• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood risk analysis

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A study on freeboard assessment of agricultural reservoirs considering climate change (기후변화를 고려한 농업용 저수지 여유고 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Ji-Hyeok;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.371-381
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    • 2018
  • Domestic agricultural reservoir dam facilities are difficult to manage water resources because of the in summer rainfall increase due to aging and climate change, it is expected that the dam risk will be large due to the overflow. In this study, author selected study basin in order to evaluate hydrological safety of agricultural reservoir dam facilities. And calculated the probable rainfall, Present PMP, Future PMP considering climate change. Also, author carried quantitative analysis out for increasing rainfall due to climate change, analyze freeboard assessment of agricultural reservoir by calculate flood discharge, reservoir flood routing according to rainfall scenarios. As a result of evaluate hydrological safety of agricultural reservoir dam facilities using Future PMP considering climate change, Gosam, Kumkwang, Miho, Cheongcheon reservoir had the Highest Water Level over the design flood level, it is analyzed that it would be vulnerable to overflow risk.

Two-Dimensional Flood Inundation Analysis Resulting from Irrigation Reservoir Failure - Focused on the Real Case with the Minimal Data Set - (농업용 저수지 붕괴에 따른 2차원 홍수범람해석 -계측자료가 부족한 실제사례를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jae Young;Kim, Byunghyun;Park, Jun Hyung;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.231-243
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    • 2016
  • This study presents the applicability of two-dimensional (2D) flood inundation model by applying to real irrigation reservoir failure with limited available data. The study area is Sandae Reservoir placed in Gyeongju and downstream area of it and the reservoir was failured by piping in 2013. The breach hydrograph was estimated from one-dimensional (1D) hydrodynamic model and the discharge was employed for upstream boundary of 2D flood inundation model. Topography of study area was generated by integrating digital contour map and satellite data, and Cartesian grids with 3m resolution to consider geometry of building, road and public stadium were used for 2D flood inundation analysis. The model validation was carried out by comparing predictions with field survey data including reservoir breach outflow, flood extent, flood height and arrival time, and identifying rational ranges with allowed error. In addition, the applicability of 2D model is examined using different simulation conditions involving grid size, building and roughness coefficient. This study is expected to contributed to analysis of irrigation reservoirs were at risk of a failure and setting up Emergency Action Plan (EAP) against irrigation reservoir failure.

Cause Analysis and Improvement Suggestion for Flood Accident in Dorimcheon - Focused on the Tripping and Isolation Accidents (도림천에서 발생한 고립 및 실족사고의 원인분석을 통한 개선방안 도출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Su;Jeon, Jong-Hyeong;Kim, Tai-Hoon;Kim, Hyunju
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzed the causes of flood accidents, such as isolation and lost footing accidents in Dorimcheon, to provide legal and institutional improvements. For cause analysis, Field Investigation, Stakeholder Interview, Report, manual, Law et al. Review, Analysis of water level change characteristics, automatic alarm issuance standard level analysis, and evacuation time according to river control were evaluated. Dorimcheon has the characteristics of a typical urban river, which is disadvantageous in terms of water control. In addition, the risk of flood accidents is high because the section where fatal accidents occur forms sharply curved channels. Tripping and isolation accidents occur in the floodplain watch and evacuation stage, which is the stage before the flood watch and warning is issued. Because floodplain evacuation is issued only when the water level rises to the floodplain, an immediate response according to the rainfall forecast is essential. Furthermore, considering that the rate of water level rise is up to 2.62 cm/min in Sillimgyo 3 and Gwanakdorimgyo, sufficient evacuation time is not secured after the floodplain watch is issued. Considering that fatal accidents occurred 0.46 m below the standard water level for the flood watch, complete control is very important, such as blocking the entry of rivers to prevent accidents. Based on these results, four improvement measures were suggested, and it is expected to contribute to the prevention of Tripping and Isolation Accidents occurring in rivers.

