• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Rate Model

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Reliability Estimation of Ball Grid Array 63Sn-37Pb Solder Joint (Ball Grid Array 63Sn-37Pb Solder joint 의 건전성 평가)

  • 명노훈;이억섭;김동혁
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.630-633
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    • 2004
  • Generally, component and FR-4 board are connected by solder joint. Because material properties of components and FR-4 board are different, component and FR-4 board show different coefficients of thermal expansion (CTE) and thus strains in component and board are different when they are heated. That is, the differences in CTE of component and FR-4 board cause the dissimilarity in shear strain and BGA solder joint s failure. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function incorporating with thermal fatigue models is used in order to estimate the failure probability of solder joints under heated condition. A model based on plastic-strain rate such as the Coffin-Manson Fatigue Model is utilized in this study. The effects of random variables such as frequency, maximum temperature, and temperature variations on the failure probability of the BGA solder joint are systematically investigated by using a failure probability model with the first order reliability method(FORM).

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Buckley-James Type Estimators for Entropy of Lifetimes under Random Censorship Model (임의중단모형에서 수명의 엔트로피에 대한 Buckley-James형 추정량)

  • 이재만;차영준;이우동;김종태
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.62-69
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we propose two Buckley-James type nonparametric estimators for entropy of lifetimes under random censorship model. We investigate the small sample behaviors of the proposed estimators when the underlying distribution has decreasing failure rate, constant failure rate, and increasing failure rate. Also some examples are illustrated for analysing data.

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A Study on the Reliability and Maintainability Analysis Process for Aircraft Hydraulic System (항공기용 유압 시스템 신뢰도 및 정비도 분석 프로세스 고찰)

  • Han, ChangHwan;Kim, KeunBae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2016
  • An aircraft must be designed to minimize system failure rate for obtaining the aircraft safety, because the aircraft system failure causes a fatal accident. The safety of the aircraft system can be predicted by analyzing availability, reliability, and maintainability of the system. In this study, the reliability and the maintainability of the hydraulic system are analysed except the availability, and therefore the reliability and the maintainability analysis process and the results are presented for a helicopter hydraulic system. For prediction of the system reliability, the failure rate model presented in MIL-HDBK-217F is used, and MTBF is calculated by using the Part Stress Analysis Prediction and quality/temperature/environmental factors described in NPRD-95 and MIL-HDBK-338B. The maintainability is predicted by FMECA(Failure Mode, Effect & Criticality Analysis) based on MIL-STD-1629A.

A Maintenance Policy Determination of Dependent k-out-of-n:G System with Setup Cost (초기설치비를 고려한 의존적 k-out-of-n:G 시스템의 보전정책 결정)

  • 조성훈;안동규;성혁제;신현재
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 1999
  • reliability from components reliability. In this case, it assumes that components failure is mutually independent, but it may not true in real systems. In this study, the mean cost per unit time is computed as the ratio of mean life to the mean cost. The mean life is obtained by the reliability function under power rule model. The mean cost is obtained by the mathematical model based on the inspection interval. A heuristic method is proposed to determine the optimal number of redundant units and the optimal inspection interval to minimize the mean cost per unit time. The assumptions of this study are as following : First, in the load-sharing k-out-of-n:G system, total loads are applied to the system and shared by the operating components. Secondly, the number of failed components affects the failure rate of surviving components as a function of the total load applied. Finally, the relation between the load and the failure rate of surviving components is set by the power rule model. For the practical application of the above methods, numerical examples are presented.

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Estimating the Failure Rate of Protection System Using a Discrete Markov Model (이산 마코프 모델을 이용한 보호 시스템의 고장 비율 추정)

  • Shin, Jung-Jin;Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.385-387
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    • 2008
  • When a fault occurs in the distribution system, it is detected by protection system, then protection system is opened and de-energises the feeder where the fault exists. in this paper, the failure rate of protection system will estimate that using a discrete markov approach with failure data of protection system in order to improve the reliability of protection system.

