• 제목/요약/키워드: Failure risk factor

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코로나19 발생의 지역사회 위험요인 분석 (Exploration of Community Risk Factors for COVID-19 Incidence in Korea)

  • 심보람;박명배
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2022
  • Background: There are regional variations in the incidence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), which means that some regions are more exposed to the risk of COVID-19 than others. Therefore, this study aims to investigate regional variations in the incidence of COVID-19 in Korea and identify risk factors associated with the incidence of COVID-19 using community-level data. Methods: This study was conducted at the districts (si·gun·gu) level in Korea. Data of COVID-19 incidence by districts were collected from the official website of each province. Data was also obtained from the Korean Statistical Information Service and the Community Health Survey; socio-demographic factor, transmission pathway, healthcare resource, and factor in response to COVID-19. Community risk factors that drive the incidence of COVID-19 were selected using a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. Results: As of June 2021, the incidence of COVID-19 differed by more than 80 times between districts. Among the candidate factors, sex ratio, population aged 20-29, local financial independence, population density, diabetes prevalence, and failure to comply with the quarantine rules were significantly associated with COVID-19 incidence. Conclusion: This study suggests setting COVID-19 quarantine policy and allocating resources, considering the community risk factors. Protecting vulnerable groups should be a high priority for these policies.

화학공정산업의 인적오류 제어 방법 (A method of human error management in chemical process industries)

  • 조영도;박교식;박희준
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.42-47
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    • 2003
  • 화학공정산업에서 화재, 폭발, 독성물질 누출의 대형사고로 인한 막대한 인적 물적 손실을 효과적으로 방지하기 위하여 기계적 오류와 연계하여 사람의 행동을 동적으로 제어하는 것이 필요하다. 석유화학공단을 비롯한 에너지산업시설에서의 대형사고는 기계적인 결함과 더불어 사람의 행동과 관련되어 있음에도 불구하고, 대부분의 연구는 시스템의 위험을 감소시키기 위하여 안전장치의 결함과 인간의 행동에 대하여 서로 연계를 지우지 않고 독립적으로 연구를 수행하여 왔다 본 연구에서는 화학공정산업의 안전을 향상시키기 위한 방법을 제시하기 위하여 기계적 고장과 인적오류를 동시에 고려하여 인적오류를 제어하고, 중요한 수행영향인자에 대하여 고찰하였다.

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수치지형모델을 이용한 강우시 사면 붕괴 위험도 평가에 관한 제안 (A Risk Evaluation Method of Slope Failure Due to Rainfall using a Digital Terrain Model)

  • 채종길;정민수;토리이 노부유키;오키무라 타카시
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제30권6C호
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    • pp.219-229
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    • 2010
  • 우리 나라는 산지가 국토 면적의 약 70%를 차지하고 있기 때문에 장마나 태풍 시 집중 강우에 의하여 다수의 사면 붕괴가 발생하고 있으며, 이러한 사면 붕괴로 인해 많은 인명과 재산피해가 발생되고 있다. 이러한 상황하에서 사면 붕괴로 인한 피해를 경감시키기 위해서는 광범위한 지역에 걸쳐 분포되어 있는 사면을 대상으로 붕괴가 예상되는 위험한 사면부를 추출하여 방재 대책을 강구할 필요성이 있으며, 이를 위해서는 사면의 안정성 또는 위험도의 정량적 평가가 선행되어야 한다. 그러나 국내에는 아직까지 광역의 수많은 사면을 대상으로 강우와 지형적 요인 및 토질공학적 요인을 고려한 위험도 예측모델이 구축되어 있지 않은 실정이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 유역 내 지하수위의 시간 변화를 구하는 집수모델과 무한사면의 안정해석모델을 조합한 해석기법을 제안하고, 이를 이용한 해석 사례를 소개하고자 한다.

SIL 인증을 위한 FMEDA 프로세스 연구 : 화염검출기 사례를 중심으로 (A Study on FMEDA Process for SIL Certification : A Case Study of a Flame Scanner)

  • 김성규;김용수
    • 산업공학
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.422-430
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    • 2012
  • In this article, we introduced the estimation method by 'Safety Integrity Level'(SIL) for the criterion of safety assurance and performed a case study on a flame scanner. SIL requires probabilistic evaluation of each set of equipment used to reduce risk in a safety related system. FMEDA(Failure Modes, Effects and Diagnostic Analysis) method is widely used to evaluate the safety levels and provides information on the failure rates and failure mode distributions necessary to calculate a diagnostic coverage factor for a part or a component. Basically, two parameters resulting from FMEDA are used for SIL classification of the device : SFF(Safe Failure Fraction) and PFD(Probability of Failure on Demand). In this case study, it is concluded that the flame scanner is designed to fulfill the condition of SIL 3 in the aspect of SFF and PFD.

