• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood risk analysis

Search Result 215, Processing Time 0.044 seconds

Development of integrated disaster mapping method (I) : expansion and verification of grid-based model (통합 재해지도 작성 기법 개발(I) : 그리드 기반 모형의 확장 및 검증)

  • Park, Jun Hyung;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Byunghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-84
    • /
    • 2022
  • The objective of this study is to develop a two-dimensional (2D) flood model that can perform accurate flood analysis with simple input data. The 2D flood inundation models currently used to create flood forecast maps require complex input data and grid generation tools. This sometimes requires a lot of time and effort for flood modeling, and there may be difficulties in constructing input data depending on the situation. In order to compensate for these shortcomings, in this study, a grid-based model that can derive accurate and rapid flood analysis by reflecting correct topography as simple input data was developed. The calculation efficiency was improved by extending the existing 2×2 sub-grid model to a 5×5. In order to examine the accuracy and applicability of the model, it was applied to the Gamcheon Basin where both urban and river flooding occurred due to Typhoon Rusa. For efficient flood analysis according to user's selection, flood wave propagation patterns, accuracy and execution time according to grid size and number of sub-grids were investigated. The developed model is expected to be highly useful for flood disaster mapping as it can present the results of flooding analysis for various situations, from the flood inundation map showing accurate flooding to the flood risk map showing only approximate flooding.

Analysis of change characteristics through estimating the limit rainfall by period (기간별 한계강우량 산정을 통한 변화 특성 분석)

  • Hwang, Jeong Geun;Cho, Jae Woong;Kang, Ho Seon;Lee, Han Seung;Moon, Hye Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.99-99
    • /
    • 2020
  • The frequency and scale of domestic flood damage continues to increase, but the criteria for responding to flood damage have not been established. To this end, research is underway to estimate the amount of rainfall in each region so that it can be used to respond to flood damage. The limit rainfall is defined as the cumulative maximum rainfall for each duration that causes flooding, and this research purpose to improve the threshold rainfall by estimating the damage based on the damage history in units of 5 years and analyzing changes over time. The limit rainfall based on the damage history was estimated by using the NDMS past damage history of the Ministry of the Interior and Safety and the rainfall minutes data of AWS and ASOS. The period for estimating the limit rainfall is 2013 ~ 2017, 2015 ~ 2019, and the limit rainfall is estimated by analyzing the relationship between the flood damage history and the rainfall event in each period. Considering changes in watershed characteristics and disaster prevention performance, the data were compared using 5-year data. As a result of the analysis, the limit rainfall based on the damage history could be estimated for less than about 10.0% of the administrative dongs nationwide. As a result of comparing the limit rainfall by period, it was confirmed that the area where the limit rainfall has increased or decreased This was analyzed as a change due to rainfall events or urbanization, and it is judged that it will be possible to improve the risk criteria of flooding.

  • PDF

Flood Risk and Vulnerability Analysis by Climate Change in an Urban Stream : A Case Study of the Woo-yi Stream Basin (도시하천의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 분석: 우이천유역을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Sun-Kwon;Moon, Young-Il;Kim, Gui-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.981-981
    • /
    • 2012
  • 최근 지구환경 변화에 따른 기후변화의 영향으로 자연재해의 형태는 점차 대형화, 다양화되고 있으며 극치사상의 발생 빈도가 계속해서 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 특히 도시하천의 경우 인구와 재산이 밀집해 있어 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성이 클 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구에서는 기후 변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 분석을 위하여 위험도 기반 불확실성을 다루는 수단으로 UQR-MCS (Upper Quartile Range-Monte Carlo Simulation)을 적용하였으며, 다양한 형태의 확률 분포로부터 특정변량(variable)의 확률분포 Quartile을 모의하였다. 또한 기후변화에 따른 도시하천의 홍수위험 및 취약성 평가를 위하여 도시하천에 적합한 홍수위험 및 취약성평가 지수(FVI: flood vulnerability index)를 산정하였으며, 홍수취약성지수는 기후변화(Climate change)와 도시화(Urbanization), 제방월류위험(Overtopping risk) 및 홍수범람 면적(Flood area) 등의 지표를 사용하였다. 각각의 지표는 엔트로피(Entropy) 기법을 적용하여 가중치를 부여하였으며, 표준화과정을 통한 일반화된 지표 값을 산정하였다. 우이천 유역의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험 및 취약성 지표값은 KMA RCM A1B 시나리오자료를 바탕으로 추정한 미래 확률강수량과 각 인자별 재현기간에 따른 수문변량의 변화를 통하여 산정하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 향후 도시하천의 기후변화에 따른 홍수위험도분석 및 취약성 평가, 극치 수문사상에 대한 신뢰성 있는 분석과 더불어 예상치 못할 이상홍수에 대비한 하천방재 연구에 도움이 되리라 사료된다.

