• Title/Summary/Keyword: Failure Rate Model

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A Study on A, pp.ication of Reliability Prediction & Demonstration Methods for Computer Monitor (Computer용 Monitor에 대한 신뢰성 예측.확인 방법의 응용)

  • 박종만;정수일;김재주
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.96-107
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    • 1997
  • The recent stream to reliability prediction is that it is totally inclusive in depth to consider even the operating and environmental condition at the level of finished goods as well as component itselves. In this study, firstly we present the reliability prediction methods by entire failure rate model which failure rate at the system level is added to the failure rate model at the component level. Secondly we build up the improved bases of reliability demonstration through a, pp.ication of Kaplan-Meier, Cumulative hazard, Johnson's methods as non-parametric and Maximum Likelihood Estimator under exponential & Weibull distribution as parametric. And also present the methods of curve fitting to piecewise failure rate under Weibull distribution, PRST (Probability Ratio Sequential Test), curve fitting to S-shaped reliability growth curve, computer programs of each methods. Lastly we show the practical for determination of optimal burn-in time as a method of reliability enhancement, and also verify the practical usefulness of the above study through the a, pp.ication of failure and test data during 1 year.

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A Study on the Prediction of Failure Rate of Airforce OO Guided Missile Based on Field Failure Data (야전운용제원에 기반한 공군 OO유도탄 고장률 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Cheonkyu;Ma, Jungmok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.428-434
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    • 2020
  • The one-shot weapon system is destroyed after only one mission. So, the system requires high reliability. Guided missiles are one-shot weapon systems that have to be analyzed by storage reliability since they spend most of their life in storage. The analysis results depend on the model and the ratio of correct censored data. This study was conducted to propose a method to more accurately predict the future failure rate of Air force guided missiles. In the proposed method, the failure rate is predicted by both MTTF (Mean Time To Failure) and MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) models and the model with a smaller error from the real failure rate is selected. Next, with the selected model, the ratio of correct censored data is selected to minimize the error between the predicted failure rate and the real failure rate. Based on real field data, the comparative result is determined and the result shows that the proposed sampling rate can predict the future failure rate more accurately.

A Study of Optimal Maintenance Schedules of a System under the Periodic Inspection Policy (주기적인 검사 정책하에서 최적예방 교체시기 결정에 관한 연구)

  • 정현태;김제승
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.20 no.44
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    • pp.263-271
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    • 1997
  • This paper presents a preventive maintenance model for determining the preventive replacement period of a system in which a failure rate is affected by the cumulative damage of fault and inspection. Especially, the failure rate function is considered to be a function of the cumulative damage of the fault and inspection time. Types of replacement considered are preventive replacement and failure replacement. Failure rate and expected cost function between replacement are derived. An optimal policy is obtained that minimizes the average cost per unit time for preventive replacement, failure replacement, inspection and repair.

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A Study on the Reliability Growth Trend of Operational S/W Failure Reduction

  • Che, Gyu-Shik;Kim, Yong-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society of Information Technology Applications Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.143-146
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    • 2005
  • The software reliability growth depends on the testing time because the failure rate varies whether it is long or not. On the other hand, it might be difficult to reduce failure rate for most of the cases are not available for debugging during operational phase, hence, there are some literatures to study that the failure rate is uniform throughout the operational time. The failure rate reduces and the reliability grows with time regardless of debugging. As a result, the products reliability varies with the time duration of these products in point of customer view. The reason of this is that it accumulates the products experience, studies the exact operational method, and then finds and takes action against the fault circumstances. I propose the simple model to represent this status in this paper.

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A Study on Trend Changes for Certain Parametric Families

  • Nam, Kyung Hyun;Park, Dong Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 1995
  • We present a brief survey concerning the relations between mean residual life and failure rate. Change points of mean residual life and failure rate are known to be different in general and we explore such situations in this paper. A few parametric models which show bathtub-shaped failure rate are examined in details, including the shape of its corresponding mean residual life function. We give some graphical comparisons of trend changes of mean residual life and failure rate for various choices of parameters for each parametric model.

