• 제목/요약/키워드: Flood Control Policy

검색결과 37건 처리시간 0.03초

One-Way Error Component Regression Model을 활용한 도시지역 수재해 취약성 변화의 실증연구 (A Study on the Changes of Flood Vulnerability in Urban Area Using One-Way Error Component Regression Model)

  • 최충익
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.89-112
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    • 2004
  • This Study aims to demonstrate how much flood vulnerability in urban area changed for the past 32 years by using the panel model. At the same time, this study strives to determine the primary factors and to construct an effective counter-plan by means of empirical research. After selecting research hypotheses based on considerations of issues concerning causes for urban flooding, their relevance is put to the test by conducting empirical research in individual case locations. This research verifies the four research hypotheses by using one-way error component regression model. In conclusion, this research has shown that urban land use and local characteristics act as significant flood determinants, with forests acting to reduce flood dangers. Moreover, constructing embankments can no longer represent a reliable flood control policy. The changes in future flood control policies need to incorporate local characteristics and to minimize natural destruction, so that humans and nature can coexist through environmentally friendly flood management policies.

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베이지안 네트워크를 적용한 홍수 위험도 분석 (Application of Bayesian Networks for Flood Risk Analysis)

  • 선우우연;이길성;정은성
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.467-467
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    • 2012
  • As the features of recent flood are spatially concentrated, loss of life and property increase by the impact of climate change. In addition to this the public interest in water control information is increased and socially reasonable justification of water control policy is needed. It is necessary to estimate the flood risk in order to let people know the status of flood control and establish flood control policy. For accurate flood risk analysis, we should consider inter-relation between causal factors of flood damage. Hence, flood risk analysis should be applied to interdependence of the factors selected. The Bayesian networks are ideally suited to assist decision-making in situations where there is uncertainty in the data and where the variables are highly interlinked. In this research, to provide more proper water control information the flood risk analysis is performed using the Bayesian networks to handle uncertainty and dependency among 13 specific proxy variables.

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OPTIMUM STORAGE REALLOCATION AND GATE OPERATION IN MULTIPURPOSE RESERVOIRS

  • Hamid Moradkhani
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2002
  • This research is intended to integrate long-term operation rules and real time operation policy for conservation & flood control in a reservoir. The familiar Yield model has been modified and used to provide long-term rule curves. The model employs linear programming technique under given physical conditions, i.e., total capacity, dead storage, spillways, outlet capacity and their respective elevations to find required and desired minimum storage fur different demands. To investigate the system behavior resulting from the above-mentioned operating policy, i.e., the rule curves, the simulation model was used. Results of the simulation model show that the results of the optimization model are indeed valid. After confirmation of the above mentioned rule curves by the simulation models, gate operation procedure was merged with the long term operation rules to determine the optimum reservoir operating policy. In the gate operation procedure, operating policy in downstream flood plain, i.e., determination of damaging and non-damaging discharges in flood plain, peak floods, which could be routed by reservoir, are determined. Also outflow hydrograph and variations of water surface levels for two known hydrographs are determined. To examine efficiency of the above-mentioned models and their ability in determining the optimum operation policy, Esteghlal reservoir in Iran was analyzed as a case study. A numerical model fur the solution of two-dimensional dam break problems using fractional step method is developed on unstructured grid. The model is based on second-order Weighted Averaged Flux(WAF) scheme with HLLC approximate Riemann solver. To control the nonphysical oscillations associated with second-order accuracy, TVD scheme with SUPERBEE limiter is used. The developed model is verified by comparing the computational solutions with analytic solutions in idealized test cases. Very good agreements have been achieved in the verifications.

