• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault tree analysis

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The comparative risk assessment of LNG tank designs using FTA (고장수목분석법을 이용한 액화천연가스 저장탱크 형식별 위험성 비교 평가)

  • Lee, Seung Rim;Kim, Han Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.48-54
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    • 2012
  • Building above-ground membrane LNG storage tanks have been recently actively reviewed because they have advantages in ease of large capacity, environmental friendliness, and low possibility of gas leakage of the inner tank (slow increase of leakage speed). In this paper, the safety of membrane LNG storage tanks was ensured through comparative risk assessment of full-containment LNG storage tanks and membrane LNG storage tanks by using Fault Tree Analysis (FTA). Risk assessment results showed that both types of tanks have very similar level of risk except for the membrane storage tanks without additional safety equipments (early model).

Risk Management of Launch Vehicle Propulsion System (우주 발사체 추진기관의 위험 관리)

  • Cho, Sang-Yeon;Shin, Myung-Ho;Ko, Jung-Hwan;Oh, Seung-Hyub;Park, Jeong-Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 2007
  • Korea Aerospce Research Institute(KARI) has been developing the first civilian rocket, Korea space launch vehicle (KSLV-I), which can put the small size satellite into designated orbit. Developing launch vehicles contains a lot of uncertainty due to large scale, complexity, and technical difficulty. The uncertainty may become risk in the areas of business and technology which causes schedule delay, cost increase, and design changes of subsystems and components. This study describes the technical risk identification methods using FTA and procedures of planning and implementation of risk assessment and reduction of launch vehicle propulsion system.

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Study on the Transport Reliability Concerning Risks Scenarios (위험사건(Risk)발생 시나리오를 고려한 운송 신뢰성 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Ji;Ganbat, Enkhtsetseg;Kim, Hwan-seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.256-257
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    • 2015
  • The trend of globalization and the development of the communication-Information technology not only complexified the supply chain, but also, led to the needs of the high quality of logistics service for customers. I t defines risks that can occur in truck transport under unexpected situation with Fault Tree Analysis(FTA) and calculates failure rate concerning relationship between each risks. Based on the 4 kinds of middle failure events that defined in FTA, Reliability function which is regarded about risks sequentiality and time flow is resulted in. I t is meaningful that it calculates reliability of logistics and transportation system with engineering methodology.

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Improvement Strategy of System Unavailability by Review of Logical Structure and Reliability Importance of Reliability Block Diagram (RED) and Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) (RBD와 FTA의 논리구조와 신뢰성 중요도의 고찰에 의한 시스템 비시간가동률 개선방안)

  • Choi, Sung-Woon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2011
  • The research proposes seven elimination rules of redundant gates and blocks in Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Reliability Block Diagram (RBD). The computational complexity of cut sets and path sets is NP-hard. In order to reduce the complexity of Minimal Cut Set (MCS) and Minimal Path Set (MPS), the paper classifies generation algorithms. Moreover, the study develops six implementation steps which reflect structural importance (SI) and reliability importance (RI) from Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM) that a priority of using the functional logic among components is to reduce (improve) the system unavailability (or availability). The proposed steps include efficient generation of state structure function by Rare Event Enumeration (REA). Effective use of importance measures, such as SI and ill measures, is presented based on the number and the size of MCS and MPS which is generated from the reference[5] of this paper. In addition, numerical examples are presented for practitioners to obtain the comprehensive understanding of six steps that is proposed in this research.

Estimation of Accident Probability for Dynamic Risk Assessment (동적 위험 분석을 위한 사고확률 추정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Byeong-Cheol Park;Chae-Og Lim;In-Hyuk Nam;Sung-Chul Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.2_2
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Recently, various dynamic risk analysis methods have been suggested for estimating the risk index by predicting the possibility of accidents and damage. It is necessary to maintain and support the safety system for responding to accidents by continuously updating the probability of accidents and the results of accidents, which are quantitative standards of ship risk. In this study, when a LNG leakage that may occur in the LN G Fuel Gas Supply System (FGSS) room during LN G bunkering operation, a reliability physical model was prepared by the change in monitoring data as physical parameters to estimate the accident probability. The scenario in which LNG leakage occur were configured with FT (Fault Tree), and the coefficient of the covariate model and Weibull distribution was estimated based on the monitoring data. The possibility of an LNG leakage, which is the top event of FT, was confirmed by changes in time and monitoring data. A method for estimating the LNG leakage based on the reliability physical analysis is proposed, which supports fast decision-making by identifying the potential LNG leakage at the accident.

