• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault tree analysis

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Reliability Analysis of Catenary of Electric Railway by using FTA (FTA를 이용한 전기철도 전차선의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Ku, Bon-Hui;Cha, Jun-Min;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.11
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    • pp.1905-1909
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    • 2008
  • As catenary supply electric power directly to the railway system, it is very important to prevent an accident of a catenary for appropriate train operations. This paper analyzed the outage data for British catenary safety analysis report and Korean data to compare the reliability of the railway systems. The analyzed data were applied to Fault Tree Analysis(FTA) algorithm to calculate the reliability indices of a railway system. Failure rate of an electric railway system through FTA were calculated for each element and the entire railway system. The reliability indices can be used to determine the eqipment to be replaced for the entire system reliability improvement.

Failure analysis of capacitor for sub-module in HVDC (HVDC 서브모듈용 커패시터의 고장 분석)

  • Kang, Feel-soon;Song, Sung-Geun
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.941-947
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    • 2018
  • In general, capacitors have a large influence on the life of the system due to frequent charging and discharging. In this paper, we analyze the cause of the core failure of high voltage, high current HVDC sub-module film capacitor and analyze the precautions of the capacitor design and manufacturing process. First, the cause of the fault, the failure mode, and the effect are analyzed through the FMEA of the capacitor. To quantitatively evaluate the causes and effects of faults that have the greatest effect on the failure of a capacitor, a fault tree for the capacitor is presented and the failure rate is analyzed according to the design parameters and the driving conditions. It is verified that the main cause of capacitor failure is the capacitance change, and it is necessary to minimize the temperature rise, corona occurrence, electrode expansion, and insulation distance decrease during capacitor design and manufacturing process in order to reduce the failure rate of the capacitor.

Evaluation of Uncertainty Importance Measure by Experimental Method in Fault Tree Analysis (결점나무 분석에서 실험적 방법을 이용한 불확실성 중요도 측도의 평가)

  • Cho, Jae-Gyeun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.187-195
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    • 2009
  • In a fault tree analysis, an uncertainty importance measure is often used to assess how much uncertainty of the top event probability (Q) is attributable to the uncertainty of a basic event probability ($q_i$), and thus, to identify those basic events whose uncertainties need to be reduced to effectively reduce the uncertainty of Q. For evaluating the measures suggested by many authors which assess a percentage change in the variance V of Q with respect to unit percentage change in the variance $\upsilon_i$ of $q_i$, V and ${\partial}V/{\partial}{\upsilon}_i$ need to be estimated analytically or by Monte Carlo simulation. However, it is very complicated to analytically compute V and ${\partial}V/{\partial}{\upsilon}_i$ for large-sized fault trees, and difficult to estimate them in a robust manner by Monte Carlo simulation. In this paper, we propose a method for experimentally evaluating the measure using a Taguchi orthogonal array. The proposed method is very computationally efficient compared to the method based on Monte Carlo simulation, and provides a stable uncertainty importance of each basic event.

Reliability Analysis of Slab Transfer Equipment in Hot Rolling Furnace (열간압연 가열로 슬라브 이송장치 신뢰도 해석)

  • Bae, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.1 s.73
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    • pp.6-14
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    • 2006
  • The development of automatic production systems have required intelligent diagnostic and monitoring functions to overcome system failure and reduce production loss by the failure. In order to perform accurate operations of the intelligent system, implication about total system failure and fault analysis due to each mechanical component failures are required. Also solutions for repair and maintenance can be suggested from these analysis results. As an essential component of a mechanical system, a bearing system is investigated to define the failure behavior. The bearing failure is caused by lubricant system failure, metallurgical deficiency, mechanical condition(vibration, overloading, misalignment) and environmental effects. This study described slab transfer equipment fault train due to stress variation and metallurgical deficiency from lubricant failure by using FTA.

RELTSYS: A computer program for life prediction of deteriorating systems

  • Enright, Michael P.;Frangopol, Dan M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.557-568
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    • 2000
  • As time-variant reliability approaches become increasingly used for service life prediction of the aging infrastructure, the demand for computer solution methods continues to increase. Effcient computer techniques have become well established for the reliability analysis of structural systems. Thus far, however, this is largely limited to time-invariant reliability problems. Therefore, the requirements for time-variant reliability prediction of deteriorating structural systems under time-variant loads have remained incomplete. This study presents a computer program for $\underline{REL}$iability of $\underline{T}$ime-Variant $\underline{SYS}$tems, RELTSYS. This program uses a combined technique of adaptive importance sampling, numerical integration, and fault tree analysis to compute time-variant reliabilities of individual components and systems. Time-invariant quantities are generated using Monte Carlo simulation, whereas time-variant quantities are evaluated using numerical integration. Load distribution and post-failure redistribution are considered using fault tree analysis. The strengths and limitations of RELTSYS are presented via a numerical example.

