• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.18 no.2
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• pp.81-90
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• 2017

In Imjin River basin, three floods occurred between 1996 and 1999, causing many casualties and economic losses of 900 billion won. In Korea, flood damage is expected to increase in the future due to climate change. This study used the climate scenarios to estimate future flood damage costs and suggested a real options-based economic assessment method. Using proposed method, the flood control infrastructures in Imjin River basin were selected as a case study site to analyze the economic feasibility of the investment. Using RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) climate scenarios, the future flood damage costs were estimated through simulated rainfall data. This study analyzed the flood reduction benefits through investment in the flood control infrastructures. The volatility of flood damage reduction benefits were estimated assuming that the RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 climate scenarios would be realized in the future. In 2071, the project option value would be determined by applying an extension option to invest in an upgrading that would allow the project to adapt to the flood of the 200-year return period. The results of the option values show that the two investment scenarios are economically feasible and the project under RCP8.5 climate scenario has more flood damage reduction benefits than RCP4.5. This study will help government decision makers to consider the uncertainty of climate change in the economic assessment of flood control infrastructures using real options analysis. We also proposed a method to quantify climate risk factors into economic values by using rainfall data provided by climate scenarios.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.1-17
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• 2009

In recent years, most of flood damage is associated with the levee failure. The objective of this study is to predict flow depths, flood area, flooding time and flood damage through flood inundation analysis considering the overflow of levee and the characteristics of levee failure. The hydrological parameters were extracted from GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map to estimate levee failure discharge. In addition, the characteristics of flood wave propagation could be accurately predicted as flood inundation analysis was accomplished considering the affection of structure within protected lowland and hourly prediction of flooded areas and estimation of flood strength will be utilized as basic data for the flood defence and establishment of measure to reduce flood damage.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.45-57
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• 2004

This study analyzed the effect of land-use enhancement benefits with the flood safety which it is not quantified in the flood damage analysis, Korea. The land-use enhancement benefits mean the enhancement of land-use value according to the rise of flood safety of the protected area by the flood control projects and we performed the analysis of land-use enhancement benefits with the publicly announced land price which can objectively represent the land-use value of a specific area. We verified the statistical significance of the floating rate of land price according to the effects of flood control projects and the characteristics of a river through the analysis of variance. As a result of the verification, the increase of land-use value was represented by the net annual average floating rate of land price. The flood safety was classified as flood damage potential and flood prevention capacity. The flood damage potential was classified according to the rate of urbanization and flood prevention capacity was represented by the conditional annual non-exceedance probability obtained from the frequency analysis with uncertainty for the flood discharge. The study areas were small urban cities and we calculated the conditional annual non-exceedance probabilities of 200-year flood event for the levees constructed with the conditions of 10- and 50-year design frequency. The result was shown that the net annual average floating rate of land price would be raised nearly 5 times for 10%-increase of the conditional annual non-exceedance probability in small city areas.

• Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.187-194
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• 2007

It started road constructions around river in 1990s. These maintenances concentrate on city river. Because river lives no living things and men don't come near there. But in spite of these river environment go to rack, river maintenances still keep on using preexistence method since 1990s. Only a part of city river environment maintenances consider environmental ability of passive river, river maintenance of a purpose of flood control still don't consider in the concrete. Because propulsion device that consider environment ability of passive river and possible application techniques don't complete. In accordance, A natural river maintenance needs absolutly a series of river projects. Because a natural river maintenance prevents a damage of environment ability. This study is to assume the flood really happened and to carry out the flood damage simulation needed in overflow simulation about the inundated zone. Also, This study examine unstable part about the hydraulic characteristic as velocities, stream power, shear, hydraulic depth, flow area in basin. And this study applied the HEC-RAS(river analysis system) model to predict flood overflow in youngsan river basin. Project flood is used the return period 100 year and inputed data that was calculated in intensity figures of illumination.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• v.33 no.4
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• pp.119-142
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• 2011

The storm and flood insurance, which was introduced recently to substitute the disaster relief system to moderate government's financial burden and enhance people's effort to reduce damage, seems to suffer various problems. This paper conducts a theoretical analysis on various aspects of the storm and flood insurance to provide insight on those issues and draw policy implications. First, the coexistence of disaster relief with the storm and flood insurance is likely to harm the penetration of the storm and flood insurance. Second, the current premium system is likely to induce people to make less efforts to reduce damage due to moral hazard problem. Third, current support for damage-reducing efforts may not fulfill its purpose and hence should be scrutinized carefully.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.99-99
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• 2020

