• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood damage analysis

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Panel Data Analysis between Flood Damage and Recovery Cost (Panel Data 분석을 통한 홍수피해와 복구비 관계분석)

  • Park, Doo-Ho;Kim, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • This paper addresses the correlation between the flood damage cost and recovery cost. National data (15 regions) for 20 years, panel data, has been analyzed for this test. Model specification of panel data analysis depends on the characteristics of data set and "fixed" or "random" effects model can be used. The results are represented in both models. As we expected all independent variables show positive relationship with recovery cost, except for the number of death and suffers. The damage of public facilities, such as rivers and road are the major factors on the damage and recovery cost, which means that flood damage can not be decreased without decreasing damages of public facilities from floods. Especially, the recovery cost is always higher than the damage cost and investment for flood control. Unlikely, government investment for flood control is the highest and recovery cost is the always lower than da mage cost andinvestment in Japan. Which means that proper investment can reduce economic damage cost of flood and recovery cost.

An Analysis of Flood Damage Influence by Urban Spatial Factors (도시공간적 요인에 의한 침수피해의 영향 분석)

  • Park, Kiyong;Oh, Hoo;Jeon, Won-Sik;Lee, Eui Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.9
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    • pp.238-250
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    • 2020
  • This study investigated the long-term measures to minimize flood damage in the event of flooding in urban areas. The relationship between urban spatial factors and the impact of flood damage was analyzed, focusing on non-structural measures. The urban spatial factors were categorized into three parts: open space, disaster prevention facilities, and urbanization sectors. Multiple regression analysis was used to investigate how urban spatial factors influence flood damage. As a result of the analysis, the crucial factors, such as the reduced green areas and parks included in the open space sectors, resulted in an increased flood damage potential. The posterior factors, such as the population density and GRDP included in the urbanization sector concurrently led to an increase in the flood damage potential. Therefore, to better adapt to climate change, it is necessary to establish urban spatial plans strategically, such as green areas and parks. Meanwhile, the population density and GRDP are also the main factors causing flood damage. Therefore, when used appropriately in terms of resilience, it will serve as adaptations and recovery.

A study on prediction method for flood risk using LENS and flood risk matrix (국지 앙상블자료와 홍수위험매트릭스를 이용한 홍수위험도 예측 방법 연구)

  • Choi, Cheonkyu;Kim, Kyungtak;Choi, Yunseok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.9
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    • pp.657-668
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    • 2022
  • With the occurrence of localized heavy rain while river flow has increased, both flow and rainfall cause riverside flood damages. As the degree of damage varies according to the level of social and economic impact, it is required to secure sufficient forecast lead time for flood response in areas with high population and asset density. In this study, the author established a flood risk matrix using ensemble rainfall runoff modeling and evaluated its applicability in order to increase the damage reduction effect by securing the time required for flood response. The flood risk matrix constructs the flood damage impact level (X-axis) using flood damage data and predicts the likelihood of flood occurrence (Y-axis) according to the result of ensemble rainfall runoff modeling using LENS rainfall data and as well as probabilistic forecasting. Therefore, the author introduced a method for determining the impact level of flood damage using historical flood damage data and quantitative flood damage assessment methods. It was compared with the existing flood warning data and the damage situation at the flood warning points in the Taehwa River Basin and the Hyeongsan River Basin in the Nakdong River Region. As a result, the analysis showed that it was possible to predict the time and degree of flood risk from up to three days in advance. Hence, it will be helpful for damage reduction activities by securing the lead time for flood response.

Uncertainty Analysis of Flood Damage Estimation Using Bootstrap Method and SIR Algorithm (Bootstrap 방법 및 SIR 알고리즘을 이용한 예상홍수피해액의 불확실성 분석)

  • Lee, Keon-Haeng;Lee, Jung-Ki;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2011
  • We estimated the expected flood damage considering uncertainty which is involved in hydrologic processes and data. Actually, this uncertainty represents a freeboard or safety factor in the design of hydraulic structures. The uncertainty was analyzed using Bootstrap method, and SIR algorithm then the frequency based rainfalls were estimated for each method of uncertainty analysis. Also the benefits for each uncertainty analysis were estimated using 'multi-dimensional flood damage analysis(MD-FDA). As a result, the expected flood damage with SIR algorithm was 1.22 times of present status and Boostrap 0.92 times. However when we used SIR algorithm, the likelihood function should be selected with caution for the estimation of the expected flood damage.