  • PDF

Suitability Assessment for Flood Disaster Shelters of Jinju City (진주시 홍수재해용 대피소 적합성 평가)

  • Yoo, Hwan Hee;Son, Se Ryeon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.20 no.3
    • /
    • pp.91-99
    • /
    • 2012
  • Jinju city is operating by selecting 8 places as the flood inundation risk area and by designating shelters on this area targeting districts damaged by typhoon and heavy rain, in the past. This study selected the research area as Nabul district and Sangpyeong district where are located in the town and that has high population density out of districts with inundation risk. The network analysis of GIS was applied to the suitability assessment on location of shelter by calculating the moving speed and the arriving time after dividing it into children, general adults, and aged people in consideration of the evacuation condition in inundation disaster. As a result, it was indicated that optimal evacuation plan time for children and aged people exceeded in getting to the shelter because of evacuation time excess and that even general adults outrun the prescribed evacuation time in some districts. Accordingly, a problem for evacuation time was improved by additionally designating 1-2 shelters to existing shelters in Nabul and Sangpyeong districts. A countermeasure is needed to reduce life and property damage in disaster occurrence by implementing the evacuation warning and the age-based evacuation plan more specifically in the future.

A Study on the Watershed Analysis of the Expected Flood Inundation Area in South Han River (남한강 유역의 침수예상지역에 대한 홍수범람분석에 관한 연구)

  • HONG, Sung-Soo;JUNG, Da-Som;HWANG, Eui-Ho;CHAE, Hyo-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.106-119
    • /
    • 2016
  • Flood risk map, flood damage map, disaster information map, inundation trace map are involved with the cartographic analysis of flood inundation based on prevention, preparation, restoration, response from natural disasters such as flood, flooding, etc. In this study, the analysis for channel and basin characteristics Chungju dam to Paldang dam of South han river after four river project. Flood scenario is selected to take advantage of design flood level of schematic design for river. Flood inundation of one dimensional non-uniform flow by using HEC-RAS with basin characteristics is accomplished and two dimensional unsteady flow was interpreted by using FLUMEN. Frequency analysis is carried out about each abundance of South han river for 100 year period, 200 year period and 500 year period. Flooding disaster area of 100 year period on 0.5m damage functions is 2378.8ha, 200 year period on 0.5m damage functions is 3155.2ha, 500 year period on 0.5m damage functions is 3995.3ha respectively. It will be significant data for decision making to establish inundation trace map for providing basic plan for river maintenance, land use plan, flood protection plan, application plan and getting information of flood expectation area.

Estimating Ungauged River Section for Flood Stage Analysis (홍수위 해석을 위한 미측정 하천 단면 추정)

  • Shin, Sat Byeol;Kang, Moon Seong;Jun, Sang Min;Song, Jung Hun;Kim, Kyeung;Ryu, Jeong Hoon;Park, Jihoon;Lee, Do Gil;Lee, Kyeong-Do
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.58 no.5
    • /
    • pp.11-18
    • /
    • 2016
  • The objective of this study was to develop the simple method to estimate ungauged river section for flood stage analysis. Damage prediction should be prioritized using hydrological modeling to reduce flood risk. Mostly, the geographical data using hydrological modeling depends on national river cross-section survey. However because of the lack of measured data, it is difficult to apply to many local streams or small watersheds. For this reason, this study suggest the method to estimate unguaged river cross-section. Simple regression equations were derived and used to estimate river cross-section by analyzing the correlation between the river cross-sectional characteristics (width, height and area). The estimated cross-sections were used to simulate flood level by HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Center's River Analysis System). The applicability of this method was verified by comparing simulated flood level between measured and estimated cross-section. The water surface elevation of the flood stage analysis was 6.56-7.24 m, 5.33-5.95 m and 6.12-6.75 m for measured cross section, for estimated cross section and for estimated cross section based on DEM elevation, respectively. Further study should consider other factors for more accurate flood stage analysis. This study might be used one of the guidelines to estimate ungauged river section for flood stage analysis.