The frequency and scale of domestic flood damage continues to increase, but the criteria for responding to flood damage have not been established. To this end, research is underway to estimate the amount of rainfall in each region so that it can be used to respond to flood damage. The limit rainfall is defined as the cumulative maximum rainfall for each duration that causes flooding, and this research purpose to improve the threshold rainfall by estimating the damage based on the damage history in units of 5 years and analyzing changes over time. The limit rainfall based on the damage history was estimated by using the NDMS past damage history of the Ministry of the Interior and Safety and the rainfall minutes data of AWS and ASOS. The period for estimating the limit rainfall is 2013 ~ 2017, 2015 ~ 2019, and the limit rainfall is estimated by analyzing the relationship between the flood damage history and the rainfall event in each period. Considering changes in watershed characteristics and disaster prevention performance, the data were compared using 5-year data. As a result of the analysis, the limit rainfall based on the damage history could be estimated for less than about 10.0% of the administrative dongs nationwide. As a result of comparing the limit rainfall by period, it was confirmed that the area where the limit rainfall has increased or decreased This was analyzed as a change due to rainfall events or urbanization, and it is judged that it will be possible to improve the risk criteria of flooding.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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• v.18B no.5
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• pp.271-278
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• 2011

Storm and flood such as torrential rains and major typhoons has often caused damages on a large scale in Korea and damages from storm and flood have been increasing by climate change and warming. Therefore, it is an essential work to maneuver preemptively against risks and damages from storm and flood by predicting the possibility and scale of the disaster. Generally the research on numerical model based on statistical methods, the KDF model of TCDIS developed by NIDP, for analyzing and predicting disaster risks and damages has been mainstreamed. In this paper, we introduced the model for prediction of damage cost from storm and flood by the neural network algorithm which outstandingly implements the pattern recognition. Also, we compared the performance of the neural network model with that of KDF model of TCDIS. We come to the conclusion that the robustness and accuracy of prediction of damage cost on TCDIS will increase by adapting the neural network model rather than the KDF model.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.565-572
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• 2014

A systematically structured 3D information model can be effectively utilized in many application fields. This study presents the methodology of generation and application of the city information model, which is suited for the management of the flood damage information. To ensure the interoperability and re-usability of the information, this study develops application methodology to utilize the information attributes included in the CityGML as an open standard data schema and extension methodology for additional information attributes. Also, an effective combining method for topography and building model was proposed. Using the data extracted from the combined information model based on a real flood damage case, it was shown that the numbers of casualties and isolation during a flood can be predicted and as a result, the applicability of the data model on flood damage estimation is naturally verified.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2021.10a
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• pp.335-337
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• 2021

Flood damage is occurring all over the world, and the number of people living in flood-prone areas reached 86 million, a 25% increase compared to 2000. These floods cause enormous damage to life and property, and it is essential to decide on an appropriate evacuation in order to reduce the damage. Evacuation in anticipation of a flood also incurs a lot of cost, and if an evacuation is not performed due to an error in the flood prediction, a greater cost is incurred. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a flood risk determination model using the CNN model to enable evacuation at an appropriate time by using the time series data of precipitation and water level. Through this, it is thought that it can be utilized as an initial study to determine the time of flood evacuation to prevent unnecessary evacuation and to ensure that evacuation can be carried out at an appropriate time.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.40 no.5
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• pp.383-396
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• 2007

The studies on efficiency of flood control reservoir has been introduced into four categories including direct flood control contribution by reservoir, flow-duration change and environmental-ecological change in downstream of dam and flood damage estimation of flood plain. In spite of all the previous approaches, the quantification of the effect of reservoir on the flood control in planning stage is quite complex due to lack of a standard for quantifying feasibility of project. In this study, we develop a methodology that can clearly and accurately quantify the flood damage reduction together with the existing flood level reduction at downstream. The proposed approach uses three appraisal standards of flood control: 'potential safety', 'relative risk' and 'absolute risk' according to the risk by stage. The developed methodology was applied to the Namhan river basin with the storm event of July, 2006. The result shows the damage reduction of 4,189 billion won was estimated. The economic benefits for the flood control effect by dam will greatly contribute to the public understanding of the importance and the effect of the flood control by dam.