식중독 발생의 사례 통해 본 집단급식의 문제접 분석 (Analysis of Problems of Food Service Establishments Contributing to Food Poisoning Outbreaks Discovered through the Epidemiological Studies of Some Outbreaks)

  • 김종규
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.240-253
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    • 1997
  • The main problems contributing to food poisoning outbreaks in institutional settings and a home were reviewed and analyzed through the epidemiological investigations of food poisoning. The major documented factors included improper holding temperatures, inadequate cooking, poor personal hygiene, cross-contamination and contaminated equipment, food from unsafe sources, failure to follow food hygiene policies, and lack of education, training, monitoring and superivision. Usually more than one factor contributed to the development of an outbreak. (1) Use of improper holding temperatures was the single most important factor contributing to food poisoning. They included improper cooling, allowing a laps of time (12 hours or more) between preparing food and eating it, improper hot holding, and inadequate or improper thawing. Food thermometers were not used in most of the instances. (2) In inadequate cooking, the core temperature of food during and after cooking had not been measured, and routine monitoring was limited to recording the temperature of plated meals. Compared with conventional methods of cooking, microwave ovens did not protect against food poisoning as effectively. Centralized food preparation potentially increased the risk of food poisoning outbreaks. (3) Poor personal hygiene both at the individual level (improper handwashing and lack of proper hygienic practices) and at the institutional level (poor general sanitization) increased the risk of transmission. Person to person transmission of enteric pathogens through direct contact and via fomites has been noted in several instances. (4) Obtaining food from unsafe sources was a risk factor in outbreaks of food poisoning. Food risks were high when food was grown or harvested from contaminated areas. Possibilities included contamination in the field, in transport, at the retail site, or at the time it was prepared for serving. (5) Cross-contamination and inadequate cleaning/handling of equipment became potential vehicles of food poisoning. Failure to separate cooked food from raw food was also a risk factor. (6) Failure to follow food hygiene policies also provided opportunities for outbreaks of food poisoning. It included improper hygienic practices during food preparation, neglect of personnel policies (involvement of symptomatic workers in food preparation), poor results on routine inspections, and disregarding the results and recommendations of an inspection. (7) Lack of formal and in-service education, training, monitoring, and supervision of food handlers or supervisors were critical and perhaps neglected elements in occurrences of food poisoning.

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평가용 스펙트럼이 구조물의 지진리스크에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Evaluation Response Spectrum on the Seismic Risk of Structure)

  • 김민규;최인길
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2009
  • 구조물의 지진취약도 분석을 위해서는 평가용 지반응답스펙트럼의 선택이 중요한 영향을 미친다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 설계응답스펙트럼을 이용하여 평가된 전력설비에 대하여 등재해도 스펙트럼을 이용하여 취약도 변수를 치환하는 방법을 제시하였다. 제시된 방법을 이용하여 기존의 전력설비를 대상으로 도출된 고신뢰도저파손확률값(HCLPF)을 비교하였으며, 최종적으로 지진재해도 곡선을 이용하여 전력설비에 대한 정량적 지진위험도를 도출하였다. 결과적으로 설계응답스펙트럼을 이용한 지진위험도 평가는 전력설비의 지진위험도를 보수적으로 판단할 수 있는 것으로 평가되었다.

성문하 협착 소아 환자에 대한 내시경적 기도 확장 시술 후 치료 실패 위험 요인 분석 (Risk Factor Analysis of Endoscopic Dilation Procedure for the Management of Subglottic Stenosis in Pediatric Patients)