Assessment of Human Impact on Mekong River Flood by Using Satellite Nightlight Image

  • Try, Sophal;Lee, Giha;Lee, Daeeop;Thuy, HoangThu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.187-187
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    • 2016
  • High intensity of population distribution in deltaic setting especially in Asia tends to have increased and causes coastal flood risk due to lower elevations and significant subsidence. Maximum or peak discharge of flood always causes numerous deaths and huge economic losses. New technology of spatial satellite image has been applied to analyze flood damage. In this research, the relationship of nightlight intensity associated with flood damages has been determined during 1992-2013 with spatial resolution of 30 arc sec ($0.0083^{\circ}$) which is nearly one kilometer at the equator in whole six countries along the Mekong River (i.e., China, Myanmar, Lao PDR, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam). ArcGIS Hydrological Flow Length Tool has been used to determine the distance of each pixel areas from the rivers and streams. Statistical analysis results highlight the significant correlation R = 0.47 between nightlight digital number and economic damages per unit area (US$/km2) and R = 0.62 for number of affected people for unit area ($people/km^2$). The areas near by the Mekong River and its tributaries correspond to high flood damage. This spatial analysis result is going to be prestigious key information to the regions and all related stakeholders for decisions and mitigation strategies.

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Identification of Flooded Areas and Post-flooding Conditions: Developing Flood Damage Mitigation Strategies Using Satellite Radar Imagery (레이더 위성영상을 활용한 침수피해 지역 파악 및 완화방안 연구)

  • Lee, Moungjin;Myeong, Soojeong;Jeon, Seongwoo;Won, Joong-Sun
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2009
  • This study applied satellite radar imagery to identify flooded areas and examined post-flooding conditions using time-series satellite radar imagery for the development of flood damage mitigation strategies. Using time-series satellite radar images, this study constructed a map delineating areas vulnerable to frequent flood damage. The extracted flooded areas were combined with reference land use maps to examine flood damage by land use type. Major landuse types with severe flood damage were agricultural and forested areas. The analysis of the damage conditions, in terms of land use, served as the basis for developing flood damage mitigation policies, in conjunction with land use planning. The policies for flood damage mitigation can be summarized as land use regulations, land use planning, and flood damage mapping. A preventive measure to minimize flood damage of properties, which regulates developing areas with high flooding potential, is highly recommended. Although this study suggested a number of policies for flood damage mitigation, they represent only a small number of possible policies useful for mitigating flood damage and other environmental problems. Based upon the results of this study, it may be concluded that satellite radar imagery has great potential in providing basic data for large-scale environmental problems such as flooding and oil spills. Nevertheless, further examinations should be conducted and the application of satellite radar imagery should be used to examine other environmental problems.

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Flood Risk Estimation Using Regional Regression Analysis (지역회귀분석을 이용한 홍수피해위험도 산정)

  • Jang, Ock-Jae;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2009
  • Although desire for living without hazardous damages grows these days, threats from natural disasters which we are currently exposed to are quiet different from what we have experienced. To cope with this changing situation, it is necessary to assess the characteristics of the natural disasters. Therefore, the main purpose of this research is to suggest a methodology to estimate the potential property loss and assess the flood risk using a regional regression analysis. Since the flood damage mainly consists of loss of lives and property damages, it is reasonable to express the results of a flood risk assessment with the loss of lives and the property damages that are vulnerable to flood. The regional regression analysis has been commonly used to find relationships between regional characteristics of a watershed and parameters of rainfall-runoff models or probability distribution models. In our research, however, this model is applied to estimate the potential flood damage as follows; 1) a nonlinear model between the flood damage and the hourly rainfall is found in gauged regions which have sufficient damage and rainfall data, and 2) a regression model is developed from the relationship between the coefficients of the nonlinear models and socio-economic indicators in the gauged regions. This method enables us to quantitatively analyze the impact of the regional indicators on the flood damage and to estimate the damage through the application of the regional regression model to ungauged regions which do not have sufficient data. Moreover the flood risk map is developed by Flood Vulnerability Index (FVI) which is equal to the ratio of the estimated flood damage to the total regional property. Comparing the results of this research with Potential Flood Damage (PFD) reported in the Long-term Korea National Water Resources Plan, the exports' mistaken opinions could affect the weighting procedure of PFD, but the proposed approach based on the regional regression would overcome the drawback of PFD. It was found that FVI is highly correlated with the past damage, while PFD does not reflect the regional vulnerabilities.