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저수지 홍수변환법에 의한 홍수시 저수지 운영 (Reservoir Operation at Flood Time by Transformed Reservoir Flood(TRF) Reservoir Operation Method(ROM))

  • 권오익;심명필
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 1998
  • 홍수기 중 저수지 운영은 이수와 치수를 고려한 전반적인 홍수기 저수지 운영확 홍수예측시 임의의 저수지 수위에서의 홍수시 저수지 운영으로 구분할 수 있다. 본 연구는 홍수시 저수지운영에 관한 것으로 전반적인 홍수시 저수지 운영방안에 관해 논의하고자 한다. 현행의 홍수시 저수지 운영을 위해서는 확보된 홍수조절용량을 토대로 각종 수문모형의 불확실성과 기술적인 한계, 제약조건 등을 고려한 양적인 홍수조절 방안이 마련되어야 한다. '저수지 홍수변환법'은 이러한 양적인 홍수조절 방안중의 하나로 무피해방류량 이상의 홍수유입량에 대해 댐의 안전을 고려하여 적절한 방류량을 결정하는 일련의 절차이다. 본 연구에서는 기 발표된 '저수지 홍수변환법'에 대한 보충설명과 함께 전반적인 홍수시 저수지 운영방안을 논의하였다.

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홍수기중 가변제한수위에 의한 저수지 운영 (Reservoir Operation by Variable Restricted Water Level during Flood Period)

  • 심명필;권오익;이환기
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.217-228
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    • 1995
  • 홍수기중 최적의 저수지운영을 위해 서로 상반되는 이수와 치수를 조화시키기 위한 전반적이고 체계적인 운영방안을 제안하였다. 본 연구는 비홍수기의 용수수요 보장을 고려히 홍수기중 저수지의 제한수위를 결정하기 위한 것이다. 단기간별요 가변제한수위(VRWL)와 최소 확보저수위 (MRWL)를 적용하여 저수용량의 재할당으로 최적 운영방안이 유도되었다. 또한 갈수빈도해석에 따른 저수지운영분석으로 비홍수기의 용수공급을 위해 확보되어야 할 홍수기말 저수지의 수위조건에 관하여 대청과 충주 다목적댐을 대상으로 적용하고 그 결과를 분석하였다.

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구조적 홍수방어 대안의 정책성 평가 방법 개발 (Development of a Policy Assessment Mothed for Structural Flood Defensive Alternatives)

  • 변성호;이정호;안재현;김태웅
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.703-706
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    • 2008
  • 현재 유역종합치수계획의 구조적 홍수방어시설의 평가는 다차원홍수피해액 산정방법에 의해 수행되어지고 있으며, 건설교통부(2004)에서 제시한 경제성 분석과 안전 위험성, 지속 가능성을 고려하여 계층화분석(AHP)기법을 통하여 최적대안이 선정되고 있다. 그 결과 홍수방어시설의 정책성 분석의 결여로 인해 사회적 문제, 민원발생, 정부기관간의 마찰 등 많은 문제가 발생하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이같은 문제를 해결하기 위해 유역종합 치수계획을 위한 계층화분석(AHP)기법의 정책성 평가의 계층구조를 재구성하고, 구조적 홍수방어시설의 최적대안 선정을 위해 정책적 세부 평가항목별 가중치를 설정하여 계층화분석(AHP)기법에 적용할 수 있는 정책적 평가기법을 개발하였다. 정책적 평가기법을 개발하기 위해서 치수사업의 정책성 평가 항목과 가중치 설정에 대해 전문가 설문조사를 실시하였다. 설문조사 결과와 한국개발연구원에서 제시한 국가 공공사업의 예비타당성 조사를 위한 가중치를 비교 분석하였다. 치수경제성에 높은 가중치를 부여하였던 과거와 달리 설문조사 결과는 치수경제성이 중요하지만 정책성 분석 역시 중요하다는 인식의 변화와 기본 평가항목을 추가하여 정책성 분석의 세부 평가항목의 다양성이 필요하다고 나타났다.

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경부운하의 노선분석과 건설기술 (The Analysis of Routes and Construction Technologies in the Korean Grand Waterway)

  • 정동석
    • 기술사
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2008
  • In this paper is described "the water resources policy, a new paradigm of water resources control. the characteristic of rainfall in Korea and the compatibility of a new water routes opening in natural river". Also the construction of the Korean grand waterway in the view of disaster prevention, flood control, irrigation and environment-friendly transportation is needed eventually. And I detail a routes of Korean grand waterway, using of a flood gate, supply of irrigation water. cruse duration, activating under developed region and economic efficiency.