Comparison and Evaluation of the Inundation Areas by Levee Breaching using LISFLOOD (LISFLOOD 모형을 이용한 파제에 의한 범람면적 비교 평가)

  • Choi, Cheon Kyu;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyung Tak
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to simulate inundation and evaluate the applicability of LISFLOOD model to the streams in South Korea by comparing with the inundation map using FLUMEN. The suggested levee breaching scenarios were applied to the LISFLOOD model, and the results obtained from scenarios were evaluated. The modeling results using LISFLOOD by appling the levee breaching scenarios showed 0.2% ~ 42% relative error with FLUMEN model in inundation area. But the relative error of maximum inundation area by overlapping all the flood analysis results from levee breaching scenarios such as the way making flood risk map was approximately 1.2% between two models. Meanwhile, LISFLOOD model was easy to construct input data, DEM as topographic data and discharge hydrograph as upper boundary conditions. And computing time of LISFLOOD was shorter than FLUMEN. Therefore LISFLOOD model can be applied usefully in the region that needs immediate inundation modeling.

Applicability of a Multiplicative Random Cascade Model for Disaggregation of Forecasted Rainfalls (예보강우 시간분해를 위한 Multiplicative Cascade 모형의 적용성 평가)

  • Kim, Daeha;Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Kang, Moon Seong;Lee, Kyung-do
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.5
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2016
  • High resolution rainfall data at 1-hour or a finer scale are essential for reliable flood analysis and forecasting; nevertheless, many observations, forecasts, and climate projections are still given at coarse temporal resolutions. This study aims to evaluate a chaotic method for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall data sets so as to apply operational 6-hour rainfall forecasts of the Korean Meteorological Association to flood models. We computed parameters of a state-of-the-art multiplicative random cascade model with two combinations of cascades, namely uniform splitting and diversion, using rainfall observations at Seoul station, and compared statistical performance. We additionally disaggregated 6-hour rainfall time series at 58 stations with the uniform splitting and evaluated temporal transferability of the parameters and changes in multifractal properties. Results showed that the uniform splitting outperformed the diversion in reproduction of observed statistics, and hence is better to be used for disaggregation of 6-hour rainfall forecasts. We also found that multifractal properties of rainfall observations has adequate temporal consistency with an indication of gradually increasing rainfall intensity across South Korea.

Flash Flood Risk Assessment for Mountainous Area using a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (다기준의사결정기법을 이용한 산지유역 돌발홍수 위험도 평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Park, Moo-Jong;Jun, Hwan-Don
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.337-341
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    • 2010
  • 최근들어 기상 이변에 따라 단시간에 집중되는 국지호우로 인하여 돌발홍수(Flash Flood)에 의한 피해가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 대하천의 경우에는 각 홍수 통제소에 의한 홍수 예경보 시스템(Flood Warning System)을 통하여 본류 구간에서의 인명 및 재산 피해가 과거에 비하여 상당히 감소하였으나 소하천에서는 반대로 피해가 증가하고 있는 실정이며, 따라서 돌발홍수에 대한 대비의 필요성이 증대되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 돌발홍수로 인한 인명 및 재산 피해를 최소화하기 위하여 산지유역의 돌발홍수 발생 위험도를 평가할 수 있는 방법론을 제시하였다. 돌발홍수 위험도를 평가하기 위하여 고려되는 요소들로는 유역경사, 하천경사, 강우특성 등이며, 이러한 서로 다른 단위의 평가요소들을 종합적으로 고려하기 위하여 다기준의사결정방법 중 하나인 PROMETHEE 기법을 이용하였다. 주요 평가 인자들은 크게 지형특성, 지역특성 및 강우특성으로 구분되며, 각 평가 요소들간의 상대적인 가중치의 산정은 엔트로피 이론을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 제안된 위험도 평가 방법은 그 적용성을 검증하기위하여 17개의 소유역들을 포함하고 있는 봉화군 유역에 적용되었다. 적용 결과 봉화군 유역 내 17개의 소유역들은 돌발홍수에 대한 상대적인 위험도에 따라 고 중 저위험군으로 분류되었으며, 과거 돌발홍수로 인한 피해 이력이 있는 소유역이 고위험군에 속해있는 결과를 나타냄으로써 본 연구의 방법론에 대한 적용성이 검증되었다.

