• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure rate prediction

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Case Study on Reliability Prediction of Barrier Type Pulse Separation Device using Stress-Strength Analysis (부하-강도 분석을 이용한 격막형 펄스분리장치의 내열강도에 대한 신뢰성 예측 사례연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Won;Jeong, Se-Yong;Lee, Bang-Eop;Jung, Gyoo-Dong;Park, Boo-Hee;An, Dong-Geun;Jang, Joong-Soon
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.124-130
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    • 2015
  • A stress-strength analysis is used to assess the reliability of a multi-pulse rocket motor system. Main stress is found to be thermal during explosion and the distribution is obtained by simulation. The strength distribution is derived from the results of actual specimen tests. The failure rate of barrier type pulse separation device is estimated.

Prediction of Spring Rate and Initial Failure Load due to Material Properties of Composite Leaf Spring (복합재 판스프링의 재료특성에 따른 스프링 강성변화와 초기 파단하중 예측)

  • Oh, Sung Ha;Choi, Bok Lok
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.38 no.12
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    • pp.1345-1350
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    • 2014
  • This paper presented analysis methods for adapting E-glass fiber/epoxy composite (GFRP) materials to an automotive leaf spring. It focused on the static behaviors of the leaf spring due to the material composition and its fiber orientation. The material properties of the GFRP composite were directly measured based on the ASTM standard test. A reverse implementation was performed to obtain the complete set of in-situ fiber and matrix properties from the ply test results. Next, the spring rates of the composite leaf spring were examined according to the variation of material parameters such as the fiber angles and resin contents of the composite material. Finally, progressive failure analysis was conducted to identify the initial failure load by means of an elastic stress analysis and specific damage criteria. As a result, it was found that damage first occurred along the edge of the leaf spring owing to the shear stresses.

Reliability Analysis with Space Radiation of Low-Cost COTS Small Satellite (우주방사능 효과를 고려한 저가 COTS 소형위성의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Jeong, Ji-Wan;Jang, Yeong-Geun;Mun, Byeong-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.56-67
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    • 2006
  • The reliability and failure mode effect analysis are effective means to achieve efficient and cost-reduction design for satellite development. The failure rate of COTS (Commercial-Off-The-Shelf) parts required for reliability analysis is not usually provided from the manufacturer. Space environment factors based on empirical data obtained from MIL-HDBK-217F can be applicable to the reliability calculation. As a radiation environment factor, the occurrence rate of SEL (Single Event Latch-up) is additionally incorporated for the failure rate prediction. In this paper, the statistical reliability analysis method for low-cost small satellite using COTS parts is suggested. This statistical reliability analysis was applied to HAUSAT-2 small satellite whose electronic boxes are consisted of many COTS parts to calculate the system reliability at the end of design mission life.

Notched Strength and Fracture Criterion of Glass/Epoxy Plain Woven Composites Containing Circular Holes (원공을 가진 Glass/Epoxy 복합재료의 노치강도 및 파괴조건)

  • 김정규;김도식
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.1285-1293
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    • 1992
  • The fracture behavior of glass/epoxy plain woven composite plates containing circular holes is experimentally investigated to examine the effects of hole size and specimen width on notched tensile strength. It is shown in this paper that the characteristic length according to the point stress criterion depends on the hole size and specimen width. For predicting the notched tensile strength, a modified failure criterion is developed. An excellent agreement is found between the experimental results and the analytical prediction of modified failure criterion. The notched strength and the characteristic length have an increase and decrease relations. When the unstable fracture occured, the critical crack length equivalent for the damage zone size at the edge of hole is about twice the characteristic length. The critical energy release rate G$_{c}$ is independent of hole size(0.03 .leq. 2R/W .leq. 0.5) under the same specimen width. However G$_{c}$ increases with an increase in specimen width which can be explained by stress relaxation due to the notch insensitivity.ity.

A study on the economical life of large-diameter water pipe: case study in P waterworks (대구경 상수도관로의 경제적수명 산정 연구: P상수도 사례연구)

  • Kim, Kibum;Seo, Jeewon;Choi, Taeho;Koo, Jayong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2018
  • This study develops a model to estimate the economic life of the large-diameter water supply pipeline in Korea by supplementing existing methods used to perform similar calculations. To evaluate the developed methodology, the model was applied to the actual target area with the conveyance pipe in P waterworks. The application yielded an economic life computation of 39.7 years, considering the cost of damages, maintenance, and renewal of the pipeline. Based on a sensitivity analysis of the derived results, the most important factor influencing the economic life expectancy was the predicted failure rate. The methodology for estimating the economic life of the water supply pipeline proposed in this study is one of the core processes of basic waterworks facility management planning. Therefore, the methods and results proposed in this study may be applied to asset management planning for water service providers.

A Tensile Criterion to Minimize FE Mesh-Dependency in Concrete Beam under Blast Loading (폭발하중을 받는 콘크리트 보의 요소의존성 최소화 인장기준식)

  • Kwak, Hyo-Gyoung;Gang, HanGul
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2017
  • A tensile failure criterion that can minimize the mesh-dependency of simulation results on the basis of the fracture energy concept is introduced, and conventional plasticity based damage models for concrete such as CSC model and HJC model, which are generally used for the blast analyses of concrete structures, are compared with orthotropic model in blast test to verify the proposed criterion. The numerical prediction of the time-displacement relations in mid span of the beam during blast loading are compared with experimental results. Analytical results show that the numerical error is substantially reduced and the accuracy of numerical results is improved by applying a unique failure strain value determined according to the proposed criterion.

