• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault tree analysis

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Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Construction Projects (건설공사의 확률적 위험도분석평가)

  • 조효남;임종권;김광섭
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.24-31
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    • 1997
  • Recently, in Korea, demand for establishment of systematic risk assessment techniques for construction projects has increased, especially after the large construction failures occurred during construction such as New Haengju Bridge construction projects, subway construction projects, gas explosion accidents etc. Most of existing risk analysis modeling techniques such as Event Tree Analysis and Fault Tree Analysis may not be available for realistic risk assessment of construction projects because it is very complex and difficult to estimate occurrence frequency and failure probability precisely due to a lack of data related to the various risks inherent in construction projects like natural disasters, financial and economic risks, political risks, environmental risks as well as design and construction-related risks. Therefor the main objective of this paper is to suggest systematic probabilistic risk assessment model and demonstrate an approach for probabilistic risk assessment using advanced Event Tree Analysis introducing Fuzzy set theory concepts. It may be stated that the Fuzzy Event Tree AnaIysis may be very usefu1 for the systematic and rational risk assessment for real constructions problems because the approach is able to effectively deal with all the related construction risks in terms of the linguistic variables that incorporate systematically expert's experiences and subjective judgement.

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Reliability Expression for Complex System

  • Seong Cheol Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we present a algebraic technique for computing system reliability for complex system. The method was originally developed as an aid to fault tree analysis but it applies to general problems of reliability assessment. A success expression which directly gives the reliability expression is formed and simplified by the procedure. Several algorithms and examples are illustrated.

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Reliability Analysis of LNG FPSO Liquefaction Cycle in DEVS Environment (DEVS 환경에서 LNG FPSO 액화 공정의 신뢰도 해석)

  • Ha, Sol;Ku, Namkug;Roh, Myung-Il
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.138-147
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    • 2013
  • The liquefaction process system is regarded as primary among all topside systems in LNG FPSO. This liquefaction process system is composed of many types of equipment. LNG equipment on offshore plants has quite different demands on the equipment compared to traditional onshore LNG plants, so the reliability analysis of this process system needs to be performed. This study investigates how DEVS formalism for discrete event simulation can be used to reliability analysis of the liquefaction cycle for LNG FPSO. The reliability analysis method based on DEVS formalism could be better model for reflecting the system configuration than the conventional reliability analysis methods, such as fault tree analysis and event tree analysis.

A Study of Life about Naturally Aged Nitrocellulose by Storage (자연 노화된 니트로셀룰로오스의 수명에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dong-seong;Jin, Hong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.595-601
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    • 2020
  • During the safety inspection of nitrocellulose-made explosive containers stored for more than 10 years, cracks were found in the containers. Therefore, a failure cause analysis test was performed. First, the cause of failure through the failure tree analysis was conducted to select the factors that influenced failure. The changes in the properties of the container caused by the acceleration of the reaction were found to be the cause of the failure by confirming the influence on the environment and internal/external factors that may occur during storage. To confirm this, environmental tests, such as thermal shock test and vacuum thermal stability test, were performed using a naturally aged container to analyze the cause of failure, and an accelerated aging test was performed to reproduce the failure. Through this, the chemical reaction was accelerated by heat and charge, as in the result of the fault tree analysis, and it was confirmed that the physical properties of the container were changed. In addition, the service life of the container was estimated using the Arrhenius model for the storage life due to thermal aging.

Cost-Benefit Analysis for Safety Management Cost using Quantitative Risk Analysis (정량적 위험성 평가에 의한 안전관리 투자의 비용-편익분석)

  • 장서일;조지훈;김태옥
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2002
  • The quantitative evaluation method of the safety management cost was suggested to prevent a gas accident as a major industrial accident. In a gas governor station, process risk assessments such as the fault tree analysis(FTA) and the consequence analysis were performed. Based on process risk assessments, potential accident costs were estimated and the cost-benefit analysis(CBA) was performed. From the cost-benefit analysis for five classification items of safety management cost, the order of the cost/benefit ratio was estimated.

A Case Study for Safety Analysis (안전성 분석에 대한 사례 연구)

  • Chang, Kwang-Chi;Lee, Key-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.251-258
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    • 2004
  • A systematic methodology to determine safety requirements for railway signalling system and safety requirement allocation into system are presented. THR concept is used for as an interface between Risk Analysis to be performed by railway operator and System Design Analysis by the supplier. This approach is based on Signalling Safety Standard EN50129 by CENELEC.

A Study on the Safety Plan for a Train Control System (열차제어시스템의 안전계획 수립에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Jong-Ki;Shin Duc-Ko;Lee Key-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.9 no.3 s.34
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    • pp.264-270
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    • 2006
  • In this paper we present a safety plan to be applied to the development of the TCS(Train Control System). The safety plan that can be applied to the life cycle of a system, from the conceptual design to the dismantlement, shows the whole process of the paper work in detail through the establishment of a goal, analysis and assessment, the verification. In this paper we study about the making a plan, the preliminary hazard analysis, the hazard identification and analysis to guarantee the safety of the TCS. The process far the verification of the system safety is divided into several steps based on the target system and the approaching method. The guarantee of the system safety and the improvement of the system reliability is fellowed by the recommendation of the international standards.