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HEC-HMS와 HEC-RAS모형의 연계에 의한 댐 유역의 홍수영향 분석 (Flood Effects Analysis of Reservoir Basin through the Linkage of HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS Models)

  • 이원희;김선주;김필식
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2004
  • For the effective operation of irrigation reservoirs, a general and systematic policy is suggested to make balance of the conflicting purposes between water conservation and flood control. In this study, the flood effective analysis system was developed through the integration of long-term water budget analysis model, GIS-based HEC-HMS model and HEC-RAS model. The system structure consists of long-term water budget model using modified TANK theory, flood runoff and flood effects analysis model using HEC-GeoHMS, HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS models. The flood effects analysis system simulated the flood runoff from the upstream, downstream flood and long-term runoff of the watershed using the observed data collected from 1998 to 2002 of Seongju dam. The simulated results were reasonably good compared with the observed data. The optimal management method of the reservoir during the whole season is suggested in this study, and the flood analysis system can be a useful tool to evaluate a reservoir operation quantitatively for the mitigation of flood damages of reservoir basin.

강우의 개념적 시간분포와 설계홍수량 산정에 관한 연구 (The Estimations of A Conceptual Time Distribution of Rainfall and Design Flood)

  • 이병운;장대원;김형수;서병하
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.937-942
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    • 2005
  • It is necessary to estimate the runoff hydrograph and peak flood discharge using law of probability for synthetic flood control policy and design of hydraulic structures. Rainfall analysis is needed in the process of peak flood discharge estimation and the time distribution of a design rainfall is a very important process in the analysis. In this study, we estimate design flood for a small urban basin and a rural basin of medium scale which have different travel times. The Huff method is widely used in Korea for the time distribution of design rainfall to estimate design flood. So, we use Huff method and a conceptual method which is suggested in this study for the comparative purpose. The 100-year frequency rainfall is used to estimate design flood for each basin and the design flood is compared with the existing design flood. As the result, the design flood is overestimated $14.6m^3/sec$ by Huff method and is underestimated $70.9m^3/sec$ by a conceptual method for the rural basin. For the small urban basin, the design flood is excessively overestimated $294.65m^3/sec$ by Huff method and is overestimated $173m^3/sec$ by a conceptual method. The reason of excessive overestimation by Huff method in the small urban basin is that the increased rate of rainfall intensity according to the decrease of duration is large and the duration exceeds the time of concentration when the increased rainfall intensity is concentrated in a quartile. Therefore, we suggested a conceptual method for the time distribution of design rainfall by considering the rainless period and duration. Especially, the conceptual method might be useful for the small urban basin with short concentration time which the design flood is overestimated by Huff method.

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복합 모델링 기법을 이용한 홍수시 저수지 최적 운영 (사례 연구 : 충주 다목적 저수지) (Optimal Reservour Operation for Flood Control Using a Hybrid Approach (Case Study: Chungju Multipurpose Reservoir in Korea))

  • 이한구;이상호
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.727-739
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    • 1998
  • 일반적으로 저수지 최적운영의 목적은 한정된 수자원을 여러 목적으로 최적 분배하여 얻는 이익의 최대화와, 홍수 발생으로 인한 과잉 수량을 안전하게 배제시킴으로써 홍수 취약지역의 피해를 최소화시키는 것으로 구분할 수 있다. 저수지 운영에 대한 연구사를 고찰해 볼 때, 지난 수십 년간 첫 번째 영역에 연구가 집중되었음을 알 수 있다. 본 연구의 목적은, 충주 저수지의 홍수조절을 위한 저수지 최적운영의 방법론 개발에 중점을 두고, 하류 홍수피해 최소화와 댐 안전도 및 상류 홍수피해 최소화의 상충되는 목적들이 타협되는 최적 운영정책 수립을 위한 최적화 모형의 개발에 있다. 본 목적 달성을 위해 (1)HYMOS를 이용한 수문자료 검증, (2)강우-유출 호명과 SOBEK 1차원 부정류 홍수추적 모형의 간접결합을 통한 하류 홍수피해 평가 모형의 구성, (3)인공신경망 기법을 이용한 하유 홍수피해 평가 모형의 복제, (4)저수지 최적화모형 개발의 순차적 절차로 연구가 수행되었다.

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