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$217Plus^{TM}$ 시스템 모형의 민감도

  • Jeon, Tae-Bo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2011.06a
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we performed sensitivity study of the $217Plus^{TM}$ system model to various parameters. Specific attention was put to logistics model and its behavior has been examined in terms of non-component failure causes. We first briefly explained the $217Plus^{TM}$ methodology with system level failure rate evaluation. We then applied experimental designs with several failure causes as factors. We used an orthogonal array with three levels of each parameter. Our results indicate that cannot duplicate, induced, and wear-out causes have dominant effects on the system failures and design, parts, and system management have much less but a little strong effects. The results in this study not only figure out the behavior of the predicted failure rate as functions of failure causes but provide meaningful guidelines for practical applications.

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Analyses of Fracture Tube Tearing using Gurson Model and Shear Failure Model (Gurson Model과 Shear Failure Model을 이용한 파쇄튜브의 찢어짐 해석)

  • Yang, Seung-Yong;Kwon, Tae-Su;Choi, Won-Mok
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.280-285
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    • 2008
  • Two kinds of failure model, that is, the Gurson model and a shear failure model were used for the finite element analyses of simple and notch tensile specimens and axial compression of a fracture tube with initial saw-cuts. The parameter values for the shear failure model were determined by a combined experimental and numerical analysis of the notch tensile specimens. After fitting the numerical parameters such as the yielding stress and the fracture shear strains, the Gurson model and the shear failure model were applied to the analysis of the fracture tube. Although the Gurson model and the shear failure model showed similar fracture behavior for the case of the tensile specimens, the respective results were different in the axial force and the crack growth rate of the fracture tube. That is, the shear failure model required more axial force to make the cracks propagate along the tube than the Gurson model. These are believed to show the lack of damage evolution process of the shear failure model. To decide which model is better in the tube analysis, experimental verification will be necessary.

Evaluation Methodology of System Interruption Cost Taking into Consideration Failure Rate of Distribution Facilities (배전기자재별 고장확률을 고려한 배편계통 수용가 정전비용 산출 기법)

  • Choe, Sang-Bong;Kim, Dae-Gyeong;Jeong, Seong-Hwan
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.232-237
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    • 2002
  • It is increased for methodology to evaluate distribution power system interruption cost in power supply zones under competitive electricity market. This paper presents algorithms to evaluate system interruption cost in distribution power supply zones taking into consideration failure rate of distribution facilities and composite customer interruption cost. In this paper, it is introduced for weighting factor for each customer failure duration and failure rate of distribution facilities to evaluate reasonable system interruption cost in distribution power supply area. Also, this Paper estimates evaluation results of system interruption cost using a sample model system. Finally, evaluation results of system interruption cost based on failure rate of distribution facilities and composite customer interruption cost are shown in detail.

Maintenance Model for Wear-Out Process Integrated with the Percent Defective and the Failure Rate (불량률과 고장률을 통합한 마모공정의 보전모형)

  • Lee, Dou-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 1996
  • This paper deals with the problem of selecting optimal wear limit and initial process mean in a wear-out process. Consider a material removal processing machinery where 1)there are deffective items by linear shift in the mean of the diameter of to be processed with varing process variance and 2)there can be any failure in the machine tools or to be processed. In the previous studies, the one is analyzed by 'Model of Producing Goods' in quality control area and the other, any failure, is analyzed by 'Model of Producing Services' in reliability area. We propose a new integrated maintenance model, considering the percent defective and the failure rate. A numerical example for the model is given.

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주기적 예방보전의 최적정책에 관한 연구

  • Na Myeong Hwan;Son Yeong Suk;Kim Mun Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korean Reliability Society Conference
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2005
  • This paper introduces models for preventive maintenance policies and considers periodic preventive maintenance policy with minimal repair when the failure of system occurs. It is assumed that minimal repairs do not change the failure rate of the system. The failure rate under prevention maintenance received an effect by a previously prevention maintenance and the slope of failure rate increases the model where it considered. Also the start point of failure rate under prevention maintenance considers the degradation of system and that it increases quotient, it assumed. Per unit time it bought an expectation cost from under this prevention maintenance policy. We obtain the optimal period time and the number for the periodic preventive maintenance by using Nakagawa's Algorithm, which minimizes the expected cost rate per unit time. Finally, it suppose that the failure time of a system has a Weibull distribution as an example and we obtain an expected cost rate per unit time the optimal period time and the number when cost of replacement and cost of minimal repair change.

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