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Risk Assessment of Levee Embankment Applying Reliability Index (신뢰도 지수를 적용한 하천제방의 위험도 평가)

  • Ahn, Ki-Hong;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Byung-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.547-558
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    • 2009
  • General reliability assessment of levees embankment is performed with safety factors for rainfall characteristics and hydrologic and hydraulic parameters, based on the results of deterministic analysis. The safety factors are widely employed in the field of engineering handling model parameters and the diversity of material properties, but cannot explain every natural phenomenon. Uncertainty of flood analysis and related parameters by introducing stochastic method rather than deterministic scheme will be required to deal with extreme weather and unprecedented flood due to recent climate change. As a consequence, stochastic-method-based measures considering parameter uncertainty and related factors are being established. In this study, a variety of dimensionless cumulative rainfall curve for typhoon and monsoon season of July to September with generation method of stochastic temporal variation is generated by introducing Monte Carlo method and applied to the risk assessment of levee embankment using reliability index. The result of this study reflecting temporal and regional characteristics of a rainfall can be used for the establishment of flood defence measures, hydraulic structure design and analysis on a watershed.

Hazard Evaluation of Levee by Two-Dimensional Hydraulic Analysis (2차원 수리해석에 의한 하천 제방 위험도 평가분석)

  • Park, Jun Hyung;Kim, Tae Hyung;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 2016
  • Levee safety is being evaluated using one of the several failure causes including overtopping, infiltration and erosion or 1D hydraulic analysis considering physical characteristics of levee in practical engineering works. However, mentioned evaluation methods are not able to consider various failure causes of levee at the same time and to get reliable results where requires the accurate topographic information. This study proposed the flood hazard index which is able to consider several hazard factors involving overtopping, infiltration and erosion risk simultaneously. The index was generated from results of 2D hydraulic analysis reflecting accurate topographic information. The study areas are the confluences of the Nakdong River and two streams(Gamcheon and Hoecheon). Levee safety was evaluated using results based on 2D hydraulic analysis considering riverbed changes of before and after dredging work in the study area. This study will contribute to estimate the reliable safety evaluation of levee where may have hazards during extreme flood events.

Mapping Technique for Flood Vulnerable Area Using Surface Runoff Mechanism (지표유출메커니즘을 활용한 홍수취약지구 표출 기법)

  • LEE, Jae-Yeong;HAN, Kun-Yeun;KIM, Hyun-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.181-196
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    • 2019
  • Floods can be caused by a variety of factors, and the main cause of floods is the exceeding of urban drainage system or river capacity. In addition, rainfall frequently occurs that causes large watershed runoff. Since the existing methodology of preparing for flood risk map is based on hydraulic and hydrological modeling, it is difficult to analyse for a large area because it takes a long time due to the extensive data collection and complex analysis process. In order to overcome this problem, this study proposes a methodology of mapping for flood vulnerable area that considered the surface runoff mechanism. This makes it possible to reduce the time and effort required to estimate flood vulnerabilities and enable detailed analysis of large areas. The target area is Seoul, and it was confirmed that flood damage is likely to occur near selected vulnerable areas by verifying using 2×2 confusion matrix and ROC curve. By selecting and prioritizing flood vulnerable areas through the surface runoff mechanism proposed in this study, the establishment of systematic disaster prevention measures and efficient budget allocation will be possible.

Analysis of the Effectiveness of Nature-based Solutions for River Flood Level Reduction (하천 홍수위 저감을 위한 자연기반해법의 적용효과 분석)

  • Hoyong Lee;Minseok Kim;Junhyeong Lee;Taewoo Lee;Hung Soo Kim;Soojun Kim
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.379-385
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    • 2023
  • EDue to climate change and urbanization, the localized heavy rainfall frequently exceeded a design storm rainfall and flood damage has occurred in South Korea. The concept of addressing sustainable river management and environmental and social issues through Nature-based Solutions (NbS) is gaining attention as it seeks to resolve these issues through ecosystem services. Therefore, in this study, the flood reduction effect by river management using NbS was quantitatively analyzed for the Hwang River, which is directly downstream of Hapcheon Dam, South Korea. Floodplain excavation and dyke relocation, which are methods of the NbS, were applied to the flood risk area of the Hwang River. As a result of analyzing the flood level of the river through the unsteady flow analysis of HEC-RAS, we obtained flood level reduction by 8 cm at the confluence of the Nakdong River. The results of this study can be expected to be sufficiently utilized as a basis for use as a management plan through NbS rather than the river management with grey infrastructure.