  • 박민혜;최나연;송복현;정한신;손영익;정만기
    • 대한후두음성언어의학회지
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2020
  • Background and Objective Endoscopic airway dilation is the primary treatment for pediatric subglottic stenosis (SGS) due to its feasibility and non-invasiveness. The aim of this study is to evaluate the risk factors for the failure of endoscopic airway dilation in pediatric patients with SGS. Materials and Methods This study reviewed medical records of 38 pediatric patients had endoscopic dilation from a single and tertiary referral center, retrospectively. The success of the endoscopic dilation procedure was defined as no dyspneic symptom without tracheostomy or laryngotracheal reconstruction. Demographic profiles, underlying disease, and Myer-Cotton SGS severity grade were recorded. Success rates and risk factors for the failure of treatment were analyzed. Results The SGS patients with severity grade I was most common. After mean 1.8 numbers of procedures, there were 23 patients (60.5%) in the success group and 15 patients (39.5%) in the failure group. Age, sex, underlying diseases, and SGS severity grade were not significantly different between two groups. In patients who had multiple endoscopic procedures, the failure group showed SGS deteriorated after procedures in 66.7%, compared to 11.1% of the success group. In multivariable analysis, a long-term intubation (≥1 month) was identified as an independent risk factor for failure of endoscopic dilation procedure. Conclusion Although endoscopic dilation procedure is safe and effective for the management, repetitive endoscopic dilation may not give clinical benefit in patient with long-term intubation. Other airway procedures must be considered in those group of patients.

소규모 저수지 대상 비상대처계획 수립 선정기준 연구 (Study on Selection Criteria of Small-Scales Reservoirs for Emergency Action Plan(EAP) Establishment)

  • 박기찬;최경숙
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권3호
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 2019
  • This study developed selection criteria of small-scales reservoirs, having under $300,000m^3$ storage capacity, for the Emergency Action Plan(EAP) establishment in order to reduce the disaster risks of the reservoir's failures. Those reservoirs are out of ranges of Korean EAP establishment standard, but have potential risk of disasters as they have often failed by the recent extreme rainfall events and earthquakes, causing economical and life losses. The problem of reservoir aging is also one of the reasons of them. In this study, the developed selection criteria of small reservoirs for EAP establishment are storage capacity, embankment height, reservoir age, heavy rain factor and earthquake factor. These criteria were selected based on the review of the existing EAP establishment guidelines, analysis of the past dam failure cases, and the previous related studies. The quantification of these criteria were conducted for the practical applications in the fields, and applied to 67 previous failures in order to investigate the relation of each criteria with these failures. The earthquake factor found to be the highest relations followed by heavy rain factors, combination of earthquake and heavy rain factors, and reservoir age. The classification was made as observation and review groups for EAP establishments based on overlapping numbers of each criteria. This classifications applied to 354 reservoirs designated as having the potential disaster risk by MOIS, and showed 38.4% of observation and 11.9% of review groups. Anticipatory monitoring and regular inspection should be made by professional facility managers for the observation group, and necessity of EAP establishment should be assessed for the review group based on the downstream status and financial budget.

Bilevel-programming based failure-censored ramp-stress ALTSP for the log-logistic distribution with warranty cost

  • Srivastava, P.W.;Sharma, D.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.85-105
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    • 2016
  • In this paper accelerated life testing is incorporated in quality control technique of acceptance sampling plan to induce early failures in high reliability products.Stress under accelerated condition can be applied in constant-stress, step-stress and progressive-stress or combination of such loadings. A ramp-stress results when stress is increased linearly (from zero) with time. In this paper optimum failure-censored ramp-stress accelerated life test sampling plan for log-logistic distribution has been formulated with cost considerations. The log-logistic distribution has been found appropriate for insulating materials. The optimal plans consist in finding optimum sample size, sample proportion allocated to each stress, and stress rate factor such that producer's and consumer's interests are safeguarded. Variance optimality criterion is used when expected cost per lot is not taken into consideration, and bilevel programming approach is used in cost optimization problems. The methods developed have been illustrated using some numerical examples, and sensitivity analyses carried out in the context of ramp-stress ALTSP based on variable SSP for proportion nonconforming.

중대 노심사고시 격납용기 손상유형에 대한 고찰 (Possible Containment Failure Mechanisms in Severe Core Meltdown Accidents)

  • Kang Yul Huh;Jong In Lee;Jin Soo Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.53-67
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    • 1985
  • 중대 노심사고는 아직 Design Basis Accident에 포함되지 않고 있으나, 극히 적은 사고 확률을 가지는 반면 사고 후 영향이 큼으로해서 원자력발전소의 전반적 위험 평가에 중요한 요인중의 하나가 되고 있다. 중대 노심사고시 격납용기 손상에 관련된 물리현상들은 Steam Explosion, Debris Bed Coolability, Hydrogen Burning, Steam Spike와 Core-Concrete Interaction 등이며, 각각의 현상에 대한 좀 더 나은 이해를 위해 현재 이루어지고 있는 연구들에 대한 개략적 설명을 시도 하였다.

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