Treatment Planning Guideline of EBT Film-based Delivery Quality Assurance Using Statistical Process Control in Helical Tomotherapy (토모테라피에서 통계적공정관리를 이용한 EBT 필름 기반의 선량품질보증의 치료계획 가이드라인)

  • Chang, Kyung Hwan
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.439-448
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the results from statistical process control (SPC) to recommend upper and lower control limits for planning parameters based on delivery quality assurance (DQA) results and establish our institutional guidelines regarding planning parameters for helical tomotherapy (HT). A total of 53 brain, 41 head and neck (H & N), and 51 pelvis cases who had passing or failing DQA measurements were selected. The absolute point dose difference (DD) and the global gamma passing rate (GPR) for all patients were analyzed. Control charts were used to evaluate upper and lower control limits (UCL and LCL) for all assessed treatment planning parameters. Treatment planning parameters were analyzed to provide its range for DQA pass cases. We confirmed that the probability of DQA failure was higher when the proportion of leaf open time (LOT) below 100 ms was greater than 30%. LOT and gantry period (GP) were significant predictor for DQA failure using the SPC method. We investigated the availability of the SPC statistic method to establish the local planning guideline based on DQA results for HT system. The guideline of each planning parameter in HT may assist in the prediction of DQA failure using the SPC statistic method in the future.

The Prediction of Cutting Slope Failure of Forest Road (임도(林道) 절토사면(切土斜面)의 붕괴위험(崩壞危險) 예측(豫測)에 관한 연구)

  • Cha, Du Song;Ji, Byoung Yun
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 1998
  • On the basis of data obtained from 5 forest roads(Backyang, Byongatae, Saorang, Bukyu and Dangrim forest road) collapsed under a heavy rainfall in Chunchon, Kangwondo, this study was carried out to predict the cutting slope failure of forest road by using Quantification theory(II). The results were summarized as follows; The cutting slope failure was chiefly occurred by correlated action of road structure, vegetation and topographical factors. The cutting slope failure predicted by partial correlation coefficients and range values was characterized by longer than 8m of cutting slope length, depper than 2.5m of soil depth, between $30^{\circ}$ and $50^{\circ}$ of original ground slope gradient, absence of vegetation coverage on cutting slope, and greater than $60^{\circ}$ of cutting slope gradient. And the rate of correct discrimination by analysis of cutting slope failure was 90.1%.

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Statistical Life Prediction of Corroded Pipeline Using Bayesian Inference (베이지안 추론법을 이용한 부식된 배관의 통계적 수명예측)

  • Noh, Yoojeong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.2401-2406
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    • 2015
  • Pipelines are used by large heavy industries to deliver various types of fluids. Since this is important to maintain the performance of large systems, it is necessary to accurately predict remaining life of the corroded pipeline. However, predicting the remaining life is difficult due to uncertainties in the associated variables, such as geometries, material properties, corrosion rate, etc. In this paper, a statistical method for predicting corrosion remaining life is proposed using Bayesian inference. To accomplish this, pipeline failure probability was calculated using prior information about pipeline failure pressure according to elapsed time, and the given experimental data based on Bayes' rule. The corrosion remaining life was calculated as the elapsed time with 10 % failure probability. Using 10 and 50 samples generated from random variables affecting the corrosion of the pipe, the pipeline failure probability was estimated, after which the estimated remaining useful life was compared with the assumed true remaining useful life.

Evaluation of SPACE Code Prediction Capability for CEDM Nozzle Break Experiment with Safety Injection Failure (안전주입 실패를 동반한 제어봉구동장치 관통부 파단 사고 실험 기반 국내 안전해석코드 SPACE 예측 능력 평가)

  • Nam, Kyung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.80-88
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    • 2022
  • The Korean nuclear industry had developed the SPACE (Safety and Performance Analysis Code for nuclear power plants) code, which adopts a two-fluid, three-field model that is comprised of gas, continuous liquid and droplet fields and has the capability to simulate three-dimensional models. According to the revised law by the Nuclear Safety and Security Commission (NSSC) in Korea, the multiple failure accidents that must be considered for the accident management plan of a nuclear power plant was determined based on the lessons learned from the Fukushima accident. Generally, to improve the reliability of the calculation results of a safety analysis code, verification is required for the separate and integral effect experiments. Therefore, the goal of this work is to verify the calculation capability of the SPACE code for multiple failure accidents. For this purpose, an experiment was conducted to simulate a Control Element Drive Mechanism (CEDM) break with a safety injection failure using the ATLAS test facility, which is operated by Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI). This experiment focused on the comparison between the experiment results and code calculation results to verify the performance of the SPACE code. The results of the overall system transient response using the SPACE code showed similar trends with the experimental results for parameters such as the system pressure, mass flow rate, and collapsed water level in component. In conclusion, it can be concluded that the SPACE code has sufficient capability to simulate a CEDM break with a safety injection failure accident.