Multivariate design estimations under copulas constructions. Stage-1: Parametrical density constructions for defining flood marginals for the Kelantan River basin, Malaysia

  • Latif, Shahid;Mustafa, Firuza
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.287-328
    • /
    • 2019
  • Comprehensive understanding of the flood risk assessments via frequency analysis often demands multivariate designs under the different notations of return periods. Flood is a tri-variate random consequence, which often pointing the unreliability of univariate return period and demands for the joint dependency construction by accounting its multiple intercorrelated flood vectors i.e., flood peak, volume & durations. Selecting the most parsimonious probability functions for demonstrating univariate flood marginals distributions is often a mandatory pre-processing desire before the establishment of joint dependency. Especially under copulas methodology, which often allows the practitioner to model univariate marginals separately from their joint constructions. Parametric density approximations often hypothesized that the random samples must follow some specific or predefine probability density functions, which usually defines different estimates especially in the tail of distributions. Concentrations of the upper tail often seem interesting during flood modelling also, no evidence exhibited in favours of any fixed distributions, which often characterized through the trial and error procedure based on goodness-of-fit measures. On another side, model performance evaluations and selections of best-fitted distributions often demand precise investigations via comparing the relative sample reproducing capabilities otherwise, inconsistencies might reveal uncertainty. Also, the strength & weakness of different fitness statistics usually vary and having different extent during demonstrating gaps and dispensary among fitted distributions. In this literature, selections efforts of marginal distributions of flood variables are incorporated by employing an interactive set of parametric functions for event-based (or Block annual maxima) samples over the 50-years continuously-distributed streamflow characteristics for the Kelantan River basin at Gulliemard Bridge, Malaysia. Model fitness criteria are examined based on the degree of agreements between cumulative empirical and theoretical probabilities. Both the analytical as well as graphically visual inspections are undertaken to strengthen much decisive evidence in favour of best-fitted probability density.

Evaluation of Drain Pump System by Inundation Analysis in Urban Underground Passage (도시 지하차도 침수 분석을 통한 강제배제시설 평가)

  • Lee, Jung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.8 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1192-1200
    • /
    • 2007
  • A general rainfall outflow in urban drainage has early time of concentration because urban drainage areas are most paved area. In general, rainfall outflow is flowed in drainage pump station and is discharged to rivers in urban areas. However it is excluded through drainage pumps about a heavy rainfall which exceed the design rainfall and the rainfall outflows increase the urban inundation risk. A current pump operation is control according to water level of collecting well or reservoir in drain pump station. But recently, the localized downpours are happened frequently in urban drainage and the current pump stations are frequently incapable of the heavy rainfall outflows. In this study, a real urban inundation was simulated and the drain capacity of drain pump station was evaluated by analysis about flood-factor in urban underground passage. Then the analysis about the inundation was done by the simulation about the real rainfall which cause the inundation. Also, in the simulation the inundation risk and the evaluation of flood-factor were analyzed according to change of the pump operation rule.

  • PDF

Flood Frequency Analysis with the consideration of the heterogeneous impacts from TC and non-TC rainfalls: application to daily flows in the Nam River Basin, South Korea

  • Alcantara, Angelika;Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.121-121
    • /
    • 2020
  • Varying dominant processes, including Tropical Cyclone (TC) and non-TC rainfall events, have been known to drive the occurrence of precipitation in South Korea. With the changes in the pattern of the Earth's climate due to anthropogenic activities, nonstationarity or changes in the magnitude and frequency of these dominant processes have been separately observed for the past decades and are expected to continue in the coming years. These changes often cause unprecedented hydrologic events such as extreme flooding which pose a greater risk to the society. This study aims to take into account a more reliable future climate condition with two dominant processes. Diverse statistical models including the hidden markov chain, K-nearest neighbor algorithm, and quantile mappings are utilized to mimic future rainfall events based on the recorded historical data with the consideration of the varying effects of TC and non-TC events. The data generated is then utilized to the hydrologic model to conduct a flood frequency analysis. Results in this study emphasize the need to consider the nonstationarity of design rainfalls to fully grasp the degree of future flooding events when designing urban water infrastructures.

  • PDF