• 제목/요약/키워드: Failure rate prediction

검색결과 193건 처리시간 0.032초

Numerical modeling and prediction of adhesion failure of adhesively bonded composite T-Joint structure

  • Panda, Subhransu K;Mishra, Pradeep K;Panda, Subrata K
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
    • /
    • 제74권6호
    • /
    • pp.723-735
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study is reported the adhesion failure in adhesive bonded composite and specifically for the T-joint structure. Three-dimensional finite element analysis has been performed using a commercial tool and the necessary outcomes are obtained via an eight noded solid element (Solid 185-element) from the library of ANSYS. The structural analysis input has been incurred through ANSYS parametric design language (APDL) code. The normal and shear stress distributions along different layers of the joint structure have been evaluated as the final outcomes. Based on the stress distributions, failure location in the composite joint structure has been identified by using the Tsai-Wu stress failure criterion. It has been found that the failure index is maximum at the interface between flange and web part of the joint (top layer) which indicates the probable location of failure initiation. This kind of failures are considered as adhesion failure and the failure propagation is governed by strain energy release rate (SERR) of fracture mechanics. The different adhesion failure lengths are also considered at the failure location to calculate the SERR values i.e. mode I fracture (opening), mode II fracture (sliding) and mode III fracture (tearing) along the failure front. Also, virtual crack closure technique (VCCT) principle of fracture mechanics steps is used to calculate the above said SERRs. It is found that the mode I SERR is more dominating compared to other two modes of failure for the joint considered. Finally, the influences of various parametric (geometrical and material) effect on SERR of the joint structure are evaluated and discussed in details.

Lifetime Prediction of Geogrids for Reinforcement of Embankments and Slopes through Time-Temperature Superposition

  • Koo, Hyun-Jin;Kim, You-Kyum;Kim, Dong-Whan
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
    • /
    • 제4권4호
    • /
    • pp.147-154
    • /
    • 2005
  • The creep resistance of geogrids is one of the most significant long-term safety characteristics used as the reinforcement in slopes and embankments. The failure of geogrids is defined as creep strain greater than 10%. In this study, the accelerated creep tests were applied to polyester geogrids at various loading levels of 30, 50% of the yield strengths and temperatures using newly designed test equipment. Also, the new test equipment permitted the creep testing at or above glass transition temperature($T_g$) of 75, 80, $85^{\circ}C$. The time-dependent creep behaviors were observed at various temperatures and loading levels. And then the creep curves were shifted and superposed in the time axis by applying time-temperature supposition principles. The shifting factors(AFs) were obtained using WLF equation. In predicting the lifetimes of geogrids, the underlying distribution for failure times were determined based on identification of the failure mechanism. The results confirmed that the failure distribution of geogrids followed Weibull distribution with increasing failure rate and the lifetimes of geogrids were close to 100 years which was required service life in the field with 1.75 of reduction factor of safety. Using the newly designed equipment, the creep test of geogrids was found to be highly accelerated. Furthermore, the time-temperature superposition with the newly designed test equipment was shown to be effective in predicting the lifetimes of geogrids with shorter test times and can be applied to the other geosynthetics.

전기식 출입문 시스템의 신뢰도 분석기법에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Analysis Methodology of Passenger Door System of Electrical Type)

  • 김철섭;이희성
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
    • /
    • 제10권1호
    • /
    • pp.43-48
    • /
    • 2014
  • The door system for railway vehicles is the critical device directly influences on safety and satisfaction of passengers, Recently, electrical type of passenger door system is widely used for EMU type train instead of pneumatic type of passenger door system. The estimation of MTBF and failure rates for electrical type door system is essential. The manufacturor simply provides intrinsic reliability data for the railway operator. But actual reliability data based on operation and maintenance data is not complying with intrinsic reliability. In this study, operation and failure data associated with electrical door system were analyzed in order to determine actual MTBF and failure data. Intrinsic reliability data and service reliability data were studied to finallize much more practical and reliable actual reliability. Relax 2011 was used to predict intrinsic reliability and 217Plus model was also used to estimate of actual reliability data based on field data. Furthermore, it is necessary to keep studying on reliability prediction methodology and applying it in the field and doing research on improvement of reliability through feedback as well.

Low cycle fatigue and ratcheting failure behavior of AH32 steel under uniaxial cyclic loading

  • Dong, Qin;Yang, Ping;Xu, Geng
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
    • /
    • 제11권2호
    • /
    • pp.671-678
    • /
    • 2019
  • In this paper, the low cycle fatigue failure and ratcheting behavior, as well as their interaction of AH32 steel were experimentally investigated under uniaxial cyclic loading. The effects of mean stress, stress amplitude and stress ratio on the low cycle fatigue life and ratcheting strain were discussed. It was found that the ratcheting strain increased while the fatigue life decreased with the increase of mean stress and stress amplitude, and the increasing stress ratio would result in smaller ratcheting and larger fatigue life. Two kinds of failure modes, i.e. low cycle fatigue failure due to crack propagates and ratcheting failure due to large plastic strain will take place respectively. Based on the experimental results, considered the effect of ratcheting on fatigue life, a model with the maximum stress and ratcheting strain rate was proposed. Comparison with the experimental result showed that the new model provided a good prediction for AH32 steel.

