• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure rate prediction

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The Designs for Prediction of Future Reliability Using the Stochastic Reliabilit

  • Oh, Chung-Hwan;Kim, Bok-Mahn
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.131-139
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    • 1993
  • The newly proposed model of the future reliability results in earlier fault-fixes having a greater effect than the fault which make the greatest contribution to the overall failure rate tend to show themselves earlier, and so are fixed earlier. The suggested model allows a variety of reliability measures to be calculated. Predictions of total execution time(debugging time) is to achieve a target reliability. This model could also apply to computer-hardware reliability growth resulting from the elimination of design error and fault.

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Reliability Prediction of Digital Protection Relay (디지털 보호계전기의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Song, In-Jun;An, Yong-Ho;Yang, Gwi-Jang;Jun, Kwang-Sig
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.07a
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    • pp.377-378
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    • 2008
  • 한전에서는 계통보호 설비의 신뢰도 확보를 위해 디지털 보호설비 사용을 확대하고 있으며, 이에 따른 합리적인 보호설비 교체기준을 설정하려고 한다. 본 논문에서는 디지털 보호계전기의 교체기준 설정을 위해 디지털 보호 계전기(Digital Distance Relay)와 구성모듈에 대한 고장률(Failure rate)과 평균수명(Mean Time between Failures, MTBF), 그리고 시간에 따른 신뢰도를 분석하였다. 수명예측방법은 MIL-HDBK-217F, Notice 2의 부품스트레스분석방법(Part Stress Analysis Method) 사용하였다.

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A Study on the Reliability Analysis for Smoke Detector using Dust (분진을 이용한 연기감지기 신뢰성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Sung Ho;Choi, Moon Soo;Lee, Young Man
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a study on the analyzing reliability of smoke fire detector using accelerated life test. In general, the smoke fire detector is broken by dust which flow in smoke detection chamber. In order to conduct accelerated life test of smoke fire detector dust is set accelerated factor in this paper. The dust is fly-ash which is test particle 5th regulated by KS A 0090. The dust accelerated level is 60 g, 180 g and 360 g and failure time is measured by smoke sensitivity testing. It is considered to failure of detector if detector don't operate within 30 secconds when subjected to an air stream having a velocity of 20 cm/s~40 cm/s containing smoke with a concentration of 15% of rate of light-response of 1 m. The goodness of fit test and mean life prediction conduct using the failure time. The result show that life distribution fits the weibull distribution for failure time data and the mean lifes calculate 22.5 year in domestic product and 14.7 years in overseas product applied dust stress only.

Influence of DIC Frame Rate on Experimental Determination of Instability and Fracture Points for DP980 Sheets under Various Loading Conditions (다양한 하중 조건에서 DP980 판재의 불안정성 및 파단점 결정시 DIC Frame Rate의 영향)

  • Noh, E.;Hong, S.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.368-374
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    • 2019
  • The past recent years have seen an increasing use of high-strength steel sheets in the automotive industry. However, the formability and damage prediction of these materials requires accurate acquisition of necking and fracture strains. Digital image correlation (DIC) is used to accurately capture the necking and fracture strains during testing. The fact that single time points of capturing vary with frame rate makes the need for an investigation necessary. For the high-strength steel DP980, the frame-rate dependences of the final necking and fracture strains values are analyzed here. To eliminate the influence of gauge length, the strains were measured locally by DIC. Results for three specimen shapes obtained with frame rates of 1 and 900 fps (frames per second) were considered and based on them, triaxiality failure diagrams (TFD) are established. It was observed that after diffuse necking, the deformation path departed from the initially linear one, and the stress triaxiality grew with ongoing deformation. It was further revealed that the frame rate-dependence of the necking strain was rather low (< 2%), whereas the fracture strain could be underestimated by up to 8% when the lower frame rate of 1 fps was used (compared with 900 fps). In this study, this issue is investigated while taking into consideration the three different triaxialities. These results demonstrate the importance of choosing an appropriate frame rate for the determination of necking and fracture strains in particular.

A Study on the Neural Network Diagnostic System for Rotating Machinery Failure Diagnosis (신경망을 이용한 회전축의 이상상태 진단에 관한 연구)

  • 유송민;박상신
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.461-468
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    • 2000
  • In this study, a neural network based diagnostic system of a rotating spindle system supported by ball bearings was introduced. In order to create actual failure situations, two exemplary abnormal status were made. Out of several possible data source locations, ten measurement spots were chosen. In order to discriminate multiple abnormal status, a neural network system was introduced using back propagation algorithm updating connecting weight between each nodes. In order to find the optimal structure of the neural network system reducing the information sources, magnitude of the weight of the network was referred. Hinton diagram was used to visually inspect the least sensitive weight connecting between input and hidden layers. Number of input node was reduced from 10 to 7 and prediction rate was increased to 100%.

