urban flooding to understand the spatial extent and depth of inundation damage. To construct these maps, hydrodynamic modeling capable of simulating flood waves is necessary. Flood waves are typically fast, and inundation patterns can significantly vary depending on the terrain, making it essential to accurately represent the terrain of the flood source in flood wave analysis. Recently, methods using UAVs for terrain data construction through Structure-from-Motion or LiDAR have been utilized. These methods are crucial for UAV operations, and thus, still require a lot of time and manpower, and are limited when UAV operations are not possible. Therefore, for efficient nationwide monitoring, this study developed a model that can automatically generate terrain data by estimating depth information from a single image using c-GAN (Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks) and BBDM (Brownian Bridge Diffusion Model). The training, utilization, and validation datasets employed images from the ISPRS (2018) and directly aerial photographed image sets from five locations in the territory of the Republic of Korea. Compared to the ground truth of the test data set, it is considered sufficiently usable as terrain data for flood wave analysis, capable of generating highly accurate and precise terrain data with high reproducibility.

Scenario Analysis Technology for Flood Risk Management in the Taihu Basin

  • Changwei, Hu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.140-148
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    • 2010
  • The Taihu Basin is located in the east coast of China, where the threats of frequent floods have induced construction of massive, complex, hierarchical flood defense systems over the interconnected river networks. Digital modeling of flooding processes and quantitative damage assessment still remain challenging due to such complexity. The current research uses an integrated approach to meet this challenge by combining multiple types of models within a GIS platform. A new algorithm is introduced to simulate the impacts of the flood defense systems, especially the large number of polders, on floods distributions and damages.

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Analysis of Small reservoir system by Flood control ability augmentation (치수능력 증대에 따른 저수지시스템 분석)

  • Park Ki-Bum;Lee Soon-Tak
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.995-1004
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    • 2005
  • As a research establish reservoir safety operation for small dam systems. This study presents hydrologic analysis conducted in the Duckdong and Bomun dam watershed based on various rainfall data and increase inflow. Especially the Duckdong dam without flood control feature are widely exposed to the risk of flooding, thus it is constructed emergency gate at present. In this study reservoir routing program was simulation for basin runoff estimating using HEC-HMS model, the model simulation the reservoir condition of emergency Sate with and without. At the reservoir analysis results is the Duckdong dam average storage decrease $20\%$ with emergency gate than without emergency gate. Also, the Bomun dam is not affected by the Duckdong flood control augmentation.