A Short-Term Prediction Method of the IGS RTS Clock Correction by using LSTM Network

  • Kim, Mingyu;Kim, Jeongrae
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
    • /
    • 제8권4호
    • /
    • pp.209-214
    • /
    • 2019
  • Precise point positioning (PPP) requires precise orbit and clock products. International GNSS service (IGS) real-time service (RTS) data can be used in real-time for PPP, but it may not be possible to receive these corrections for a short time due to internet or hardware failure. In addition, the time required for IGS to combine RTS data from each analysis center results in a delay of about 30 seconds for the RTS data. Short-term orbit prediction can be possible because it includes the rate of correction, but the clock correction only provides bias. Thus, a short-term prediction model is needed to preidict RTS clock corrections. In this paper, we used a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict RTS clock correction for three minutes. The prediction accuracy of the LSTM was compared with that of the polynomial model. After applying the predicted clock corrections to the broadcast ephemeris, we performed PPP and analyzed the positioning accuracy. The LSTM network predicted the clock correction within 2 cm error, and the PPP accuracy is almost the same as received RTS data.

무기체계의 상세설계 단계에 적용을 위한 한국형 정비도 예측 S/W 개발 (Development of Korean Maintainability-Prediction Software for Application to the Detailed Design Stages of Weapon Systems)

  • 권재언;김수주;허장욱
    • 한국기계가공학회지
    • /
    • 제20권10호
    • /
    • pp.102-111
    • /
    • 2021
  • Maintainability is a major design parameter that includes availability as well as reliability in a RAM (reliability, availability, maintainability) analysis, and is an index that must be considered when developing a system. There is a lack of awareness of the importance of predicting and analyzing maintainability; therefore, it is dependent on past-experience data. To improve the utilization rate, maintainability must be managed as a key indicator to meet the user's requirements for failure maintenance time and to reduce life-cycle costs. To improve the maintainability-prediction accuracy in the detailed design stage, we present a maintainability-prediction method that applies Method B of the Military Standardization Handbook (MIL-HDBK-472) Procedure V, as well as a Korean maintainability-prediction software package that reflects the system complexity.

Lifetime prediction of bearings in on-board starter generator

  • Zieja, Mariusz;Tomaszewska, Justyna;Woch, Marta;Michalski, Mariusz
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
    • /
    • 제8권4호
    • /
    • pp.289-302
    • /
    • 2021
  • Ensuring flight safety for passengers as well as crew is the most important aspect of modern aviation, and in order to achieve this, it is necessary to be able to forecast the durability of individual components. The present contribution illustrates the results of a computational analysis to determine the possibility of analysing the prediction of bearing durability in on-board rotating equipment from the point of view of thermal fatigue.In this study, a method developed at the Air Force Institute of Technology was used for analysis, which allowed to determine the bearing durability from the flight altitude profile. Two aircraft have been chosen for analysis - a military M-28 and a civilian Embraer. As a result of the analysis were obtained: the bearing durability in on-board rotating devices, average operation time between failures, as well as failure rate. In conclusion, the practical applicability of this approach is demonstrated by the fact that even with a limited number of flight parameters, it is possible to estimate bearing durability and increase flight safety by regular inspections.

The Designs for Prediction of Future Reliability Using the Stochastic Reliabilit

  • Oh, Chung-Hwan;Kim, Bok-Mahn
    • 품질경영학회지
    • /
    • 제21권2호
    • /
    • pp.131-139
    • /
    • 1993
  • The newly proposed model of the future reliability results in earlier fault-fixes having a greater effect than the fault which make the greatest contribution to the overall failure rate tend to show themselves earlier, and so are fixed earlier. The suggested model allows a variety of reliability measures to be calculated. Predictions of total execution time(debugging time) is to achieve a target reliability. This model could also apply to computer-hardware reliability growth resulting from the elimination of design error and fault.

  • PDF

디지털 보호계전기의 신뢰도 분석 (Reliability Prediction of Digital Protection Relay)

  • 송인준;안용호;양귀장;전광식
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 제39회 하계학술대회
    • /
    • pp.377-378
    • /
    • 2008
  • 한전에서는 계통보호 설비의 신뢰도 확보를 위해 디지털 보호설비 사용을 확대하고 있으며, 이에 따른 합리적인 보호설비 교체기준을 설정하려고 한다. 본 논문에서는 디지털 보호계전기의 교체기준 설정을 위해 디지털 보호 계전기(Digital Distance Relay)와 구성모듈에 대한 고장률(Failure rate)과 평균수명(Mean Time between Failures, MTBF), 그리고 시간에 따른 신뢰도를 분석하였다. 수명예측방법은 MIL-HDBK-217F, Notice 2의 부품스트레스분석방법(Part Stress Analysis Method) 사용하였다.

  • PDF

분진을 이용한 연기감지기 신뢰성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Analysis for Smoke Detector using Dust)

  • 홍성호;최문수;이영만
    • 한국안전학회지
    • /
    • 제28권6호
    • /
    • pp.11-16
    • /
    • 2013
  • This paper presents a study on the analyzing reliability of smoke fire detector using accelerated life test. In general, the smoke fire detector is broken by dust which flow in smoke detection chamber. In order to conduct accelerated life test of smoke fire detector dust is set accelerated factor in this paper. The dust is fly-ash which is test particle 5th regulated by KS A 0090. The dust accelerated level is 60 g, 180 g and 360 g and failure time is measured by smoke sensitivity testing. It is considered to failure of detector if detector don't operate within 30 secconds when subjected to an air stream having a velocity of 20 cm/s~40 cm/s containing smoke with a concentration of 15% of rate of light-response of 1 m. The goodness of fit test and mean life prediction conduct using the failure time. The result show that life distribution fits the weibull distribution for failure time data and the mean lifes calculate 22.5 year in domestic product and 14.7 years in overseas product applied dust stress only.