A Study on Design and Reliability Assessment for Embedded Hot-Standby Sparing FT System Using Self-Checking Logic (자기검사회로를 이용한 대기이중계구조 결함허용제어기의 설계 및 신뢰도평가에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Ho;Lee, Kang-Mi;Kim, Young-Kyu;Shin, Duc-Ko
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.6 s.37
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    • pp.725-731
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    • 2006
  • Hot Standby sparing system detecting faults by using software, and being tolerant any faults by using Hardware Redundancy is difficult to perform quantitative reliability prediction and to detect real time faults. Therefore, this paper designs Hot Standby sparing system using hardware basis self checking logic in order to overcome this problem. It also performs failure mode analysis of Hot Standby sparing system with designed self checking logic by using FMEA (Failure Mode Effect Analysis), and identifies reliability assessment of the controller designed by quantifying the numbers of failure development by using FTA (Fault Tree Analysis)

A Study on Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessment of Railway Signal System Using FTA/ETA Method (FTA/ETA 기법을 이용한 철도신호시스템의 위험 분석 및 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 백영구;박영수;이재훈;이기서
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.473-480
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, it was proposed that hazard analysis and risk assessment about railway signal systems using FTA(Fault Tree Analysis) and ETA(Event Tree Analysis) one of the reliability analysis methods executed and output value based on the hazard baseline of CENELEC and EC 61508 producted, and also the SIL(Safety Integrity Level)/THR(Tolerable Hazard Rate) about the system set. On the basis of this principle, more systematic standardizations are required to operate railway system and in the future, we hope that safety and reliability of signal equipment will be better improved.

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Typical Pseudo-accident Scenarios in the Petrochemical Process (석유화학 공정의 가상사고 시나리오 유형분석)

  • 윤동현;강미진;이영순;김창은
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents a set of typical pseudo-accident scenarios related to major equipments in petrochemical plants, which would be useful for performing such quantitative risk analysis techniques as fault tree analysis, event tree analysis, etc. These typical scenarios address what the main hazard of each equipment might be and how the accident might develop from an "initiating event". The proposed set of accident scenarios consists of total thirteen (13) scenarios specific for five (5) major equipments like reactor, distillation column, etc., and has been determined and screened out of one hundred and twenty-five (125) potential accident scenarios that were generated by performing semi-quantitative risk analysis practically for twenty-five (25) petrochemical processes, considering advices from the operation experts. It is assumed that with simple consideration or incorporation of plant-specific conditions only, the proposed accident scenarios could be easily reorganized or adapted for the relevant process with less time and labor by the safety engineers concerned in the petrochemical industries.ndustries.

An Improved Method of FTA and Associated Risk Analysis Reflecting Automotive Functional Safety Standard (자동차 기능안전 표준을 반영하는 개선된 FTA 및 위험원 분석 기법)

  • Jung, Ho-Jeon;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.9
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2017
  • Ensuring the safety of automobiles and trains during system operation is regarded as indispensable due to the progress in unmanned operation. The automotive functional safety standard, ISO 26262, has been proposed to ensure the safe design of vehicles. This standard describes in detail the required risk analysis and evaluation procedure and safety measures, while appropriately reflecting the system design information. Therefore, much research has been done on the risk analysis procedure, wherein the design information is mostly extracted from physical components of similar systems already in operation, the information traced back to obtain constituent functions, and then methods of identifying risk sources are studied. This method allows the sources of risk to be identified quickly and easily, however if the design requirements are changed or systems are newly developed, others may be introduced which are not accounted for, thereby yielding mismatched design information. To resolve this problem, we propose a top-down analysis in order to utilize the system design information appropriately. Specifically, a conceptual system is designed to obtain the functions, which are then analyzed. Then, a function-based fault tree analysis is conducted, followed by a risk source analysis. In this paper, a case study of automotive safety is presented, revealing that the proposed method can analyze the risk sources with reduced possibility of omission by systematically reflecting the system design information.

Feasibility Study on the Risk Quantification Methodology of Railway Level Crossings (철도건널목 위험도 정량평가 방법론 적용성 연구)

  • Kang, Hyun-Gook;Kim, Man-Cheol;Park, Joo-Nam;Wang, Jong-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.605-613
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    • 2007
  • In order to overcome the difficulties of quantitative risk analysis such as complexity of model, we propose a systematic methodology for risk quantification of railway system which consists of 6 steps: The identification of risk factors, the determination of major scenarios for each risk factor by using event tree, the development of supplementary fault trees for evaluating branch probabilities, the evaluation of event probabilities, the quantification of risk, and the analysis in consideration of accident situation. In this study, in order to address the feasibility of the propose methodology, this framework is applied to the prototype risk model of nation-wide railway level crossings. And the quantification result based on the data of 2005 in Korea will also be presented.

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