A fuzzy reasonal analysis of human reliability represented as fault tree structure

  • 김정만;이상도;이동춘
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 1997
  • In conventional probability-based human reliability analysis, the basic human error rates are modified by experts to consider the influences of many factors that affect human reliability. However, these influences are not easily represented quantitatively, because the relation between human reliability and each of these factors in not clear. In this paper, the relation is expressed quantitatively. Furthermore, human reliability is represented by error possibilities proposed by Onisawa, which is a fuzzy set on the interval [0,1]. Fuzzy reasoning is used in this method in order to obtain error possibilities. And, it is supposed that many basic events affected by the above factors are connected to the top event through Fault Tree structure, and an estimate of the top event expressed by a member- ship function is obtained by using the fuzzy measure and fuzzy integral. Finally, a numerical example of human reliability analysis obtained by this method is given.

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An Effective Method for Approximate Fault-Tree Analysis (고장목을 근사적으로 해석하는 효율적인 방법)

  • 서희종
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.5 no.7
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    • pp.1245-1249
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    • 2001
  • In this paper I describe an Effective method by which analyzes the Fault-Tree, with Shannon decomposition. The advantage of this method are: 1) All the minimal outsets can not be preprocessed. 2) The maximum error can be prespecified. 3) s-dependent system also can be analyzed. But disadvantage is that certain subtrees of the decomposition tree can not be determined easily.

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A Case Study on Configuration Change for Preventing Propulsion Wire Fracture and Structural Deformation of Launch System of UAV (무인기용 발사장비의 추진와이어 파단 및 구조변형 방지를 위한 형상변경 사례)

  • Lim, Dahoon;Park, Gyeong Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.533-543
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify and resolve the causes of defects in the unmanned aerial vehicle launch system(propulsion wire fracture, rear rail deformation) and to prevent recurrence. Methods: The causes of the two defects were derived through fault tree analysis for each of the two defects and fault reproduction tests. In the case of propulsion wire, the installation of a high speed camera to check the behavior of wire was the driving force behind the defect resolution. Results: The results of this study are as follows; It was determined that the thickness of the washer was less than the maximum tolerance of the pulley was the cause of the propulsion wire fracture defect. Failure to comply with the launch procedure and insufficient safety margin were judged as the cause of the rear rail deformation defect. Accordingly, the configuration was changed to remove each defect. Conclusion: The case of this study was conducted to eliminate defects in the launch system for UAV. The causes of defects were estimated through fault tree analysis. After the configuration change, Structural analysis and launch tests were performed to demonstrate the safety and effectiveness of the modified configuration. As a result, the effect of the modified configuration was verified.

Study on a Quantitative Risk Assessment of a Large-scale Hydrogen Liquefaction Plant (대형 수소 액화 플랜트의 정량적 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Do, Kyu Hyung;Han, Yong-Shik;Kim, Myung-Bae;Kim, Taehoon;Choi, Byung-Il
    • Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.609-619
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    • 2014
  • In the present study, the frequency of the undesired accident was estimated for a quantitative risk assessment of a large-scale hydrogen liquefaction plant. As a representative example, the hydrogen liquefaction plant located in Ingolstadt, Germany was chosen. From the analysis of the liquefaction process and operating conditions, it was found that a $LH_2$ storage tank was one of the most dangerous facilities. Based on the accident scenarios, frequencies of possible accidents were quantitatively evaluated by using both fault tree analysis and event tree analysis. The overall expected frequency of the loss containment of hydrogen from the $LH_2$ storage tank was $6.83{\times}10^{-1}$times/yr (once per 1.5 years). It showed that only 0.1% of the hydrogen release from the $LH_2$ storage tank occurred instantaneously. Also, the incident outcome frequencies were calculated by multiplying the expected frequencies with the conditional probabilities resulting from the event tree diagram for hydrogen release. The results showed that most of the incident outcomes were dominated by fire, which was 71.8% of the entire accident outcome. The rest of the accident (about 27.7%) might have no effect to the population.