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Reliability Estimation of the Standard Electric Multiple Unit (표준 전동차의 신뢰성 평가)

  • 구병춘;김남포
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.330-335
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    • 2002
  • To estimate the reliability of the standard electric multiple unit developed by Korea Railroad Research Institute, the vehicle system composed of 4 cars is divided into 14 subsystems. The 14 subsystems are connected in series. For each subsystem except for car body and bogie, failure rate is evaluated by an optimal failure model used in reliability engineering. For car body and bogie probabilistic structural integrity analysis is carried out. The distribution of failure rate of each part and system is assumed to be exponential. The estimated MTBF of the vehicle satisfies the planned MTBF.

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A Study on Reliability Data Analysis for Components of Machining Center (공작기계 부품의 신뢰성 데이터 해석에 관한 연구)

  • 이수훈;김종수;송준엽;이승우;박화영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.88-91
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    • 2001
  • The reliability data analysis for components of CNC machining center is studied in this paper. The failure data of mechanical part is analyzed by Exponetial, Weibull, and Log-normal distributions. And then, the optimum failure distribution model is selected by goodness of fit test. The reliability data analysis program is developed using ASP language. The failure rate, MTBF, life, and failure mode of mechanical parts are estimated and searched by this program. The failure data and analysis results are stored in the database.

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Failure Probability of Corrosion Pipeline with Varying Boundary Condition

  • Lee, Ouk-Sub;Pyun, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.889-895
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents the effect of external corrosion, material properties, operation condition and design thickness in pipeline on failure prediction using a failure probability model. The predicted failure assessment for the simulated corrosion defects discovered in corroded pipeline is compared with that determined by ANSI/ASME B31G code and a modified B31G method. The effects of environmental, operational, and random design variables such as defect depth, pipe diameter, defect length, fluid pressure, corrosion rate, material yield stress and pipe thickness on the failure probability are systematically studied using a failure probability model for the corrosion pipeline.

A Study for NHPP software Reliability Growth Model based on polynomial hazard function (다항 위험함수에 근거한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2011
  • Infinite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rate per fault (hazard function). This infinite non-homogeneous Poisson process is model which reflects the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software. In this paper, polynomial hazard function have been proposed, which can efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm for estimating the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method. Model selection based on mean square error and the coefficient of determination for the sake of efficient model were employed. In numerical example, log power time model of the existing model in this area and the polynomial hazard function model were compared using failure interval time. Because polynomial hazard function model is more efficient in terms of reliability, polynomial hazard function model as an alternative to the existing model also were able to confirm that can use in this area.

Modeling of Rate-of-Occurrence-of-Failure According to the Failure Data Type of Water Distribution Cast Iron Pipes and Estimation of Optimal Replacement Time Using the Modified Time Scale (상수도 주철 배수관로의 파손자료 유형에 따른 파손율 모형화와 수정된 시간척도를 이용한 최적교체시기의 산정)

  • Park, Su-Wan;Jun, Hwan-Don;Kim, Jung-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.1 s.174
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents applications of the log-linear ROCOF(rate-of-occurrence-of-failure) and the Weibull ROCOF to model the failure rate of individual cast iron pipes in a water distribution system and provides a method of estimating the economically optimal replacement time of the pipes using the 'modified time-scale'. The performance of the two ROCOFs is examined using the maximized log-likelihood estimates of the ROCOFs for the two types of failure data: 'failure-time data' and 'failure-number data'. The optimal replacement time equations for the two models are developed by applying the 'modified time-scale' to ensure the numerical convergence of the estimated values of the model parameters. The methodology is applied to the case study water distribution cast iron pipes and it is found that the log-linear ROCOF has better modeling capability than the Weibull ROCOF when the 'failure-time data' is used. Furthermore, the 'failure-time data' is determined to be more appropriate for both ROCOFs compared to the 'failure-number data' in terms of the ROCOF modeling performances for the water mains under study, implying that recording each failure time results in better modeling of the failure rate than recording failure numbers in some time intervals.