Formulation of Tearing Energy for Fatigue Life Evaluation of Rubber Material (고무의 피로수명 평가를 위한 찢김에너지 정식화)

  • Kim, Heon-Young;Kim, Ho
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.29 no.8 s.239
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    • pp.1132-1138
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    • 2005
  • Fatigue life of metal material can be predicted by the use of fracture theory and experimental database. Although prediction of fatigue life of rubber material uses the same way as metal, there are many reasons to make it almost impossible. One of the reasons is that there is not currently used fracture criteria for rubber material beacuse of non-standardization, various way of composition process of rubber and so on. Tearing energy is one of the fracture criteria which can be applied to a rubber. Even if tearing energy relaxes the restriction of rubber composition, it is also not currently used because of complication to apply in. Research material about failure process of rubber and tearing energy was reviewed to define the process of fatigue failure and the applicability of tearing energy in estimation of fatigue life for rubber. Also, 1file element formulation of tearing energy which can be used in FE analysis was developed.

A Study of Reliability Evaluation and Analysis for Core Units of Machine Tools (공작기계 핵심부품의 신뢰성 평가 ${\cdot}$ 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Woo;Song, Jun-Yeob;Lee, Hwa-Ki
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.41-58
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    • 2003
  • Recently, the reliability evaluation and analysis are applied for many industrial products, and many products are required to guarantee in quality and in efficiency. The purpose of this paper is to present some of reliability prediction methodologies that are applicable to machine tools. Especially ATC (Automatic Tool Changer) and Interface Card of PC-NC, which are core components of the machine tools, were chosen as the target of the reliability evaluation and analysis. The results of this research has shown the failure rate, MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure), and reliability for those components. It is expected that proposed methodologies will be applicable to evaluation of reliability for other industrial products.

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Prediction of Outflow Hydrograph caused by Landslide Dam Failure by Overtopping

  • Do, XuanKhanh;Kim, Minseok;Nguyen, H.P.T;Jung, Kwansue
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.196-196
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    • 2016
  • Landslide dam failure presents as a severe natural disaster due to its adverse impact to people and property. If the landslide dams failed, the discharge of a huge volume of both water and sediment could result in a catastrophic flood in the downstream area. In most of previous studies, breaching process used to be considered as a constructed dam, rather than as a landslide dam. Their erosion rate was assumed to relate to discharge by a sediment transport equation. However, during surface erosion of landslide dam, the sediment transportation regime is greatly dependent on the slope surface and the sediment concentration in the flow. This study aims to accurately simulate the outflow hydrograph caused by landslide dam by overtopping through a 2D surface flow erosion/deposition model. The lateral erosion velocity in this model was presented as a function of the shear stress on the side wall. The simulated results were then compared and it was coherent with the results obtained from the experiments.

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A Study on Reliability Prediction Comparison of Aero Space Electronic Equipments (항공기 전자장비의 신뢰성 예측 비교 연구)

  • Jo, In-Tak;Lee, Sang-Cheon;Kim, Yun-Hee
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.472-479
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    • 2012
  • Before an aircraft is delivered to customers, manufacturers have to verify required reliability for the aircraft. In usual, reliability of electronic equipments in military aircraft are predicted based on MIL-HDBK-217. But the specification has not been revised since 1995. Some alternatives including SR-332 and 217PLUS are suggested in this study. The processes and methods specified in MIL-HDBK-217 are compared with those of SR-332. Additionally, the predicted reliability of aircraft electronic equipment between usage data and field data are investigated using MIL-HDBK-217. The results show that predicted reliability of MIL-HDBK-217 is more conservative (underestimated) than that of usage data and field data.

A Study on the Fatigue Life Prediction of Solder Joints under Thermal Cyclic Loading (온도사이클을 받는 Solder Joint의 피로수명에 관한 연구)

  • 김진기;이순복
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.31A no.12
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    • pp.44-55
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    • 1994
  • This study is to apply the theory of fatigue fracture to solder joints under thermal cyclic loading and predict life of solder joint to failure. A 62Sn-36Pb-2Ag solder was used in this study. Tensile tests were preformed at temperatures of 15.dec. C, 50.dec. C and 85.dec. C in order to find terms of crack length "a". plastic strain range ""${\Delta}{\varepsilon}_p$" and temperature "T". Solder joint under thermal cyclic loading was analyzed by FEM. this FEM analysis together with the crack growth rate will provide the capability of the fatigue life prediction of solder joints and enhance the reliability od solder joint.

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