Computing Probability Flood Runoff for Flood Forecasting & Warning System - Computing Probability Flood Runoff of Hwaong District - (홍수 예.경보 체계 개발을 위한 연구 - 화옹호 유역의 유역 확률홍수량 산정 -)

  • Kim, Sang-Ho;Kim, Han-Joong;Hong, Seong-Gu;Park, Chang-Eoun;Lee, Nam-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2007
  • The objective of the study is to prepare input data for FIA (Flood Inundation Analysis) & FDA (Flood Damage Assessment) through rainfall-runoff simulation by HEC-HMS model. For HwaOng watershed (235.6 $km^{2}$), HEC-HMS was calibrated using 6 storm events. Geospatial data processors, HEC-GeoHMS is used for HEC-HMS basin input data. The parameters of rainfall loss rate and unit hydrograph are optimized from the observed data. HEC-HMS was applied to simulate rainfall-runoff relation to frequency storm at the HwaOng watershed. The results will be used for mitigating and predicting the flood damage after river routing and inundation propagation analysis through various flood scenarios.

Analysing the Economic Effects of Flood Damage by Dynamic CGE Model (동태CGE모형을 이용한 홍수피해의 경제파급효과 분석)

  • Jeong, Kiho;Whang, Sungyoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.689-718
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    • 2014
  • This study analyzes the ripple effects on the national economy of the flood damage using a perfect foresight dynamic CGE model for 2010 as the base year in case that the flood damage reduces the capital of the relevant industrial sectors. The analysis is limited to the items of physical damage such as agricultural land, ships and public facilities, for which statistical data can be obtained. As flood damage scenarios we adopt the minimum, maximum and average value of flood damage's historical data over the period 1991~2010 for each item. The results show that the largest production decline happens to the industry of fishing and transport and the next largest to the agricultural and forestry industry. The GDP reduction in the base year turns out to be from 0.001 to 0.057 percent compared to the benchmark and 11 percent compared to the exogenous shock to capital stock. Dynamically, the GDP gradually decreases until the year of 2030, which shows the long-lasting impact on the national economy of flood damage via the chanel of the capital damage.

Development and application of the estimation method of flood damage in the ungauged basin using satellite data (위성자료를 활용한 미계측유역의 홍수피해액 추산기법 개발 및 적용)

  • Yeom, Woong-Sun;Park, Dong-Hyeok;Ahn, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1183-1192
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    • 2020
  • Economic analysis is a basic step in establishing disaster mitigation measures, but it is difficult to verify the results due to uncertainty. Therefore, the scope of investigation and analysis is wide. However, it is difficult to predict the amount of damage caused by flooding because the collection of relevant data is limited in the ungauged basin. In this study, distributed runoff analysis and flooding analysis were performed, and a method of estimating the amount of flood damage in the ungauged basin was proposed using collectible social and economic indicators and flood analysis results. For distributed runoff analysis and flooding analysis, GRM (Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model) and G2D (Grid based 2-Dimensional land surface flood model) developed by Korea Institute of Civil engineering and Building Technology were used. The method of substituting collectible social and economic indicators into the simple method and improvement method was used to estimate the amount of flood damage. As a result of the study, it was possible to estimate the amount of flood damage using satellite data and social and economic indicators in the ungauged basin.